Teams listed W-L-T record reflects only games whose score 
is listed on the 2003-2004 North Dakota HS Scores page.  

  The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then 
adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative 
error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is 
reached (convergence).  

   The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between 
any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a 
neutral site between those two teams.   It should be noted that due to goal
differential limits set in the ranking program these predicted goal differentials
are only accurate when comparing teams ranked within three goals of each other.
The differential between teams ranked farther apart becomes more and more
understated as the chosen teams become farther apart in the rankings.

A teams Total value only has meaning in relation to other teams in the same list.

The Last 5 column is a simple average performance of that team in the last five
games based on current opponent Total values and goal differential (up to max allowed).

Obviously, the fewer games a team's ranking is based upon the less likely
that ranking is to be accurate.

Links to other ratings:
CT  IA  IL  IN  MA  MD  MD-VA  MI  MN  MN-WI-ND  MO  ND  Northeast  NH  NJ  NY  WNY Club  OH  PA-E  PA-W1A  PA-W2A  PA-W3A  
RI  VA  VT  WI  wWI  USA  Midget AAA Men's NCAA D1 

Back to US HS Hockey Online main page.

High School Hockey Forums

More information about how the ratings are calculated and their past
accuracy can be found here .

     As of 2/21/04 all state rankings are calculated interdependently.  This allows interstate opponents to be given
their proper weight.  Also, games between teams ranked more than 5 goals apart are no longer used when 
calculating the rankings.

     As of 3/4/04 there are now two rankings listed.  The first is the standard Goal Diff Limit = 4 ranking and
the second is a GDL=1 ranking.  The GDL1 ranking has proven to be the most accurate for college and junior teams 
but is yet unproven at other levels, especially for those rankings in which many teams are missing many scores.  
The Totals column takes on a different meaning in the GDL1 ranking, see the D1 College rankings for details.



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RANK  TEAM                               W  L  T   GmPerf Sched  Total  Last 5
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  1,Grand Forks Central,ND,_____________ 18  3  1,   1.8,   9.9,  11.73, 11.56  E
  2,Fargo South,ND,_____________________ 15  6  0,   1.5,   9.8,  11.31, 11.33  E
  3,Grand Forks Red River,ND,___________ 15  6  0,   1.0,   9.9,  10.89, 10.10  E
  4,Grafton,ND,_________________________ 13  7  0,   1.1,   8.6,   9.61,  8.39  E
  5,Bismarck Century,ND,________________ 16  3  0,   1.9,   7.3,   9.23,  9.94  W
  6,Fargo North,ND,_____________________ 10 11  0,   0.0,   9.2,   9.21, 10.22  E
  7,Minot,ND,___________________________ 11  9  0,   0.8,   8.0,   8.76,  9.12  W
  8,Bismarck High,ND,___________________ 11  8  0,   0.5,   8.2,   8.67,  8.55  W
  9,Hazen-Beulah,ND,____________________ 14  6  0,   1.4,   7.0,   8.42,  8.46  W
 10,West Fargo,ND,______________________  8 13  0,  -0.7,   8.9,   8.21,  8.17  E
 11,Williston,ND,_______________________ 16  5  0,   1.6,   6.5,   8.12,  7.53  W
 12,Fargo Shanley,ND,___________________  4 16  0,  -1.5,   9.4,   7.91,  9.44  E
 13,Devils Lake,ND,_____________________  4 14  0,  -1.4,   7.7,   6.24,  6.11  W
 14,Jamestown,ND,_______________________  4 13  0,  -1.5,   7.3,   5.78,  6.01  E
 15,Dickinson,ND,_______________________  5 12  1,  -1.2,   6.9,   5.64,  4.99  W
 16,Mandan,ND,__________________________  8 13  0,  -1.5,   7.1,   5.54,  6.13  W
 17,Wahpeton,ND,________________________  2 18  1,  -2.4,   7.3,   4.84,  4.51  E
 18,Bottineau,ND,_______________________  1  9  2,  -2.0,   6.4,   4.35,  4.84  W

RANK  TEAM                               W  L  T   GmPerf Sched  Total  Last 5
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  1,Grand Forks Central,ND,_____________ 18  3  1,   0.6,   7.3,   7.95,  7.89  E
  2,Grand Forks Red River,ND,___________ 15  6  0,   0.4,   7.3,   7.71,  7.43  E
  3,Fargo South,ND,_____________________ 15  6  0,   0.4,   7.3,   7.68,  7.69  E
  4,Bismarck Century,ND,________________ 16  3  0,   0.7,   6.6,   7.27,  7.35  W
  5,Grafton,ND,_________________________ 13  7  0,   0.3,   6.9,   7.19,  6.87  E
  6,Fargo North,ND,_____________________ 10 11  0,  -0.0,   7.2,   7.11,  7.38  E
  7,Bismarck High,ND,___________________ 11  8  0,   0.2,   6.9,   7.01,  7.27  W
  8,Minot,ND,___________________________ 11  9  0,   0.1,   6.8,   6.91,  6.89  W
  9,Hazen-Beulah,ND,____________________ 14  6  0,   0.4,   6.5,   6.89,  6.69  W
 10,Williston,ND,_______________________ 16  5  0,   0.5,   6.3,   6.87,  6.64  W
 11,West Fargo,ND,______________________  8 13  0,  -0.2,   7.1,   6.83,  6.64  E
 12,Fargo Shanley,ND,___________________  4 16  0,  -0.6,   7.2,   6.66,  6.88  E
 13,Mandan,ND,__________________________  8 13  0,  -0.2,   6.5,   6.24,  6.47  W
 14,Jamestown,ND,_______________________  4 13  0,  -0.3,   6.6,   6.22,  6.27  E
 15,Devils Lake,ND,_____________________  4 14  0,  -0.6,   6.7,   6.16,  6.07  W
 16,Dickinson,ND,_______________________  5 12  1,  -0.4,   6.4,   6.04,  5.89  W
 17,Wahpeton,ND,________________________  2 18  1,  -0.7,   6.6,   5.86,  5.73  E
 18,Bottineau,ND,_______________________  1  9  2,  -0.7,   6.3,   5.66,  5.81  W