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2003-04 New Jersey Ratings

(Scores through 3/20/04)

Link to last year's (2002-2003) final ratings   Teams listed W-L-T record reflects only games whose score  is listed on the 2003-2004 New Jersey HS Scores page.   Please send NJ scores in the proper format to Jon Yardley for consolidation. Thanks Jon! Visit Jon's New Jersey High School Hockey site New Jersey High School Hockey site   The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then  adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative  error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is  reached (convergence).      The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between  any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a  neutral site between those two teams.  It should be noted that due to goal differential limits set in the ranking program these predicted goal differentials are only accurate when comparing teams ranked within three goals of each other. The differential between teams ranked farther apart becomes more and more understated as the chosen teams become farther apart in the rankings. A teams Total value only has meaning  in relation to other teams in the same list (i.e. Totals cannot be compared  from one week to the next or directly to a ratings list for another state). Obviously, the fewer games a team's ranking is based upon the less likely that ranking is to be accurate.    * indicates teams with only two game scores used to calculate rating.  Links to other ratings: CT  IA  IL  IN  MA  MD  MD-VA  MI  MN  MN-WI-ND  MO  ND  Northeast  NH  NJ  NY  WNY Club  OH  PA-E  PA-W1A  PA-W2A  PA-W3A  RI  VA  VT  WI  wWI  USA  Midget AAA Men's NCAA D1  Back to US HS Hockey Online main page. High School Hockey Forums Teams with at least three reported scores are currently ranked. More information about how the ratings are calculated and their past accuracy can be found here . As of 2/21/04 all state rankings are calculated interdependently. This allows interstate opponents to be given their proper weight. Also, games between teams ranked more than 5 goals apart are no longer used when calculating the rankings. As of 3/4/04 there are now two rankings listed. The first is the standard Goal Diff Limit = 4 ranking and the second is a GDL=1 ranking. The GDL1 ranking has proven to be the most accurate for college and junior teams but is yet unproven at other levels, especially for those rankings in which many teams are missing many scores. The Totals column takes on a different meaning in the GDL1 ranking, see the D1 College rankings for details. Receive email when this page changes RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Christian Brothers,NJ,______________ 17 3 1, 2.1, 8.8, 10.93, 11.63 2,Seton Hall Prep,NJ,_________________ 17 9 1, 1.2, 9.5, 10.72, 11.08 3,St Peters Prep,NJ,__________________ 25 4 0, 1.9, 8.7, 10.65, 9.98 4,Delbarton,NJ,_______________________ 20 4 5, 1.8, 8.8, 10.60, 11.26 5,Don Bosco Prep,NJ,__________________ 16 9 0, 0.9, 9.4, 10.28, 9.00 6,Bergen Catholic,NJ,_________________ 14 8 2, 0.8, 9.3, 10.13, 11.46 7,St John Vianney,NJ,_________________ 13 8 2, 1.0, 8.7, 9.73, 9.12 8,Pope John,NJ,_______________________ 20 5 1, 1.4, 8.2, 9.62, 9.31 9,Bishop Eustace,NJ,__________________ 17 3 1, 1.3, 8.0, 9.35, 9.86 10,St Augustine Prep,NJ,_______________ 18 3 2, 1.6, 7.6, 9.20, 8.48 11,Ridge,NJ,___________________________ 19 5 3, 1.5, 7.6, 9.05, 9.98 12,West Essex,NJ,______________________ 18 6 4, 1.4, 7.4, 8.86, 9.78 13,Morristown-Beard,NJ,________________ 12 6 5, 1.0, 7.6, 8.57, 8.30 14,Middletown North,NJ,________________ 23 6 0, 1.5, 6.9, 8.45, 7.72 15,Morris Knolls,NJ,___________________ 18 8 2, 1.2, 7.2, 8.45, 9.02 16,Montclair,NJ,_______________________ 14 9 4, 0.9, 7.5, 8.35, 8.23 17,Montgomery,NJ,______________________ 19 9 1, 1.5, 6.8, 8.29, 9.05 18,Red Bank Catholic,NJ,_______________ 8 9 4, 0.2, 8.1, 8.25, 7.23 19,South Brunswick,NJ,_________________ 14 11 0, 0.7, 7.5, 8.19, 8.84 20,Randolph,NJ,________________________ 14 8 3, 0.8, 7.4, 8.15, 8.70 21,Toms River South,NJ,________________ 19 7 0, 1.2, 6.5, 7.75, 7.61 22,Bridgewater-Raritan,NJ,_____________ 13 11 1, 0.4, 7.3, 7.75, 8.91 23,Middletown South,NJ,________________ 11 13 2, -0.2, 7.8, 7.65, 7.80 24,St Josephs Metuchen,NJ,_____________ 5 13 2, -1.5, 9.1, 7.57, 8.41 25,Rumson/Fair Haven,NJ,_______________ 15 9 2, 0.8, 6.7, 7.50, 7.64 26,Bayonne,NJ,_________________________ 11 11 1, 0.2, 7.3, 7.44, 6.39 27,Montclair-Kimberley,NJ,_____________ 18 8 0, 1.2, 6.1, 7.38, 8.65 28,Cranford,NJ,________________________ 17 8 2, 1.3, 6.0, 7.21, 7.34 29,Pascack Valley,NJ,__________________ 22 4 2, 1.7, 5.5, 7.18, 8.34 30,Chatham,NJ,_________________________ 10 10 4, 0.1, 7.0, 7.13, 7.05 31,Paramus Catholic,NJ,________________ 12 8 4, 0.7, 6.4, 7.09, 5.97 32,Paramus,NJ,_________________________ 18 7 1, 1.0, 6.1, 7.07, 7.58 33,Monsignor Donovan,NJ,_______________ 12 8 2, 0.2, 6.8, 7.03, 7.52 34,Brick Memorial,NJ,__________________ 7 14 1, -0.7, 7.7, 6.94, 5.17 35,Brick Township,NJ,__________________ 3 16 3, -1.9, 8.8, 6.91, 7.87 36,Fair Lawn,NJ,_______________________ 15 8 3, 1.2, 5.5, 6.66, 6.99 37,Clifton,NJ,_________________________ 11 11 1, -0.1, 6.8, 6.65, 6.24 38,Mendham,NJ,_________________________ 11 8 3, 0.3, 6.3, 6.60, 5.41 39,West Orange,NJ,_____________________ 22 3 1, 2.2, 4.4, 6.56, 7.58 40,Toms River East,NJ,_________________ 7 12 1, -0.9, 7.4, 6.55, 5.79 41,Hudson Catholic,NJ,_________________ 3 20 1, -2.2, 8.7, 6.51, 5.81 42,Mountain Lakes,NJ,__________________ 15 4 5, 1.6, 4.7, 6.35, 5.85 43,West Milford,NJ,____________________ 13 7 5, 0.9, 5.5, 6.34, 5.13 44,Toms River North,NJ,________________ 5 17 1, -1.7, 7.9, 6.24, 6.79 45,Notre Dame,NJ,______________________ 14 9 0, 0.8, 5.4, 6.20, 6.31 46,Millburn,NJ,________________________ 19 4 3, 1.6, 4.3, 5.90, 5.42 47,Old Bridge,NJ,______________________ 5 15 2, -1.2, 6.9, 5.72, 5.19 48,Lakeland,NJ,________________________ 12 11 1, -0.0, 5.7, 5.69, 6.33 49,Jefferson,NJ,_______________________ 17 8 1, 0.8, 4.8, 5.65, 5.51 50,Pingry,NJ,__________________________ 6 14 4, -0.8, 6.4, 5.65, 5.07 51,Ridgewood,NJ,_______________________ 9 7 7, 0.5, 5.2, 5.64, 6.14 52,West Morris,NJ,_____________________ 6 10 4, -0.4, 6.0, 5.57, 5.60 53,West Windsor-Plainsboro S,NJ,_______ 13 11 1, 0.0, 5.5, 5.52, 7.03 54,Hopewell Valley,NJ,_________________ 15 10 2, 0.5, 5.0, 5.48, 5.39 55,Indian Hills,NJ,____________________ 13 10 1, 0.7, 4.8, 5.45, 4.81 56,Morristown,NJ,______________________ 12 8 3, 0.7, 4.7, 5.43, 7.44 57,Morris Hills,NJ,____________________ 15 7 3, 0.6, 4.9, 5.42, 4.84 58,Nutley,NJ,__________________________ 10 9 1, 0.2, 5.0, 5.24, 4.22 59,Old Tappan,NJ,______________________ 10 11 3, -0.2, 5.4, 5.23, 5.71 60,Steinert,NJ,________________________ 12 9 1, 0.6, 4.7, 5.22, 6.43 61,Ramsey,NJ,__________________________ 14 7 4, 0.6, 4.6, 5.21, 6.21 62,Vernon,NJ,__________________________ 13 7 3, 0.5, 4.6, 5.12, 4.98 63,West Windsor-Plainsboro N,NJ,_______ 7 12 3, -0.7, 5.6, 4.88, 5.06 64,Wall,NJ,____________________________ 6 13 1, -1.5, 6.4, 4.86, 5.19 65,Verona,NJ,__________________________ 10 11 4, -0.3, 5.1, 4.80, 5.49 66,Mahwah,NJ,__________________________ 10 10 3, 0.1, 4.7, 4.78, 5.65 67,Summit,NJ,__________________________ 6 16 2, -1.0, 5.7, 4.77, 5.61 68,Watchung Hills,NJ,__________________ 16 9 0, 1.1, 3.6, 4.76, 3.92 69,Point Pleasant Boro,NJ,_____________ 7 9 4, -0.6, 5.3, 4.72, 5.78 70,Northern Highlands,NJ,______________ 7 14 2, -1.0, 5.7, 4.63, 5.55 71,Parsippany Hills,NJ,________________ 8 11 0, -0.2, 4.8, 4.62, 3.20 72,Ramapo,NJ,__________________________ 4 12 6, -1.2, 5.8, 4.56, 4.01 73,Tenafly,NJ,_________________________ 6 10 2, -0.3, 4.8, 4.55, 4.64 74,Princeton,NJ,_______________________ 10 13 2, -0.3, 4.7, 4.47, 3.27 75,Montville,NJ,_______________________ 6 16 0, -1.3, 5.8, 4.45, 4.15 76,Parsippany,NJ,______________________ 8 10 2, -0.2, 4.6, 4.40, 4.43 77,Hackensack,NJ,______________________ 11 12 0, -0.3, 4.7, 4.35, 4.98 78,Kinnelon,NJ,________________________ 9 13 3, -0.4, 4.7, 4.30, 5.96 79,Bernards,NJ,________________________ 3 16 2, -2.3, 6.6, 4.27, 3.58 80,Johnson,NJ,_________________________ 8 11 3, -0.7, 4.9, 4.26, 3.48 81,St Joseph Montvale,NJ,______________ 3 17 2, -1.7, 5.9, 4.16, 3.17 82,Wayne Hills,NJ,_____________________ 9 14 2, -0.6, 4.7, 4.13, 2.88 83,Manasquan,NJ,_______________________ 0 17 1, -2.7, 6.8, 4.07, 3.73 84,Park Regional,NJ,___________________ 8 10 0, -0.6, 4.5, 3.87, 3.14 85,Demarest,NJ,________________________ 9 14 0, -0.7, 4.5, 3.78, 3.72 86,Westfield,NJ,_______________________ 7 14 2, -1.1, 4.8, 3.73, 5.35 87,River Dell,NJ,______________________ 1 17 2, -2.2, 5.9, 3.73, 3.28 88,Roxbury,NJ,_________________________ 1 17 2, -2.6, 6.3, 3.68, 1.85 89,Pequannock,NJ,______________________ 6 15 2, -1.3, 4.6, 3.24, 1.48 90,Red Bank Regional,NJ,_______________ 6 8 0, -0.2, 3.2, 3.00, 2.05 91,Hightstown,NJ,______________________ 8 12 1, -1.0, 3.9, 2.87, 2.13 92,Madison,NJ,_________________________ 5 13 1, -1.7, 4.6, 2.85, 5.33 93,Wayne Valley,NJ,____________________ 0 20 2, -2.8, 5.5, 2.78, 3.01 94,Dayton,NJ,__________________________ 8 8 2, -0.6, 3.3, 2.72, 2.23 95,Mt Olive,NJ,________________________ 1 17 2, -2.1, 4.7, 2.64, 2.97 96,Lawrence,NJ,________________________ 4 12 0, -1.6, 3.7, 2.09, 2.40 97,Glen Rock,NJ,_______________________ 3 15 1, -1.9, 3.9, 1.93, 1.74 98,Livingston,NJ,______________________ 8 14 0, -1.0, 2.8, 1.82, 1.62 99,Nottingham,NJ,______________________ 4 12 0, -1.8, 3.3, 1.48, 1.65 100,Ewing,NJ,___________________________ 2 14 0, -2.2, 3.6, 1.37, 1.36 101,Governor Livingston,NJ,_____________ 4 13 0, -2.2, 3.4, 1.25, 1.15 102,Passaic Valley,NJ,__________________ 2 15 1, -2.0, 2.4, 0.35, 0.64 103,Hamilton,NJ,________________________ 0 19 0, -3.7, 2.0, -1.68 104,East Side Newark,NJ,________________ 0 12 0, -4.0, 0.9, -3.06 RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,St Peters Prep,NJ,__________________ 25 4 0, 0.7, 7.6, 8.25, 8.07 2,Christian Brothers,NJ,______________ 17 3 1, 0.7, 7.6, 8.24, 8.07 3,Seton Hall Prep,NJ,_________________ 17 9 1, 0.3, 7.8, 8.11, 8.53 4,Delbarton,NJ,_______________________ 20 4 5, 0.5, 7.6, 8.08, 8.23 5,Bishop Eustace,NJ,__________________ 17 3 1, 0.7, 7.4, 8.06, 8.14 6,Don Bosco Prep,NJ,__________________ 16 9 0, 0.3, 7.7, 8.00, 7.37 7,Bergen Catholic,NJ,_________________ 14 8 2, 0.3, 7.7, 7.96, 8.33 8,St Augustine Prep,NJ,_______________ 18 3 2, 0.6, 7.3, 7.92, 7.61 9,Pope John,NJ,_______________________ 20 5 1, 0.4, 7.5, 7.83, 8.07 10,St John Vianney,NJ,_________________ 13 8 2, 0.2, 7.6, 7.78, 7.33 11,Ridge,NJ,___________________________ 19 5 3, 0.5, 7.2, 7.76, 7.95 12,Middletown North,NJ,________________ 23 6 0, 0.6, 7.1, 7.65, 7.92 13,West Essex,NJ,______________________ 18 6 4, 0.4, 7.2, 7.63, 8.29 14,Morristown-Beard,NJ,________________ 12 6 5, 0.3, 7.2, 7.43, 7.44 15,Toms River South,NJ,________________ 19 7 0, 0.5, 7.0, 7.42, 7.49 16,Morris Knolls,NJ,___________________ 18 8 2, 0.3, 7.1, 7.42, 7.55 17,Montclair,NJ,_______________________ 14 9 4, 0.2, 7.2, 7.42, 7.39 18,Red Bank Catholic,NJ,_______________ 8 9 4, -0.0, 7.4, 7.39, 7.06 19,South Brunswick,NJ,_________________ 14 11 0, 0.1, 7.3, 7.37, 7.55 20,Montgomery,NJ,______________________ 19 9 1, 0.3, 7.0, 7.37, 7.38 21,Randolph,NJ,________________________ 14 8 3, 0.2, 7.1, 7.36, 7.41 22,Middletown South,NJ,________________ 11 13 2, -0.1, 7.4, 7.28, 7.33 23,Pascack Valley,NJ,__________________ 22 4 2, 0.6, 6.6, 7.28, 7.37 24,Bridgewater-Raritan,NJ,_____________ 13 11 1, 0.1, 7.2, 7.26, 7.33 25,Rumson/Fair Haven,NJ,_______________ 15 9 2, 0.2, 7.0, 7.24, 7.29 26,Paramus,NJ,_________________________ 18 7 1, 0.4, 6.8, 7.23, 7.31 27,St Josephs Metuchen,NJ,_____________ 5 13 2, -0.4, 7.6, 7.22, 7.39 28,Monsignor Donovan,NJ,_______________ 12 8 2, 0.2, 7.0, 7.22, 7.26 29,Montclair-Kimberley,NJ,_____________ 18 8 0, 0.4, 6.8, 7.18, 7.49 30,Bayonne,NJ,_________________________ 11 11 1, 0.0, 7.1, 7.15, 6.79 31,Paramus Catholic,NJ,________________ 12 8 4, 0.2, 6.9, 7.07, 6.67 32,Cranford,NJ,________________________ 17 8 2, 0.3, 6.7, 7.07, 7.10 33,Brick Memorial,NJ,__________________ 7 14 1, -0.3, 7.3, 7.01, 6.42 34,Chatham,NJ,_________________________ 10 10 4, 0.0, 7.0, 7.00, 6.81 35,Toms River East,NJ,_________________ 7 12 1, -0.3, 7.3, 7.00, 7.01 36,Clifton,NJ,_________________________ 11 11 1, 0.0, 7.0, 7.00, 6.87 37,West Orange,NJ,_____________________ 22 3 1, 0.7, 6.3, 6.99, 7.37 38,Brick Township,NJ,__________________ 3 16 3, -0.6, 7.6, 6.99, 7.29 39,Mendham,NJ,_________________________ 11 8 3, 0.1, 6.8, 6.94, 6.70 40,Fair Lawn,NJ,_______________________ 15 8 3, 0.3, 6.6, 6.91, 6.82 41,West Milford,NJ,____________________ 13 7 5, 0.2, 6.6, 6.88, 6.55 42,Mountain Lakes,NJ,__________________ 15 4 5, 0.5, 6.4, 6.87, 6.46 43,Toms River North,NJ,________________ 5 17 1, -0.5, 7.4, 6.86, 6.96 44,Hudson Catholic,NJ,_________________ 3 20 1, -0.7, 7.6, 6.84, 6.65 45,Millburn,NJ,________________________ 19 4 3, 0.5, 6.3, 6.81, 6.48 46,Jefferson,NJ,_______________________ 17 8 1, 0.3, 6.5, 6.81, 6.65 47,Morris Hills,NJ,____________________ 15 7 3, 0.3, 6.5, 6.77, 6.66 48,Lakeland,NJ,________________________ 12 11 1, 0.0, 6.7, 6.76, 6.84 49,Notre Dame,NJ,______________________ 14 9 0, 0.2, 6.5, 6.72, 6.63 50,Ramsey,NJ,__________________________ 14 7 4, 0.3, 6.4, 6.68, 7.12 51,Vernon,NJ,__________________________ 13 7 3, 0.2, 6.4, 6.68, 6.38 52,Ridgewood,NJ,_______________________ 9 7 7, 0.1, 6.6, 6.64, 6.67 53,Old Bridge,NJ,______________________ 5 15 2, -0.5, 7.1, 6.61, 6.47 54,West Windsor-Plainsboro S,NJ,_______ 13 11 1, 0.0, 6.6, 6.60, 6.99 55,Indian Hills,NJ,____________________ 13 10 1, 0.1, 6.5, 6.59, 6.53 56,Morristown,NJ,______________________ 12 8 3, 0.2, 6.4, 6.59, 7.35 57,Old Tappan,NJ,______________________ 10 11 3, -0.0, 6.6, 6.58, 7.06 58,Wall,NJ,____________________________ 6 13 1, -0.3, 6.9, 6.57, 6.67 59,Hopewell Valley,NJ,_________________ 15 10 2, 0.1, 6.4, 6.55, 6.39 60,Nutley,NJ,__________________________ 10 9 1, 0.1, 6.5, 6.54, 6.31 61,Pingry,NJ,__________________________ 6 14 4, -0.3, 6.9, 6.53, 6.28 62,West Morris,NJ,_____________________ 6 10 4, -0.2, 6.7, 6.50, 6.32 63,Verona,NJ,__________________________ 10 11 4, -0.0, 6.5, 6.46, 6.56 64,Mahwah,NJ,__________________________ 10 10 3, 0.0, 6.5, 6.45, 6.74 65,Point Pleasant Boro,NJ,_____________ 7 9 4, -0.2, 6.6, 6.45, 6.64 66,Hackensack,NJ,______________________ 11 12 0, 0.0, 6.4, 6.44, 6.57 67,Steinert,NJ,________________________ 12 9 1, 0.1, 6.3, 6.42, 6.65 68,Ramapo,NJ,__________________________ 4 12 6, -0.3, 6.7, 6.41, 6.13 69,Tenafly,NJ,_________________________ 6 10 2, -0.1, 6.5, 6.40, 6.87 70,Northern Highlands,NJ,______________ 7 14 2, -0.3, 6.7, 6.40, 6.78 71,Bernards,NJ,________________________ 3 16 2, -0.6, 6.9, 6.37, 6.22 72,Watchung Hills,NJ,__________________ 16 9 0, 0.2, 6.1, 6.36, 6.28 73,West Windsor-Plainsboro N,NJ,_______ 7 12 3, -0.3, 6.6, 6.33, 6.61 74,Parsippany,NJ,______________________ 8 10 2, -0.1, 6.4, 6.31, 6.01 75,Johnson,NJ,_________________________ 8 11 3, -0.1, 6.4, 6.31, 5.98 76,Parsippany Hills,NJ,________________ 8 11 0, -0.2, 6.4, 6.29, 5.70 77,Summit,NJ,__________________________ 6 16 2, -0.4, 6.7, 6.26, 6.46 78,Kinnelon,NJ,________________________ 9 13 3, -0.2, 6.4, 6.26, 6.93 79,Wayne Hills,NJ,_____________________ 9 14 2, -0.2, 6.5, 6.26, 5.71 80,Montville,NJ,_______________________ 6 16 0, -0.4, 6.6, 6.25, 6.15 81,Park Regional,NJ,___________________ 8 10 0, -0.1, 6.3, 6.24, 5.77 82,Princeton,NJ,_______________________ 10 13 2, -0.2, 6.3, 6.18, 5.77 83,St Joseph Montvale,NJ,______________ 3 17 2, -0.6, 6.7, 6.17, 5.93 84,Demarest,NJ,________________________ 9 14 0, -0.2, 6.4, 6.16, 6.12 85,Westfield,NJ,_______________________ 7 14 2, -0.3, 6.4, 6.13, 6.84 86,Manasquan,NJ,_______________________ 0 17 1, -0.9, 7.1, 6.12, 6.01 87,Roxbury,NJ,_________________________ 1 17 2, -0.8, 6.8, 6.02, 5.56 88,Pequannock,NJ,______________________ 6 15 2, -0.4, 6.4, 6.01, 5.80 89,River Dell,NJ,______________________ 1 17 2, -0.8, 6.8, 6.00, 5.97 90,Madison,NJ,_________________________ 5 13 1, -0.4, 6.4, 5.96, 6.73 91,Red Bank Regional,NJ,_______________ 6 8 0, -0.1, 6.0, 5.94, 5.47 92,Dayton,NJ,__________________________ 8 8 2, -0.1, 6.0, 5.90, 5.94 93,Hightstown,NJ,______________________ 8 12 1, -0.2, 6.1, 5.88, 5.55 94,Wayne Valley,NJ,____________________ 0 20 2, -0.9, 6.7, 5.74, 5.56 95,Mt Olive,NJ,________________________ 1 17 2, -0.8, 6.4, 5.64, 5.64 96,Livingston,NJ,______________________ 8 14 0, -0.3, 5.9, 5.62, 5.45 97,Governor Livingston,NJ,_____________ 4 13 0, -0.5, 6.1, 5.61, 5.65 98,Glen Rock,NJ,_______________________ 3 15 1, -0.6, 6.2, 5.57, 5.68 99,Lawrence,NJ,________________________ 4 12 0, -0.5, 6.0, 5.54, 5.72 100,Nottingham,NJ,______________________ 4 12 0, -0.5, 5.9, 5.42, 5.60 101,Ewing,NJ,___________________________ 2 14 0, -0.8, 6.0, 5.28, 5.08 102,Passaic Valley,NJ,__________________ 2 15 1, -0.6, 5.8, 5.15, 5.31 103,Hamilton,NJ,________________________ 0 19 0, -1.0, 5.6, 4.59 104,East Side Newark,NJ,________________ 0 12 0, -1.0, 5.4, 4.38