Scores that ratings are based upon. Scores through January 19, 2014. Previous Rankings New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting.
Maximum Goal Differential = 7 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below Division 1 RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,Arizona State,____________________________ 26 1 0, 3.7, 8.5, 12.21, 12.79 2,Robert Morris Illinois,___________________ 24 4 0, 2.4, 8.3, 10.72, 11.51 3,Ohio,_____________________________________ 22 8 0, 2.3, 8.1, 10.45, 11.24 4,Adrian,___________________________________ 22 5 0, 2.7, 7.7, 10.43, 9.88 5,Oklahoma,_________________________________ 17 8 0, 1.9, 8.5, 10.41, 9.91 6,Liberty,__________________________________ 23 5 0, 1.9, 8.5, 10.35, 10.19 7,Minot State,______________________________ 16 8 0, 2.4, 7.9, 10.33, 8.94 8,Stony Brook,______________________________ 17 7 0, 1.5, 8.4, 9.95, 10.44 9,Delaware,_________________________________ 20 8 0, 1.3, 8.6, 9.84, 11.28 10,Iowa State,_______________________________ 26 10 0, 1.6, 8.2, 9.73, 9.29 11,Central Oklahoma,_________________________ 19 14 0, 1.2, 8.1, 9.35, 7.90 12,Davenport,________________________________ 19 9 0, 1.7, 7.5, 9.29, 9.93 13,Oakland,__________________________________ 16 11 0, 1.6, 7.7, 9.21, 9.75 14,Lindenwood,_______________________________ 10 15 0, 0.0, 9.0, 9.08, 10.69 15,Navy,_____________________________________ 17 8 0, 1.8, 6.9, 8.67, 9.05 16,Mercyhurst,_______________________________ 15 11 0, 1.0, 7.5, 8.55, 7.87 17,Arizona,__________________________________ 12 17 0, -0.9, 9.3, 8.42, 8.96 18,Rutgers,__________________________________ 8 13 0, -0.1, 8.5, 8.40, 9.96 19,Rhode Island,_____________________________ 18 10 0, 0.7, 7.7, 8.36, 8.28 20,Buffalo,__________________________________ 18 8 0, 2.1, 6.0, 8.11, 8.01 21,John Carroll,_____________________________ 16 12 0, 1.0, 6.8, 7.83, 7.24 22,West Virginia,____________________________ 11 14 0, -0.2, 8.0, 7.78, 8.37 23,Syracuse,_________________________________ 16 4 0, 2.9, 4.9, 7.72, 8.53 24,Illinois,_________________________________ 14 14 0, 0.1, 7.5, 7.60, 6.66 25,Wayne State,______________________________ 14 11 0, 0.5, 7.1, 7.59, 6.44 26,Colorado State,___________________________ 9 19 0, -1.3, 8.5, 7.22, 5.98 27,Michigan-Dearborn,________________________ 14 18 0, -0.9, 8.0, 7.03, 7.41 28,Duquesne,_________________________________ 12 9 0, 1.0, 6.0, 6.95, 8.29 29,Lebanon Valley,___________________________ 8 16 0, -1.5, 8.4, 6.92, 6.62 30,Niagara,__________________________________ 11 9 0, 0.6, 6.3, 6.91, 7.09 31,West Chester,_____________________________ 10 15 0, -1.0, 7.9, 6.88, 5.37 32,Robert Morris Pennsylvania,_______________ 13 6 0, 0.4, 6.4, 6.85, 6.19 33,Oswego State,_____________________________ 13 6 0, 2.6, 4.3, 6.85, 7.39 34,Pittsburgh,_______________________________ 11 10 0, 0.5, 6.4, 6.83, 7.50 35,Drexel,___________________________________ 10 12 0, 0.3, 6.5, 6.76, 6.73 36,Villanova,________________________________ 14 7 0, 1.4, 5.4, 6.75, 7.25 37,Rochester College,________________________ 11 14 0, -0.6, 7.3, 6.65, 8.08 38,Eastern Michigan,_________________________ 14 19 0, -1.2, 7.5, 6.28, 5.92 39,Towson,___________________________________ 9 10 0, -0.6, 6.8, 6.21, 5.78 40,Kent State,_______________________________ 6 20 0, -1.5, 7.7, 6.16, 5.14 41,Colorado,_________________________________ 8 14 0, -1.7, 7.7, 6.02, 6.76 42,Western Michigan,_________________________ 7 20 0, -1.9, 7.9, 5.97, 7.61 43,Indiana,__________________________________ 5 15 0, -2.7, 8.7, 5.91, 4.42 44,Penn State Berks,_________________________ 12 11 0, 0.7, 4.7, 5.43, 5.29 45,Indiana Pennsylvania,_____________________ 5 18 0, -1.7, 6.5, 4.88, 5.06 46,Canisius,_________________________________ 13 19 0, -0.7, 5.4, 4.71, 4.64 47,Slippery Rock,____________________________ 8 13 0, -1.1, 5.5, 4.39, 5.63 48,Lehigh,___________________________________ 4 16 0, -2.4, 6.4, 4.04, 3.38 49,North Dakota State,_______________________ 10 9 0, -1.2, 4.8, 3.62, 3.57 50,Binghamton,_______________________________ 6 10 0, -1.1, 3.8, 2.65, 2.83 51,Rochester Inst of Tech,___________________ 8 11 0, -1.3, 3.7, 2.36, 0.08 52,Cornell,__________________________________ 4 10 0, -1.9, 4.3, 2.36, 2.03 53,Ithaca,___________________________________ 6 10 0, -1.4, 3.5, 2.07, 2.00 54,Cortland State,___________________________ 5 12 0, -2.0, 3.9, 1.93, 3.21 55,Scranton,_________________________________ 4 17 0, -3.8, 5.5, 1.71, 1.21 56,Saint Bonaventure,________________________ 2 12 0, -2.8, 4.1, 1.27, 1.39 57,Washington & Jefferson,___________________ 6 11 0, -1.4, 2.5, 1.09, 2.15 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) Division 1 RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,Arizona State,____________________________ 26 1 0, 0.9, 7.5, 8.40, 8.29 2,Robert Morris Illinois,___________________ 24 4 0, 0.7, 7.3, 8.05, 8.47 3,Liberty,__________________________________ 23 5 0, 0.6, 7.4, 8.01, 7.97 4,Delaware,_________________________________ 20 8 0, 0.4, 7.4, 7.84, 8.20 5,Stony Brook,______________________________ 17 7 0, 0.4, 7.4, 7.79, 8.06 6,Iowa State,_______________________________ 26 10 0, 0.4, 7.3, 7.79, 7.65 7,Oklahoma,_________________________________ 17 8 0, 0.4, 7.4, 7.73, 7.66 8,Ohio,_____________________________________ 22 8 0, 0.5, 7.3, 7.72, 7.83 9,Minot State,______________________________ 16 8 0, 0.3, 7.3, 7.64, 7.17 10,Adrian,___________________________________ 22 5 0, 0.6, 7.0, 7.63, 7.35 11,Central Oklahoma,_________________________ 19 14 0, 0.2, 7.4, 7.53, 7.28 12,Rhode Island,_____________________________ 18 10 0, 0.3, 7.2, 7.46, 7.15 13,Arizona,__________________________________ 12 17 0, -0.2, 7.6, 7.44, 7.56 14,Davenport,________________________________ 19 9 0, 0.4, 7.0, 7.34, 7.62 15,Navy,_____________________________________ 17 8 0, 0.4, 7.0, 7.34, 7.27 16,Lindenwood,_______________________________ 10 15 0, -0.2, 7.5, 7.30, 7.78 17,Mercyhurst,_______________________________ 15 11 0, 0.2, 7.1, 7.27, 6.79 18,Illinois,_________________________________ 14 14 0, 0.0, 7.2, 7.23, 6.86 19,Robert Morris Pennsylvania,_______________ 13 6 0, 0.4, 6.8, 7.20, 7.10 20,Oakland,__________________________________ 16 11 0, 0.2, 7.0, 7.19, 7.38 21,Rutgers,__________________________________ 8 13 0, -0.2, 7.4, 7.16, 7.64 22,West Virginia,____________________________ 11 14 0, -0.1, 7.2, 7.13, 7.53 23,Buffalo,__________________________________ 18 8 0, 0.4, 6.7, 7.12, 6.97 24,Syracuse,_________________________________ 16 4 0, 0.6, 6.5, 7.08, 7.28 25,John Carroll,_____________________________ 16 12 0, 0.1, 6.9, 7.07, 6.81 26,Villanova,________________________________ 14 7 0, 0.3, 6.7, 7.05, 7.05 27,West Chester,_____________________________ 10 15 0, -0.2, 7.2, 7.03, 6.49 28,Lebanon Valley,___________________________ 8 16 0, -0.3, 7.3, 7.01, 7.47 29,Colorado State,___________________________ 9 19 0, -0.4, 7.3, 6.99, 6.94 30,Colorado,_________________________________ 8 14 0, -0.3, 7.2, 6.96, 7.03 31,Wayne State,______________________________ 14 11 0, 0.1, 6.8, 6.93, 6.01 32,Michigan-Dearborn,________________________ 14 18 0, -0.1, 7.0, 6.92, 7.17 33,Towson,___________________________________ 9 10 0, -0.1, 7.0, 6.92, 6.56 34,Niagara,__________________________________ 11 9 0, 0.1, 6.8, 6.91, 6.94 35,Duquesne,_________________________________ 12 9 0, 0.1, 6.7, 6.88, 7.25 36,Rochester College,________________________ 11 14 0, -0.1, 7.0, 6.86, 7.25 37,Indiana,__________________________________ 5 15 0, -0.5, 7.4, 6.86, 6.58 38,Pittsburgh,_______________________________ 11 10 0, 0.0, 6.8, 6.86, 7.19 39,Drexel,___________________________________ 10 12 0, -0.1, 6.9, 6.85, 7.15 40,North Dakota State,_______________________ 10 9 0, 0.1, 6.8, 6.81, 6.86 41,Eastern Michigan,_________________________ 14 19 0, -0.2, 7.0, 6.81, 6.60 42,Oswego State,_____________________________ 13 6 0, 0.4, 6.3, 6.72, 6.85 43,Penn State Berks,_________________________ 12 11 0, 0.0, 6.5, 6.56, 6.66 44,Western Michigan,_________________________ 7 20 0, -0.5, 7.0, 6.52, 7.00 45,Kent State,_______________________________ 6 20 0, -0.5, 7.0, 6.46, 6.24 46,Slippery Rock,____________________________ 8 13 0, -0.2, 6.7, 6.42, 6.67 47,Canisius,_________________________________ 13 19 0, -0.2, 6.6, 6.41, 6.50 48,Lehigh,___________________________________ 4 16 0, -0.6, 6.9, 6.26, 6.04 49,Indiana Pennsylvania,_____________________ 5 18 0, -0.6, 6.8, 6.23, 5.98 50,Rochester Inst of Tech,___________________ 8 11 0, -0.2, 6.3, 6.10, 5.81 51,Binghamton,_______________________________ 6 10 0, -0.3, 6.3, 6.04, 5.90 52,Scranton,_________________________________ 4 17 0, -0.6, 6.6, 6.03, 6.18 53,Ithaca,___________________________________ 6 10 0, -0.3, 6.2, 6.00, 6.16 54,Cortland State,___________________________ 5 12 0, -0.4, 6.3, 5.93, 6.04 55,Cornell,__________________________________ 4 10 0, -0.4, 6.4, 5.93, 5.57 56,Saint Bonaventure,________________________ 2 12 0, -0.7, 6.3, 5.62, 6.07 57,Washington & Jefferson,___________________ 6 11 0, -0.3, 5.9, 5.62, 5.82 The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Actually, there are two different rankings listed below. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 7. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Currently, teams with as few as 3 scores are ranked. The more games that go into a team's ranking, the more accurate their ranking will be. Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States High School National Rankings New England Prep Midget Minor AAA Midget Major AAA Men's NCAA D1 USHL NAHL ACHA College ClubUSHSHO.com High School Ice Hockey Forums
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