Scores that ratings are based upon. Scores through January 26, 2014. Previous Rankings New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting.
Maximum Goal Differential = 7 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below Division 1 RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,Arizona State,____________________________ 28 1 0, 3.7, 8.4, 12.15, 11.96 2,Robert Morris Illinois,___________________ 26 4 0, 2.7, 8.1, 10.75, 11.88 3,Adrian,___________________________________ 25 5 0, 2.9, 7.6, 10.55, 10.68 4,Oklahoma,_________________________________ 20 8 0, 2.3, 8.2, 10.51, 11.74 5,Minot State,______________________________ 18 8 0, 2.4, 7.9, 10.27, 9.47 6,Liberty,__________________________________ 23 7 0, 1.5, 8.7, 10.26, 9.90 7,Ohio,_____________________________________ 23 9 0, 2.2, 8.0, 10.23, 9.82 8,Stony Brook,______________________________ 19 7 0, 1.6, 8.5, 10.13, 10.62 9,Delaware,_________________________________ 20 10 0, 1.0, 8.7, 9.69, 10.08 10,Iowa State,_______________________________ 28 10 0, 1.6, 8.0, 9.65, 10.08 11,Central Oklahoma,_________________________ 22 14 0, 1.5, 8.0, 9.45, 9.44 12,Davenport,________________________________ 20 10 0, 1.7, 7.6, 9.37, 10.22 13,Oakland,__________________________________ 17 13 0, 1.4, 7.9, 9.23, 10.40 14,Lindenwood,_______________________________ 11 17 0, -0.2, 9.1, 8.89, 8.92 15,Navy,_____________________________________ 19 8 0, 1.8, 6.9, 8.70, 8.89 16,Arizona,__________________________________ 14 17 0, -0.4, 8.9, 8.53, 8.53 17,Rhode Island,_____________________________ 20 10 0, 0.8, 7.8, 8.52, 9.22 18,Rutgers,__________________________________ 8 15 0, -0.3, 8.6, 8.29, 8.45 19,Mercyhurst,_______________________________ 15 13 0, 0.7, 7.5, 8.22, 5.54 20,Buffalo,__________________________________ 19 9 0, 1.9, 6.2, 8.10, 7.07 21,Syracuse,_________________________________ 17 5 0, 2.6, 5.3, 7.89, 8.38 22,John Carroll,_____________________________ 16 13 0, 0.9, 6.9, 7.78, 6.51 23,Illinois,_________________________________ 15 15 0, 0.1, 7.6, 7.76, 8.38 24,West Virginia,____________________________ 13 15 0, -0.0, 7.8, 7.73, 7.84 25,Wayne State,______________________________ 14 11 0, 0.5, 7.1, 7.58, 6.38 26,Niagara,__________________________________ 13 9 0, 1.0, 6.3, 7.26, 7.77 27,Lebanon Valley,___________________________ 10 16 0, -0.9, 8.1, 7.13, 8.04 28,Michigan-Dearborn,________________________ 16 18 0, -0.8, 7.9, 7.04, 8.28 29,Duquesne,_________________________________ 13 10 0, 1.0, 6.0, 7.02, 7.59 30,Oswego State,_____________________________ 14 6 0, 2.8, 4.2, 7.02, 7.29 31,Colorado State,___________________________ 9 22 0, -1.6, 8.6, 7.00, 5.44 32,Drexel,___________________________________ 11 13 0, 0.4, 6.4, 6.82, 6.30 33,Villanova,________________________________ 15 8 0, 1.0, 5.8, 6.80, 6.94 34,West Chester,_____________________________ 10 17 0, -1.1, 7.8, 6.75, 4.86 35,Pittsburgh,_______________________________ 12 12 0, 0.3, 6.3, 6.65, 7.01 36,Rochester College,________________________ 11 15 0, -0.7, 7.2, 6.56, 7.57 37,Towson,___________________________________ 11 10 0, -0.4, 6.9, 6.51, 6.87 38,Robert Morris Pennsylvania,_______________ 13 8 0, 0.2, 6.2, 6.38, 4.69 39,Eastern Michigan,_________________________ 14 21 0, -1.4, 7.7, 6.27, 6.37 40,Kent State,_______________________________ 6 22 0, -1.5, 7.6, 6.19, 4.83 41,Western Michigan,_________________________ 8 20 0, -1.8, 7.8, 6.03, 6.75 42,Colorado,_________________________________ 8 17 0, -2.2, 7.9, 5.69, 4.82 43,Indiana,__________________________________ 5 17 0, -3.1, 8.7, 5.64, 3.58 44,Penn State Berks,_________________________ 13 12 0, 0.7, 4.8, 5.47, 6.58 45,Indiana Pennsylvania,_____________________ 7 18 0, -1.4, 6.6, 5.15, 5.87 46,Canisius,_________________________________ 15 19 0, -0.4, 5.2, 4.86, 5.74 47,Slippery Rock,____________________________ 9 13 0, -1.0, 5.6, 4.52, 5.61 48,Lehigh,___________________________________ 4 18 0, -2.7, 6.5, 3.84, 2.73 49,North Dakota State,_______________________ 11 9 0, -0.8, 4.4, 3.52, 3.54 50,Binghamton,_______________________________ 6 11 0, -1.2, 3.7, 2.56, 2.57 51,Cornell,__________________________________ 5 11 0, -1.6, 4.1, 2.45, 2.22 52,Rochester Inst of Tech,___________________ 9 12 0, -1.5, 3.9, 2.38, 0.44 53,Ithaca,___________________________________ 7 12 0, -1.6, 3.7, 2.15, 1.42 54,Cortland State,___________________________ 5 15 0, -2.0, 3.9, 1.87, 0.77 55,Washington & Jefferson,___________________ 7 12 0, -1.5, 3.3, 1.80, 3.21 56,Scranton,_________________________________ 4 18 0, -3.9, 5.7, 1.79, 0.41 57,Saint Bonaventure,________________________ 3 12 0, -2.5, 4.1, 1.68, 2.39 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) Division 1 RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,Arizona State,____________________________ 28 1 0, 0.9, 7.5, 8.39, 8.48 2,Robert Morris Illinois,___________________ 26 4 0, 0.7, 7.3, 8.02, 8.20 3,Liberty,__________________________________ 23 7 0, 0.5, 7.4, 7.97, 7.82 4,Stony Brook,______________________________ 19 7 0, 0.5, 7.4, 7.84, 8.15 5,Iowa State,_______________________________ 28 10 0, 0.5, 7.3, 7.77, 7.76 6,Delaware,_________________________________ 20 10 0, 0.3, 7.4, 7.77, 7.74 7,Oklahoma,_________________________________ 20 8 0, 0.4, 7.3, 7.75, 8.10 8,Ohio,_____________________________________ 23 9 0, 0.4, 7.3, 7.69, 7.74 9,Adrian,___________________________________ 25 5 0, 0.7, 7.0, 7.64, 7.55 10,Minot State,______________________________ 18 8 0, 0.4, 7.3, 7.64, 7.35 11,Central Oklahoma,_________________________ 22 14 0, 0.2, 7.3, 7.55, 7.56 12,Rhode Island,_____________________________ 20 10 0, 0.3, 7.2, 7.49, 7.55 13,Arizona,__________________________________ 14 17 0, -0.1, 7.6, 7.47, 7.27 14,Navy,_____________________________________ 19 8 0, 0.4, 7.0, 7.37, 7.29 15,Davenport,________________________________ 20 10 0, 0.3, 7.0, 7.33, 7.49 16,Lindenwood,_______________________________ 11 17 0, -0.2, 7.5, 7.28, 7.41 17,Illinois,_________________________________ 15 15 0, 0.0, 7.3, 7.26, 7.24 18,Oakland,__________________________________ 17 13 0, 0.1, 7.1, 7.19, 7.52 19,Mercyhurst,_______________________________ 15 13 0, 0.1, 7.1, 7.16, 6.11 20,Buffalo,__________________________________ 19 9 0, 0.4, 6.8, 7.13, 7.00 21,Syracuse,_________________________________ 17 5 0, 0.5, 6.6, 7.12, 7.18 22,West Virginia,____________________________ 13 15 0, -0.1, 7.2, 7.12, 7.00 23,Rutgers,__________________________________ 8 15 0, -0.3, 7.4, 7.10, 7.13 24,Villanova,________________________________ 15 8 0, 0.3, 6.8, 7.08, 7.18 25,John Carroll,_____________________________ 16 13 0, 0.1, 6.9, 7.03, 6.47 26,Towson,___________________________________ 11 10 0, 0.0, 7.0, 7.03, 6.94 27,Lebanon Valley,___________________________ 10 16 0, -0.2, 7.3, 7.02, 7.40 28,Robert Morris Pennsylvania,_______________ 13 8 0, 0.2, 6.8, 7.02, 6.44 29,Niagara,__________________________________ 13 9 0, 0.2, 6.8, 6.99, 7.22 30,West Chester,_____________________________ 10 17 0, -0.3, 7.2, 6.95, 6.20 31,Michigan-Dearborn,________________________ 16 18 0, -0.1, 7.0, 6.95, 7.40 32,Colorado State,___________________________ 9 22 0, -0.4, 7.4, 6.93, 6.54 33,Wayne State,______________________________ 14 11 0, 0.1, 6.8, 6.92, 5.97 34,Colorado,_________________________________ 8 17 0, -0.4, 7.2, 6.89, 6.54 35,Duquesne,_________________________________ 13 10 0, 0.1, 6.7, 6.88, 6.91 36,Indiana,__________________________________ 5 17 0, -0.5, 7.4, 6.86, 6.68 37,Drexel,___________________________________ 11 13 0, -0.1, 6.9, 6.83, 6.90 38,Pittsburgh,_______________________________ 12 12 0, 0.0, 6.8, 6.81, 7.09 39,Rochester College,________________________ 11 15 0, -0.2, 7.0, 6.80, 7.02 40,Eastern Michigan,_________________________ 14 21 0, -0.2, 7.0, 6.79, 6.90 41,North Dakota State,_______________________ 11 9 0, 0.1, 6.7, 6.78, 6.70 42,Oswego State,_____________________________ 14 6 0, 0.4, 6.4, 6.77, 6.94 43,Penn State Berks,_________________________ 13 12 0, 0.0, 6.5, 6.58, 6.89 44,Western Michigan,_________________________ 8 20 0, -0.4, 7.0, 6.55, 6.97 45,Slippery Rock,____________________________ 9 13 0, -0.2, 6.7, 6.48, 6.69 46,Canisius,_________________________________ 15 19 0, -0.1, 6.6, 6.47, 6.75 47,Kent State,_______________________________ 6 22 0, -0.6, 7.0, 6.43, 6.02 48,Indiana Pennsylvania,_____________________ 7 18 0, -0.4, 6.8, 6.37, 6.68 49,Lehigh,___________________________________ 4 18 0, -0.6, 6.9, 6.24, 5.99 50,Rochester Inst of Tech,___________________ 9 12 0, -0.1, 6.3, 6.17, 6.07 51,Ithaca,___________________________________ 7 12 0, -0.3, 6.3, 6.06, 6.01 52,Scranton,_________________________________ 4 18 0, -0.6, 6.7, 6.05, 5.91 53,Binghamton,_______________________________ 6 11 0, -0.3, 6.3, 6.00, 5.87 54,Cornell,__________________________________ 5 11 0, -0.4, 6.3, 5.96, 5.65 55,Washington & Jefferson,___________________ 7 12 0, -0.3, 6.2, 5.89, 6.27 56,Cortland State,___________________________ 5 15 0, -0.5, 6.4, 5.85, 5.25 57,Saint Bonaventure,________________________ 3 12 0, -0.6, 6.4, 5.78, 6.35 The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Actually, there are two different rankings listed below. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 7. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Currently, teams with as few as 3 scores are ranked. The more games that go into a team's ranking, the more accurate their ranking will be. Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States High School National Rankings New England Prep Midget Minor AAA Midget Major AAA Men's NCAA D1 USHL NAHL ACHA College ClubUSHSHO.com High School Ice Hockey Forums
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