Scores that ratings are based upon. Scores through February 2, 2014. Previous Rankings New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting.
Maximum Goal Differential = 7 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below Division 1 RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,Arizona State,____________________________ 29 2 0, 3.6, 8.4, 12.04, 11.97 2,Robert Morris Illinois,___________________ 26 6 0, 2.5, 8.2, 10.71, 11.69 3,Oklahoma,_________________________________ 22 8 0, 2.6, 8.0, 10.65, 11.85 4,Adrian,___________________________________ 25 5 0, 2.9, 7.6, 10.57, 10.56 5,Ohio,_____________________________________ 25 9 0, 2.1, 8.2, 10.33, 9.61 6,Liberty,__________________________________ 24 8 0, 1.5, 8.8, 10.22, 9.39 7,Stony Brook,______________________________ 20 7 0, 1.7, 8.5, 10.12, 11.18 8,Minot State,______________________________ 19 10 0, 2.1, 7.9, 9.96, 9.04 9,Delaware,_________________________________ 21 11 0, 0.9, 8.7, 9.65, 8.80 10,Iowa State,_______________________________ 29 11 0, 1.5, 8.1, 9.60, 9.69 11,Central Oklahoma,_________________________ 24 14 0, 1.5, 8.0, 9.43, 9.36 12,Oakland,__________________________________ 19 13 0, 1.4, 7.9, 9.34, 9.98 13,Davenport,________________________________ 20 12 0, 1.5, 7.7, 9.25, 9.13 14,Lindenwood,_______________________________ 12 18 0, -0.2, 9.2, 8.96, 8.25 15,Navy,_____________________________________ 21 8 0, 2.1, 6.8, 8.89, 9.28 16,Arizona,__________________________________ 15 18 0, -0.5, 9.0, 8.59, 9.99 17,Rhode Island,_____________________________ 20 12 0, 0.7, 7.7, 8.33, 8.20 18,Mercyhurst,_______________________________ 16 14 0, 0.6, 7.7, 8.31, 6.51 19,Rutgers,__________________________________ 8 16 0, -0.4, 8.6, 8.21, 8.19 20,Buffalo,__________________________________ 21 9 0, 2.0, 6.1, 8.11, 7.13 21,Illinois,_________________________________ 16 16 0, 0.2, 7.9, 8.01, 9.92 22,Syracuse,_________________________________ 17 6 0, 2.4, 5.5, 7.88, 8.36 23,Wayne State,______________________________ 14 12 0, 0.6, 7.2, 7.79, 7.65 24,John Carroll,_____________________________ 17 14 0, 0.8, 6.9, 7.74, 7.23 25,West Virginia,____________________________ 14 16 0, -0.0, 7.7, 7.70, 7.46 26,Niagara,__________________________________ 15 9 0, 1.0, 6.5, 7.46, 9.83 27,Michigan-Dearborn,________________________ 18 18 0, -0.6, 7.8, 7.24, 7.78 28,Lebanon Valley,___________________________ 12 16 0, -0.7, 7.9, 7.17, 9.07 29,Duquesne,_________________________________ 15 10 0, 1.0, 6.0, 7.05, 8.24 30,Oswego State,_____________________________ 14 7 0, 2.5, 4.4, 6.97, 6.83 31,Colorado State,___________________________ 10 23 0, -1.5, 8.4, 6.81, 5.41 32,Villanova,________________________________ 17 8 0, 1.3, 5.4, 6.76, 6.78 33,Drexel,___________________________________ 13 13 0, 0.5, 6.3, 6.73, 7.00 34,Pittsburgh,_______________________________ 12 13 0, 0.2, 6.4, 6.61, 6.07 35,West Chester,_____________________________ 10 19 0, -1.1, 7.7, 6.58, 4.85 36,Rochester College,________________________ 13 15 0, -0.5, 7.0, 6.52, 7.26 37,Towson,___________________________________ 12 11 0, -0.4, 6.8, 6.35, 6.69 38,Kent State,_______________________________ 7 23 0, -1.4, 7.6, 6.19, 5.93 39,Robert Morris Pennsylvania,_______________ 13 10 0, -0.1, 6.2, 6.10, 4.24 40,Eastern Michigan,_________________________ 14 23 0, -1.6, 7.7, 6.10, 4.96 41,Western Michigan,_________________________ 9 21 0, -1.7, 7.7, 6.05, 6.28 42,Colorado,_________________________________ 9 18 0, -1.9, 7.7, 5.77, 5.87 43,Indiana,__________________________________ 5 19 0, -3.1, 8.8, 5.68, 3.59 44,Penn State Berks,_________________________ 13 14 0, 0.6, 4.9, 5.50, 6.72 45,Indiana Pennsylvania,_____________________ 8 18 0, -1.3, 6.6, 5.28, 6.89 46,Canisius,_________________________________ 16 21 0, -0.5, 5.3, 4.80, 4.46 47,Slippery Rock,____________________________ 9 14 0, -1.0, 5.6, 4.56, 6.49 48,Lehigh,___________________________________ 4 20 0, -2.9, 6.6, 3.65, 2.66 49,North Dakota State,_______________________ 12 10 0, -0.8, 4.2, 3.39, 3.97 50,Binghamton,_______________________________ 6 11 0, -1.2, 3.8, 2.61, 2.65 51,Cornell,__________________________________ 6 11 0, -1.5, 4.0, 2.51, 2.51 52,Rochester Inst of Tech,___________________ 9 14 0, -1.5, 4.0, 2.45, 2.29 53,Ithaca,___________________________________ 7 14 0, -1.5, 3.6, 2.08, 1.57 54,Cortland State,___________________________ 5 15 0, -2.0, 4.0, 1.91, 0.85 55,Saint Bonaventure,________________________ 5 12 0, -2.1, 4.0, 1.90, 2.36 56,Washington & Jefferson,___________________ 7 14 0, -1.8, 3.6, 1.80, 2.68 57,Scranton,_________________________________ 4 18 0, -3.9, 5.6, 1.77, 0.44 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) Division 1 RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,Arizona State,____________________________ 29 2 0, 0.9, 7.5, 8.33, 8.38 2,Robert Morris Illinois,___________________ 26 6 0, 0.6, 7.3, 7.95, 7.56 3,Liberty,__________________________________ 24 8 0, 0.5, 7.4, 7.95, 7.73 4,Stony Brook,______________________________ 20 7 0, 0.5, 7.3, 7.82, 8.35 5,Oklahoma,_________________________________ 22 8 0, 0.5, 7.3, 7.77, 7.97 6,Ohio,_____________________________________ 25 9 0, 0.5, 7.3, 7.76, 7.85 7,Iowa State,_______________________________ 29 11 0, 0.5, 7.3, 7.74, 7.78 8,Delaware,_________________________________ 21 11 0, 0.3, 7.4, 7.74, 7.59 9,Adrian,___________________________________ 25 5 0, 0.7, 7.0, 7.66, 7.54 10,Minot State,______________________________ 19 10 0, 0.3, 7.3, 7.59, 7.53 11,Central Oklahoma,_________________________ 24 14 0, 0.2, 7.3, 7.54, 7.53 12,Arizona,__________________________________ 15 18 0, -0.1, 7.6, 7.51, 7.89 13,Rhode Island,_____________________________ 20 12 0, 0.3, 7.1, 7.38, 7.01 14,Navy,_____________________________________ 21 8 0, 0.4, 6.9, 7.38, 7.32 15,Lindenwood,_______________________________ 12 18 0, -0.2, 7.5, 7.31, 7.34 16,Illinois,_________________________________ 16 16 0, 0.0, 7.3, 7.29, 7.60 17,Davenport,________________________________ 20 12 0, 0.3, 7.0, 7.28, 6.95 18,Oakland,__________________________________ 19 13 0, 0.2, 7.1, 7.27, 7.65 19,Mercyhurst,_______________________________ 16 14 0, 0.1, 7.1, 7.19, 6.65 20,Buffalo,__________________________________ 21 9 0, 0.4, 6.8, 7.17, 7.05 21,Syracuse,_________________________________ 17 6 0, 0.5, 6.6, 7.12, 7.17 22,Niagara,__________________________________ 15 9 0, 0.3, 6.9, 7.11, 8.02 23,West Virginia,____________________________ 14 16 0, -0.1, 7.2, 7.10, 7.07 24,Rutgers,__________________________________ 8 16 0, -0.3, 7.4, 7.05, 7.06 25,Wayne State,______________________________ 14 12 0, 0.2, 6.8, 7.05, 6.48 26,Lebanon Valley,___________________________ 12 16 0, -0.1, 7.2, 7.04, 7.70 27,John Carroll,_____________________________ 17 14 0, 0.1, 6.9, 7.03, 6.82 28,Villanova,________________________________ 17 8 0, 0.4, 6.7, 7.02, 6.97 29,Michigan-Dearborn,________________________ 18 18 0, 0.0, 7.0, 7.01, 7.34 30,Towson,___________________________________ 12 11 0, 0.0, 6.9, 6.98, 7.03 31,Colorado State,___________________________ 10 23 0, -0.4, 7.3, 6.93, 6.72 32,Duquesne,_________________________________ 15 10 0, 0.2, 6.7, 6.93, 7.45 33,Robert Morris Pennsylvania,_______________ 13 10 0, 0.1, 6.8, 6.90, 5.93 34,Colorado,_________________________________ 9 18 0, -0.3, 7.2, 6.88, 6.79 35,Indiana,__________________________________ 5 19 0, -0.5, 7.4, 6.86, 6.66 36,West Chester,_____________________________ 10 19 0, -0.3, 7.2, 6.86, 6.02 37,Drexel,___________________________________ 13 13 0, 0.0, 6.9, 6.85, 7.28 38,Pittsburgh,_______________________________ 12 13 0, -0.0, 6.8, 6.78, 6.65 39,Oswego State,_____________________________ 14 7 0, 0.3, 6.4, 6.77, 6.77 40,Rochester College,________________________ 13 15 0, -0.2, 6.9, 6.77, 6.83 41,Eastern Michigan,_________________________ 14 23 0, -0.2, 7.0, 6.76, 6.56 42,North Dakota State,_______________________ 12 10 0, 0.1, 6.6, 6.74, 6.93 43,Western Michigan,_________________________ 9 21 0, -0.4, 7.0, 6.56, 6.65 44,Penn State Berks,_________________________ 13 14 0, -0.0, 6.6, 6.52, 6.53 45,Kent State,_______________________________ 7 23 0, -0.5, 7.0, 6.46, 6.18 46,Canisius,_________________________________ 16 21 0, -0.2, 6.6, 6.44, 6.33 47,Slippery Rock,____________________________ 9 14 0, -0.2, 6.6, 6.43, 6.72 48,Indiana Pennsylvania,_____________________ 8 18 0, -0.4, 6.8, 6.42, 7.03 49,Lehigh,___________________________________ 4 20 0, -0.7, 6.9, 6.21, 6.06 50,Rochester Inst of Tech,___________________ 9 14 0, -0.2, 6.3, 6.12, 6.11 51,Scranton,_________________________________ 4 18 0, -0.6, 6.7, 6.03, 5.92 52,Binghamton,_______________________________ 6 11 0, -0.3, 6.3, 6.02, 5.90 53,Cornell,__________________________________ 6 11 0, -0.3, 6.3, 6.02, 6.01 54,Ithaca,___________________________________ 7 14 0, -0.3, 6.3, 5.95, 5.64 55,Saint Bonaventure,________________________ 5 12 0, -0.4, 6.4, 5.95, 6.42 56,Washington & Jefferson,___________________ 7 14 0, -0.3, 6.2, 5.90, 6.32 57,Cortland State,___________________________ 5 15 0, -0.5, 6.4, 5.88, 5.31 The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Actually, there are two different rankings listed below. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 7. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Currently, teams with as few as 3 scores are ranked. The more games that go into a team's ranking, the more accurate their ranking will be. Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States High School National Rankings New England Prep Midget Minor AAA Midget Major AAA Men's NCAA D1 USHL NAHL ACHA College ClubUSHSHO.com High School Ice Hockey Forums
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