Scores that ratings are based upon. Scores through February 3, 2013. Previous Rankings New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting.
Maximum Goal Differential = 7 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below Division 1 RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,Robert Morris Illinois,___________________ 26 4 1, 3.1, 8.8, 11.86, 13.10 2,Arizona State,____________________________ 27 6 3, 2.3, 9.4, 11.71, 11.62 3,Adrian,___________________________________ 26 4 0, 3.3, 8.2, 11.57, 13.39 4,Minot State,______________________________ 22 4 1, 3.0, 8.2, 11.16, 10.73 5,Lindenwood,_______________________________ 13 12 1, 0.7, 10.3, 10.94, 10.22 6,Oklahoma,_________________________________ 19 13 3, 1.2, 9.6, 10.74, 10.25 7,Ohio,_____________________________________ 21 9 2, 1.3, 9.3, 10.56, 11.96 8,Davenport,________________________________ 25 9 2, 2.0, 8.4, 10.35, 11.88 9,Liberty,__________________________________ 20 11 3, 1.4, 8.8, 10.20, 8.84 10,Illinois,_________________________________ 19 9 3, 0.8, 9.2, 9.98, 11.29 11,Delaware,_________________________________ 22 10 0, 1.2, 8.7, 9.84, 12.59 12,Iowa State,_______________________________ 18 16 2, 1.1, 8.7, 9.78, 9.28 13,Stony Brook,______________________________ 13 13 1, 0.7, 9.0, 9.68, 9.33 14,Oakland,__________________________________ 16 15 4, 0.7, 8.6, 9.33, 8.48 15,Central Oklahoma,_________________________ 19 12 2, 0.3, 8.9, 9.14, 8.31 16,Navy,_____________________________________ 24 5 2, 3.0, 5.9, 8.85, 8.13 17,Rhode Island,_____________________________ 19 11 2, 1.0, 7.8, 8.82, 8.30 18,Arizona,__________________________________ 12 18 3, -0.6, 9.2, 8.66, 9.71 19,Rutgers,__________________________________ 13 9 1, 0.7, 7.7, 8.44, 8.07 20,Niagara,__________________________________ 20 8 0, 2.2, 5.9, 8.12, 8.65 21,Michigan-Dearborn,________________________ 20 14 1, 0.2, 7.8, 8.03, 5.80 22,Eastern Michigan,_________________________ 12 22 5, -0.9, 8.4, 7.53, 6.90 23,Buffalo,__________________________________ 22 6 4, 2.8, 4.6, 7.49, 6.42 24,Indiana,__________________________________ 11 14 2, 0.1, 7.3, 7.44, 8.23 25,West Virginia,____________________________ 11 13 1, -0.2, 7.6, 7.44, 6.91 26,Lebanon Valley,___________________________ 16 8 3, 1.3, 5.9, 7.18, 4.95 27,Mercyhurst,_______________________________ 19 10 2, 1.2, 6.0, 7.13, 8.67 28,West Chester,_____________________________ 12 13 4, -0.3, 7.4, 7.07, 6.61 29,John Carroll,_____________________________ 18 12 0, 0.6, 6.3, 6.91, 7.27 30,Drexel,___________________________________ 14 14 1, 0.4, 6.2, 6.59, 5.52 31,Syracuse,_________________________________ 13 9 4, 0.6, 5.7, 6.27, 5.66 32,Towson,___________________________________ 18 7 2, 1.0, 5.2, 6.24, 7.62 33,Indiana Pennsylvania,_____________________ 14 11 0, 1.0, 5.1, 6.15, 5.43 34,Pittsburgh,_______________________________ 12 15 1, 0.3, 5.8, 6.08, 5.99 35,North Dakota State,_______________________ 8 13 0, -1.0, 6.9, 5.90, 6.63 36,Duquesne,_________________________________ 14 13 1, 0.5, 5.2, 5.71, 5.61 37,Lehigh,___________________________________ 14 12 1, 0.1, 4.7, 4.82, 5.62 38,Western Michigan,_________________________ 5 30 1, -3.6, 8.4, 4.75, 4.54 39,Canisius,_________________________________ 21 11 2, 0.9, 3.8, 4.75, 5.98 40,Villanova,________________________________ 9 17 0, -1.1, 5.6, 4.49, 6.10 41,Robert Morris Pennsylvania,_______________ 7 19 2, -1.9, 6.2, 4.35, 4.52 42,Ithaca,___________________________________ 11 11 2, 0.2, 4.1, 4.30, 4.10 43,Kent State,_______________________________ 4 27 0, -3.8, 8.1, 4.26, 3.05 44,Oswego State,_____________________________ 9 11 2, -0.3, 4.5, 4.17, 4.40 45,Penn State Berks,_________________________ 7 22 0, -1.7, 5.6, 3.90, 4.12 46,Slippery Rock,____________________________ 6 17 1, -1.9, 5.7, 3.80, 3.77 47,Binghamton,_______________________________ 7 7 3, -0.6, 3.9, 3.23, 2.92 48,Scranton,_________________________________ 4 15 0, -2.8, 5.8, 2.97, 3.58 49,Cortland State,___________________________ 6 13 1, -1.4, 4.3, 2.89, 2.92 50,Saint Bonaventure,________________________ 5 10 3, -1.9, 4.7, 2.73, 2.71 51,Cornell,__________________________________ 3 14 2, -2.8, 5.1, 2.32, 2.26 52,Rochester Inst of Tech,___________________ 5 21 0, -2.4, 4.5, 2.13, 1.33 53,Rochester,________________________________ 8 11 0, -0.6, 2.0, 1.41, 0.79 54,Youngstown State,_________________________ 2 24 0, -4.2, 5.0, 0.77, 2.33 55,Washington & Jefferson,___________________ 2 7 0, -3.6, 3.0, -0.57, -0.55 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) Division 1 RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,Arizona State,____________________________ 27 6 3, 0.6, 7.6, 8.18, 8.45 2,Robert Morris Illinois,___________________ 26 4 1, 0.7, 7.4, 8.13, 8.22 3,Adrian,___________________________________ 26 4 0, 0.7, 7.3, 8.04, 8.43 4,Minot State,______________________________ 22 4 1, 0.7, 7.4, 8.04, 7.95 5,Ohio,_____________________________________ 21 9 2, 0.4, 7.5, 7.87, 8.21 6,Oklahoma,_________________________________ 19 13 3, 0.2, 7.7, 7.86, 7.60 7,Illinois,_________________________________ 19 9 3, 0.3, 7.5, 7.81, 8.09 8,Lindenwood,_______________________________ 13 12 1, 0.0, 7.8, 7.80, 7.36 9,Davenport,________________________________ 25 9 2, 0.4, 7.3, 7.78, 8.04 10,Delaware,_________________________________ 22 10 0, 0.4, 7.3, 7.70, 8.04 11,Liberty,__________________________________ 20 11 3, 0.3, 7.4, 7.65, 7.56 12,Central Oklahoma,_________________________ 19 12 2, 0.2, 7.4, 7.62, 7.66 13,Iowa State,_______________________________ 18 16 2, 0.1, 7.5, 7.52, 7.47 14,Rhode Island,_____________________________ 19 11 2, 0.3, 7.2, 7.46, 7.06 15,Oakland,__________________________________ 16 15 4, 0.0, 7.4, 7.43, 7.27 16,Stony Brook,______________________________ 13 13 1, 0.0, 7.4, 7.43, 7.21 17,Arizona,__________________________________ 12 18 3, -0.2, 7.5, 7.36, 7.50 18,Rutgers,__________________________________ 13 9 1, 0.2, 7.2, 7.33, 7.32 19,Michigan-Dearborn,________________________ 20 14 1, 0.2, 7.1, 7.31, 6.97 20,Navy,_____________________________________ 24 5 2, 0.6, 6.7, 7.30, 7.33 21,Niagara,__________________________________ 20 8 0, 0.4, 6.8, 7.18, 7.33 22,Lebanon Valley,___________________________ 16 8 3, 0.3, 6.8, 7.08, 6.27 23,Eastern Michigan,_________________________ 12 22 5, -0.3, 7.3, 7.05, 6.71 24,West Chester,_____________________________ 12 13 4, -0.0, 7.0, 7.02, 7.00 25,John Carroll,_____________________________ 18 12 0, 0.2, 6.8, 7.00, 7.06 26,West Virginia,____________________________ 11 13 1, -0.1, 7.1, 6.99, 7.15 27,Mercyhurst,_______________________________ 19 10 2, 0.3, 6.7, 6.98, 7.40 28,Buffalo,__________________________________ 22 6 4, 0.5, 6.5, 6.96, 6.87 29,Towson,___________________________________ 18 7 2, 0.4, 6.5, 6.95, 7.34 30,Indiana,__________________________________ 11 14 2, -0.1, 7.0, 6.93, 7.14 31,Syracuse,_________________________________ 13 9 4, 0.2, 6.7, 6.85, 6.67 32,Drexel,___________________________________ 14 14 1, 0.0, 6.8, 6.83, 6.36 33,North Dakota State,_______________________ 8 13 0, -0.2, 7.0, 6.80, 7.03 34,Indiana Pennsylvania,_____________________ 14 11 0, 0.1, 6.5, 6.65, 6.47 35,Western Michigan,_________________________ 5 30 1, -0.7, 7.3, 6.62, 6.65 36,Lehigh,___________________________________ 14 12 1, 0.1, 6.5, 6.58, 6.63 37,Pittsburgh,_______________________________ 12 15 1, -0.1, 6.7, 6.57, 6.57 38,Canisius,_________________________________ 21 11 2, 0.3, 6.3, 6.57, 7.00 39,Duquesne,_________________________________ 14 13 1, 0.0, 6.5, 6.56, 6.42 40,Kent State,_______________________________ 4 27 0, -0.7, 7.2, 6.49, 5.93 41,Villanova,________________________________ 9 17 0, -0.3, 6.7, 6.37, 6.80 42,Ithaca,___________________________________ 11 11 2, 0.0, 6.4, 6.35, 6.58 43,Oswego State,_____________________________ 9 11 2, -0.1, 6.4, 6.34, 6.20 44,Robert Morris Pennsylvania,_______________ 7 19 2, -0.4, 6.8, 6.33, 6.09 45,Binghamton,_______________________________ 7 7 3, 0.0, 6.3, 6.31, 6.24 46,Slippery Rock,____________________________ 6 17 1, -0.5, 6.7, 6.22, 6.31 47,Saint Bonaventure,________________________ 5 10 3, -0.3, 6.5, 6.20, 6.32 48,Scranton,_________________________________ 4 15 0, -0.6, 6.7, 6.15, 6.05 49,Penn State Berks,_________________________ 7 22 0, -0.5, 6.6, 6.11, 6.33 50,Cortland State,___________________________ 6 13 1, -0.3, 6.4, 6.07, 6.00 51,Cornell,__________________________________ 3 14 2, -0.6, 6.6, 6.01, 5.76 52,Rochester,________________________________ 8 11 0, -0.2, 6.0, 5.87, 5.69 53,Rochester Inst of Tech,___________________ 5 21 0, -0.6, 6.4, 5.83, 5.50 54,Youngstown State,_________________________ 2 24 0, -0.8, 6.5, 5.64, 5.92 55,Washington & Jefferson,___________________ 2 7 0, -0.6, 6.1, 5.59, 5.77 The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Games that go to shootouts for decision are considered ties for ratings purposes. Actually, there are two different rankings listed below. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 7. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Currently, teams with as few as 3 scores are ranked. The more games that go into a team's ranking, the more accurate their ranking will be. Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States High School National Rankings New England Prep Midget Minor AAA Midget Major AAA Men's NCAA D1 USHL NAHL ACHA College ClubUSHSHO.com High School Ice Hockey Forums
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