Scores that ratings are based upon. Scores through February 9, 2014. Previous Rankings New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting.
Maximum Goal Differential = 7 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below Division 1 RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,Arizona State,____________________________ 32 2 0, 3.7, 8.3, 12.03, 11.16 2,Robert Morris Illinois,___________________ 28 6 0, 2.6, 8.3, 10.85, 11.29 3,Oklahoma,_________________________________ 24 8 0, 2.6, 8.1, 10.70, 12.14 4,Adrian,___________________________________ 26 6 0, 2.8, 7.7, 10.51, 11.27 5,Ohio,_____________________________________ 27 9 0, 2.4, 8.1, 10.49, 11.14 6,Liberty,__________________________________ 26 8 0, 1.6, 8.8, 10.46, 11.17 7,Stony Brook,______________________________ 22 7 0, 1.7, 8.5, 10.19, 11.32 8,Minot State,______________________________ 19 10 0, 2.1, 7.9, 9.98, 8.95 9,Delaware,_________________________________ 23 11 0, 1.0, 8.8, 9.80, 9.52 10,Iowa State,_______________________________ 31 11 0, 1.6, 8.1, 9.68, 9.89 11,Central Oklahoma,_________________________ 24 16 0, 1.3, 8.1, 9.41, 10.05 12,Davenport,________________________________ 21 13 0, 1.3, 7.9, 9.19, 9.02 13,Oakland,__________________________________ 19 15 0, 1.1, 8.1, 9.11, 8.46 14,Navy,_____________________________________ 23 8 0, 2.3, 6.8, 9.09, 11.37 15,Lindenwood,_______________________________ 12 20 0, -0.4, 9.3, 8.87, 7.91 16,Arizona,__________________________________ 17 19 0, -0.4, 8.8, 8.47, 8.15 17,Rhode Island,_____________________________ 20 14 0, 0.5, 7.9, 8.39, 8.16 18,Rutgers,__________________________________ 8 18 0, -0.5, 8.8, 8.24, 6.92 19,Mercyhurst,_______________________________ 17 16 0, 0.5, 7.6, 8.09, 7.53 20,Buffalo,__________________________________ 23 9 0, 2.0, 6.0, 8.03, 7.20 21,Illinois,_________________________________ 16 18 0, 0.0, 8.0, 8.00, 9.36 22,John Carroll,_____________________________ 19 14 0, 1.0, 6.8, 7.84, 7.91 23,Wayne State,______________________________ 14 12 0, 0.6, 7.2, 7.78, 7.59 24,West Virginia,____________________________ 15 17 0, 0.0, 7.6, 7.67, 7.62 25,Syracuse,_________________________________ 19 6 0, 2.5, 5.1, 7.66, 7.10 26,Niagara,__________________________________ 16 9 0, 1.0, 6.6, 7.59, 9.71 27,Lebanon Valley,___________________________ 13 16 0, -0.6, 7.9, 7.31, 8.99 28,Michigan-Dearborn,________________________ 19 19 0, -0.6, 7.7, 7.07, 7.29 29,Colorado State,___________________________ 11 25 0, -1.6, 8.6, 7.00, 7.24 30,Oswego State,_____________________________ 17 7 0, 2.8, 4.2, 6.95, 6.42 31,Duquesne,_________________________________ 16 11 0, 0.9, 6.0, 6.85, 5.96 32,West Chester,_____________________________ 12 19 0, -0.7, 7.4, 6.73, 6.72 33,Rochester College,________________________ 14 16 0, -0.4, 7.1, 6.73, 7.93 34,Drexel,___________________________________ 13 13 0, 0.5, 6.2, 6.70, 7.00 35,Pittsburgh,_______________________________ 13 14 0, 0.3, 6.4, 6.65, 6.24 36,Villanova,________________________________ 17 8 0, 1.3, 5.2, 6.53, 6.60 37,Towson,___________________________________ 12 13 0, -0.7, 7.0, 6.23, 5.38 38,Western Michigan,_________________________ 10 22 0, -1.5, 7.6, 6.16, 7.37 39,Eastern Michigan,_________________________ 14 23 0, -1.6, 7.6, 6.06, 4.83 40,Kent State,_______________________________ 7 25 0, -1.7, 7.7, 5.99, 5.28 41,Colorado,_________________________________ 9 21 0, -2.1, 7.9, 5.84, 6.80 42,Indiana,__________________________________ 7 19 0, -2.4, 8.1, 5.74, 5.51 43,Robert Morris Pennsylvania,_______________ 13 13 0, -0.5, 6.3, 5.73, 3.33 44,Penn State Berks,_________________________ 14 15 0, 0.6, 5.0, 5.52, 5.95 45,Indiana Pennsylvania,_____________________ 8 20 0, -1.4, 6.4, 4.98, 5.90 46,Canisius,_________________________________ 16 22 0, -0.5, 5.2, 4.69, 4.23 47,Slippery Rock,____________________________ 10 14 0, -0.9, 5.5, 4.59, 6.40 48,Lehigh,___________________________________ 4 22 0, -3.1, 6.5, 3.37, 1.42 49,North Dakota State,_______________________ 12 10 0, -0.8, 4.1, 3.35, 3.94 50,Binghamton,_______________________________ 6 13 0, -1.3, 4.2, 2.84, 2.97 51,Cornell,__________________________________ 7 11 0, -1.2, 3.9, 2.72, 3.10 52,Rochester Inst of Tech,___________________ 9 16 0, -1.6, 4.1, 2.47, 2.79 53,Saint Bonaventure,________________________ 6 13 0, -2.1, 4.2, 2.19, 4.02 54,Ithaca,___________________________________ 7 16 0, -1.7, 3.7, 2.04, 1.92 55,Cortland State,___________________________ 6 16 0, -2.1, 4.1, 2.00, 1.34 56,Washington & Jefferson,___________________ 7 14 0, -1.8, 3.5, 1.71, 2.49 57,Scranton,_________________________________ 4 19 0, -4.0, 5.6, 1.62, 0.42 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) Division 1 RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,Arizona State,____________________________ 32 2 0, 0.9, 7.4, 8.30, 7.77 2,Liberty,__________________________________ 26 8 0, 0.5, 7.5, 7.98, 7.88 3,Robert Morris Illinois,___________________ 28 6 0, 0.6, 7.3, 7.96, 7.58 4,Stony Brook,______________________________ 22 7 0, 0.5, 7.4, 7.87, 8.46 5,Oklahoma,_________________________________ 24 8 0, 0.5, 7.3, 7.81, 8.22 6,Delaware,_________________________________ 23 11 0, 0.4, 7.4, 7.77, 7.79 7,Iowa State,_______________________________ 31 11 0, 0.5, 7.3, 7.76, 7.76 8,Ohio,_____________________________________ 27 9 0, 0.5, 7.2, 7.75, 7.83 9,Adrian,___________________________________ 26 6 0, 0.6, 7.0, 7.66, 7.70 10,Minot State,______________________________ 19 10 0, 0.3, 7.3, 7.59, 7.51 11,Central Oklahoma,_________________________ 24 16 0, 0.2, 7.3, 7.50, 7.50 12,Arizona,__________________________________ 17 19 0, -0.1, 7.5, 7.49, 7.67 13,Navy,_____________________________________ 23 8 0, 0.5, 6.9, 7.43, 7.85 14,Rhode Island,_____________________________ 20 14 0, 0.2, 7.2, 7.36, 6.82 15,Davenport,________________________________ 21 13 0, 0.2, 7.1, 7.32, 7.23 16,Lindenwood,_______________________________ 12 20 0, -0.3, 7.5, 7.29, 7.22 17,Oakland,__________________________________ 19 15 0, 0.1, 7.2, 7.28, 7.44 18,Illinois,_________________________________ 16 18 0, -0.1, 7.3, 7.24, 7.49 19,Buffalo,__________________________________ 23 9 0, 0.4, 6.7, 7.18, 7.16 20,Niagara,__________________________________ 16 9 0, 0.3, 6.9, 7.15, 7.97 21,Mercyhurst,_______________________________ 17 16 0, 0.0, 7.1, 7.14, 7.06 22,West Virginia,____________________________ 15 17 0, -0.1, 7.1, 7.08, 7.06 23,Lebanon Valley,___________________________ 13 16 0, -0.1, 7.2, 7.08, 7.57 24,John Carroll,_____________________________ 19 14 0, 0.2, 6.9, 7.07, 7.06 25,Wayne State,______________________________ 14 12 0, 0.2, 6.9, 7.07, 6.49 26,Syracuse,_________________________________ 19 6 0, 0.5, 6.5, 7.06, 6.89 27,Rutgers,__________________________________ 8 18 0, -0.4, 7.4, 7.05, 6.63 28,Michigan-Dearborn,________________________ 19 19 0, 0.0, 7.0, 7.01, 7.25 29,Colorado State,___________________________ 11 25 0, -0.4, 7.4, 7.00, 7.37 30,Villanova,________________________________ 17 8 0, 0.4, 6.6, 6.98, 6.94 31,Towson,___________________________________ 12 13 0, -0.0, 7.0, 6.95, 6.82 32,Duquesne,_________________________________ 16 11 0, 0.2, 6.7, 6.90, 6.88 33,Colorado,_________________________________ 9 21 0, -0.4, 7.3, 6.88, 6.85 34,West Chester,_____________________________ 12 19 0, -0.2, 7.1, 6.87, 6.49 35,Indiana,__________________________________ 7 19 0, -0.4, 7.3, 6.85, 6.78 36,Drexel,___________________________________ 13 13 0, 0.0, 6.8, 6.84, 7.28 37,Oswego State,_____________________________ 17 7 0, 0.4, 6.4, 6.81, 6.79 38,Rochester College,________________________ 14 16 0, -0.1, 6.9, 6.80, 6.94 39,Robert Morris Pennsylvania,_______________ 13 13 0, 0.0, 6.8, 6.78, 5.90 40,Eastern Michigan,_________________________ 14 23 0, -0.2, 7.0, 6.78, 6.56 41,Pittsburgh,_______________________________ 13 14 0, -0.0, 6.8, 6.77, 6.30 42,North Dakota State,_______________________ 12 10 0, 0.1, 6.6, 6.71, 6.91 43,Western Michigan,_________________________ 10 22 0, -0.4, 7.0, 6.61, 6.96 44,Penn State Berks,_________________________ 14 15 0, -0.0, 6.5, 6.51, 6.26 45,Kent State,_______________________________ 7 25 0, -0.6, 7.0, 6.49, 6.54 46,Slippery Rock,____________________________ 10 14 0, -0.2, 6.6, 6.44, 6.70 47,Canisius,_________________________________ 16 22 0, -0.2, 6.6, 6.39, 6.13 48,Indiana Pennsylvania,_____________________ 8 20 0, -0.4, 6.8, 6.36, 7.00 49,Lehigh,___________________________________ 4 22 0, -0.7, 6.9, 6.16, 6.04 50,Cornell,__________________________________ 7 11 0, -0.2, 6.3, 6.07, 6.33 51,Rochester Inst of Tech,___________________ 9 16 0, -0.3, 6.4, 6.07, 5.80 52,Saint Bonaventure,________________________ 6 13 0, -0.4, 6.4, 6.04, 6.91 53,Binghamton,_______________________________ 6 13 0, -0.4, 6.4, 6.01, 5.73 54,Scranton,_________________________________ 4 19 0, -0.7, 6.7, 6.00, 5.90 55,Cortland State,___________________________ 6 16 0, -0.5, 6.4, 5.94, 5.70 56,Ithaca,___________________________________ 7 16 0, -0.4, 6.3, 5.90, 5.59 57,Washington & Jefferson,___________________ 7 14 0, -0.3, 6.2, 5.88, 6.29 The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Actually, there are two different rankings listed below. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 7. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Currently, teams with as few as 3 scores are ranked. The more games that go into a team's ranking, the more accurate their ranking will be. Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States High School National Rankings New England Prep Midget Minor AAA Midget Major AAA Men's NCAA D1 USHL NAHL ACHA College ClubUSHSHO.com High School Ice Hockey Forums
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