Scores that ratings are based upon. Scores through February 10, 2013. Previous Rankings New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting.
Maximum Goal Differential = 7 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below Division 1 RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,Arizona State,____________________________ 27 6 3, 2.3, 9.4, 11.71, 11.52 2,Adrian,___________________________________ 28 4 0, 3.4, 8.2, 11.67, 12.63 3,Robert Morris Illinois,___________________ 26 6 1, 2.8, 8.8, 11.58, 11.40 4,Minot State,______________________________ 24 4 1, 3.1, 8.5, 11.52, 11.65 5,Oklahoma,_________________________________ 21 13 3, 1.3, 9.6, 10.88, 11.24 6,Lindenwood,_______________________________ 13 14 1, 0.5, 10.3, 10.76, 8.98 7,Ohio,_____________________________________ 23 9 2, 1.6, 9.0, 10.60, 11.52 8,Davenport,________________________________ 25 9 2, 2.0, 8.4, 10.37, 11.89 9,Illinois,_________________________________ 21 9 3, 0.9, 9.3, 10.26, 12.74 10,Delaware,_________________________________ 24 10 0, 1.5, 8.6, 10.02, 12.31 11,Iowa State,_______________________________ 20 16 2, 1.1, 8.9, 10.00, 11.68 12,Liberty,__________________________________ 20 13 3, 1.1, 8.8, 9.92, 7.58 13,Stony Brook,______________________________ 13 13 1, 0.7, 9.2, 9.88, 9.47 14,Oakland,__________________________________ 19 15 4, 0.9, 8.7, 9.67, 11.28 15,Central Oklahoma,_________________________ 19 14 2, 0.0, 9.0, 8.99, 7.10 16,Navy,_____________________________________ 26 5 2, 3.0, 5.9, 8.92, 9.09 17,Rhode Island,_____________________________ 19 11 3, 1.0, 7.8, 8.81, 8.99 18,Rutgers,__________________________________ 14 9 1, 1.0, 7.7, 8.68, 8.99 19,Arizona,__________________________________ 12 21 3, -0.9, 9.4, 8.50, 7.53 20,Niagara,__________________________________ 22 8 0, 2.3, 5.7, 7.98, 7.55 21,Michigan-Dearborn,________________________ 21 16 1, 0.1, 7.9, 7.94, 6.13 22,Eastern Michigan,_________________________ 13 23 5, -0.8, 8.4, 7.62, 7.00 23,Buffalo,__________________________________ 24 6 4, 3.0, 4.5, 7.55, 7.52 24,West Virginia,____________________________ 14 13 1, 0.4, 7.1, 7.47, 7.23 25,Lebanon Valley,___________________________ 18 8 3, 1.4, 5.8, 7.25, 5.82 26,Indiana,__________________________________ 13 14 2, 0.4, 6.8, 7.19, 7.06 27,West Chester,_____________________________ 12 15 4, -0.7, 7.6, 6.92, 6.43 28,Mercyhurst,_______________________________ 20 12 2, 1.0, 5.9, 6.88, 6.57 29,John Carroll,_____________________________ 18 13 0, 0.5, 6.3, 6.87, 7.39 30,Drexel,___________________________________ 15 15 1, 0.2, 6.1, 6.34, 4.35 31,Towson,___________________________________ 19 8 2, 0.8, 5.4, 6.23, 6.65 32,North Dakota State,_______________________ 8 13 0, -1.0, 7.2, 6.18, 7.01 33,Syracuse,_________________________________ 13 10 4, 0.5, 5.6, 6.14, 5.19 34,Pittsburgh,_______________________________ 13 16 1, 0.2, 5.8, 6.08, 5.56 35,Indiana Pennsylvania,_____________________ 15 12 0, 0.9, 5.1, 6.06, 4.92 36,Duquesne,_________________________________ 15 13 1, 0.5, 5.2, 5.68, 4.79 37,Lehigh,___________________________________ 14 12 1, 0.1, 4.8, 4.85, 5.58 38,Western Michigan,_________________________ 5 32 1, -3.8, 8.5, 4.77, 4.32 39,Canisius,_________________________________ 21 11 2, 0.9, 3.8, 4.73, 5.97 40,Ithaca,___________________________________ 13 11 2, 0.3, 4.1, 4.39, 4.28 41,Villanova,________________________________ 9 19 0, -1.3, 5.7, 4.37, 4.22 42,Kent State,_______________________________ 4 29 0, -4.0, 8.3, 4.31, 4.06 43,Robert Morris Pennsylvania,_______________ 8 20 2, -1.7, 6.0, 4.28, 4.06 44,Oswego State,_____________________________ 10 11 2, -0.2, 4.4, 4.23, 4.58 45,Slippery Rock,____________________________ 9 17 1, -1.3, 5.4, 4.09, 5.13 46,Penn State Berks,_________________________ 8 22 0, -1.4, 5.4, 4.07, 5.54 47,Binghamton,_______________________________ 7 10 3, -1.1, 4.3, 3.20, 2.82 48,Cortland State,___________________________ 7 13 1, -1.0, 4.2, 3.19, 4.45 49,Scranton,_________________________________ 4 17 0, -3.0, 5.6, 2.69, 2.28 50,Cornell,__________________________________ 3 17 2, -2.8, 5.3, 2.50, 2.83 51,Saint Bonaventure,________________________ 5 11 3, -2.2, 4.6, 2.40, 1.13 52,Rochester Inst of Tech,___________________ 5 22 0, -2.4, 4.5, 2.09, 1.74 53,Rochester,________________________________ 8 11 0, -0.6, 2.1, 1.43, 0.85 54,Youngstown State,_________________________ 2 27 0, -4.5, 5.2, 0.66, 0.75 55,Washington & Jefferson,___________________ 2 9 0, -3.8, 3.1, -0.68, -0.19 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) Division 1 RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,Arizona State,____________________________ 27 6 3, 0.6, 7.6, 8.19, 8.43 2,Minot State,______________________________ 24 4 1, 0.7, 7.4, 8.11, 8.22 3,Adrian,___________________________________ 28 4 0, 0.8, 7.3, 8.07, 8.28 4,Robert Morris Illinois,___________________ 26 6 1, 0.6, 7.4, 8.05, 7.91 5,Oklahoma,_________________________________ 21 13 3, 0.2, 7.7, 7.90, 7.91 6,Illinois,_________________________________ 21 9 3, 0.4, 7.5, 7.90, 8.50 7,Ohio,_____________________________________ 23 9 2, 0.4, 7.5, 7.87, 7.73 8,Davenport,________________________________ 25 9 2, 0.4, 7.3, 7.79, 8.05 9,Lindenwood,_______________________________ 13 14 1, -0.0, 7.8, 7.73, 7.01 10,Delaware,_________________________________ 24 10 0, 0.4, 7.3, 7.71, 7.92 11,Iowa State,_______________________________ 20 16 2, 0.1, 7.5, 7.60, 8.11 12,Liberty,__________________________________ 20 13 3, 0.2, 7.4, 7.58, 7.37 13,Central Oklahoma,_________________________ 19 14 2, 0.1, 7.4, 7.58, 7.42 14,Oakland,__________________________________ 19 15 4, 0.1, 7.4, 7.53, 8.10 15,Stony Brook,______________________________ 13 13 1, 0.0, 7.5, 7.46, 7.22 16,Rhode Island,_____________________________ 19 11 3, 0.2, 7.2, 7.45, 7.30 17,Rutgers,__________________________________ 14 9 1, 0.2, 7.1, 7.34, 7.54 18,Arizona,__________________________________ 12 21 3, -0.3, 7.6, 7.34, 7.04 19,Navy,_____________________________________ 26 5 2, 0.6, 6.7, 7.31, 7.54 20,Michigan-Dearborn,________________________ 21 16 1, 0.1, 7.2, 7.29, 6.85 21,Niagara,__________________________________ 22 8 0, 0.5, 6.7, 7.17, 7.17 22,Lebanon Valley,___________________________ 18 8 3, 0.3, 6.7, 7.08, 6.54 23,Eastern Michigan,_________________________ 13 23 5, -0.2, 7.3, 7.07, 6.83 24,West Virginia,____________________________ 14 13 1, 0.0, 7.0, 7.01, 7.25 25,West Chester,_____________________________ 12 15 4, -0.1, 7.1, 7.00, 7.14 26,John Carroll,_____________________________ 18 13 0, 0.2, 6.8, 6.98, 7.11 27,Buffalo,__________________________________ 24 6 4, 0.5, 6.4, 6.97, 7.07 28,Towson,___________________________________ 19 8 2, 0.4, 6.6, 6.93, 6.96 29,Indiana,__________________________________ 13 14 2, -0.0, 6.9, 6.91, 7.09 30,Mercyhurst,_______________________________ 20 12 2, 0.2, 6.7, 6.89, 6.72 31,North Dakota State,_______________________ 8 13 0, -0.2, 7.1, 6.87, 7.12 32,Drexel,___________________________________ 15 15 1, 0.0, 6.8, 6.80, 6.35 33,Syracuse,_________________________________ 13 10 4, 0.1, 6.7, 6.79, 6.61 34,Western Michigan,_________________________ 5 32 1, -0.7, 7.4, 6.64, 6.60 35,Indiana Pennsylvania,_____________________ 15 12 0, 0.1, 6.5, 6.63, 6.30 36,Pittsburgh,_______________________________ 13 16 1, -0.1, 6.7, 6.59, 6.43 37,Duquesne,_________________________________ 15 13 1, 0.1, 6.5, 6.59, 6.53 38,Lehigh,___________________________________ 14 12 1, 0.1, 6.5, 6.57, 6.63 39,Canisius,_________________________________ 21 11 2, 0.3, 6.3, 6.56, 6.99 40,Kent State,_______________________________ 4 29 0, -0.8, 7.3, 6.53, 6.49 41,Ithaca,___________________________________ 13 11 2, 0.1, 6.3, 6.42, 6.67 42,Oswego State,_____________________________ 10 11 2, -0.0, 6.4, 6.35, 6.29 43,Villanova,________________________________ 9 19 0, -0.4, 6.7, 6.34, 6.33 44,Robert Morris Pennsylvania,_______________ 8 20 2, -0.4, 6.7, 6.32, 6.10 45,Slippery Rock,____________________________ 9 17 1, -0.3, 6.6, 6.31, 6.85 46,Binghamton,_______________________________ 7 10 3, -0.1, 6.4, 6.28, 6.13 47,Penn State Berks,_________________________ 8 22 0, -0.5, 6.6, 6.14, 6.55 48,Saint Bonaventure,________________________ 5 11 3, -0.3, 6.4, 6.13, 5.94 49,Cortland State,___________________________ 7 13 1, -0.3, 6.4, 6.11, 6.38 50,Scranton,_________________________________ 4 17 0, -0.6, 6.7, 6.06, 5.75 51,Cornell,__________________________________ 3 17 2, -0.6, 6.6, 5.98, 5.63 52,Rochester,________________________________ 8 11 0, -0.2, 6.0, 5.87, 5.69 53,Rochester Inst of Tech,___________________ 5 22 0, -0.6, 6.4, 5.81, 5.60 54,Youngstown State,_________________________ 2 27 0, -0.9, 6.5, 5.68, 5.90 55,Washington & Jefferson,___________________ 2 9 0, -0.6, 6.2, 5.54, 5.74 The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Games that go to shootouts for decision are considered ties for ratings purposes. Actually, there are two different rankings listed below. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 7. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Currently, teams with as few as 3 scores are ranked. The more games that go into a team's ranking, the more accurate their ranking will be. Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States High School National Rankings New England Prep Midget Minor AAA Midget Major AAA Men's NCAA D1 USHL NAHL ACHA College ClubUSHSHO.com High School Ice Hockey Forums
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