Scores that ratings are based upon. Scores through February 16, 2014. Previous Rankings New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting.
Maximum Goal Differential = 7 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below Division 1 RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,Arizona State,____________________________ 32 2 0, 3.7, 8.2, 11.98, 11.07 2,Oklahoma,_________________________________ 26 8 0, 2.6, 8.1, 10.70, 11.33 3,Adrian,___________________________________ 28 6 0, 3.0, 7.6, 10.66, 11.81 4,Robert Morris Illinois,___________________ 28 8 0, 2.3, 8.3, 10.63, 9.83 5,Ohio,_____________________________________ 29 9 0, 2.6, 8.0, 10.56, 12.32 6,Liberty,__________________________________ 28 8 0, 1.7, 8.7, 10.42, 11.66 7,Stony Brook,______________________________ 24 7 0, 2.0, 8.3, 10.34, 11.59 8,Minot State,______________________________ 21 10 0, 2.3, 8.0, 10.22, 9.87 9,Delaware,_________________________________ 24 12 0, 0.9, 8.7, 9.60, 8.74 10,Iowa State,_______________________________ 32 12 0, 1.5, 8.1, 9.59, 9.61 11,Central Oklahoma,_________________________ 25 17 0, 1.3, 8.2, 9.46, 10.51 12,Davenport,________________________________ 23 13 0, 1.4, 8.0, 9.44, 10.55 13,Oakland,__________________________________ 21 15 0, 1.1, 8.1, 9.17, 7.96 14,Navy,_____________________________________ 23 8 0, 2.3, 6.8, 9.03, 11.27 15,Lindenwood,_______________________________ 12 20 0, -0.4, 9.3, 8.86, 7.82 16,Rhode Island,_____________________________ 21 14 0, 0.7, 7.7, 8.40, 8.15 17,Arizona,__________________________________ 17 21 0, -0.6, 8.9, 8.25, 6.23 18,Rutgers,__________________________________ 8 18 0, -0.5, 8.7, 8.18, 6.87 19,Illinois,_________________________________ 18 18 0, 0.3, 7.9, 8.13, 8.86 20,Mercyhurst,_______________________________ 19 17 0, 0.6, 7.5, 8.13, 8.61 21,Buffalo,__________________________________ 24 9 0, 2.2, 5.9, 8.07, 7.90 22,Syracuse,_________________________________ 20 7 0, 2.4, 5.6, 7.97, 8.47 23,John Carroll,_____________________________ 21 14 0, 1.1, 6.7, 7.86, 8.55 24,Wayne State,______________________________ 14 15 0, 0.6, 7.2, 7.83, 7.66 25,Niagara,__________________________________ 16 9 0, 1.0, 6.7, 7.70, 10.21 26,West Virginia,____________________________ 15 19 0, -0.1, 7.8, 7.67, 8.01 27,Lebanon Valley,___________________________ 14 16 0, -0.5, 7.8, 7.26, 8.80 28,Michigan-Dearborn,________________________ 19 21 0, -0.7, 7.7, 7.00, 6.41 29,Colorado State,___________________________ 12 25 0, -1.5, 8.5, 7.00, 6.91 30,Drexel,___________________________________ 15 13 0, 0.7, 6.2, 6.87, 7.85 31,Oswego State,_____________________________ 17 9 0, 2.1, 4.7, 6.86, 6.06 32,Rochester College,________________________ 14 18 0, -0.5, 7.2, 6.77, 7.85 33,Duquesne,_________________________________ 17 12 0, 0.8, 5.8, 6.55, 5.27 34,Pittsburgh,_______________________________ 13 16 0, -0.1, 6.6, 6.48, 6.28 35,West Chester,_____________________________ 12 21 0, -1.1, 7.6, 6.47, 6.16 36,Eastern Michigan,_________________________ 16 23 0, -1.4, 7.7, 6.25, 5.53 37,Western Michigan,_________________________ 11 24 0, -1.7, 7.9, 6.15, 6.67 38,Towson,___________________________________ 13 13 0, -0.7, 6.7, 6.06, 4.66 39,Kent State,_______________________________ 7 27 0, -1.8, 7.8, 6.00, 4.60 40,Villanova,________________________________ 18 11 0, 0.9, 5.1, 5.94, 5.01 41,Colorado,_________________________________ 11 21 0, -1.9, 7.8, 5.86, 6.79 42,Robert Morris Pennsylvania,_______________ 15 13 0, -0.5, 6.2, 5.70, 3.26 43,Indiana,__________________________________ 7 21 0, -2.6, 8.0, 5.46, 4.86 44,Penn State Berks,_________________________ 14 15 0, 0.6, 4.9, 5.43, 6.03 45,Indiana Pennsylvania,_____________________ 8 21 0, -1.5, 6.4, 4.95, 5.31 46,Canisius,_________________________________ 18 23 0, -0.6, 5.3, 4.72, 4.44 47,Slippery Rock,____________________________ 11 15 0, -0.8, 5.3, 4.49, 6.10 48,North Dakota State,_______________________ 12 13 0, -0.9, 4.4, 3.50, 3.57 49,Lehigh,___________________________________ 4 24 0, -3.0, 6.4, 3.43, 2.80 50,Binghamton,_______________________________ 7 13 0, -1.1, 4.1, 2.97, 3.07 51,Cornell,__________________________________ 7 13 0, -1.3, 3.9, 2.68, 3.10 52,Rochester Inst of Tech,___________________ 9 18 0, -1.6, 4.2, 2.60, 2.77 53,Saint Bonaventure,________________________ 8 13 0, -1.9, 4.2, 2.27, 3.68 54,Cortland State,___________________________ 6 16 0, -2.1, 4.2, 2.06, 1.41 55,Ithaca,___________________________________ 7 18 0, -1.8, 3.8, 1.99, 1.39 56,Washington & Jefferson,___________________ 7 14 0, -1.8, 3.5, 1.64, 2.22 57,Scranton,_________________________________ 4 19 0, -4.0, 5.5, 1.51, 0.35 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) Division 1 RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,Arizona State,____________________________ 32 2 0, 0.9, 7.4, 8.29, 7.77 2,Liberty,__________________________________ 28 8 0, 0.6, 7.4, 8.00, 8.31 3,Stony Brook,______________________________ 24 7 0, 0.5, 7.3, 7.87, 8.10 4,Robert Morris Illinois,___________________ 28 8 0, 0.6, 7.3, 7.85, 7.23 5,Oklahoma,_________________________________ 26 8 0, 0.5, 7.3, 7.82, 8.24 6,Delaware,_________________________________ 24 12 0, 0.3, 7.4, 7.74, 7.47 7,Ohio,_____________________________________ 29 9 0, 0.5, 7.2, 7.73, 7.87 8,Iowa State,_______________________________ 32 12 0, 0.5, 7.3, 7.71, 7.95 9,Adrian,___________________________________ 28 6 0, 0.6, 7.0, 7.69, 7.69 10,Minot State,______________________________ 21 10 0, 0.4, 7.3, 7.64, 7.58 11,Central Oklahoma,_________________________ 25 17 0, 0.1, 7.3, 7.49, 7.42 12,Davenport,________________________________ 23 13 0, 0.3, 7.2, 7.44, 7.89 13,Arizona,__________________________________ 17 21 0, -0.1, 7.5, 7.44, 7.02 14,Navy,_____________________________________ 23 8 0, 0.5, 6.9, 7.42, 7.83 15,Rhode Island,_____________________________ 21 14 0, 0.2, 7.2, 7.35, 6.64 16,Oakland,__________________________________ 21 15 0, 0.2, 7.2, 7.35, 7.60 17,Lindenwood,_______________________________ 12 20 0, -0.3, 7.5, 7.27, 7.16 18,Illinois,_________________________________ 18 18 0, 0.0, 7.2, 7.25, 7.12 19,Buffalo,__________________________________ 24 9 0, 0.5, 6.7, 7.18, 7.33 20,Niagara,__________________________________ 16 9 0, 0.3, 6.9, 7.17, 8.07 21,Syracuse,_________________________________ 20 7 0, 0.5, 6.7, 7.14, 7.22 22,Mercyhurst,_______________________________ 19 17 0, 0.1, 7.1, 7.13, 7.13 23,Wayne State,______________________________ 14 15 0, 0.2, 6.9, 7.10, 6.55 24,Lebanon Valley,___________________________ 14 16 0, -0.1, 7.2, 7.10, 7.70 25,John Carroll,_____________________________ 21 14 0, 0.2, 6.9, 7.08, 7.28 26,West Virginia,____________________________ 15 19 0, -0.1, 7.2, 7.06, 7.07 27,Rutgers,__________________________________ 8 18 0, -0.4, 7.4, 7.04, 6.61 28,Colorado State,___________________________ 12 25 0, -0.4, 7.4, 7.03, 7.30 29,Michigan-Dearborn,________________________ 19 21 0, -0.1, 7.0, 6.99, 6.60 30,Towson,___________________________________ 13 13 0, 0.0, 6.9, 6.94, 6.65 31,Drexel,___________________________________ 15 13 0, 0.1, 6.8, 6.91, 7.54 32,Colorado,_________________________________ 11 21 0, -0.4, 7.3, 6.91, 7.15 33,Eastern Michigan,_________________________ 16 23 0, -0.2, 7.1, 6.89, 6.93 34,West Chester,_____________________________ 12 21 0, -0.3, 7.1, 6.87, 6.82 35,Duquesne,_________________________________ 17 12 0, 0.2, 6.7, 6.85, 6.82 36,Villanova,________________________________ 18 11 0, 0.2, 6.6, 6.85, 6.39 37,Oswego State,_____________________________ 17 9 0, 0.3, 6.5, 6.81, 6.83 38,Rochester College,________________________ 14 18 0, -0.2, 7.0, 6.79, 6.89 39,Robert Morris Pennsylvania,_______________ 15 13 0, 0.0, 6.8, 6.77, 5.89 40,Indiana,__________________________________ 7 21 0, -0.5, 7.2, 6.76, 6.57 41,Pittsburgh,_______________________________ 13 16 0, -0.1, 6.9, 6.76, 6.70 42,Western Michigan,_________________________ 11 24 0, -0.4, 7.1, 6.66, 6.97 43,North Dakota State,_______________________ 12 13 0, 0.0, 6.6, 6.57, 6.33 44,Penn State Berks,_________________________ 14 15 0, -0.0, 6.5, 6.50, 6.30 45,Kent State,_______________________________ 7 27 0, -0.6, 7.1, 6.50, 6.26 46,Canisius,_________________________________ 18 23 0, -0.1, 6.6, 6.45, 6.46 47,Slippery Rock,____________________________ 11 15 0, -0.2, 6.6, 6.41, 6.75 48,Indiana Pennsylvania,_____________________ 8 21 0, -0.4, 6.8, 6.35, 6.64 49,Lehigh,___________________________________ 4 24 0, -0.7, 6.9, 6.14, 5.89 50,Saint Bonaventure,________________________ 8 13 0, -0.3, 6.4, 6.10, 6.89 51,Binghamton,_______________________________ 7 13 0, -0.3, 6.4, 6.08, 5.75 52,Rochester Inst of Tech,___________________ 9 18 0, -0.3, 6.4, 6.05, 5.44 53,Cornell,__________________________________ 7 13 0, -0.3, 6.3, 6.04, 6.32 54,Scranton,_________________________________ 4 19 0, -0.7, 6.6, 5.98, 5.90 55,Cortland State,___________________________ 6 16 0, -0.5, 6.4, 5.96, 5.72 56,Ithaca,___________________________________ 7 18 0, -0.4, 6.3, 5.89, 5.42 57,Washington & Jefferson,___________________ 7 14 0, -0.3, 6.2, 5.87, 6.23 The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Actually, there are two different rankings listed below. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 7. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Currently, teams with as few as 3 scores are ranked. The more games that go into a team's ranking, the more accurate their ranking will be. Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States High School National Rankings New England Prep Midget Minor AAA Midget Major AAA Men's NCAA D1 USHL NAHL ACHA College ClubUSHSHO.com High School Ice Hockey Forums
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