Scores that ratings are based upon. Scores through December 2, 2012. Previous Rankings New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting.
Maximum Goal Differential = 7 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below Division 1 RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,Arizona State,____________________________ 18 1 1, 3.5, 9.1, 12.59, 13.67 2,Adrian,___________________________________ 19 2 0, 3.4, 8.3, 11.73, 11.38 3,Robert Morris Illinois,___________________ 15 1 1, 3.1, 8.3, 11.34, 12.03 4,Minot State,______________________________ 11 4 1, 2.2, 9.1, 11.33, 13.31 5,Lindenwood,_______________________________ 7 8 1, 0.2, 10.2, 10.39, 10.87 6,Stony Brook,______________________________ 9 6 0, 1.3, 9.1, 10.39, 10.06 7,Davenport,________________________________ 15 6 2, 1.6, 8.7, 10.27, 9.79 8,Ohio,_____________________________________ 14 4 2, 1.5, 8.6, 10.15, 9.98 9,Oklahoma,_________________________________ 12 7 1, 1.4, 8.7, 10.10, 9.29 10,Liberty,__________________________________ 11 9 2, 1.4, 8.5, 9.87, 10.67 11,Illinois,_________________________________ 12 7 2, 0.5, 9.2, 9.69, 7.38 12,Oakland,__________________________________ 9 10 3, 0.5, 9.2, 9.66, 8.92 13,Iowa State,_______________________________ 12 11 1, 1.0, 8.5, 9.45, 9.74 14,Delaware,_________________________________ 10 7 0, 0.4, 8.9, 9.28, 11.75 15,Rutgers,__________________________________ 10 5 0, 1.5, 7.7, 9.23, 10.25 16,Rhode Island,_____________________________ 12 6 2, 1.1, 8.0, 9.08, 7.46 17,Central Oklahoma,_________________________ 9 9 2, 0.0, 9.0, 9.00, 9.66 18,Navy,_____________________________________ 16 4 2, 2.7, 6.2, 8.92, 9.33 19,Arizona,__________________________________ 9 9 1, -0.4, 9.3, 8.89, 9.02 20,Niagara,__________________________________ 13 3 0, 2.4, 6.2, 8.60, 9.39 21,Eastern Michigan,_________________________ 9 14 2, -0.4, 8.8, 8.39, 7.99 22,Buffalo,__________________________________ 16 4 2, 3.5, 4.8, 8.36, 9.21 23,Michigan-Dearborn,________________________ 13 6 1, 0.6, 7.4, 7.97, 6.95 24,Lebanon Valley,___________________________ 10 2 3, 1.5, 6.4, 7.96, 7.10 25,Drexel,___________________________________ 7 7 1, 0.4, 7.1, 7.48, 8.18 26,West Chester,_____________________________ 7 9 3, -0.5, 7.8, 7.23, 5.85 27,West Virginia,____________________________ 5 9 0, -0.3, 7.4, 7.16, 7.02 28,Indiana,__________________________________ 8 9 1, 0.5, 6.4, 6.88, 7.12 29,John Carroll,_____________________________ 11 9 0, 0.2, 6.5, 6.72, 6.70 30,Syracuse,_________________________________ 9 7 2, 0.1, 6.7, 6.72, 5.42 31,Indiana Pennsylvania,_____________________ 11 7 0, 1.4, 5.2, 6.62, 5.07 32,Towson,___________________________________ 13 4 2, 1.2, 5.3, 6.43, 6.03 33,Mercyhurst,_______________________________ 11 10 0, 0.1, 6.2, 6.35, 5.31 34,Pittsburgh,_______________________________ 7 11 1, -0.3, 6.5, 6.15, 5.39 35,Duquesne,_________________________________ 11 9 1, 0.4, 5.7, 6.11, 7.14 36,North Dakota State,_______________________ 4 9 0, -1.8, 7.8, 5.97, 4.16 37,Western Michigan,_________________________ 3 17 1, -3.1, 8.4, 5.33, 4.57 38,Canisius,_________________________________ 16 6 1, 1.6, 3.7, 5.31, 5.55 39,Kent State,_______________________________ 4 16 0, -3.1, 8.3, 5.16, 6.44 40,Ithaca,___________________________________ 7 8 2, 0.4, 4.6, 4.94, 6.60 41,Lehigh,___________________________________ 12 8 1, 0.4, 4.4, 4.78, 3.10 42,Villanova,________________________________ 8 12 0, -0.7, 5.4, 4.70, 5.20 43,Oswego State,_____________________________ 8 8 1, 0.0, 4.7, 4.67, 4.06 44,Penn State Berks,_________________________ 5 14 0, -0.9, 5.4, 4.49, 5.10 45,Robert Morris Pennsylvania,_______________ 5 12 1, -1.8, 6.1, 4.25, 4.15 46,Binghamton,_______________________________ 6 5 2, -0.2, 4.2, 3.99, 3.34 47,Slippery Rock,____________________________ 5 15 1, -1.9, 5.6, 3.65, 2.81 48,Rochester Inst of Tech,___________________ 4 11 0, -1.6, 5.2, 3.57, 4.04 49,Cortland State,___________________________ 3 10 1, -2.1, 5.6, 3.48, 4.43 50,Scranton,_________________________________ 3 10 0, -2.9, 6.1, 3.22, 4.50 51,Saint Bonaventure,________________________ 3 6 2, -1.8, 4.9, 3.08, 3.50 52,Cornell,__________________________________ 3 11 2, -2.7, 5.7, 2.93, 4.29 53,Rochester,________________________________ 6 8 0, -0.9, 2.5, 1.56, 0.79 54,Youngstown State,_________________________ 0 17 0, -5.2, 5.3, 0.11, 0.82 55,Washington & Jefferson,___________________ 0 4 0, -5.3, 5.2, -0.00 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) Division 1 RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,Arizona State,____________________________ 18 1 1, 0.8, 7.5, 8.38, 8.55 2,Robert Morris Illinois,___________________ 15 1 1, 0.8, 7.3, 8.10, 7.93 3,Adrian,___________________________________ 19 2 0, 0.8, 7.3, 8.07, 8.16 4,Minot State,______________________________ 11 4 1, 0.4, 7.5, 7.94, 8.03 5,Ohio,_____________________________________ 14 4 2, 0.5, 7.3, 7.82, 7.82 6,Oklahoma,_________________________________ 12 7 1, 0.3, 7.5, 7.78, 7.76 7,Illinois,_________________________________ 12 7 2, 0.2, 7.5, 7.76, 7.18 8,Davenport,________________________________ 15 6 2, 0.4, 7.3, 7.73, 7.64 9,Lindenwood,_______________________________ 7 8 1, -0.1, 7.8, 7.70, 7.82 10,Stony Brook,______________________________ 9 6 0, 0.2, 7.5, 7.68, 7.92 11,Rhode Island,_____________________________ 12 6 2, 0.3, 7.3, 7.60, 6.88 12,Delaware,_________________________________ 10 7 0, 0.2, 7.4, 7.59, 8.15 13,Rutgers,__________________________________ 10 5 0, 0.3, 7.2, 7.57, 7.78 14,Arizona,__________________________________ 9 9 1, 0.0, 7.6, 7.56, 7.52 15,Central Oklahoma,_________________________ 9 9 2, 0.0, 7.4, 7.45, 7.66 16,Niagara,__________________________________ 13 3 0, 0.6, 6.8, 7.43, 7.57 17,Navy,_____________________________________ 16 4 2, 0.5, 6.9, 7.42, 7.33 18,Iowa State,_______________________________ 12 11 1, 0.0, 7.4, 7.41, 7.62 19,Oakland,__________________________________ 9 10 3, -0.0, 7.4, 7.40, 7.03 20,Liberty,__________________________________ 11 9 2, 0.1, 7.3, 7.40, 7.78 21,Lebanon Valley,___________________________ 10 2 3, 0.5, 6.9, 7.39, 7.34 22,Michigan-Dearborn,________________________ 13 6 1, 0.3, 6.9, 7.25, 6.86 23,Eastern Michigan,_________________________ 9 14 2, -0.2, 7.4, 7.22, 7.23 24,Drexel,___________________________________ 7 7 1, 0.0, 7.1, 7.10, 7.65 25,West Chester,_____________________________ 7 9 3, -0.1, 7.2, 7.10, 6.59 26,Syracuse,_________________________________ 9 7 2, 0.1, 7.0, 7.08, 6.73 27,Buffalo,__________________________________ 16 4 2, 0.5, 6.5, 7.07, 7.21 28,Towson,___________________________________ 13 4 2, 0.5, 6.6, 7.06, 6.95 29,John Carroll,_____________________________ 11 9 0, 0.1, 6.9, 6.98, 7.02 30,North Dakota State,_______________________ 4 9 0, -0.4, 7.2, 6.78, 6.64 31,West Virginia,____________________________ 5 9 0, -0.3, 7.0, 6.76, 6.72 32,Indiana,__________________________________ 8 9 1, -0.1, 6.8, 6.73, 6.90 33,Duquesne,_________________________________ 11 9 1, 0.1, 6.6, 6.71, 6.96 34,Mercyhurst,_______________________________ 11 10 0, 0.0, 6.7, 6.70, 6.50 35,Indiana Pennsylvania,_____________________ 11 7 0, 0.2, 6.5, 6.69, 6.48 36,Lehigh,___________________________________ 12 8 1, 0.2, 6.5, 6.68, 6.21 37,Canisius,_________________________________ 16 6 1, 0.4, 6.2, 6.68, 6.87 38,Western Michigan,_________________________ 3 17 1, -0.7, 7.3, 6.63, 6.75 39,Kent State,_______________________________ 4 16 0, -0.6, 7.2, 6.63, 7.00 40,Pittsburgh,_______________________________ 7 11 1, -0.2, 6.8, 6.59, 5.97 41,Oswego State,_____________________________ 8 8 1, 0.0, 6.6, 6.55, 6.68 42,Binghamton,_______________________________ 6 5 2, 0.1, 6.4, 6.52, 6.19 43,Ithaca,___________________________________ 7 8 2, -0.1, 6.5, 6.44, 6.69 44,Villanova,________________________________ 8 12 0, -0.2, 6.6, 6.43, 6.39 45,Robert Morris Pennsylvania,_______________ 5 12 1, -0.4, 6.7, 6.36, 6.47 46,Saint Bonaventure,________________________ 3 6 2, -0.3, 6.6, 6.34, 6.35 47,Scranton,_________________________________ 3 10 0, -0.5, 6.8, 6.30, 6.63 48,Cornell,__________________________________ 3 11 2, -0.5, 6.8, 6.28, 6.57 49,Cortland State,___________________________ 3 10 1, -0.5, 6.7, 6.23, 6.35 50,Slippery Rock,____________________________ 5 15 1, -0.5, 6.7, 6.19, 6.27 51,Rochester Inst of Tech,___________________ 4 11 0, -0.5, 6.6, 6.17, 6.61 52,Penn State Berks,_________________________ 5 14 0, -0.5, 6.6, 6.16, 6.28 53,Rochester,________________________________ 6 8 0, -0.1, 6.1, 5.91, 5.63 54,Youngstown State,_________________________ 0 17 0, -1.0, 6.5, 5.52, 5.56 55,Washington & Jefferson,___________________ 0 4 0, -1.0, 6.4, 5.43 The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Games that go to shootouts for decision are considered ties for ratings purposes. Actually, there are two different rankings listed below. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 7. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Currently, teams with as few as 3 scores are ranked. The more games that go into a team's ranking, the more accurate their ranking will be. Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States High School National Rankings New England Prep Midget Minor AAA Midget Major AAA Men's NCAA D1 USHL NAHL ACHA College ClubUSHSHO.com High School Ice Hockey Forums
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