Scores that ratings are based upon. Scores through March 6, 2013. Previous Rankings New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting.
Maximum Goal Differential = 7 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below Division 1 RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,Minot State,______________________________ 29 4 2, 3.0, 9.0, 11.98, 13.86 2,Arizona State,____________________________ 31 8 5, 2.0, 9.6, 11.61, 11.16 3,Robert Morris Illinois,___________________ 28 8 1, 2.5, 9.1, 11.54, 10.32 4,Adrian,___________________________________ 30 8 0, 2.9, 8.6, 11.46, 10.24 5,Oklahoma,_________________________________ 22 16 3, 1.0, 9.9, 10.90, 11.84 6,Ohio,_____________________________________ 28 10 2, 1.7, 9.2, 10.88, 11.85 7,Lindenwood,_______________________________ 16 16 1, 0.4, 10.5, 10.87, 11.26 8,Davenport,________________________________ 29 10 2, 1.9, 8.5, 10.35, 10.56 9,Illinois,_________________________________ 24 11 3, 0.8, 9.4, 10.23, 9.59 10,Iowa State,_______________________________ 25 18 2, 1.2, 9.0, 10.22, 9.95 11,Liberty,__________________________________ 22 14 4, 1.2, 8.7, 9.94, 8.78 12,Stony Brook,______________________________ 16 14 1, 0.7, 9.2, 9.91, 9.75 13,Delaware,_________________________________ 25 12 0, 1.4, 8.4, 9.88, 11.08 14,Oakland,__________________________________ 20 18 4, 0.8, 8.8, 9.56, 9.86 15,Central Oklahoma,_________________________ 22 15 2, 0.2, 8.9, 9.07, 8.57 16,Arizona,__________________________________ 12 23 3, -0.9, 9.6, 8.68, 8.18 17,Rhode Island,_____________________________ 19 13 3, 0.8, 7.8, 8.53, 8.47 18,Navy,_____________________________________ 27 7 2, 2.7, 5.8, 8.49, 7.27 19,Rutgers,__________________________________ 15 11 1, 0.7, 7.7, 8.35, 9.20 20,Michigan-Dearborn,________________________ 22 17 1, 0.1, 7.8, 7.84, 6.66 21,Niagara,__________________________________ 24 10 0, 2.2, 5.5, 7.77, 7.77 22,Eastern Michigan,_________________________ 14 26 5, -0.8, 8.5, 7.64, 8.12 23,Buffalo,__________________________________ 26 6 4, 3.0, 4.4, 7.39, 8.48 24,West Virginia,____________________________ 14 15 2, 0.1, 7.2, 7.34, 7.03 25,Indiana,__________________________________ 13 15 2, 0.1, 6.9, 7.08, 6.59 26,Lebanon Valley,___________________________ 18 9 3, 1.4, 5.6, 7.00, 5.44 27,Mercyhurst,_______________________________ 25 14 2, 0.9, 5.9, 6.87, 7.69 28,John Carroll,_____________________________ 20 15 0, 0.6, 6.2, 6.77, 6.69 29,West Chester,_____________________________ 13 16 4, -0.8, 7.6, 6.75, 5.56 30,Towson,___________________________________ 22 8 2, 1.1, 5.3, 6.41, 8.40 31,Drexel,___________________________________ 16 16 1, 0.3, 5.9, 6.25, 4.56 32,North Dakota State,_______________________ 8 15 0, -1.4, 7.5, 6.09, 6.16 33,Pittsburgh,_______________________________ 14 17 1, 0.3, 5.7, 6.08, 6.14 34,Indiana Pennsylvania,_____________________ 15 13 0, 0.8, 5.0, 5.81, 4.38 35,Syracuse,_________________________________ 13 11 5, 0.4, 5.3, 5.71, 4.35 36,Duquesne,_________________________________ 19 14 1, 0.7, 4.9, 5.65, 6.45 37,Western Michigan,_________________________ 5 33 1, -3.8, 8.5, 4.73, 3.67 38,Lehigh,___________________________________ 14 13 1, -0.1, 4.6, 4.58, 5.04 39,Canisius,_________________________________ 22 14 2, 0.8, 3.6, 4.38, 4.23 40,Kent State,_______________________________ 4 30 0, -3.9, 8.3, 4.35, 5.45 41,Robert Morris Pennsylvania,_______________ 9 20 2, -1.6, 5.8, 4.18, 4.14 42,Ithaca,___________________________________ 14 12 4, 0.5, 3.7, 4.12, 4.09 43,Villanova,________________________________ 9 20 0, -1.5, 5.5, 3.99, 2.26 44,Oswego State,_____________________________ 11 14 3, -0.6, 4.6, 3.91, 3.57 45,Penn State Berks,_________________________ 8 22 0, -1.4, 5.2, 3.83, 5.31 46,Slippery Rock,____________________________ 9 19 1, -1.6, 5.3, 3.75, 3.32 47,Binghamton,_______________________________ 9 11 3, -1.0, 4.2, 3.25, 4.27 48,Cortland State,___________________________ 7 13 2, -1.0, 4.0, 2.98, 4.13 49,Scranton,_________________________________ 4 17 0, -3.0, 5.4, 2.46, 2.10 50,Cornell,__________________________________ 3 17 3, -2.7, 5.0, 2.33, 2.62 51,Saint Bonaventure,________________________ 5 12 3, -2.5, 4.4, 1.91, -0.33 52,Rochester Inst of Tech,___________________ 5 23 0, -2.5, 4.2, 1.71, 1.10 53,Rochester,________________________________ 8 11 0, -0.6, 1.8, 1.19, 0.56 54,Youngstown State,_________________________ 3 27 0, -4.2, 4.8, 0.64, 0.99 55,Washington & Jefferson,___________________ 2 11 0, -4.2, 2.9, -1.38, -2.37 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) Division 1 RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,Minot State,______________________________ 29 4 2, 0.7, 7.6, 8.27, 8.89 2,Arizona State,____________________________ 31 8 5, 0.5, 7.7, 8.17, 8.14 3,Robert Morris Illinois,___________________ 28 8 1, 0.5, 7.5, 8.03, 7.64 4,Ohio,_____________________________________ 28 10 2, 0.5, 7.5, 7.95, 8.42 5,Adrian,___________________________________ 30 8 0, 0.6, 7.4, 7.94, 7.24 6,Illinois,_________________________________ 24 11 3, 0.3, 7.6, 7.91, 7.72 7,Oklahoma,_________________________________ 22 16 3, 0.1, 7.8, 7.90, 7.94 8,Lindenwood,_______________________________ 16 16 1, 0.0, 7.8, 7.82, 8.22 9,Davenport,________________________________ 29 10 2, 0.5, 7.3, 7.79, 8.04 10,Iowa State,_______________________________ 25 18 2, 0.2, 7.6, 7.71, 7.67 11,Delaware,_________________________________ 25 12 0, 0.4, 7.3, 7.63, 7.48 12,Central Oklahoma,_________________________ 22 15 2, 0.2, 7.4, 7.61, 7.62 13,Liberty,__________________________________ 22 14 4, 0.2, 7.4, 7.57, 7.26 14,Stony Brook,______________________________ 16 14 1, 0.1, 7.5, 7.53, 7.70 15,Oakland,__________________________________ 20 18 4, 0.0, 7.4, 7.47, 7.33 16,Arizona,__________________________________ 12 23 3, -0.3, 7.6, 7.35, 7.13 17,Rhode Island,_____________________________ 19 13 3, 0.2, 7.2, 7.33, 6.98 18,Rutgers,__________________________________ 15 11 1, 0.1, 7.1, 7.27, 7.53 19,Michigan-Dearborn,________________________ 22 17 1, 0.1, 7.1, 7.22, 6.77 20,Navy,_____________________________________ 27 7 2, 0.6, 6.7, 7.21, 7.01 21,Niagara,__________________________________ 24 10 0, 0.4, 6.7, 7.09, 6.90 22,Eastern Michigan,_________________________ 14 26 5, -0.3, 7.3, 7.05, 7.04 23,West Chester,_____________________________ 13 16 4, -0.1, 7.1, 6.99, 7.05 24,Lebanon Valley,___________________________ 18 9 3, 0.3, 6.7, 6.98, 6.38 25,West Virginia,____________________________ 14 15 2, -0.0, 7.0, 6.98, 6.94 26,Towson,___________________________________ 22 8 2, 0.4, 6.5, 6.97, 7.39 27,Buffalo,__________________________________ 26 6 4, 0.6, 6.4, 6.96, 7.39 28,Mercyhurst,_______________________________ 25 14 2, 0.3, 6.7, 6.96, 7.37 29,Indiana,__________________________________ 13 15 2, -0.1, 7.0, 6.93, 7.12 30,John Carroll,_____________________________ 20 15 0, 0.1, 6.8, 6.93, 6.54 31,North Dakota State,_______________________ 8 15 0, -0.3, 7.2, 6.92, 7.07 32,Drexel,___________________________________ 16 16 1, 0.0, 6.7, 6.74, 6.31 33,Syracuse,_________________________________ 13 11 5, 0.1, 6.6, 6.67, 6.24 34,Duquesne,_________________________________ 19 14 1, 0.1, 6.5, 6.62, 7.01 35,Western Michigan,_________________________ 5 33 1, -0.7, 7.3, 6.60, 6.36 36,Pittsburgh,_______________________________ 14 17 1, -0.1, 6.7, 6.59, 6.44 37,Indiana Pennsylvania,_____________________ 15 13 0, 0.1, 6.5, 6.57, 6.22 38,Kent State,_______________________________ 4 30 0, -0.8, 7.3, 6.51, 6.72 39,Lehigh,___________________________________ 14 13 1, 0.0, 6.5, 6.49, 6.55 40,Canisius,_________________________________ 22 14 2, 0.2, 6.2, 6.44, 6.23 41,Robert Morris Pennsylvania,_______________ 9 20 2, -0.4, 6.7, 6.34, 6.40 42,Ithaca,___________________________________ 14 12 4, 0.1, 6.3, 6.32, 6.26 43,Oswego State,_____________________________ 11 14 3, -0.1, 6.4, 6.32, 6.40 44,Binghamton,_______________________________ 9 11 3, -0.1, 6.4, 6.30, 6.51 45,Slippery Rock,____________________________ 9 19 1, -0.3, 6.6, 6.26, 6.46 46,Villanova,________________________________ 9 20 0, -0.4, 6.6, 6.26, 6.07 47,Penn State Berks,_________________________ 8 22 0, -0.5, 6.5, 6.07, 6.48 48,Cortland State,___________________________ 7 13 2, -0.3, 6.3, 6.06, 6.25 49,Saint Bonaventure,________________________ 5 12 3, -0.3, 6.4, 6.03, 5.86 50,Scranton,_________________________________ 4 17 0, -0.6, 6.6, 5.99, 5.71 51,Cornell,__________________________________ 3 17 3, -0.6, 6.5, 5.94, 5.68 52,Rochester,________________________________ 8 11 0, -0.2, 6.0, 5.80, 5.62 53,Rochester Inst of Tech,___________________ 5 23 0, -0.6, 6.4, 5.73, 5.58 54,Youngstown State,_________________________ 3 27 0, -0.8, 6.5, 5.69, 6.06 55,Washington & Jefferson,___________________ 2 11 0, -0.7, 6.1, 5.44, 5.22 The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Games that go to shootouts for decision are considered ties for ratings purposes. Actually, there are two different rankings listed below. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 7. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Currently, teams with as few as 3 scores are ranked. The more games that go into a team's ranking, the more accurate their ranking will be. Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States High School National Rankings New England Prep Midget Minor AAA Midget Major AAA Men's NCAA D1 USHL NAHL ACHA College ClubUSHSHO.com High School Ice Hockey Forums
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