Scores (sorted by team) through January 31, 2009 courtesy of USCHO.com . Previous Rankings New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting. More scores give better rankings, Minimum 3 Scores vs. D1 Competition to be Ranked Maximum Goal Differential = 7 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Boston University,_________________ 19 5 1, 1.8, 7.6, 9.40, 10.43 2,Notre Dame,________________________ 20 4 3, 1.7, 7.3, 9.00, 8.91 3,Michigan,__________________________ 19 9 0, 1.2, 7.6, 8.75, 8.98 4,Denver,____________________________ 16 8 3, 1.1, 7.6, 8.71, 7.29 5,Miami,_____________________________ 16 8 4, 1.2, 7.3, 8.55, 10.21 6,St Cloud State,____________________ 14 12 2, 0.8, 7.6, 8.38, 8.59 7,Wisconsin,_________________________ 14 11 3, 0.7, 7.6, 8.33, 9.20 8,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 14 8 6, 0.6, 7.7, 8.32, 9.31 9,Northeastern,______________________ 17 6 2, 1.0, 7.3, 8.30, 7.98 10,Vermont,___________________________ 14 6 4, 0.5, 7.8, 8.28, 8.00 11,North Dakota,______________________ 16 11 3, 0.7, 7.5, 8.20, 9.87 12,Minnesota,_________________________ 12 7 5, 0.4, 7.7, 8.12, 7.03 13,Boston College,____________________ 11 8 4, 0.4, 7.7, 8.10, 7.98 14,Ohio State,________________________ 17 8 3, 0.8, 7.1, 7.92, 6.86 15,Mass-Lowell,_______________________ 12 12 0, 0.6, 7.3, 7.92, 7.92 16,Alaska,____________________________ 12 10 6, 0.4, 7.5, 7.84, 6.95 17,Massachusetts,_____________________ 11 11 3, 0.7, 7.1, 7.81, 8.01 18,New Hampshire,_____________________ 12 8 4, -0.0, 7.8, 7.75, 7.79 19,St Lawrence,_______________________ 14 10 2, 0.7, 7.0, 7.71, 8.76 20,Cornell,___________________________ 14 3 4, 0.9, 6.8, 7.64, 5.97 21,Lake Superior,_____________________ 9 11 8, 0.4, 7.3, 7.61, 8.53 22,Minnesota State,___________________ 13 13 3, 0.1, 7.5, 7.58, 8.96 23,Princeton,_________________________ 15 6 0, 1.1, 6.5, 7.58, 5.41 24,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 13 10 6, 0.3, 7.2, 7.49, 5.70 25,Air Force,_________________________ 17 7 2, 1.8, 5.6, 7.45, 6.01 26,Ferris State,______________________ 11 11 6, 0.1, 7.1, 7.29, 8.30 27,Yale,______________________________ 15 5 1, 1.0, 6.3, 7.23, 8.61 28,Colorado College,__________________ 13 9 6, 0.0, 7.2, 7.22, 6.00 29,Northern Michigan,_________________ 9 13 4, -0.3, 7.5, 7.20, 8.30 30,Maine,_____________________________ 10 12 3, -0.2, 7.3, 7.16, 5.44 31,Dartmouth,_________________________ 11 7 3, 0.6, 6.5, 7.05, 6.33 32,Quinnipiac,________________________ 14 10 2, 0.7, 6.3, 7.00, 4.85 33,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 9 11 4, -0.5, 7.5, 6.93, 5.67 34,Merrimack,_________________________ 5 16 3, -0.7, 7.4, 6.77, 6.38 35,Bowling Green,_____________________ 9 16 3, -1.0, 7.7, 6.76, 6.21 36,Bemidji State,_____________________ 11 13 0, -0.3, 6.9, 6.70, 7.47 37,Niagara,___________________________ 12 10 2, 0.2, 6.5, 6.67, 7.30 38,Western Michigan,__________________ 7 15 6, -0.8, 7.5, 6.66, 8.16 39,Michigan State,____________________ 7 18 3, -1.5, 8.0, 6.57, 5.25 40,Union,_____________________________ 12 12 2, -0.1, 6.5, 6.42, 5.87 41,RIT,_______________________________ 16 9 1, 0.7, 5.6, 6.36, 7.43 42,Mercyhurst,________________________ 12 12 3, 0.4, 5.9, 6.29, 9.41 43,Providence,________________________ 7 14 3, -1.3, 7.5, 6.26, 7.12 44,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 5 18 5, -1.6, 7.8, 6.17, 6.39 45,Colgate,___________________________ 7 14 5, -0.8, 6.9, 6.13, 4.97 46,Clarkson,__________________________ 7 14 5, -0.8, 6.7, 5.88, 6.24 47,Canisius,__________________________ 10 10 5, 0.1, 5.7, 5.82, 6.26 48,Bentley,___________________________ 13 12 1, -0.0, 5.8, 5.80, 6.67 49,Harvard,___________________________ 5 11 4, -1.1, 6.7, 5.59, 5.38 50,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 4 13 3, -1.0, 6.6, 5.56, 5.00 51,Holy Cross,________________________ 10 11 5, -0.3, 5.8, 5.49, 6.06 52,Rensselaer,________________________ 6 18 2, -1.6, 7.0, 5.41, 5.88 53,Robert Morris,_____________________ 5 15 4, -1.3, 6.6, 5.35, 5.99 54,Army,______________________________ 7 16 3, -1.2, 6.0, 4.82, 3.60 55,Brown,_____________________________ 2 15 4, -2.0, 6.7, 4.63, 4.84 56,Sacred Heart,______________________ 6 16 4, -1.6, 6.2, 4.56, 3.71 57,Connecticut,_______________________ 6 20 1, -1.8, 6.1, 4.30, 2.63 58,American Int'l,____________________ 4 20 1, -2.3, 5.9, 3.60, 2.66 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Boston University,_________________ 19 5 1, 0.6, 7.2, 7.74, 8.10 2,Notre Dame,________________________ 20 4 3, 0.6, 7.0, 7.62, 7.62 3,Vermont,___________________________ 14 6 4, 0.3, 7.3, 7.59, 7.35 4,Northeastern,______________________ 17 6 2, 0.4, 7.1, 7.58, 7.40 5,Cornell,___________________________ 14 3 4, 0.5, 7.0, 7.50, 6.85 6,Michigan,__________________________ 19 9 0, 0.4, 7.1, 7.49, 7.77 7,Denver,____________________________ 16 8 3, 0.3, 7.2, 7.45, 7.09 8,New Hampshire,_____________________ 12 8 4, 0.2, 7.2, 7.41, 7.66 9,Minnesota,_________________________ 12 7 5, 0.2, 7.2, 7.40, 7.03 10,Miami,_____________________________ 16 8 4, 0.3, 7.1, 7.38, 7.78 11,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 14 8 6, 0.2, 7.1, 7.35, 7.74 12,Boston College,____________________ 11 8 4, 0.1, 7.2, 7.34, 7.16 13,Princeton,_________________________ 15 6 0, 0.4, 6.9, 7.34, 6.52 14,North Dakota,______________________ 16 11 3, 0.2, 7.2, 7.32, 7.63 15,Yale,______________________________ 15 5 1, 0.5, 6.8, 7.30, 7.97 16,Ohio State,________________________ 17 8 3, 0.3, 7.0, 7.30, 6.79 17,Wisconsin,_________________________ 14 11 3, 0.1, 7.2, 7.27, 7.42 18,St Cloud State,____________________ 14 12 2, 0.1, 7.2, 7.24, 7.28 19,St Lawrence,_______________________ 14 10 2, 0.2, 7.1, 7.24, 7.42 20,Colorado College,__________________ 13 9 6, 0.1, 7.0, 7.18, 6.84 21,Minnesota State,___________________ 13 13 3, 0.0, 7.2, 7.17, 7.51 22,Alaska,____________________________ 12 10 6, 0.1, 7.1, 7.16, 6.92 23,Dartmouth,_________________________ 11 7 3, 0.2, 6.9, 7.13, 6.84 24,Mass-Lowell,_______________________ 12 12 0, 0.0, 7.1, 7.11, 7.57 25,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 13 10 6, 0.1, 7.0, 7.11, 6.77 26,Massachusetts,_____________________ 11 11 3, 0.0, 7.1, 7.10, 7.35 27,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 9 11 4, -0.1, 7.1, 7.04, 6.91 28,Maine,_____________________________ 10 12 3, -0.1, 7.1, 7.03, 6.27 29,Quinnipiac,________________________ 14 10 2, 0.2, 6.9, 7.01, 6.48 30,Air Force,_________________________ 17 7 2, 0.4, 6.6, 7.01, 6.54 31,Ferris State,______________________ 11 11 6, 0.0, 7.0, 6.98, 7.33 32,Lake Superior,_____________________ 9 11 8, -0.1, 7.0, 6.97, 7.43 33,Northern Michigan,_________________ 9 13 4, -0.2, 7.1, 6.94, 7.81 34,Bowling Green,_____________________ 9 16 3, -0.3, 7.2, 6.93, 6.64 35,Niagara,___________________________ 12 10 2, 0.1, 6.8, 6.92, 7.10 36,Union,_____________________________ 12 12 2, 0.0, 6.9, 6.92, 6.51 37,Providence,________________________ 7 14 3, -0.3, 7.2, 6.87, 7.04 38,RIT,_______________________________ 16 9 1, 0.3, 6.6, 6.86, 7.30 39,Michigan State,____________________ 7 18 3, -0.4, 7.2, 6.84, 6.26 40,Bemidji State,_____________________ 11 13 0, -0.1, 6.9, 6.84, 7.00 41,Western Michigan,__________________ 7 15 6, -0.3, 7.1, 6.82, 6.98 42,Colgate,___________________________ 7 14 5, -0.3, 7.0, 6.77, 6.32 43,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 5 18 5, -0.5, 7.2, 6.74, 6.83 44,Clarkson,__________________________ 7 14 5, -0.3, 7.0, 6.73, 7.24 45,Bentley,___________________________ 13 12 1, 0.0, 6.7, 6.70, 6.89 46,Mercyhurst,________________________ 12 12 3, 0.0, 6.7, 6.68, 7.36 47,Merrimack,_________________________ 5 16 3, -0.5, 7.1, 6.68, 6.31 48,Harvard,___________________________ 5 11 4, -0.3, 7.0, 6.67, 6.82 49,Canisius,__________________________ 10 10 5, 0.0, 6.6, 6.62, 6.69 50,Holy Cross,________________________ 10 11 5, -0.0, 6.7, 6.61, 6.85 51,Rensselaer,________________________ 6 18 2, -0.5, 7.1, 6.60, 6.87 52,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 4 13 3, -0.5, 6.9, 6.41, 6.18 53,Robert Morris,_____________________ 5 15 4, -0.4, 6.8, 6.40, 6.41 54,Brown,_____________________________ 2 15 4, -0.6, 7.0, 6.39, 6.47 55,Sacred Heart,______________________ 6 16 4, -0.4, 6.8, 6.37, 6.26 56,Army,______________________________ 7 16 3, -0.3, 6.7, 6.35, 6.01 57,Connecticut,_______________________ 6 20 1, -0.5, 6.7, 6.21, 5.92 58,American Int'l,____________________ 4 20 1, -0.6, 6.7, 6.03, 5.65 Link to the 2007-2008 Final Rankings . The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Games that go to shootouts for decision are considered ties for ratings purposes. Actually, there are two different rankings listed. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 4. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). This was done because the NCAA has indicated that it does not want to consider goal differential in the selection process. Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Note that the current spread between #1 and #58 is about 1.7 . Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States High School National Rankings New England Prep Midget Minor AAA Midget Major AAA Men's NCAA D1 USHL NAHL ACHA College Club USHSHO.com High School Ice Hockey Forums
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