Scores (sorted by team) through February 4, 2007 courtesy of USCHO.com . Previous Rankings New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting. Maximum Goal Differential = 7 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Minnesota,_________________________ 23 5 3, 1.8, 7.7, 9.51, 8.45 2,New Hampshire,_____________________ 20 5 1, 1.9, 7.5, 9.39, 7.99 3,St Cloud State,____________________ 17 5 4, 1.3, 7.9, 9.22, 8.70 4,Notre Dame,________________________ 23 5 2, 1.9, 7.0, 8.93, 8.26 5,Maine,_____________________________ 17 8 2, 1.1, 7.5, 8.65, 7.92 6,Michigan,__________________________ 21 9 0, 1.3, 7.4, 8.63, 10.11 7,North Dakota,______________________ 15 11 2, 0.6, 8.0, 8.62, 10.78 8,Michigan State,____________________ 17 8 2, 0.9, 7.6, 8.52, 9.39 9,Colorado College,__________________ 16 10 2, 0.6, 7.8, 8.43, 8.68 10,Clarkson,__________________________ 17 7 4, 1.1, 7.2, 8.31, 7.90 11,Denver,____________________________ 20 10 2, 0.6, 7.6, 8.24, 8.67 12,Wisconsin,_________________________ 11 15 2, -0.0, 8.2, 8.12, 7.72 13,Vermont,___________________________ 15 9 4, 0.6, 7.5, 8.05, 6.37 14,Boston University,_________________ 13 5 8, 0.8, 7.2, 7.97, 7.22 15,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 12 14 4, 0.0, 7.9, 7.97, 8.49 16,Miami,_____________________________ 18 10 4, 0.7, 7.2, 7.89, 7.14 17,Boston College,____________________ 14 10 1, 0.4, 7.4, 7.82, 7.00 18,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 13 12 7, 0.8, 7.0, 7.78, 7.74 19,Quinnipiac,________________________ 13 9 5, 0.9, 6.9, 7.73, 7.48 20,Northeastern,______________________ 10 12 4, 0.0, 7.6, 7.62, 9.15 21,Minnesota State,___________________ 10 15 5, -0.6, 8.2, 7.60, 8.19 22,Massachusetts,_____________________ 13 9 4, 0.4, 7.1, 7.53, 9.03 23,Cornell,___________________________ 11 9 3, 0.4, 7.0, 7.39, 7.17 24,St Lawrence,_______________________ 15 11 2, 0.1, 7.2, 7.39, 6.88 25,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 11 14 3, -0.6, 8.0, 7.38, 6.12 26,Harvard,___________________________ 9 12 1, -0.0, 7.4, 7.31, 7.64 27,Lake Superior,_____________________ 15 12 3, 0.3, 7.0, 7.29, 6.62 28,Dartmouth,_________________________ 11 9 3, 0.2, 7.1, 7.25, 7.21 29,Ohio State,________________________ 10 13 5, -0.2, 7.4, 7.22, 5.70 30,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 10 17 3, -0.7, 7.9, 7.20, 7.40 31,Colgate,___________________________ 12 14 4, 0.1, 7.1, 7.15, 8.82 32,Northern Michigan,_________________ 12 18 2, -0.4, 7.5, 7.06, 5.47 33,Western Michigan,__________________ 12 15 1, -0.5, 7.3, 6.84, 7.72 34,Brown,_____________________________ 9 9 5, 0.2, 6.6, 6.83, 7.51 35,Alaska,____________________________ 9 13 6, -0.4, 7.2, 6.82, 7.22 36,Bemidji State,_____________________ 13 9 4, -0.1, 6.9, 6.76, 6.61 37,Union,_____________________________ 13 13 2, -0.2, 6.9, 6.74, 7.26 38,Niagara,___________________________ 17 10 3, 0.2, 6.5, 6.69, 5.07 39,Princeton,_________________________ 9 11 3, -0.0, 6.7, 6.64, 5.57 40,Yale,______________________________ 9 11 3, -0.4, 7.0, 6.61, 6.06 41,Providence,________________________ 7 18 1, -1.1, 7.6, 6.57, 8.96 42,Ferris State,______________________ 9 18 3, -0.8, 7.3, 6.51, 6.51 43,Mass-Lowell,_______________________ 4 19 6, -1.1, 7.6, 6.49, 6.89 44,RIT,_______________________________ 17 9 2, 1.2, 5.3, 6.49, 5.38 45,Rensselaer,________________________ 8 13 7, -1.1, 7.1, 6.06, 6.48 46,Robert Morris,_____________________ 11 13 1, -0.4, 6.4, 5.96, 7.55 47,Air Force,_________________________ 13 12 5, 0.3, 5.4, 5.72, 3.78 48,Sacred Heart,______________________ 15 9 4, 0.3, 5.3, 5.57, 5.43 49,Merrimack,_________________________ 3 19 4, -2.0, 7.4, 5.45, 6.93 50,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 7 17 2, -1.1, 6.5, 5.42, 5.43 51,Wayne State,_______________________ 7 19 0, -1.5, 6.9, 5.36, 5.76 52,Bowling Green,_____________________ 5 24 2, -2.1, 7.4, 5.34, 6.11 53,Army,______________________________ 12 10 5, 0.1, 5.1, 5.18, 5.18 54,Mercyhurst,________________________ 8 16 5, -0.5, 5.5, 5.00, 6.68 55,Holy Cross,________________________ 9 14 5, -0.5, 5.4, 4.96, 3.17 56,Connecticut,_______________________ 11 16 1, -0.8, 5.5, 4.69, 5.40 57,Bentley,___________________________ 11 15 1, -1.1, 5.4, 4.35, 4.03 58,Canisius,__________________________ 7 20 2, -1.4, 5.6, 4.26, 4.47 59,American Int'l,____________________ 6 21 0, -1.6, 5.4, 3.85, 5.17 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Minnesota,_________________________ 23 5 3, 0.6, 7.2, 7.82, 7.58 2,St Cloud State,____________________ 17 5 4, 0.5, 7.3, 7.77, 7.69 3,New Hampshire,_____________________ 20 5 1, 0.6, 7.1, 7.69, 7.39 4,Notre Dame,________________________ 23 5 2, 0.6, 7.0, 7.57, 7.69 5,Denver,____________________________ 20 10 2, 0.3, 7.2, 7.53, 7.30 6,North Dakota,______________________ 15 11 2, 0.1, 7.3, 7.49, 8.44 7,Colorado College,__________________ 16 10 2, 0.2, 7.3, 7.49, 7.62 8,Michigan State,____________________ 17 8 2, 0.3, 7.1, 7.47, 7.81 9,Michigan,__________________________ 21 9 0, 0.4, 7.1, 7.46, 7.86 10,Maine,_____________________________ 17 8 2, 0.3, 7.1, 7.45, 7.45 11,Clarkson,__________________________ 17 7 4, 0.4, 7.1, 7.42, 7.48 12,Vermont,___________________________ 15 9 4, 0.2, 7.1, 7.32, 6.94 13,Boston University,_________________ 13 5 8, 0.3, 7.0, 7.32, 7.16 14,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 12 14 4, -0.1, 7.3, 7.27, 7.53 15,Miami,_____________________________ 18 10 4, 0.3, 7.0, 7.26, 6.98 16,Minnesota State,___________________ 10 15 5, -0.2, 7.4, 7.24, 7.61 17,Wisconsin,_________________________ 11 15 2, -0.1, 7.4, 7.24, 6.86 18,Boston College,____________________ 14 10 1, 0.2, 7.1, 7.24, 6.95 19,St Lawrence,_______________________ 15 11 2, 0.1, 7.1, 7.20, 7.32 20,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 11 14 3, -0.1, 7.3, 7.19, 6.93 21,Bemidji State,_____________________ 13 9 4, 0.2, 7.0, 7.18, 6.67 22,Massachusetts,_____________________ 13 9 4, 0.2, 7.0, 7.16, 7.51 23,Niagara,___________________________ 17 10 3, 0.2, 6.9, 7.14, 6.98 24,Quinnipiac,________________________ 13 9 5, 0.1, 7.0, 7.13, 6.85 25,Dartmouth,_________________________ 11 9 3, 0.1, 7.0, 7.12, 7.44 26,Cornell,___________________________ 11 9 3, 0.1, 7.0, 7.10, 6.89 27,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 10 17 3, -0.2, 7.3, 7.07, 7.30 28,Northeastern,______________________ 10 12 4, -0.1, 7.1, 7.06, 7.54 29,Lake Superior,_____________________ 15 12 3, 0.1, 7.0, 7.05, 6.86 30,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 13 12 7, 0.0, 7.0, 7.04, 7.10 31,Ohio State,________________________ 10 13 5, -0.1, 7.1, 7.00, 6.37 32,Colgate,___________________________ 12 14 4, -0.1, 7.1, 6.99, 7.34 33,Harvard,___________________________ 9 12 1, -0.1, 7.1, 6.99, 7.12 34,Union,_____________________________ 13 13 2, 0.0, 7.0, 6.97, 7.26 35,Western Michigan,__________________ 12 15 1, -0.1, 7.1, 6.95, 7.16 36,Northern Michigan,_________________ 12 18 2, -0.2, 7.1, 6.90, 6.45 37,Yale,______________________________ 9 11 3, -0.1, 7.0, 6.90, 6.36 38,Alaska,____________________________ 9 13 6, -0.1, 7.0, 6.89, 7.19 39,Rensselaer,________________________ 8 13 7, -0.2, 7.0, 6.86, 7.01 40,Brown,_____________________________ 9 9 5, 0.0, 6.9, 6.86, 6.98 41,Princeton,_________________________ 9 11 3, -0.1, 6.9, 6.83, 6.46 42,Robert Morris,_____________________ 11 13 1, -0.1, 6.9, 6.80, 7.06 43,RIT,_______________________________ 17 9 2, 0.3, 6.5, 6.78, 6.74 44,Ferris State,______________________ 9 18 3, -0.3, 7.1, 6.75, 6.98 45,Providence,________________________ 7 18 1, -0.4, 7.2, 6.73, 7.25 46,Sacred Heart,______________________ 15 9 4, 0.2, 6.5, 6.72, 6.24 47,Mass-Lowell,_______________________ 4 19 6, -0.5, 7.2, 6.65, 6.79 48,Air Force,_________________________ 13 12 5, 0.0, 6.6, 6.59, 5.75 49,Wayne State,_______________________ 7 19 0, -0.5, 7.0, 6.58, 6.73 50,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 7 17 2, -0.4, 6.9, 6.56, 6.62 51,Army,______________________________ 12 10 5, 0.1, 6.4, 6.51, 6.54 52,Merrimack,_________________________ 3 19 4, -0.6, 7.1, 6.51, 6.67 53,Bowling Green,_____________________ 5 24 2, -0.6, 7.1, 6.47, 6.36 54,Connecticut,_______________________ 11 16 1, -0.2, 6.6, 6.39, 6.65 55,Holy Cross,________________________ 9 14 5, -0.2, 6.5, 6.35, 6.15 56,Bentley,___________________________ 11 15 1, -0.1, 6.5, 6.35, 6.08 57,Mercyhurst,________________________ 8 16 5, -0.3, 6.5, 6.27, 7.21 58,Canisius,__________________________ 7 20 2, -0.4, 6.6, 6.16, 6.23 59,American Int'l,____________________ 6 21 0, -0.6, 6.5, 5.98, 6.35 Link to the 2005-2006 Final Rankings . The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Games that go to shootouts for decision are considered ties for ratings purposes. Actually, there are two different rankings listed. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 7. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). This was done because the NCAA has indicated that it does not want to consider goal differential in the selection process. Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Note that the current spread between #1 and #59 is about 1.9 . Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States High School National Rankings New England Prep Midget Minor AAA Midget Major AAA Men's NCAA D1 USHL NAHL ACHA College Club USHSHO.com High School Ice Hockey Forums
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