Scores (sorted by team) through February 7, 2009 courtesy of USCHO.com . Previous Rankings New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting. More scores give better rankings, Minimum 3 Scores vs. D1 Competition to be Ranked Maximum Goal Differential = 7 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Boston University,_________________ 21 5 1, 1.8, 7.5, 9.29, 9.55 2,Notre Dame,________________________ 21 4 3, 1.7, 7.3, 9.01, 8.55 3,Michigan,__________________________ 21 9 0, 1.3, 7.6, 8.87, 9.35 4,Denver,____________________________ 17 9 3, 1.0, 7.6, 8.68, 8.23 5,Miami,_____________________________ 16 8 4, 1.2, 7.4, 8.58, 10.10 6,Northeastern,______________________ 19 6 2, 1.1, 7.3, 8.45, 8.74 7,Wisconsin,_________________________ 16 11 3, 0.7, 7.7, 8.43, 8.47 8,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 15 9 6, 0.6, 7.8, 8.42, 8.96 9,St Cloud State,____________________ 15 13 2, 0.7, 7.6, 8.35, 8.97 10,Vermont,___________________________ 16 6 4, 0.7, 7.6, 8.30, 8.27 11,North Dakota,______________________ 16 11 3, 0.7, 7.6, 8.22, 9.85 12,Minnesota,_________________________ 12 9 5, 0.3, 7.8, 8.09, 6.88 13,Boston College,____________________ 12 9 4, 0.2, 7.7, 7.96, 7.93 14,Ohio State,________________________ 17 9 3, 0.7, 7.2, 7.96, 7.10 15,Mass-Lowell,_______________________ 13 13 0, 0.5, 7.4, 7.90, 7.93 16,Alaska,____________________________ 12 10 6, 0.4, 7.5, 7.85, 7.00 17,New Hampshire,_____________________ 13 9 4, 0.0, 7.7, 7.75, 7.45 18,Massachusetts,_____________________ 11 14 3, 0.5, 7.2, 7.64, 7.56 19,Cornell,___________________________ 15 4 4, 0.8, 6.8, 7.63, 5.96 20,Princeton,_________________________ 17 6 0, 1.1, 6.5, 7.61, 7.23 21,Minnesota State,___________________ 13 13 3, 0.1, 7.5, 7.60, 9.01 22,St Lawrence,_______________________ 14 11 3, 0.6, 6.9, 7.55, 8.49 23,Lake Superior,_____________________ 9 13 8, 0.2, 7.4, 7.52, 8.14 24,Yale,______________________________ 17 5 1, 1.1, 6.3, 7.41, 9.08 25,Air Force,_________________________ 19 7 2, 1.8, 5.6, 7.40, 6.05 26,Northern Michigan,_________________ 11 13 4, -0.1, 7.5, 7.39, 8.57 27,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 13 11 7, 0.1, 7.2, 7.31, 4.16 28,Colorado College,__________________ 14 9 7, 0.1, 7.2, 7.30, 7.30 29,Ferris State,______________________ 11 12 7, 0.1, 7.1, 7.22, 8.19 30,Maine,_____________________________ 12 13 3, -0.2, 7.4, 7.19, 6.80 31,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 10 12 4, -0.5, 7.6, 7.04, 7.25 32,Dartmouth,_________________________ 12 8 3, 0.6, 6.4, 7.01, 6.70 33,Quinnipiac,________________________ 14 12 2, 0.5, 6.4, 6.93, 5.43 34,Western Michigan,__________________ 8 15 7, -0.6, 7.5, 6.89, 8.67 35,Merrimack,_________________________ 6 17 3, -0.6, 7.3, 6.76, 6.49 36,Bemidji State,_____________________ 13 13 0, -0.1, 6.8, 6.76, 8.07 37,Niagara,___________________________ 14 10 2, 0.3, 6.4, 6.76, 6.67 38,Michigan State,____________________ 8 18 4, -1.3, 8.0, 6.68, 6.67 39,Bowling Green,_____________________ 9 18 3, -1.1, 7.7, 6.61, 4.69 40,Union,_____________________________ 14 12 2, 0.0, 6.5, 6.49, 5.97 41,RIT,_______________________________ 17 10 1, 0.7, 5.6, 6.26, 6.68 42,Mercyhurst,________________________ 14 13 3, 0.5, 5.8, 6.26, 6.72 43,Colgate,___________________________ 8 15 5, -0.8, 7.0, 6.22, 6.91 44,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 5 19 6, -1.6, 7.8, 6.20, 5.78 45,Providence,________________________ 7 16 3, -1.4, 7.5, 6.16, 6.55 46,Clarkson,__________________________ 8 14 6, -0.7, 6.8, 6.06, 7.06 47,Bentley,___________________________ 15 12 1, 0.2, 5.8, 5.97, 8.25 48,Canisius,__________________________ 11 11 6, 0.0, 5.7, 5.74, 5.52 49,Harvard,___________________________ 5 13 4, -1.2, 6.8, 5.61, 6.12 50,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 4 15 3, -1.1, 6.7, 5.54, 4.79 51,Rensselaer,________________________ 6 20 2, -1.6, 7.0, 5.35, 5.32 52,Holy Cross,________________________ 10 13 5, -0.5, 5.8, 5.31, 5.34 53,Robert Morris,_____________________ 5 17 4, -1.3, 6.6, 5.26, 4.53 54,Army,______________________________ 8 16 4, -1.0, 6.0, 4.98, 4.76 55,Sacred Heart,______________________ 7 17 4, -1.5, 6.2, 4.68, 4.99 56,Brown,_____________________________ 2 17 4, -2.1, 6.7, 4.64, 3.79 57,Connecticut,_______________________ 6 22 1, -1.8, 6.2, 4.37, 4.39 58,American Int'l,____________________ 4 22 1, -2.4, 5.9, 3.54, 2.83 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Boston University,_________________ 21 5 1, 0.6, 7.2, 7.75, 8.05 2,Notre Dame,________________________ 21 4 3, 0.6, 7.0, 7.65, 7.65 3,Northeastern,______________________ 19 6 2, 0.5, 7.1, 7.62, 7.55 4,Vermont,___________________________ 16 6 4, 0.4, 7.2, 7.60, 7.41 5,Michigan,__________________________ 21 9 0, 0.4, 7.1, 7.54, 7.82 6,Cornell,___________________________ 15 4 4, 0.5, 7.0, 7.47, 6.93 7,Denver,____________________________ 17 9 3, 0.3, 7.2, 7.46, 7.25 8,Princeton,_________________________ 17 6 0, 0.5, 6.9, 7.39, 7.46 9,Miami,_____________________________ 16 8 4, 0.3, 7.1, 7.39, 7.75 10,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 15 9 6, 0.2, 7.2, 7.38, 7.56 11,New Hampshire,_____________________ 13 9 4, 0.2, 7.2, 7.37, 7.26 12,Wisconsin,_________________________ 16 11 3, 0.2, 7.2, 7.35, 7.53 13,Boston College,____________________ 12 9 4, 0.1, 7.2, 7.35, 7.53 14,Yale,______________________________ 17 5 1, 0.5, 6.8, 7.34, 7.98 15,Minnesota,_________________________ 12 9 5, 0.1, 7.2, 7.33, 6.66 16,North Dakota,______________________ 16 11 3, 0.2, 7.2, 7.33, 7.63 17,Ohio State,________________________ 17 9 3, 0.3, 7.0, 7.29, 6.75 18,St Cloud State,____________________ 15 13 2, 0.1, 7.2, 7.24, 7.40 19,Colorado College,__________________ 14 9 7, 0.2, 7.0, 7.20, 7.27 20,Minnesota State,___________________ 13 13 3, 0.0, 7.2, 7.17, 7.50 21,St Lawrence,_______________________ 14 11 3, 0.1, 7.1, 7.17, 7.36 22,Alaska,____________________________ 12 10 6, 0.1, 7.1, 7.17, 6.94 23,Mass-Lowell,_______________________ 13 13 0, 0.0, 7.1, 7.13, 7.65 24,Maine,_____________________________ 12 13 3, -0.0, 7.1, 7.11, 7.04 25,Dartmouth,_________________________ 12 8 3, 0.2, 6.9, 7.10, 6.97 26,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 10 12 4, -0.1, 7.2, 7.07, 7.23 27,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 13 11 7, 0.1, 7.0, 7.06, 6.40 28,Air Force,_________________________ 19 7 2, 0.4, 6.6, 7.03, 6.83 29,Northern Michigan,_________________ 11 13 4, -0.1, 7.1, 7.02, 7.73 30,Massachusetts,_____________________ 11 14 3, -0.1, 7.1, 7.00, 6.96 31,Union,_____________________________ 14 12 2, 0.1, 6.9, 6.96, 6.80 32,Niagara,___________________________ 14 10 2, 0.2, 6.8, 6.96, 6.87 33,Quinnipiac,________________________ 14 12 2, 0.1, 6.9, 6.95, 6.26 34,Lake Superior,_____________________ 9 13 8, -0.1, 7.1, 6.95, 7.35 35,Ferris State,______________________ 11 12 7, -0.0, 7.0, 6.94, 7.04 36,Michigan State,____________________ 8 18 4, -0.3, 7.2, 6.90, 6.66 37,Bowling Green,_____________________ 9 18 3, -0.3, 7.2, 6.88, 6.15 38,Bemidji State,_____________________ 13 13 0, 0.0, 6.9, 6.87, 7.48 39,Western Michigan,__________________ 8 15 7, -0.2, 7.1, 6.87, 7.09 40,Providence,________________________ 7 16 3, -0.3, 7.2, 6.84, 6.97 41,RIT,_______________________________ 17 10 1, 0.3, 6.6, 6.83, 7.01 42,Colgate,___________________________ 8 15 5, -0.3, 7.0, 6.80, 6.93 43,Clarkson,__________________________ 8 14 6, -0.2, 7.0, 6.79, 7.23 44,Bentley,___________________________ 15 12 1, 0.1, 6.7, 6.76, 7.46 45,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 5 19 6, -0.5, 7.2, 6.76, 6.77 46,Merrimack,_________________________ 6 17 3, -0.4, 7.1, 6.71, 6.54 47,Mercyhurst,________________________ 14 13 3, 0.0, 6.6, 6.67, 6.93 48,Harvard,___________________________ 5 13 4, -0.4, 7.0, 6.65, 6.90 49,Canisius,__________________________ 11 11 6, 0.0, 6.6, 6.61, 6.66 50,Rensselaer,________________________ 6 20 2, -0.5, 7.0, 6.55, 6.39 51,Holy Cross,________________________ 10 13 5, -0.1, 6.7, 6.55, 6.60 52,Sacred Heart,______________________ 7 17 4, -0.4, 6.8, 6.41, 6.33 53,Army,______________________________ 8 16 4, -0.3, 6.7, 6.40, 6.35 54,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 4 15 3, -0.5, 6.9, 6.38, 6.11 55,Robert Morris,_____________________ 5 17 4, -0.5, 6.8, 6.35, 6.01 56,Brown,_____________________________ 2 17 4, -0.7, 7.0, 6.34, 6.12 57,Connecticut,_______________________ 6 22 1, -0.6, 6.7, 6.20, 6.03 58,American Int'l,____________________ 4 22 1, -0.7, 6.7, 5.99, 5.63 Link to the 2007-2008 Final Rankings . The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Games that go to shootouts for decision are considered ties for ratings purposes. Actually, there are two different rankings listed. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 4. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). This was done because the NCAA has indicated that it does not want to consider goal differential in the selection process. Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Note that the current spread between #1 and #58 is about 1.7 . Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States High School National Rankings New England Prep Midget Minor AAA Midget Major AAA Men's NCAA D1 USHL NAHL ACHA College Club USHSHO.com High School Ice Hockey Forums
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