Scores through February 11, 2006 courtesy of USCHO.com . Previous Week's Rankings . New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting. Maximum Goal Differential = 7 RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Wisconsin,_________________________ 20 7 2, 1.6, 7.9, 9.55, 8.28 2,Minnesota,_________________________ 19 6 5, 1.4, 7.9, 9.23, 9.42 3,Miami,_____________________________ 20 5 4, 1.4, 7.5, 8.87, 8.82 4,Colorado College,__________________ 19 12 1, 0.8, 7.9, 8.73, 8.72 5,North Dakota,______________________ 18 13 1, 0.7, 7.9, 8.60, 8.65 6,St. Cloud State,___________________ 17 10 3, 1.0, 7.6, 8.59, 8.97 7,Boston College,____________________ 19 6 2, 1.5, 7.1, 8.58, 8.39 8,Michigan,__________________________ 18 11 3, 0.8, 7.7, 8.55, 8.16 9,Denver,____________________________ 18 10 2, 0.7, 7.7, 8.40, 9.92 10,Maine,_____________________________ 19 10 1, 1.2, 7.2, 8.35, 8.02 11,Boston University,_________________ 17 8 2, 0.9, 7.3, 8.21, 9.44 12,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 17 11 4, 0.6, 7.6, 8.19, 10.25 13,Michigan State,____________________ 17 10 7, 0.6, 7.6, 8.16, 8.64 14,Ohio State,________________________ 14 14 4, 0.5, 7.7, 8.16, 7.86 15,Vermont,___________________________ 17 9 4, 0.9, 7.1, 8.00, 8.02 16,Providence,________________________ 15 11 2, 0.6, 7.3, 7.97, 7.13 17,Lake Superior,_____________________ 15 9 6, 0.5, 7.3, 7.84, 6.90 18,Cornell,___________________________ 16 5 4, 0.9, 6.8, 7.69, 7.46 19,Minnesota State,___________________ 12 16 4, 0.1, 7.6, 7.63, 7.60 20,Alaska-Fairbanks,__________________ 13 13 4, -0.3, 7.9, 7.62, 8.60 21,New Hampshire,_____________________ 15 10 5, 0.4, 7.1, 7.57, 7.51 22,Ferris State,______________________ 14 12 6, 0.2, 7.4, 7.54, 6.67 23,Dartmouth,_________________________ 13 10 2, 0.6, 6.9, 7.50, 7.89 24,Northern Michigan,_________________ 16 14 2, 0.1, 7.4, 7.48, 5.91 25,Notre Dame,________________________ 11 16 3, -0.4, 7.8, 7.47, 8.51 26,Colgate,___________________________ 15 9 6, 0.6, 6.8, 7.39, 6.73 27,Harvard,___________________________ 13 9 2, 0.2, 7.2, 7.37, 6.97 28,St. Lawrence,______________________ 16 12 2, 0.2, 7.1, 7.33, 6.97 29,Bemidji State,_____________________ 14 11 3, 0.8, 6.5, 7.24, 6.63 30,Bowling Green,_____________________ 13 18 1, -0.4, 7.5, 7.04, 5.40 31,Quinnipiac,________________________ 15 15 0, 0.5, 6.5, 7.01, 8.58 32,Clarkson,__________________________ 14 13 3, 0.1, 6.9, 6.99, 6.03 33,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 9 17 4, -0.9, 7.8, 6.90, 6.19 34,Princeton,_________________________ 9 15 1, -0.4, 7.1, 6.74, 6.52 35,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 16 8 2, 0.3, 6.4, 6.72, 7.77 36,Rensselaer,________________________ 13 14 4, -0.1, 6.7, 6.59, 6.27 37,Niagara,___________________________ 14 13 1, -0.0, 6.6, 6.54, 6.61 38,Massachusetts,_____________________ 11 17 0, -0.8, 7.3, 6.51, 7.05 39,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 6 21 3, -1.7, 8.1, 6.39, 6.02 40,Union,_____________________________ 15 11 6, -0.2, 6.6, 6.38, 7.93 41,Mass.-Lowell,______________________ 10 17 1, -1.1, 7.3, 6.24, 5.36 42,Holy Cross,________________________ 20 7 1, 1.0, 5.2, 6.20, 5.84 43,Sacred Heart,______________________ 17 10 1, 0.9, 5.3, 6.19, 6.32 44,Yale,______________________________ 8 14 3, -0.8, 6.9, 6.17, 5.28 45,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 7 19 4, -1.7, 7.8, 6.14, 6.82 46,Mercyhurst,________________________ 18 10 0, 0.9, 5.1, 5.99, 5.83 47,Northeastern,______________________ 2 19 6, -1.6, 7.5, 5.99, 6.39 48,Brown,_____________________________ 3 16 6, -1.2, 7.1, 5.94, 5.65 49,Western Michigan,__________________ 7 21 4, -1.8, 7.6, 5.78, 4.82 50,Merrimack,_________________________ 5 19 4, -1.6, 7.1, 5.43, 6.82 51,Robert Morris,_____________________ 9 15 3, -0.8, 6.2, 5.42, 7.09 52,Wayne State,_______________________ 5 17 6, -1.5, 6.7, 5.20, 4.90 53,Air Force,_________________________ 6 17 1, -1.2, 6.3, 5.15, 4.43 54,Army,______________________________ 10 14 5, -0.3, 5.5, 5.13, 4.93 55,RIT,_______________________________ 4 20 2, -1.1, 6.2, 5.08, 5.30 56,Canisius,__________________________ 9 18 1, -0.7, 5.3, 4.61, 7.00 57,Bentley,___________________________ 9 14 5, -1.0, 5.3, 4.33, 3.54 58,Connecticut,_______________________ 8 19 1, -1.1, 5.3, 4.22, 3.40 59,American Int'l,____________________ 5 17 3, -2.0, 5.4, 3.32, 3.24 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below Maximum Goal Differential = 1 RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Wisconsin,_________________________ 20 7 2, 0.4, 7.2, 7.70, 7.08 2,Miami,_____________________________ 20 5 4, 0.5, 7.2, 7.68, 7.76 3,Minnesota,_________________________ 19 6 5, 0.4, 7.2, 7.66, 8.09 4,Boston College,____________________ 19 6 2, 0.5, 7.0, 7.48, 7.17 5,Michigan,__________________________ 18 11 3, 0.2, 7.2, 7.46, 7.39 6,Colorado College,__________________ 19 12 1, 0.2, 7.2, 7.46, 7.23 7,Michigan State,____________________ 17 10 7, 0.2, 7.2, 7.41, 7.87 8,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 17 11 4, 0.2, 7.2, 7.41, 7.88 9,Boston University,_________________ 17 8 2, 0.3, 7.1, 7.41, 8.05 10,Denver,____________________________ 18 10 2, 0.3, 7.1, 7.40, 8.06 11,North Dakota,______________________ 18 13 1, 0.2, 7.2, 7.38, 7.14 12,St. Cloud State,___________________ 17 10 3, 0.2, 7.1, 7.37, 7.77 13,Cornell,___________________________ 16 5 4, 0.4, 6.9, 7.35, 7.23 14,Lake Superior,_____________________ 15 9 6, 0.2, 7.1, 7.33, 7.35 15,Maine,_____________________________ 19 10 1, 0.3, 7.0, 7.33, 7.49 16,Alaska-Fairbanks,__________________ 13 13 4, 0.0, 7.3, 7.30, 7.76 17,Vermont,___________________________ 17 9 4, 0.3, 7.0, 7.28, 7.33 18,Ohio State,________________________ 14 14 4, 0.0, 7.3, 7.25, 6.82 19,Providence,________________________ 15 11 2, 0.1, 7.1, 7.24, 7.22 20,Ferris State,______________________ 14 12 6, 0.1, 7.2, 7.22, 6.88 21,Northern Michigan,_________________ 16 14 2, 0.1, 7.2, 7.21, 6.91 22,Harvard,___________________________ 13 9 2, 0.2, 7.0, 7.19, 7.12 23,New Hampshire,_____________________ 15 10 5, 0.2, 7.0, 7.18, 6.98 24,St. Lawrence,______________________ 16 12 2, 0.1, 7.0, 7.14, 7.03 25,Colgate,___________________________ 15 9 6, 0.2, 6.9, 7.14, 6.67 26,Notre Dame,________________________ 11 16 3, -0.2, 7.3, 7.10, 7.50 27,Dartmouth,_________________________ 13 10 2, 0.1, 7.0, 7.07, 7.56 28,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 16 8 2, 0.3, 6.7, 7.04, 7.54 29,Minnesota State,___________________ 12 16 4, -0.1, 7.1, 7.02, 6.87 30,Bowling Green,_____________________ 13 18 1, -0.2, 7.2, 7.01, 6.48 31,Clarkson,__________________________ 14 13 3, 0.0, 7.0, 6.99, 6.66 32,Holy Cross,________________________ 20 7 1, 0.5, 6.5, 6.96, 6.86 33,Union,_____________________________ 15 11 6, 0.1, 6.8, 6.96, 7.64 34,Bemidji State,_____________________ 14 11 3, 0.1, 6.8, 6.94, 6.59 35,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 9 17 4, -0.3, 7.2, 6.91, 6.76 36,Niagara,___________________________ 14 13 1, 0.0, 6.9, 6.89, 6.87 37,Rensselaer,________________________ 13 14 4, -0.0, 6.9, 6.89, 6.85 38,Massachusetts,_____________________ 11 17 0, -0.2, 7.1, 6.87, 7.07 39,Quinnipiac,________________________ 15 15 0, 0.0, 6.8, 6.84, 7.20 40,Mass.-Lowell,______________________ 10 17 1, -0.3, 7.1, 6.82, 6.43 41,Princeton,_________________________ 9 15 1, -0.2, 7.0, 6.81, 6.79 42,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 7 19 4, -0.4, 7.2, 6.81, 7.03 43,Mercyhurst,________________________ 18 10 0, 0.3, 6.5, 6.78, 6.69 44,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 6 21 3, -0.5, 7.3, 6.78, 6.47 45,Sacred Heart,______________________ 17 10 1, 0.3, 6.5, 6.77, 7.17 46,Western Michigan,__________________ 7 21 4, -0.4, 7.2, 6.77, 6.56 47,Yale,______________________________ 8 14 3, -0.2, 7.0, 6.74, 6.49 48,Robert Morris,_____________________ 9 15 3, -0.2, 6.8, 6.53, 7.28 49,Northeastern,______________________ 2 19 6, -0.6, 7.2, 6.52, 6.69 50,Brown,_____________________________ 3 16 6, -0.5, 7.0, 6.51, 6.25 51,Merrimack,_________________________ 5 19 4, -0.5, 7.0, 6.51, 6.89 52,Wayne State,_______________________ 5 17 6, -0.4, 6.9, 6.49, 6.11 53,Army,______________________________ 10 14 5, -0.1, 6.6, 6.47, 6.30 54,Bentley,___________________________ 9 14 5, -0.2, 6.6, 6.37, 5.91 55,Air Force,_________________________ 6 17 1, -0.5, 6.8, 6.31, 6.16 56,Canisius,__________________________ 9 18 1, -0.3, 6.6, 6.23, 7.15 57,Connecticut,_______________________ 8 19 1, -0.4, 6.6, 6.17, 5.67 58,RIT,_______________________________ 4 20 2, -0.6, 6.8, 6.16, 5.94 59,American Int'l,____________________ 5 17 3, -0.5, 6.6, 6.08, 6.13 Link to the 2004-2005 Final Rankings . The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Games that go to shootouts for decision are considered ties for ratings purposes. Actually, there are two different rankings listed below. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 7. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). This was done because the NCAA has indicated that it does not want to consider goal differential in the selection process. Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Note that the current spread between #1 and #59 is about 1.9 . Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Links to other ratings: CT IA IL IN MA MD MD-VA ME MI MN MN-WI-ND MO ND Northeast NH NJ NY WNY Club OH PA-E PA-W RI VA VT WI wWI USA New England Prep Midget Minor AAA Midget Major AAA Men's NCAA D1 USHSHO.com High School Ice Hockey Forums
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