Scores (sorted by team) through February 14, 2009 courtesy of USCHO.com . Previous Rankings New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting. More scores give better rankings, Minimum 3 Scores vs. D1 Competition to be Ranked Maximum Goal Differential = 7 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Boston University,_________________ 23 5 2, 1.9, 7.5, 9.39, 9.52 2,Michigan,__________________________ 23 9 0, 1.4, 7.6, 9.02, 9.86 3,Notre Dame,________________________ 23 5 3, 1.6, 7.3, 8.98, 9.11 4,Miami,_____________________________ 18 8 4, 1.3, 7.4, 8.70, 10.28 5,Denver,____________________________ 17 9 4, 1.0, 7.6, 8.61, 8.03 6,Wisconsin,_________________________ 16 11 3, 0.7, 7.7, 8.41, 8.45 7,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 15 9 6, 0.6, 7.8, 8.40, 8.91 8,St Cloud State,____________________ 17 13 2, 0.8, 7.5, 8.29, 7.34 9,Northeastern,______________________ 20 8 2, 0.9, 7.4, 8.29, 8.28 10,North Dakota,______________________ 18 11 3, 0.8, 7.5, 8.29, 8.64 11,Vermont,___________________________ 17 7 4, 0.6, 7.6, 8.21, 7.77 12,Mass-Lowell,_______________________ 14 13 1, 0.7, 7.5, 8.13, 9.14 13,Minnesota,_________________________ 13 9 6, 0.4, 7.7, 8.07, 7.27 14,Ohio State,________________________ 18 10 4, 0.7, 7.3, 8.00, 8.87 15,Alaska,____________________________ 13 11 6, 0.3, 7.4, 7.74, 6.86 16,Boston College,____________________ 13 10 5, 0.0, 7.7, 7.73, 6.03 17,New Hampshire,_____________________ 14 9 5, 0.1, 7.6, 7.71, 7.98 18,Massachusetts,_____________________ 12 15 3, 0.5, 7.2, 7.71, 7.32 19,St Lawrence,_______________________ 16 11 3, 0.7, 7.0, 7.64, 7.16 20,Princeton,_________________________ 18 7 0, 1.0, 6.5, 7.54, 7.60 21,Minnesota State,___________________ 13 15 3, -0.1, 7.6, 7.50, 8.02 22,Yale,______________________________ 19 5 1, 1.2, 6.3, 7.50, 9.13 23,Lake Superior,_____________________ 9 15 8, 0.0, 7.5, 7.45, 6.85 24,Cornell,___________________________ 15 6 4, 0.6, 6.8, 7.43, 6.08 25,Colorado College,__________________ 14 9 8, 0.1, 7.2, 7.31, 7.12 26,Northern Michigan,_________________ 11 15 4, -0.3, 7.6, 7.27, 7.65 27,Air Force,_________________________ 20 8 2, 1.6, 5.6, 7.24, 5.63 28,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 13 13 7, -0.1, 7.3, 7.20, 5.45 29,Ferris State,______________________ 12 13 7, 0.1, 7.1, 7.18, 6.43 30,Maine,_____________________________ 12 14 4, -0.3, 7.5, 7.14, 7.18 31,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 10 13 5, -0.6, 7.6, 7.01, 7.87 32,Western Michigan,__________________ 9 16 7, -0.5, 7.5, 7.01, 8.63 33,Dartmouth,_________________________ 13 9 3, 0.5, 6.5, 6.99, 6.66 34,Quinnipiac,________________________ 15 13 2, 0.5, 6.4, 6.96, 6.17 35,Merrimack,_________________________ 7 18 3, -0.5, 7.4, 6.86, 6.91 36,Michigan State,____________________ 9 18 5, -1.2, 8.1, 6.83, 7.56 37,Niagara,___________________________ 15 11 2, 0.3, 6.4, 6.69, 6.54 38,Bowling Green,_____________________ 10 19 3, -1.0, 7.6, 6.65, 6.32 39,Bemidji State,_____________________ 13 14 0, -0.2, 6.8, 6.60, 6.89 40,Union,_____________________________ 15 13 2, 0.0, 6.4, 6.48, 6.77 41,RIT,_______________________________ 19 10 1, 0.9, 5.5, 6.45, 6.86 42,Mercyhurst,________________________ 16 13 3, 0.7, 5.6, 6.30, 6.48 43,Colgate,___________________________ 9 16 5, -0.7, 6.9, 6.23, 6.60 44,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 5 21 6, -1.6, 7.8, 6.20, 6.44 45,Providence,________________________ 7 17 4, -1.4, 7.5, 6.19, 6.54 46,Bentley,___________________________ 16 13 1, 0.2, 5.9, 6.11, 8.16 47,Clarkson,__________________________ 8 16 6, -0.8, 6.8, 6.04, 7.04 48,Harvard,___________________________ 7 14 4, -1.0, 6.9, 5.88, 7.05 49,Canisius,__________________________ 13 11 6, 0.3, 5.6, 5.82, 5.67 50,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 5 16 3, -1.0, 6.7, 5.64, 5.86 51,Robert Morris,_____________________ 6 17 4, -1.2, 6.6, 5.40, 5.04 52,Rensselaer,________________________ 7 21 2, -1.6, 6.9, 5.35, 4.62 53,Holy Cross,________________________ 10 15 5, -0.7, 5.8, 5.14, 3.69 54,Army,______________________________ 10 16 4, -0.8, 5.9, 5.07, 5.99 55,Brown,_____________________________ 2 19 4, -2.0, 6.7, 4.66, 4.25 56,Sacred Heart,______________________ 7 19 4, -1.5, 6.1, 4.61, 4.37 57,Connecticut,_______________________ 6 24 1, -1.9, 6.2, 4.32, 3.85 58,American Int'l,____________________ 4 24 1, -2.4, 5.9, 3.46, 2.71 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Boston University,_________________ 23 5 2, 0.6, 7.2, 7.78, 7.95 2,Notre Dame,________________________ 23 5 3, 0.6, 7.0, 7.62, 7.83 3,Michigan,__________________________ 23 9 0, 0.4, 7.1, 7.58, 7.70 4,Northeastern,______________________ 20 8 2, 0.4, 7.2, 7.56, 7.39 5,Vermont,___________________________ 17 7 4, 0.4, 7.2, 7.55, 7.13 6,Denver,____________________________ 17 9 4, 0.3, 7.2, 7.44, 7.20 7,Miami,_____________________________ 18 8 4, 0.3, 7.1, 7.43, 7.92 8,New Hampshire,_____________________ 14 9 5, 0.2, 7.2, 7.38, 7.50 9,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 15 9 6, 0.2, 7.2, 7.37, 7.54 10,Yale,______________________________ 19 5 1, 0.6, 6.8, 7.37, 7.86 11,North Dakota,______________________ 18 11 3, 0.2, 7.1, 7.37, 7.64 12,Wisconsin,_________________________ 16 11 3, 0.2, 7.2, 7.35, 7.52 13,Princeton,_________________________ 18 7 0, 0.4, 6.9, 7.35, 7.48 14,Cornell,___________________________ 15 6 4, 0.4, 7.0, 7.35, 6.58 15,Minnesota,_________________________ 13 9 6, 0.1, 7.2, 7.34, 6.78 16,Boston College,____________________ 13 10 5, 0.1, 7.2, 7.33, 7.15 17,Ohio State,________________________ 18 10 4, 0.3, 7.0, 7.29, 7.26 18,St Cloud State,____________________ 17 13 2, 0.1, 7.1, 7.26, 7.17 19,St Lawrence,_______________________ 16 11 3, 0.2, 7.1, 7.23, 7.32 20,Mass-Lowell,_______________________ 14 13 1, 0.0, 7.2, 7.20, 7.72 21,Colorado College,__________________ 14 9 8, 0.2, 7.0, 7.19, 7.08 22,Alaska,____________________________ 13 11 6, 0.1, 7.1, 7.15, 7.07 23,Maine,_____________________________ 12 14 4, -0.1, 7.2, 7.12, 7.47 24,Minnesota State,___________________ 13 15 3, -0.1, 7.2, 7.11, 7.16 25,Dartmouth,_________________________ 13 9 3, 0.2, 6.9, 7.09, 6.95 26,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 10 13 5, -0.1, 7.1, 7.04, 7.33 27,Massachusetts,_____________________ 12 15 3, -0.1, 7.1, 7.04, 6.75 28,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 13 13 7, 0.0, 7.0, 7.03, 6.58 29,Air Force,_________________________ 20 8 2, 0.4, 6.6, 7.00, 6.72 30,Northern Michigan,_________________ 11 15 4, -0.1, 7.1, 6.99, 7.37 31,Michigan State,____________________ 9 18 5, -0.3, 7.2, 6.97, 7.27 32,Union,_____________________________ 15 13 2, 0.1, 6.9, 6.96, 7.18 33,Quinnipiac,________________________ 15 13 2, 0.1, 6.9, 6.95, 6.50 34,Ferris State,______________________ 12 13 7, -0.0, 7.0, 6.94, 6.74 35,Niagara,___________________________ 15 11 2, 0.1, 6.8, 6.92, 6.81 36,Lake Superior,_____________________ 9 15 8, -0.2, 7.1, 6.91, 6.80 37,Western Michigan,__________________ 9 16 7, -0.2, 7.1, 6.89, 7.07 38,RIT,_______________________________ 19 10 1, 0.3, 6.6, 6.87, 7.07 39,Bowling Green,_____________________ 10 19 3, -0.3, 7.1, 6.86, 6.46 40,Providence,________________________ 7 17 4, -0.4, 7.2, 6.85, 6.93 41,Bemidji State,_____________________ 13 14 0, -0.0, 6.9, 6.82, 7.01 42,Colgate,___________________________ 9 16 5, -0.2, 7.0, 6.80, 6.87 43,Merrimack,_________________________ 7 18 3, -0.4, 7.2, 6.78, 6.96 44,Bentley,___________________________ 16 13 1, 0.1, 6.7, 6.77, 7.30 45,Harvard,___________________________ 7 14 4, -0.3, 7.0, 6.75, 7.12 46,Clarkson,__________________________ 8 16 6, -0.3, 7.0, 6.75, 7.02 47,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 5 21 6, -0.5, 7.2, 6.71, 6.59 48,Mercyhurst,________________________ 16 13 3, 0.1, 6.6, 6.70, 6.78 49,Canisius,__________________________ 13 11 6, 0.1, 6.6, 6.64, 6.71 50,Rensselaer,________________________ 7 21 2, -0.5, 7.0, 6.57, 6.34 51,Holy Cross,________________________ 10 15 5, -0.2, 6.7, 6.51, 6.09 52,Army,______________________________ 10 16 4, -0.2, 6.7, 6.46, 6.95 53,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 5 16 3, -0.5, 6.9, 6.42, 6.48 54,Robert Morris,_____________________ 6 17 4, -0.4, 6.8, 6.41, 6.26 55,Sacred Heart,______________________ 7 19 4, -0.4, 6.7, 6.34, 6.06 56,Brown,_____________________________ 2 19 4, -0.7, 7.0, 6.30, 5.95 57,Connecticut,_______________________ 6 24 1, -0.6, 6.8, 6.17, 5.78 58,American Int'l,____________________ 4 24 1, -0.7, 6.7, 5.97, 5.57 Link to the 2007-2008 Final Rankings . The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Games that go to shootouts for decision are considered ties for ratings purposes. Actually, there are two different rankings listed. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 4. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). This was done because the NCAA has indicated that it does not want to consider goal differential in the selection process. Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Note that the current spread between #1 and #58 is about 1.7 . Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States High School National Rankings New England Prep Midget Minor AAA Midget Major AAA Men's NCAA D1 USHL NAHL ACHA College Club USHSHO.com High School Ice Hockey Forums
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