Scores (sorted by team) through February 16, 2008 courtesy of USCHO.com . Previous Rankings New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting. More scores give better rankings, Minimum 3 Scores vs. D1 Competition to be Ranked Maximum Goal Differential = 4 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,North Dakota,______________________ 19 8 2, 1.1, 8.1, 9.21, 9.39 2,Michigan,__________________________ 25 3 4, 1.8, 7.4, 9.20, 8.83 3,Miami,_____________________________ 25 6 1, 1.9, 7.1, 9.06, 7.77 4,Colorado College,__________________ 21 8 1, 1.1, 7.9, 8.99, 8.60 5,Denver,____________________________ 19 10 1, 0.6, 7.9, 8.51, 8.03 6,New Hampshire,_____________________ 19 7 2, 1.0, 7.5, 8.49, 8.93 7,Wisconsin,_________________________ 14 12 6, 0.4, 8.0, 8.39, 8.16 8,Boston College,____________________ 16 7 7, 1.1, 7.3, 8.35, 8.70 9,St Cloud State,____________________ 14 13 3, 0.4, 7.9, 8.30, 8.41 10,Minnesota State,___________________ 16 11 4, 0.5, 7.8, 8.22, 9.23 11,Notre Dame,________________________ 21 10 3, 0.9, 7.3, 8.16, 7.51 12,Michigan State,____________________ 20 8 5, 0.8, 7.3, 8.13, 7.16 13,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 12 10 6, 0.0, 8.0, 7.99, 7.95 14,Minnesota,_________________________ 12 13 7, -0.2, 7.9, 7.74, 7.97 15,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 11 14 5, -0.3, 8.0, 7.69, 7.84 16,Massachusetts,_____________________ 11 11 6, 0.2, 7.5, 7.64, 7.19 17,Boston University,_________________ 12 14 4, 0.1, 7.5, 7.64, 8.53 18,Providence,________________________ 13 11 4, 0.3, 7.3, 7.62, 7.28 19,Mass-Lowell,_______________________ 13 11 4, 0.3, 7.3, 7.56, 6.60 20,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 7 16 7, -0.6, 8.1, 7.43, 6.75 21,Clarkson,__________________________ 17 10 3, 0.2, 7.1, 7.36, 6.60 22,Princeton,_________________________ 15 10 0, 0.4, 6.9, 7.29, 8.34 23,Northeastern,______________________ 14 11 3, -0.1, 7.4, 7.29, 6.92 24,Ferris State,______________________ 13 12 5, 0.3, 6.9, 7.28, 9.16 25,Northern Michigan,_________________ 13 16 3, -0.2, 7.5, 7.27, 8.84 26,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 14 14 4, -0.1, 7.3, 7.21, 7.25 27,Cornell,___________________________ 12 10 3, 0.4, 6.8, 7.21, 6.78 28,Bowling Green,_____________________ 15 15 0, 0.0, 7.2, 7.19, 6.32 29,Quinnipiac,________________________ 17 9 4, 0.6, 6.5, 7.14, 6.63 30,Harvard,___________________________ 11 11 3, 0.1, 7.0, 7.12, 8.54 31,Bemidji State,_____________________ 14 13 3, 0.6, 6.5, 7.09, 7.01 32,Colgate,___________________________ 13 12 5, 0.4, 6.6, 7.07, 8.21 33,Vermont,___________________________ 10 11 7, -0.5, 7.5, 6.92, 8.18 34,Yale,______________________________ 12 9 4, 0.2, 6.7, 6.90, 7.23 35,Alaska,____________________________ 8 17 5, -0.7, 7.6, 6.89, 7.55 36,Niagara,___________________________ 16 8 4, 0.6, 6.2, 6.84, 7.11 37,Maine,_____________________________ 8 17 3, -0.7, 7.4, 6.73, 6.38 38,Dartmouth,_________________________ 9 12 4, -0.2, 6.9, 6.68, 6.61 39,St Lawrence,_______________________ 10 16 4, -0.2, 6.9, 6.67, 6.37 40,Union,_____________________________ 13 11 5, -0.2, 6.9, 6.61, 6.25 41,Merrimack,_________________________ 10 15 3, -0.6, 7.2, 6.55, 5.48 42,Ohio State,________________________ 10 21 3, -0.9, 7.3, 6.37, 6.83 43,Lake Superior,_____________________ 6 18 6, -1.2, 7.6, 6.37, 6.95 44,Air Force,_________________________ 14 11 5, 0.5, 5.8, 6.27, 5.80 45,Robert Morris,_____________________ 14 12 3, -0.1, 6.4, 6.27, 7.08 46,Rensselaer,________________________ 9 19 4, -0.9, 7.1, 6.18, 4.48 47,Western Michigan,__________________ 7 22 3, -1.0, 7.0, 6.03, 5.78 48,Brown,_____________________________ 4 17 4, -1.2, 7.0, 5.83, 6.63 49,RIT,_______________________________ 14 11 5, 0.1, 5.7, 5.81, 5.97 50,Army,______________________________ 14 12 4, 0.3, 5.4, 5.74, 7.56 51,Wayne State,_______________________ 9 20 2, -1.0, 6.7, 5.63, 6.14 52,Sacred Heart,______________________ 13 14 3, -0.0, 5.6, 5.55, 6.12 53,Canisius,__________________________ 9 16 5, -0.5, 5.9, 5.40, 4.57 54,Mercyhurst,________________________ 11 16 5, -0.7, 5.9, 5.22, 5.15 55,Holy Cross,________________________ 9 13 7, -0.6, 5.7, 5.11, 4.46 56,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 4 18 3, -1.8, 6.8, 4.96, 4.97 57,Bentley,___________________________ 8 16 6, -0.6, 5.5, 4.91, 4.65 58,American Int'l,____________________ 8 18 4, -1.0, 5.6, 4.61, 4.02 59,Connecticut,_______________________ 8 19 3, -1.4, 5.7, 4.37, 2.33 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,North Dakota,______________________ 19 8 2, 0.4, 7.4, 7.78, 8.17 2,Michigan,__________________________ 25 3 4, 0.7, 7.1, 7.77, 7.77 3,Colorado College,__________________ 21 8 1, 0.4, 7.3, 7.74, 7.49 4,New Hampshire,_____________________ 19 7 2, 0.4, 7.2, 7.62, 7.86 5,Denver,____________________________ 19 10 1, 0.3, 7.3, 7.61, 7.11 6,Miami,_____________________________ 25 6 1, 0.6, 7.0, 7.61, 6.87 7,Michigan State,____________________ 20 8 5, 0.4, 7.1, 7.42, 7.03 8,Wisconsin,_________________________ 14 12 6, 0.1, 7.4, 7.42, 7.34 9,Minnesota State,___________________ 16 11 4, 0.2, 7.3, 7.42, 7.91 10,Boston College,____________________ 16 7 7, 0.3, 7.1, 7.41, 7.75 11,Notre Dame,________________________ 21 10 3, 0.3, 7.1, 7.40, 7.14 12,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 12 10 6, 0.1, 7.3, 7.40, 7.50 13,St Cloud State,____________________ 14 13 3, 0.0, 7.3, 7.34, 7.60 14,Minnesota,_________________________ 12 13 7, -0.0, 7.3, 7.29, 7.24 15,Clarkson,__________________________ 17 10 3, 0.2, 7.0, 7.26, 7.05 16,Northeastern,______________________ 14 11 3, 0.1, 7.1, 7.25, 6.89 17,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 11 14 5, -0.1, 7.3, 7.24, 7.14 18,Providence,________________________ 13 11 4, 0.1, 7.2, 7.23, 7.07 19,Massachusetts,_____________________ 11 11 6, 0.0, 7.2, 7.21, 7.01 20,Princeton,_________________________ 15 10 0, 0.2, 7.0, 7.19, 7.43 21,Mass-Lowell,_______________________ 13 11 4, 0.1, 7.1, 7.19, 6.99 22,Boston University,_________________ 12 14 4, -0.1, 7.2, 7.13, 7.72 23,Vermont,___________________________ 10 11 7, -0.0, 7.2, 7.12, 7.68 24,Quinnipiac,________________________ 17 9 4, 0.3, 6.9, 7.12, 6.89 25,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 14 14 4, 0.0, 7.1, 7.08, 6.99 26,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 7 16 7, -0.3, 7.3, 7.05, 6.55 27,Cornell,___________________________ 12 10 3, 0.1, 7.0, 7.04, 6.74 28,Northern Michigan,_________________ 13 16 3, -0.1, 7.1, 7.03, 7.62 29,Harvard,___________________________ 11 11 3, 0.0, 7.0, 7.03, 7.80 30,Bowling Green,_____________________ 15 15 0, 0.0, 7.0, 7.02, 6.72 31,Yale,______________________________ 12 9 4, 0.1, 6.9, 7.02, 7.24 32,Union,_____________________________ 13 11 5, 0.1, 6.9, 7.01, 6.80 33,Niagara,___________________________ 16 8 4, 0.3, 6.7, 7.01, 7.05 34,Ferris State,______________________ 13 12 5, 0.0, 7.0, 6.98, 7.96 35,Colgate,___________________________ 13 12 5, 0.0, 6.9, 6.94, 7.36 36,Bemidji State,_____________________ 14 13 3, 0.0, 6.9, 6.90, 6.92 37,Merrimack,_________________________ 10 15 3, -0.2, 7.1, 6.88, 6.37 38,Maine,_____________________________ 8 17 3, -0.3, 7.2, 6.87, 6.34 39,Dartmouth,_________________________ 9 12 4, -0.1, 7.0, 6.87, 6.71 40,Robert Morris,_____________________ 14 12 3, 0.1, 6.8, 6.85, 7.24 41,Alaska,____________________________ 8 17 5, -0.3, 7.1, 6.84, 7.07 42,Lake Superior,_____________________ 6 18 6, -0.4, 7.2, 6.79, 6.91 43,St Lawrence,_______________________ 10 16 4, -0.2, 7.0, 6.78, 6.50 44,Ohio State,________________________ 10 21 3, -0.3, 7.1, 6.75, 7.05 45,Rensselaer,________________________ 9 19 4, -0.3, 7.0, 6.71, 6.23 46,Air Force,_________________________ 14 11 5, 0.1, 6.6, 6.71, 6.39 47,RIT,_______________________________ 14 11 5, 0.1, 6.6, 6.65, 6.44 48,Army,______________________________ 14 12 4, 0.1, 6.5, 6.54, 7.08 49,Brown,_____________________________ 4 17 4, -0.5, 7.0, 6.51, 6.84 50,Wayne State,_______________________ 9 20 2, -0.4, 6.9, 6.51, 6.57 51,Western Michigan,__________________ 7 22 3, -0.5, 7.0, 6.51, 6.25 52,Sacred Heart,______________________ 13 14 3, -0.0, 6.5, 6.50, 6.55 53,Mercyhurst,________________________ 11 16 5, -0.2, 6.6, 6.47, 6.77 54,Holy Cross,________________________ 9 13 7, -0.1, 6.6, 6.42, 6.08 55,Canisius,__________________________ 9 16 5, -0.2, 6.6, 6.39, 6.35 56,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 4 18 3, -0.6, 6.9, 6.35, 6.45 57,Bentley,___________________________ 8 16 6, -0.3, 6.5, 6.24, 6.10 58,Connecticut,_______________________ 8 19 3, -0.4, 6.6, 6.20, 5.40 59,American Int'l,____________________ 8 18 4, -0.3, 6.5, 6.19, 6.24 Link to the 2006-2007 Final Rankings . The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Games that go to shootouts for decision are considered ties for ratings purposes. Actually, there are two different rankings listed. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 4. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). This was done because the NCAA has indicated that it does not want to consider goal differential in the selection process. Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Note that the current spread between #1 and #59 is about 2.7 . Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States High School National Rankings New England Prep Midget Minor AAA Midget Major AAA Men's NCAA D1 USHL NAHL ACHA College Club USHSHO.com High School Ice Hockey Forums
Over 4000 registered members, HS message boards for over 30 states + midget, junior, college, and pro hockey forums! Receive email when this page changes