Scores (sorted by team) through February 21, 2010 courtesy of USCHO.com . Previous Rankings New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting. More scores give better rankings, Minimum 3 Scores vs. D1 Competition to be Ranked Maximum Goal Differential = 4 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Wisconsin,_________________________ 19 8 4, 1.2, 7.8, 9.02, 8.93 2,Miami,_____________________________ 23 5 6, 1.5, 7.5, 8.98, 9.09 3,North Dakota,______________________ 16 11 5, 0.8, 7.8, 8.67, 9.78 4,Denver,____________________________ 22 6 4, 0.8, 7.6, 8.49, 9.19 5,St Cloud State,____________________ 20 10 4, 0.6, 7.7, 8.28, 8.84 6,Bemidji State,_____________________ 21 7 2, 1.3, 7.0, 8.22, 7.04 7,Colorado College,__________________ 17 12 3, 0.5, 7.6, 8.11, 7.05 8,Boston College,____________________ 18 10 2, 0.9, 7.2, 8.10, 7.90 9,Michigan,__________________________ 18 16 1, 0.5, 7.5, 7.93, 7.17 10,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 18 13 1, 0.2, 7.7, 7.92, 7.02 11,Ferris State,______________________ 19 11 4, 0.6, 7.2, 7.89, 7.13 12,Minnesota,_________________________ 15 15 2, 0.1, 7.8, 7.87, 7.80 13,Alaska,____________________________ 14 9 9, 0.4, 7.4, 7.86, 9.54 14,Michigan State,____________________ 18 11 5, 0.4, 7.4, 7.86, 6.89 15,Yale,______________________________ 18 6 3, 1.1, 6.7, 7.83, 8.61 16,Northern Michigan,_________________ 15 11 8, 0.3, 7.5, 7.79, 9.51 17,Cornell,___________________________ 16 8 3, 1.0, 6.8, 7.77, 7.85 18,New Hampshire,_____________________ 15 10 5, 0.2, 7.5, 7.76, 7.38 19,Mass-Lowell,_______________________ 16 14 2, 0.5, 7.2, 7.74, 7.39 20,Maine,_____________________________ 15 12 3, 0.3, 7.4, 7.71, 7.44 21,Minnesota State,___________________ 14 16 2, -0.0, 7.6, 7.58, 7.61 22,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 17 13 6, 0.1, 7.5, 7.57, 8.83 23,Union,_____________________________ 18 8 6, 1.0, 6.6, 7.54, 8.19 24,Vermont,___________________________ 13 11 6, 0.1, 7.4, 7.51, 6.93 25,Boston University,_________________ 14 13 3, 0.1, 7.4, 7.48, 8.29 26,Ohio State,________________________ 12 15 5, -0.3, 7.6, 7.36, 7.02 27,Merrimack,_________________________ 13 15 1, -0.0, 7.4, 7.33, 9.16 28,Notre Dame,________________________ 12 14 8, -0.1, 7.4, 7.33, 5.33 29,Northeastern,______________________ 16 13 1, -0.0, 7.3, 7.27, 8.26 30,Lake Superior,_____________________ 15 14 5, -0.3, 7.3, 7.07, 5.70 31,Massachusetts,_____________________ 16 15 0, -0.3, 7.3, 7.02, 4.46 32,Western Michigan,__________________ 8 18 6, -0.6, 7.5, 6.91, 6.73 33,St Lawrence,_______________________ 14 12 7, 0.1, 6.8, 6.87, 5.24 34,Rensselaer,________________________ 17 14 3, 0.2, 6.7, 6.85, 5.98 35,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 10 18 2, -1.1, 7.9, 6.82, 6.52 36,Quinnipiac,________________________ 15 15 2, 0.1, 6.6, 6.75, 6.12 37,Robert Morris,_____________________ 10 16 5, -0.6, 7.3, 6.65, 7.37 38,Niagara,___________________________ 7 18 4, -0.5, 7.1, 6.63, 5.77 39,Colgate,___________________________ 13 13 6, -0.1, 6.7, 6.55, 6.50 40,RIT,_______________________________ 20 11 1, 1.0, 5.5, 6.48, 7.37 41,Providence,________________________ 10 18 2, -0.8, 7.3, 6.45, 6.15 42,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 9 14 2, -0.5, 6.9, 6.38, 7.04 43,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 5 24 1, -1.6, 8.0, 6.38, 7.08 44,Princeton,_________________________ 11 13 3, -0.5, 6.8, 6.25, 7.37 45,Bowling Green,_____________________ 5 22 5, -1.4, 7.5, 6.13, 6.51 46,Sacred Heart,______________________ 18 10 4, 0.5, 5.6, 6.09, 6.76 47,Harvard,___________________________ 7 17 3, -0.9, 7.0, 6.04, 5.60 48,Dartmouth,_________________________ 8 17 2, -0.7, 6.7, 6.03, 7.10 49,Brown,_____________________________ 8 15 4, -0.8, 6.6, 5.81, 5.61 50,Clarkson,__________________________ 7 22 3, -1.2, 7.0, 5.81, 6.90 51,Mercyhurst,________________________ 14 17 3, 0.1, 5.7, 5.78, 6.03 52,Canisius,__________________________ 15 12 5, 0.2, 5.4, 5.63, 5.73 53,Air Force,_________________________ 12 14 6, -0.2, 5.7, 5.47, 5.59 54,Army,______________________________ 10 16 6, -0.4, 5.8, 5.40, 4.94 55,Holy Cross,________________________ 10 17 5, -0.5, 5.7, 5.18, 5.81 56,Bentley,___________________________ 12 17 3, -0.7, 5.6, 4.87, 2.91 57,Connecticut,_______________________ 5 24 3, -1.7, 5.8, 4.11, 4.24 58,American Int'l,____________________ 5 22 3, -1.7, 5.7, 3.98, 4.66 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Denver,____________________________ 22 6 4, 0.5, 7.2, 7.74, 7.91 2,Miami,_____________________________ 23 5 6, 0.5, 7.2, 7.70, 7.59 3,Wisconsin,_________________________ 19 8 4, 0.4, 7.3, 7.68, 7.94 4,St Cloud State,____________________ 20 10 4, 0.3, 7.3, 7.56, 7.68 5,North Dakota,______________________ 16 11 5, 0.2, 7.3, 7.48, 7.73 6,Colorado College,__________________ 17 12 3, 0.2, 7.3, 7.42, 7.21 7,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 18 13 1, 0.2, 7.2, 7.40, 7.03 8,Boston College,____________________ 18 10 2, 0.3, 7.1, 7.40, 7.42 9,New Hampshire,_____________________ 15 10 5, 0.2, 7.2, 7.38, 7.21 10,Bemidji State,_____________________ 21 7 2, 0.5, 6.9, 7.38, 6.96 11,Michigan State,____________________ 18 11 5, 0.2, 7.1, 7.35, 6.89 12,Yale,______________________________ 18 6 3, 0.4, 6.9, 7.32, 7.82 13,Ferris State,______________________ 19 11 4, 0.2, 7.1, 7.31, 7.05 14,Maine,_____________________________ 15 12 3, 0.1, 7.2, 7.31, 7.04 15,Alaska,____________________________ 14 9 9, 0.2, 7.1, 7.31, 7.77 16,Minnesota,_________________________ 15 15 2, 0.0, 7.3, 7.30, 7.28 17,Northern Michigan,_________________ 15 11 8, 0.1, 7.2, 7.27, 7.69 18,Vermont,___________________________ 13 11 6, 0.1, 7.2, 7.27, 6.77 19,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 17 13 6, 0.1, 7.2, 7.27, 7.99 20,Northeastern,______________________ 16 13 1, 0.1, 7.1, 7.24, 7.74 21,Michigan,__________________________ 18 16 1, 0.1, 7.2, 7.22, 6.95 22,Boston University,_________________ 14 13 3, 0.0, 7.2, 7.22, 7.35 23,Cornell,___________________________ 16 8 3, 0.3, 6.9, 7.21, 6.99 24,Mass-Lowell,_______________________ 16 14 2, 0.1, 7.1, 7.19, 7.10 25,Minnesota State,___________________ 14 16 2, -0.1, 7.2, 7.17, 7.45 26,Union,_____________________________ 18 8 6, 0.3, 6.9, 7.17, 7.36 27,Massachusetts,_____________________ 16 15 0, 0.0, 7.1, 7.16, 6.22 28,Lake Superior,_____________________ 15 14 5, 0.0, 7.1, 7.14, 6.79 29,Ohio State,________________________ 12 15 5, -0.1, 7.2, 7.12, 6.92 30,Merrimack,_________________________ 13 15 1, -0.1, 7.2, 7.10, 8.01 31,Notre Dame,________________________ 12 14 8, -0.1, 7.1, 7.07, 6.46 32,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 10 18 2, -0.3, 7.3, 7.07, 6.95 33,Rensselaer,________________________ 17 14 3, 0.1, 6.9, 6.97, 6.87 34,St Lawrence,_______________________ 14 12 7, 0.1, 6.9, 6.94, 6.35 35,Providence,________________________ 10 18 2, -0.3, 7.1, 6.87, 6.87 36,Western Michigan,__________________ 8 18 6, -0.3, 7.2, 6.86, 6.77 37,Robert Morris,_____________________ 10 16 5, -0.2, 7.0, 6.85, 6.96 38,Quinnipiac,________________________ 15 15 2, 0.0, 6.9, 6.85, 6.68 39,Colgate,___________________________ 13 13 6, 0.0, 6.8, 6.84, 6.86 40,Princeton,_________________________ 11 13 3, -0.1, 6.9, 6.82, 6.96 41,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 5 24 1, -0.6, 7.4, 6.75, 6.89 42,RIT,_______________________________ 20 11 1, 0.3, 6.4, 6.71, 7.07 43,Sacred Heart,______________________ 18 10 4, 0.3, 6.5, 6.71, 7.24 44,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 9 14 2, -0.2, 6.9, 6.70, 7.32 45,Bowling Green,_____________________ 5 22 5, -0.5, 7.2, 6.65, 6.95 46,Niagara,___________________________ 7 18 4, -0.4, 7.0, 6.63, 6.20 47,Harvard,___________________________ 7 17 3, -0.4, 7.0, 6.61, 6.49 48,Brown,_____________________________ 8 15 4, -0.3, 6.9, 6.59, 6.62 49,Dartmouth,_________________________ 8 17 2, -0.3, 6.9, 6.58, 7.16 50,Canisius,__________________________ 15 12 5, 0.1, 6.4, 6.52, 6.55 51,Clarkson,__________________________ 7 22 3, -0.5, 7.0, 6.50, 6.71 52,Air Force,_________________________ 12 14 6, -0.1, 6.5, 6.45, 6.19 53,Mercyhurst,________________________ 14 17 3, -0.1, 6.5, 6.45, 6.64 54,Army,______________________________ 10 16 6, -0.2, 6.6, 6.37, 6.12 55,Bentley,___________________________ 12 17 3, -0.2, 6.5, 6.33, 5.49 56,Holy Cross,________________________ 10 17 5, -0.2, 6.5, 6.29, 6.61 57,Connecticut,_______________________ 5 24 3, -0.6, 6.6, 5.97, 5.80 58,American Int'l,____________________ 5 22 3, -0.6, 6.5, 5.94, 6.16 Link to the 2007-2008 Final Rankings . The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Games that go to shootouts for decision are considered ties for ratings purposes. Actually, there are two different rankings listed. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 4. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). This was done because the NCAA has indicated that it does not want to consider goal differential in the selection process. Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Note that the current spread between #1 and #58 is about 1.7 . Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States High School National Rankings New England Prep Midget Minor AAA Midget Major AAA Men's NCAA D1 USHL NAHL ACHA College Club USHSHO.com High School Ice Hockey Forums
Over 4000 registered members, HS message boards for over 30 states + midget, junior, college, and pro hockey forums! Receive email when this page changes