Scores (sorted by team) through February 23, 2008 courtesy of USCHO.com . Previous Rankings New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting. More scores give better rankings, Minimum 3 Scores vs. D1 Competition to be Ranked Maximum Goal Differential = 4 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,North Dakota,______________________ 20 9 2, 1.1, 8.1, 9.18, 9.26 2,Colorado College,__________________ 23 8 1, 1.2, 7.9, 9.14, 10.19 3,Michigan,__________________________ 26 4 4, 1.7, 7.4, 9.11, 8.27 4,Miami,_____________________________ 27 6 1, 2.0, 7.1, 9.05, 7.73 5,New Hampshire,_____________________ 21 7 2, 1.1, 7.6, 8.68, 9.66 6,Denver,____________________________ 21 10 1, 0.7, 7.9, 8.58, 8.79 7,St Cloud State,____________________ 16 13 3, 0.6, 7.9, 8.44, 9.99 8,Wisconsin,_________________________ 14 13 7, 0.3, 8.0, 8.30, 7.92 9,Boston College,____________________ 16 9 7, 0.8, 7.4, 8.23, 7.11 10,Minnesota State,___________________ 16 11 4, 0.5, 7.7, 8.20, 9.19 11,Michigan State,____________________ 21 9 5, 0.8, 7.4, 8.19, 8.11 12,Notre Dame,________________________ 21 11 4, 0.8, 7.3, 8.01, 6.55 13,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 12 12 6, -0.2, 8.1, 7.83, 6.73 14,Minnesota,_________________________ 13 13 8, -0.1, 7.9, 7.83, 8.39 15,Boston University,_________________ 14 14 4, 0.3, 7.5, 7.76, 8.48 16,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 11 16 5, -0.5, 8.0, 7.54, 6.77 17,Massachusetts,_____________________ 11 13 6, 0.1, 7.4, 7.53, 6.48 18,Providence,________________________ 13 13 4, 0.2, 7.3, 7.48, 6.96 19,Mass-Lowell,_______________________ 13 13 4, 0.2, 7.3, 7.47, 6.25 20,Princeton,_________________________ 17 10 0, 0.5, 6.9, 7.44, 8.78 21,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 7 18 7, -0.7, 8.1, 7.38, 6.65 22,Clarkson,__________________________ 18 10 4, 0.3, 7.1, 7.38, 6.50 23,Northern Michigan,_________________ 15 16 3, -0.1, 7.4, 7.32, 8.48 24,Harvard,___________________________ 13 11 3, 0.3, 7.0, 7.26, 8.66 25,Ferris State,______________________ 14 13 5, 0.3, 6.9, 7.26, 8.68 26,Northeastern,______________________ 14 13 3, -0.2, 7.4, 7.23, 6.47 27,Cornell,___________________________ 13 11 3, 0.3, 6.9, 7.20, 7.00 28,Bemidji State,_____________________ 15 14 3, 0.4, 6.7, 7.16, 7.09 29,Bowling Green,_____________________ 16 16 0, 0.0, 7.2, 7.16, 6.50 30,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 14 16 4, -0.2, 7.3, 7.12, 7.09 31,Quinnipiac,________________________ 17 11 4, 0.5, 6.6, 7.10, 5.63 32,Vermont,___________________________ 12 11 7, -0.4, 7.5, 7.02, 8.17 33,Colgate,___________________________ 14 13 5, 0.3, 6.7, 7.00, 7.97 34,Maine,_____________________________ 10 17 3, -0.6, 7.5, 6.87, 7.25 35,Niagara,___________________________ 17 9 4, 0.6, 6.2, 6.79, 6.45 36,Dartmouth,_________________________ 10 13 4, -0.1, 6.9, 6.79, 7.56 37,Alaska,____________________________ 8 19 5, -0.7, 7.5, 6.76, 7.02 38,Merrimack,_________________________ 12 15 3, -0.5, 7.2, 6.72, 6.65 39,Union,_____________________________ 14 11 6, -0.2, 6.9, 6.69, 6.78 40,Yale,______________________________ 12 11 4, -0.1, 6.7, 6.65, 5.88 41,St Lawrence,_______________________ 10 18 4, -0.3, 6.9, 6.54, 5.54 42,Ohio State,________________________ 11 21 4, -0.8, 7.3, 6.49, 7.15 43,Lake Superior,_____________________ 8 18 6, -1.1, 7.5, 6.46, 7.55 44,Air Force,_________________________ 16 11 5, 0.6, 5.8, 6.35, 6.83 45,Robert Morris,_____________________ 14 12 3, -0.1, 6.4, 6.27, 7.10 46,Rensselaer,________________________ 10 20 4, -0.8, 7.1, 6.24, 5.38 47,Western Michigan,__________________ 7 24 3, -1.1, 7.1, 6.01, 5.79 48,Brown,_____________________________ 5 18 4, -1.1, 7.0, 5.91, 6.62 49,RIT,_______________________________ 15 11 6, 0.2, 5.7, 5.84, 6.40 50,Army,______________________________ 15 13 4, 0.4, 5.4, 5.77, 6.78 51,Sacred Heart,______________________ 14 15 3, 0.0, 5.6, 5.60, 6.61 52,Wayne State,_______________________ 9 21 2, -1.1, 6.6, 5.54, 4.98 53,Canisius,__________________________ 10 18 5, -0.5, 5.9, 5.39, 5.14 54,Mercyhurst,________________________ 11 17 6, -0.7, 5.9, 5.21, 4.25 55,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 6 19 3, -1.6, 6.7, 5.11, 5.29 56,Holy Cross,________________________ 10 15 7, -0.6, 5.7, 5.07, 5.15 57,Bentley,___________________________ 9 17 6, -0.7, 5.6, 4.92, 5.41 58,American Int'l,____________________ 8 20 4, -1.0, 5.5, 4.50, 2.89 59,Connecticut,_______________________ 10 19 3, -1.2, 5.7, 4.50, 3.89 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Colorado College,__________________ 23 8 1, 0.5, 7.3, 7.77, 7.95 2,Michigan,__________________________ 26 4 4, 0.6, 7.1, 7.76, 7.63 3,North Dakota,______________________ 20 9 2, 0.4, 7.4, 7.72, 7.71 4,New Hampshire,_____________________ 21 7 2, 0.5, 7.2, 7.66, 8.00 5,Denver,____________________________ 21 10 1, 0.3, 7.3, 7.64, 7.56 6,Miami,_____________________________ 27 6 1, 0.6, 7.0, 7.60, 6.95 7,Michigan State,____________________ 21 9 5, 0.3, 7.1, 7.44, 7.32 8,Minnesota State,___________________ 16 11 4, 0.2, 7.3, 7.41, 7.89 9,St Cloud State,____________________ 16 13 3, 0.1, 7.3, 7.39, 8.23 10,Boston College,____________________ 16 9 7, 0.2, 7.2, 7.39, 7.13 11,Wisconsin,_________________________ 14 13 7, 0.0, 7.4, 7.38, 7.33 12,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 12 12 6, 0.0, 7.4, 7.35, 7.26 13,Notre Dame,________________________ 21 11 4, 0.3, 7.1, 7.34, 6.82 14,Minnesota,_________________________ 13 13 8, 0.0, 7.3, 7.32, 7.55 15,Clarkson,__________________________ 18 10 4, 0.3, 7.0, 7.27, 7.04 16,Princeton,_________________________ 17 10 0, 0.3, 7.0, 7.24, 7.58 17,Boston University,_________________ 14 14 4, 0.0, 7.2, 7.21, 8.10 18,Northeastern,______________________ 14 13 3, 0.0, 7.2, 7.19, 6.57 19,Vermont,___________________________ 12 11 7, 0.0, 7.1, 7.18, 7.67 20,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 11 16 5, -0.2, 7.3, 7.18, 6.77 21,Providence,________________________ 13 13 4, 0.0, 7.1, 7.15, 6.89 22,Mass-Lowell,_______________________ 13 13 4, 0.0, 7.1, 7.13, 6.67 23,Massachusetts,_____________________ 11 13 6, -0.1, 7.2, 7.12, 6.54 24,Harvard,___________________________ 13 11 3, 0.1, 7.0, 7.09, 7.64 25,Northern Michigan,_________________ 15 16 3, -0.0, 7.1, 7.08, 7.61 26,Quinnipiac,________________________ 17 11 4, 0.2, 6.9, 7.06, 6.30 27,Cornell,___________________________ 13 11 3, 0.1, 7.0, 7.05, 6.76 28,Union,_____________________________ 14 11 6, 0.1, 6.9, 7.04, 7.17 29,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 14 16 4, -0.1, 7.1, 7.02, 6.79 30,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 7 18 7, -0.3, 7.4, 7.02, 6.49 31,Bowling Green,_____________________ 16 16 0, 0.0, 7.0, 7.01, 6.75 32,Niagara,___________________________ 17 9 4, 0.3, 6.7, 6.98, 6.68 33,Ferris State,______________________ 14 13 5, 0.0, 6.9, 6.98, 7.71 34,Bemidji State,_____________________ 15 14 3, 0.0, 6.9, 6.97, 7.34 35,Merrimack,_________________________ 12 15 3, -0.1, 7.1, 6.97, 6.97 36,Maine,_____________________________ 10 17 3, -0.2, 7.2, 6.96, 7.06 37,Colgate,___________________________ 14 13 5, 0.0, 6.9, 6.95, 7.47 38,Yale,______________________________ 12 11 4, 0.0, 6.9, 6.95, 6.84 39,Dartmouth,_________________________ 10 13 4, -0.1, 7.0, 6.87, 6.97 40,Robert Morris,_____________________ 14 12 3, 0.1, 6.8, 6.87, 7.27 41,Lake Superior,_____________________ 8 18 6, -0.3, 7.2, 6.84, 7.31 42,Ohio State,________________________ 11 21 4, -0.3, 7.1, 6.80, 7.17 43,Alaska,____________________________ 8 19 5, -0.3, 7.1, 6.77, 6.67 44,Air Force,_________________________ 16 11 5, 0.2, 6.6, 6.75, 7.00 45,Rensselaer,________________________ 10 20 4, -0.3, 7.0, 6.73, 6.57 46,St Lawrence,_______________________ 10 18 4, -0.3, 7.0, 6.73, 6.26 47,RIT,_______________________________ 15 11 6, 0.1, 6.6, 6.68, 6.74 48,Brown,_____________________________ 5 18 4, -0.5, 7.0, 6.54, 6.80 49,Army,______________________________ 15 13 4, 0.1, 6.5, 6.53, 6.64 50,Western Michigan,__________________ 7 24 3, -0.5, 7.0, 6.51, 6.38 51,Sacred Heart,______________________ 14 15 3, -0.0, 6.5, 6.50, 6.59 52,Wayne State,_______________________ 9 21 2, -0.4, 6.9, 6.49, 6.11 53,Mercyhurst,________________________ 11 17 6, -0.2, 6.6, 6.46, 6.22 54,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 6 19 3, -0.5, 6.9, 6.43, 6.59 55,Holy Cross,________________________ 10 15 7, -0.2, 6.6, 6.39, 6.47 56,Canisius,__________________________ 10 18 5, -0.2, 6.6, 6.39, 6.39 57,Bentley,___________________________ 9 17 6, -0.3, 6.5, 6.26, 6.54 58,Connecticut,_______________________ 10 19 3, -0.3, 6.5, 6.25, 6.07 59,American Int'l,____________________ 8 20 4, -0.4, 6.5, 6.15, 5.77 Link to the 2006-2007 Final Rankings . The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Games that go to shootouts for decision are considered ties for ratings purposes. Actually, there are two different rankings listed. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 4. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). This was done because the NCAA has indicated that it does not want to consider goal differential in the selection process. Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Note that the current spread between #1 and #59 is about 2.7 . Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States High School National Rankings New England Prep Midget Minor AAA Midget Major AAA Men's NCAA D1 USHL NAHL ACHA College Club USHSHO.com High School Ice Hockey Forums
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