Scores (sorted by team) through February 24, 2007 courtesy of USCHO.com . Previous Rankings New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting. Maximum Goal Differential = 7 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Minnesota,_________________________ 25 7 3, 1.5, 7.9, 9.32, 7.81 2,St Cloud State,____________________ 20 6 6, 1.3, 8.0, 9.25, 9.45 3,New Hampshire,_____________________ 23 7 2, 1.5, 7.4, 8.93, 6.59 4,Notre Dame,________________________ 27 6 3, 1.7, 7.1, 8.76, 7.20 5,Maine,_____________________________ 21 10 2, 1.2, 7.5, 8.64, 7.83 6,North Dakota,______________________ 18 12 4, 0.7, 7.9, 8.58, 8.32 7,Michigan,__________________________ 23 12 1, 1.1, 7.4, 8.42, 7.72 8,Boston University,_________________ 18 6 9, 0.9, 7.5, 8.34, 9.19 9,Clarkson,__________________________ 21 8 5, 1.1, 7.2, 8.28, 7.78 10,Colorado College,__________________ 16 15 3, 0.3, 7.9, 8.22, 7.59 11,Wisconsin,_________________________ 14 17 3, 0.1, 8.1, 8.20, 8.35 12,Denver,____________________________ 21 12 3, 0.5, 7.7, 8.16, 7.13 13,Michigan State,____________________ 19 12 3, 0.7, 7.5, 8.14, 5.88 14,Boston College,____________________ 20 11 1, 0.6, 7.5, 8.11, 9.17 15,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 15 14 5, 0.2, 7.9, 8.06, 8.85 16,Miami,_____________________________ 23 11 4, 0.9, 7.2, 8.02, 8.08 17,Vermont,___________________________ 17 13 4, 0.4, 7.6, 7.99, 8.09 18,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 16 14 8, 0.7, 7.1, 7.80, 8.05 19,St Lawrence,_______________________ 20 12 2, 0.4, 7.2, 7.59, 8.24 20,Quinnipiac,________________________ 16 13 5, 0.8, 6.8, 7.59, 6.79 21,Massachusetts,_____________________ 15 11 5, 0.3, 7.3, 7.58, 7.54 22,Minnesota State,___________________ 13 17 6, -0.6, 8.1, 7.53, 8.05 23,Cornell,___________________________ 14 11 4, 0.5, 7.0, 7.50, 8.08 24,Northeastern,______________________ 12 15 5, -0.0, 7.5, 7.48, 7.46 25,Ohio State,________________________ 14 15 5, -0.1, 7.5, 7.46, 8.50 26,Dartmouth,_________________________ 16 10 3, 0.3, 7.1, 7.42, 7.98 27,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 12 18 4, -0.5, 7.9, 7.39, 9.32 28,Harvard,___________________________ 12 15 2, -0.1, 7.4, 7.28, 6.87 29,Lake Superior,_____________________ 17 16 3, 0.1, 7.2, 7.27, 7.24 30,Western Michigan,__________________ 17 16 1, -0.2, 7.4, 7.18, 8.72 31,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 12 19 3, -0.8, 7.9, 7.13, 6.41 32,Northern Michigan,_________________ 13 21 2, -0.5, 7.5, 7.08, 6.65 33,Princeton,_________________________ 13 13 3, 0.2, 6.8, 7.04, 9.35 34,Colgate,___________________________ 13 19 4, -0.1, 7.0, 6.96, 6.19 35,Providence,________________________ 8 21 3, -0.9, 7.8, 6.91, 8.28 36,Brown,_____________________________ 10 13 6, 0.1, 6.8, 6.86, 6.80 37,Ferris State,______________________ 13 20 3, -0.5, 7.3, 6.83, 8.57 38,Alaska,____________________________ 9 19 6, -0.6, 7.3, 6.78, 6.66 39,Union,_____________________________ 14 17 3, -0.4, 7.0, 6.64, 5.64 40,Mass-Lowell,_______________________ 7 21 6, -0.9, 7.5, 6.62, 7.13 41,Niagara,___________________________ 18 11 5, 0.1, 6.4, 6.54, 5.09 42,Yale,______________________________ 11 15 3, -0.6, 7.1, 6.53, 6.54 43,Bemidji State,_____________________ 14 13 5, -0.3, 6.7, 6.38, 4.68 44,RIT,_______________________________ 21 11 2, 1.1, 5.2, 6.28, 5.39 45,Rensselaer,________________________ 10 16 8, -1.1, 7.2, 6.09, 5.75 46,Robert Morris,_____________________ 13 16 2, -0.5, 6.5, 5.98, 5.70 47,Wayne State,_______________________ 10 20 2, -1.0, 6.7, 5.74, 8.26 48,Air Force,_________________________ 16 15 5, 0.5, 5.3, 5.73, 6.43 49,Sacred Heart,______________________ 20 10 4, 0.5, 5.2, 5.67, 6.08 50,Bowling Green,_____________________ 7 27 2, -1.9, 7.5, 5.60, 6.87 51,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 9 19 2, -1.0, 6.5, 5.48, 5.52 52,Merrimack,_________________________ 3 25 4, -2.1, 7.6, 5.46, 5.09 53,Army,______________________________ 15 11 5, 0.2, 5.0, 5.18, 5.67 54,Mercyhurst,________________________ 9 19 6, -0.6, 5.5, 4.90, 4.64 55,Connecticut,_______________________ 15 17 2, -0.5, 5.2, 4.71, 5.13 56,Holy Cross,________________________ 10 19 5, -0.7, 5.3, 4.58, 3.41 57,Canisius,__________________________ 9 22 3, -1.2, 5.5, 4.30, 4.90 58,Bentley,___________________________ 12 21 1, -1.2, 5.4, 4.21, 4.13 59,American Int'l,____________________ 7 24 1, -1.8, 5.4, 3.64, 2.89 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Minnesota,_________________________ 25 7 3, 0.5, 7.3, 7.78, 7.65 2,St Cloud State,____________________ 20 6 6, 0.4, 7.3, 7.75, 7.69 3,New Hampshire,_____________________ 23 7 2, 0.5, 7.1, 7.59, 7.00 4,Notre Dame,________________________ 27 6 3, 0.6, 7.0, 7.56, 7.27 5,Denver,____________________________ 21 12 3, 0.3, 7.2, 7.47, 6.93 6,North Dakota,______________________ 18 12 4, 0.2, 7.3, 7.47, 7.48 7,Boston University,_________________ 18 6 9, 0.4, 7.1, 7.46, 7.82 8,Maine,_____________________________ 21 10 2, 0.3, 7.1, 7.44, 7.19 9,Clarkson,__________________________ 21 8 5, 0.4, 7.0, 7.43, 7.33 10,Michigan,__________________________ 23 12 1, 0.3, 7.1, 7.38, 7.12 11,Boston College,____________________ 20 11 1, 0.3, 7.1, 7.37, 7.76 12,Colorado College,__________________ 16 15 3, 0.0, 7.3, 7.34, 6.77 13,Miami,_____________________________ 23 11 4, 0.3, 7.0, 7.33, 7.50 14,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 15 14 5, 0.0, 7.3, 7.31, 7.75 15,Michigan State,____________________ 19 12 3, 0.2, 7.1, 7.31, 6.24 16,Vermont,___________________________ 17 13 4, 0.1, 7.2, 7.29, 7.15 17,St Lawrence,_______________________ 20 12 2, 0.2, 7.0, 7.27, 7.52 18,Wisconsin,_________________________ 14 17 3, -0.1, 7.4, 7.27, 7.44 19,Minnesota State,___________________ 13 17 6, -0.1, 7.4, 7.25, 7.65 20,Dartmouth,_________________________ 16 10 3, 0.2, 7.0, 7.22, 7.53 21,Massachusetts,_____________________ 15 11 5, 0.1, 7.1, 7.18, 7.17 22,Cornell,___________________________ 14 11 4, 0.1, 7.0, 7.11, 7.22 23,Western Michigan,__________________ 17 16 1, 0.0, 7.1, 7.10, 7.70 24,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 12 18 4, -0.2, 7.3, 7.10, 7.71 25,Ohio State,________________________ 14 15 5, -0.0, 7.1, 7.09, 7.36 26,Niagara,___________________________ 18 11 5, 0.2, 6.9, 7.08, 6.57 27,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 16 14 8, 0.1, 7.0, 7.08, 7.46 28,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 12 19 3, -0.2, 7.3, 7.06, 6.60 29,Lake Superior,_____________________ 17 16 3, 0.0, 7.0, 7.06, 7.06 30,Quinnipiac,________________________ 16 13 5, 0.1, 7.0, 7.04, 6.74 31,Northeastern,______________________ 12 15 5, -0.1, 7.1, 7.02, 6.90 32,Bemidji State,_____________________ 14 13 5, 0.0, 7.0, 7.01, 6.28 33,Harvard,___________________________ 12 15 2, -0.1, 7.1, 7.00, 6.94 34,Princeton,_________________________ 13 13 3, 0.0, 7.0, 6.96, 7.78 35,Union,_____________________________ 14 17 3, -0.1, 7.0, 6.91, 6.45 36,Northern Michigan,_________________ 13 21 2, -0.2, 7.1, 6.90, 6.58 37,Ferris State,______________________ 13 20 3, -0.2, 7.1, 6.88, 7.71 38,Yale,______________________________ 11 15 3, -0.1, 7.0, 6.87, 6.88 39,Colgate,___________________________ 13 19 4, -0.2, 7.0, 6.87, 6.42 40,Rensselaer,________________________ 10 16 8, -0.2, 7.0, 6.87, 6.70 41,Robert Morris,_____________________ 13 16 2, -0.1, 6.9, 6.82, 6.77 42,Brown,_____________________________ 10 13 6, -0.1, 6.9, 6.82, 6.65 43,Providence,________________________ 8 21 3, -0.4, 7.2, 6.80, 7.08 44,Sacred Heart,______________________ 20 10 4, 0.3, 6.5, 6.78, 6.98 45,Alaska,____________________________ 9 19 6, -0.3, 7.1, 6.77, 6.28 46,RIT,_______________________________ 21 11 2, 0.3, 6.5, 6.76, 6.52 47,Mass-Lowell,_______________________ 7 21 6, -0.4, 7.1, 6.73, 7.14 48,Wayne State,_______________________ 10 20 2, -0.3, 7.0, 6.69, 7.55 49,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 9 19 2, -0.3, 6.9, 6.60, 6.68 50,Army,______________________________ 15 11 5, 0.1, 6.4, 6.57, 6.87 51,Bowling Green,_____________________ 7 27 2, -0.6, 7.1, 6.56, 6.95 52,Air Force,_________________________ 16 15 5, 0.0, 6.5, 6.53, 6.43 53,Merrimack,_________________________ 3 25 4, -0.7, 7.2, 6.47, 6.19 54,Connecticut,_______________________ 15 17 2, -0.1, 6.5, 6.43, 6.56 55,Bentley,___________________________ 12 21 1, -0.3, 6.5, 6.27, 6.02 56,Mercyhurst,________________________ 9 19 6, -0.3, 6.6, 6.26, 6.25 57,Holy Cross,________________________ 10 19 5, -0.3, 6.5, 6.26, 5.92 58,Canisius,__________________________ 9 22 3, -0.4, 6.6, 6.19, 6.37 59,American Int'l,____________________ 7 24 1, -0.5, 6.5, 6.01, 6.19 Link to the 2005-2006 Final Rankings . The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Games that go to shootouts for decision are considered ties for ratings purposes. Actually, there are two different rankings listed. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 7. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). This was done because the NCAA has indicated that it does not want to consider goal differential in the selection process. Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Note that the current spread between #1 and #59 is about 1.9 . Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States High School National Rankings New England Prep Midget Minor AAA Midget Major AAA Men's NCAA D1 USHL NAHL ACHA College Club USHSHO.com High School Ice Hockey Forums
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