Scores through February 25, 2006 courtesy of USCHO.com . Previous Week's Rankings . New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting. Maximum Goal Differential = 7 RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Minnesota,_________________________ 23 6 5, 1.5, 7.8, 9.28, 9.13 2,Wisconsin,_________________________ 21 9 3, 1.4, 7.9, 9.25, 7.43 3,Colorado College,__________________ 23 12 1, 1.1, 7.8, 8.83, 9.51 4,Miami,_____________________________ 23 7 4, 1.2, 7.5, 8.75, 8.08 5,North Dakota,______________________ 21 14 1, 0.9, 7.8, 8.70, 9.17 6,St. Cloud State,___________________ 18 12 4, 1.0, 7.5, 8.52, 8.22 7,Michigan,__________________________ 18 13 5, 0.7, 7.7, 8.39, 7.80 8,Maine,_____________________________ 23 10 1, 1.3, 7.1, 8.39, 8.85 9,Denver,____________________________ 19 13 2, 0.5, 7.8, 8.35, 8.58 10,Boston College,____________________ 20 10 2, 1.2, 7.1, 8.28, 6.90 11,Michigan State,____________________ 20 10 8, 0.6, 7.6, 8.25, 9.16 12,Boston University,_________________ 19 9 4, 0.8, 7.4, 8.12, 7.69 13,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 18 12 6, 0.4, 7.6, 8.01, 7.93 14,Minnesota State,___________________ 16 16 4, 0.3, 7.7, 7.94, 9.57 15,Ohio State,________________________ 15 17 5, 0.2, 7.7, 7.91, 6.52 16,Vermont,___________________________ 18 10 6, 0.7, 7.1, 7.83, 7.18 17,Northern Michigan,_________________ 20 14 2, 0.4, 7.4, 7.80, 8.85 18,New Hampshire,_____________________ 17 11 6, 0.5, 7.2, 7.75, 8.41 19,Dartmouth,_________________________ 16 11 2, 0.8, 6.9, 7.72, 8.82 20,Providence,________________________ 16 13 3, 0.5, 7.2, 7.71, 6.80 21,Lake Superior,_____________________ 15 12 7, 0.3, 7.4, 7.70, 6.50 22,Ferris State,______________________ 15 13 8, 0.2, 7.5, 7.63, 7.84 23,Cornell,___________________________ 18 7 4, 0.8, 6.9, 7.61, 7.11 24,Notre Dame,________________________ 13 17 4, -0.2, 7.8, 7.58, 8.52 25,Harvard,___________________________ 17 10 2, 0.3, 7.1, 7.49, 8.07 26,Alaska-Fairbanks,__________________ 15 14 5, -0.3, 7.7, 7.49, 7.25 27,Colgate,___________________________ 18 10 6, 0.6, 6.8, 7.43, 7.66 28,St. Lawrence,______________________ 18 14 2, 0.3, 7.0, 7.31, 7.33 29,Bemidji State,_____________________ 16 13 3, 0.7, 6.5, 7.20, 6.09 30,Quinnipiac,________________________ 17 16 1, 0.6, 6.5, 7.07, 7.12 31,Clarkson,__________________________ 16 15 3, 0.2, 6.9, 7.05, 7.49 32,Bowling Green,_____________________ 13 21 2, -0.5, 7.5, 7.00, 6.63 33,Princeton,_________________________ 10 16 3, -0.3, 7.0, 6.71, 6.52 34,Niagara,___________________________ 17 14 1, 0.1, 6.6, 6.68, 7.86 35,Rensselaer,________________________ 14 15 6, -0.1, 6.8, 6.68, 7.54 36,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 9 21 4, -1.2, 7.9, 6.65, 6.26 37,Massachusetts,_____________________ 13 18 1, -0.6, 7.2, 6.63, 7.25 38,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 18 10 2, 0.3, 6.3, 6.54, 5.27 39,Union,_____________________________ 16 14 6, -0.3, 6.7, 6.38, 6.96 40,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 6 25 3, -1.8, 8.2, 6.37, 5.75 41,Mass.-Lowell,______________________ 12 18 2, -0.9, 7.2, 6.31, 6.27 42,Sacred Heart,______________________ 20 10 2, 1.0, 5.2, 6.26, 6.86 43,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 7 21 6, -1.8, 8.0, 6.18, 6.96 44,Holy Cross,________________________ 21 9 2, 0.8, 5.3, 6.18, 5.22 45,Western Michigan,__________________ 8 22 6, -1.6, 7.6, 6.04, 8.04 46,Mercyhurst,________________________ 19 12 1, 0.8, 5.2, 5.99, 6.02 47,Yale,______________________________ 8 18 3, -1.0, 7.0, 5.96, 4.10 48,Northeastern,______________________ 3 22 7, -1.5, 7.5, 5.94, 5.83 49,Brown,_____________________________ 4 18 7, -1.2, 7.1, 5.85, 5.16 50,Robert Morris,_____________________ 11 17 3, -0.7, 6.3, 5.52, 6.09 51,Merrimack,_________________________ 5 22 5, -1.7, 7.1, 5.42, 6.03 52,Air Force,_________________________ 9 19 1, -0.9, 6.3, 5.39, 6.44 53,Wayne State,_______________________ 6 20 6, -1.5, 6.7, 5.26, 4.99 54,RIT,_______________________________ 4 21 2, -1.1, 6.2, 5.08, 5.29 55,Army,______________________________ 11 16 6, -0.4, 5.5, 5.07, 3.91 56,Bentley,___________________________ 13 14 5, -0.6, 5.2, 4.61, 5.70 57,Canisius,__________________________ 10 20 2, -0.6, 5.2, 4.59, 5.05 58,Connecticut,_______________________ 9 21 2, -1.1, 5.3, 4.16, 4.76 59,American Int'l,____________________ 5 19 5, -2.0, 5.4, 3.43, 2.77 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below Maximum Goal Differential = 1 RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Minnesota,_________________________ 23 6 5, 0.5, 7.2, 7.71, 7.83 2,Miami,_____________________________ 23 7 4, 0.5, 7.2, 7.63, 7.41 3,Wisconsin,_________________________ 21 9 3, 0.4, 7.2, 7.60, 7.04 4,Colorado College,__________________ 23 12 1, 0.3, 7.2, 7.49, 7.52 5,Michigan State,____________________ 20 10 8, 0.3, 7.2, 7.48, 8.19 6,North Dakota,______________________ 21 14 1, 0.2, 7.2, 7.41, 7.40 7,Boston University,_________________ 19 9 4, 0.3, 7.1, 7.41, 7.46 8,Maine,_____________________________ 23 10 1, 0.4, 7.0, 7.39, 7.78 9,Denver,____________________________ 19 13 2, 0.2, 7.2, 7.38, 7.28 10,Michigan,__________________________ 18 13 5, 0.1, 7.2, 7.38, 7.09 11,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 18 12 6, 0.2, 7.2, 7.37, 7.35 12,Boston College,____________________ 20 10 2, 0.3, 7.0, 7.34, 6.59 13,Northern Michigan,_________________ 20 14 2, 0.2, 7.2, 7.32, 7.85 14,St. Cloud State,___________________ 18 12 4, 0.2, 7.1, 7.31, 7.10 15,Cornell,___________________________ 18 7 4, 0.4, 6.9, 7.31, 7.07 16,Alaska-Fairbanks,__________________ 15 14 5, 0.0, 7.2, 7.28, 7.37 17,Harvard,___________________________ 17 10 2, 0.2, 7.0, 7.26, 7.62 18,Lake Superior,_____________________ 15 12 7, 0.1, 7.2, 7.26, 6.60 19,Vermont,___________________________ 18 10 6, 0.2, 7.0, 7.26, 7.20 20,New Hampshire,_____________________ 17 11 6, 0.2, 7.1, 7.23, 7.33 21,Ferris State,______________________ 15 13 8, 0.1, 7.2, 7.23, 7.05 22,Ohio State,________________________ 15 17 5, -0.1, 7.2, 7.19, 6.95 23,Colgate,___________________________ 18 10 6, 0.2, 6.9, 7.18, 7.44 24,Minnesota State,___________________ 16 16 4, 0.0, 7.2, 7.17, 8.04 25,Providence,________________________ 16 13 3, 0.1, 7.1, 7.16, 6.89 26,Dartmouth,_________________________ 16 11 2, 0.2, 7.0, 7.15, 7.67 27,Notre Dame,________________________ 13 17 4, -0.1, 7.2, 7.12, 7.54 28,St. Lawrence,______________________ 18 14 2, 0.1, 7.0, 7.10, 6.98 29,Clarkson,__________________________ 16 15 3, 0.0, 6.9, 6.98, 6.95 30,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 18 10 2, 0.3, 6.7, 6.98, 6.59 31,Bowling Green,_____________________ 13 21 2, -0.2, 7.2, 6.95, 6.56 32,Bemidji State,_____________________ 16 13 3, 0.1, 6.9, 6.94, 6.56 33,Niagara,___________________________ 17 14 1, 0.1, 6.8, 6.94, 7.26 34,Union,_____________________________ 16 14 6, 0.1, 6.9, 6.92, 6.76 35,Holy Cross,________________________ 21 9 2, 0.4, 6.5, 6.91, 6.27 36,Rensselaer,________________________ 14 15 6, -0.0, 6.9, 6.90, 7.14 37,Massachusetts,_____________________ 13 18 1, -0.2, 7.0, 6.89, 6.95 38,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 9 21 4, -0.4, 7.2, 6.87, 6.88 39,Mass.-Lowell,______________________ 12 18 2, -0.2, 7.1, 6.87, 6.84 40,Quinnipiac,________________________ 17 16 1, 0.0, 6.8, 6.86, 6.83 41,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 7 21 6, -0.4, 7.2, 6.84, 7.11 42,Western Michigan,__________________ 8 22 6, -0.4, 7.2, 6.83, 7.45 43,Sacred Heart,______________________ 20 10 2, 0.3, 6.5, 6.83, 7.28 44,Princeton,_________________________ 10 16 3, -0.2, 7.0, 6.80, 6.63 45,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 6 25 3, -0.6, 7.3, 6.76, 6.54 46,Mercyhurst,________________________ 19 12 1, 0.2, 6.5, 6.75, 6.64 47,Yale,______________________________ 8 18 3, -0.3, 7.0, 6.64, 5.93 48,Robert Morris,_____________________ 11 17 3, -0.2, 6.7, 6.55, 6.84 49,Northeastern,______________________ 3 22 7, -0.6, 7.1, 6.54, 6.67 50,Brown,_____________________________ 4 18 7, -0.5, 7.0, 6.54, 6.53 51,Wayne State,_______________________ 6 20 6, -0.4, 6.9, 6.50, 6.28 52,Merrimack,_________________________ 5 22 5, -0.5, 7.0, 6.48, 6.55 53,Bentley,___________________________ 13 14 5, -0.0, 6.5, 6.47, 6.90 54,Army,______________________________ 11 16 6, -0.2, 6.6, 6.45, 6.13 55,Air Force,_________________________ 9 19 1, -0.3, 6.7, 6.40, 6.84 56,Canisius,__________________________ 10 20 2, -0.3, 6.5, 6.21, 6.40 57,Connecticut,_______________________ 9 21 2, -0.4, 6.5, 6.16, 6.38 58,RIT,_______________________________ 4 21 2, -0.6, 6.8, 6.13, 5.81 59,American Int'l,____________________ 5 19 5, -0.5, 6.6, 6.07, 5.85 Link to the 2004-2005 Final Rankings . The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Games that go to shootouts for decision are considered ties for ratings purposes. Actually, there are two different rankings listed below. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 7. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). This was done because the NCAA has indicated that it does not want to consider goal differential in the selection process. Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Note that the current spread between #1 and #59 is about 1.9 . Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Links to other ratings: CT IA IL IN MA MD MD-VA ME MI MN MN-WI-ND MO ND Northeast NH NJ NY WNY Club OH PA-E PA-W RI VA VT WI wWI USA New England Prep Midget Minor AAA Midget Major AAA Men's NCAA D1 USHSHO.com High School Ice Hockey Forums
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