Scores (sorted by team) through March 4, 2007 courtesy of USCHO.com . Previous Rankings New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting. Maximum Goal Differential = 7 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Minnesota,_________________________ 26 8 3, 1.4, 7.9, 9.28, 7.71 2,St Cloud State,____________________ 20 7 7, 1.1, 8.0, 9.06, 9.05 3,Notre Dame,________________________ 27 6 3, 1.7, 7.1, 8.76, 7.21 4,New Hampshire,_____________________ 23 9 2, 1.3, 7.5, 8.74, 5.96 5,North Dakota,______________________ 19 12 5, 0.8, 8.0, 8.73, 9.92 6,Maine,_____________________________ 21 12 2, 1.0, 7.5, 8.47, 7.32 7,Michigan,__________________________ 23 12 1, 1.1, 7.4, 8.42, 7.73 8,Boston College,____________________ 22 11 1, 0.7, 7.6, 8.29, 9.87 9,Colorado College,__________________ 17 15 4, 0.4, 7.9, 8.28, 7.89 10,Clarkson,__________________________ 21 8 5, 1.1, 7.2, 8.26, 7.73 11,Boston University,_________________ 18 7 9, 0.8, 7.5, 8.26, 8.35 12,Wisconsin,_________________________ 15 17 4, 0.1, 8.1, 8.21, 7.59 13,Michigan State,____________________ 19 12 3, 0.7, 7.5, 8.14, 5.90 14,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 16 15 5, 0.1, 7.9, 8.08, 9.21 15,Denver,____________________________ 21 13 4, 0.4, 7.7, 8.06, 7.42 16,Miami,_____________________________ 23 11 4, 0.9, 7.1, 8.01, 8.02 17,Vermont,___________________________ 17 14 5, 0.3, 7.6, 7.88, 7.74 18,Massachusetts,_____________________ 18 11 5, 0.5, 7.3, 7.79, 8.97 19,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 18 14 8, 0.7, 7.1, 7.77, 7.87 20,Quinnipiac,________________________ 18 13 5, 0.8, 6.8, 7.59, 6.81 21,St Lawrence,_______________________ 20 12 2, 0.4, 7.2, 7.57, 8.21 22,Minnesota State,___________________ 13 17 6, -0.6, 8.1, 7.52, 8.11 23,Northeastern,______________________ 13 16 5, -0.0, 7.5, 7.50, 7.76 24,Ohio State,________________________ 15 17 5, 0.0, 7.5, 7.48, 8.01 25,Cornell,___________________________ 14 11 4, 0.5, 7.0, 7.47, 8.07 26,Dartmouth,_________________________ 16 10 3, 0.3, 7.0, 7.39, 7.96 27,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 12 19 5, -0.5, 7.9, 7.37, 8.48 28,Harvard,___________________________ 14 15 2, 0.1, 7.3, 7.34, 8.63 29,Lake Superior,_____________________ 19 17 3, 0.1, 7.2, 7.27, 6.98 30,Western Michigan,__________________ 18 18 1, -0.2, 7.3, 7.18, 7.38 31,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 12 19 3, -0.8, 7.9, 7.13, 6.40 32,Northern Michigan,_________________ 15 22 2, -0.5, 7.5, 7.06, 7.29 33,Princeton,_________________________ 15 14 3, 0.2, 6.8, 7.04, 9.27 34,Colgate,___________________________ 15 19 4, 0.1, 6.9, 7.00, 6.66 35,Providence,________________________ 10 21 3, -0.6, 7.6, 6.99, 9.14 36,Ferris State,______________________ 14 22 3, -0.5, 7.3, 6.85, 7.87 37,Brown,_____________________________ 11 15 6, 0.0, 6.8, 6.84, 6.74 38,Alaska,____________________________ 11 20 6, -0.5, 7.3, 6.78, 6.62 39,Mass-Lowell,_______________________ 8 21 7, -0.8, 7.5, 6.70, 7.14 40,Union,_____________________________ 14 19 3, -0.4, 7.0, 6.60, 6.21 41,Niagara,___________________________ 18 12 6, 0.1, 6.4, 6.43, 6.15 42,Yale,______________________________ 11 17 3, -0.6, 7.1, 6.43, 5.53 43,Bemidji State,_____________________ 14 13 5, -0.3, 6.7, 6.40, 4.75 44,RIT,_______________________________ 21 11 2, 1.1, 5.1, 6.27, 5.38 45,Rensselaer,________________________ 10 18 8, -1.2, 7.1, 5.98, 6.11 46,Robert Morris,_____________________ 13 18 2, -0.6, 6.5, 5.85, 4.51 47,Wayne State,_______________________ 12 20 2, -0.8, 6.6, 5.85, 7.39 48,Air Force,_________________________ 16 15 5, 0.5, 5.3, 5.72, 6.42 49,Sacred Heart,______________________ 20 10 4, 0.5, 5.2, 5.67, 6.07 50,Bowling Green,_____________________ 7 29 2, -1.9, 7.5, 5.64, 6.33 51,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 10 19 3, -0.9, 6.5, 5.60, 6.10 52,Merrimack,_________________________ 3 27 4, -2.2, 7.5, 5.36, 4.72 53,Army,______________________________ 15 11 5, 0.2, 5.0, 5.18, 5.66 54,Mercyhurst,________________________ 9 19 6, -0.6, 5.4, 4.88, 4.62 55,Connecticut,_______________________ 15 17 2, -0.5, 5.2, 4.71, 5.14 56,Holy Cross,________________________ 10 19 5, -0.7, 5.3, 4.56, 3.40 57,Canisius,__________________________ 9 23 3, -1.2, 5.4, 4.24, 3.91 58,Bentley,___________________________ 12 21 1, -1.2, 5.4, 4.21, 4.12 59,American Int'l,____________________ 8 24 1, -1.7, 5.3, 3.67, 3.82 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Minnesota,_________________________ 26 8 3, 0.5, 7.3, 7.76, 7.29 2,St Cloud State,____________________ 20 7 7, 0.4, 7.3, 7.71, 7.77 3,Notre Dame,________________________ 27 6 3, 0.6, 7.0, 7.56, 7.30 4,New Hampshire,_____________________ 23 9 2, 0.4, 7.1, 7.52, 6.79 5,North Dakota,______________________ 19 12 5, 0.2, 7.3, 7.51, 7.88 6,Denver,____________________________ 21 13 4, 0.2, 7.2, 7.44, 7.22 7,Boston College,____________________ 22 11 1, 0.3, 7.1, 7.44, 8.19 8,Clarkson,__________________________ 21 8 5, 0.4, 7.0, 7.42, 7.31 9,Boston University,_________________ 18 7 9, 0.3, 7.1, 7.42, 7.30 10,Michigan,__________________________ 23 12 1, 0.3, 7.1, 7.38, 7.11 11,Maine,_____________________________ 21 12 2, 0.3, 7.1, 7.37, 6.77 12,Colorado College,__________________ 17 15 4, 0.1, 7.3, 7.37, 7.03 13,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 16 15 5, 0.0, 7.3, 7.34, 7.91 14,Miami,_____________________________ 23 11 4, 0.3, 7.0, 7.33, 7.49 15,Michigan State,____________________ 19 12 3, 0.2, 7.1, 7.31, 6.21 16,Wisconsin,_________________________ 15 17 4, -0.1, 7.3, 7.29, 7.11 17,Massachusetts,_____________________ 18 11 5, 0.2, 7.1, 7.27, 7.81 18,St Lawrence,_______________________ 20 12 2, 0.2, 7.0, 7.27, 7.50 19,Minnesota State,___________________ 13 17 6, -0.1, 7.4, 7.25, 7.68 20,Vermont,___________________________ 17 14 5, 0.1, 7.1, 7.23, 7.13 21,Dartmouth,_________________________ 16 10 3, 0.2, 7.0, 7.21, 7.52 22,Cornell,___________________________ 14 11 4, 0.1, 7.0, 7.10, 7.22 23,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 18 14 8, 0.1, 7.0, 7.10, 7.76 24,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 12 19 5, -0.2, 7.3, 7.09, 7.25 25,Quinnipiac,________________________ 18 13 5, 0.1, 6.9, 7.08, 7.26 26,Lake Superior,_____________________ 19 17 3, 0.1, 7.0, 7.07, 7.14 27,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 12 19 3, -0.2, 7.3, 7.07, 6.60 28,Western Michigan,__________________ 18 18 1, 0.0, 7.1, 7.06, 6.72 29,Ohio State,________________________ 15 17 5, -0.1, 7.1, 7.06, 6.92 30,Harvard,___________________________ 14 15 2, -0.0, 7.1, 7.04, 7.69 31,Niagara,___________________________ 18 12 6, 0.2, 6.9, 7.03, 6.71 32,Northeastern,______________________ 13 16 5, -0.1, 7.1, 7.03, 7.13 33,Bemidji State,_____________________ 14 13 5, 0.0, 7.0, 7.01, 6.31 34,Princeton,_________________________ 15 14 3, 0.0, 6.9, 6.97, 7.62 35,Northern Michigan,_________________ 15 22 2, -0.2, 7.1, 6.94, 7.36 36,Colgate,___________________________ 15 19 4, -0.1, 7.0, 6.90, 6.79 37,Ferris State,______________________ 14 22 3, -0.2, 7.1, 6.87, 7.07 38,Union,_____________________________ 14 19 3, -0.1, 7.0, 6.86, 6.41 39,Providence,________________________ 10 21 3, -0.3, 7.2, 6.84, 7.38 40,Alaska,____________________________ 11 20 6, -0.2, 7.1, 6.82, 6.88 41,Yale,______________________________ 11 17 3, -0.2, 7.0, 6.81, 6.39 42,Rensselaer,________________________ 10 18 8, -0.2, 7.0, 6.80, 6.57 43,Brown,_____________________________ 11 15 6, -0.1, 6.9, 6.80, 6.71 44,Mass-Lowell,_______________________ 8 21 7, -0.4, 7.1, 6.78, 7.15 45,Sacred Heart,______________________ 20 10 4, 0.3, 6.5, 6.77, 6.98 46,Robert Morris,_____________________ 13 18 2, -0.2, 6.9, 6.76, 6.18 47,RIT,_______________________________ 21 11 2, 0.3, 6.5, 6.76, 6.52 48,Wayne State,_______________________ 12 20 2, -0.2, 7.0, 6.74, 7.52 49,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 10 19 3, -0.3, 6.9, 6.65, 6.97 50,Army,______________________________ 15 11 5, 0.1, 6.4, 6.57, 6.87 51,Bowling Green,_____________________ 7 29 2, -0.6, 7.1, 6.54, 6.54 52,Air Force,_________________________ 16 15 5, 0.0, 6.5, 6.53, 6.43 53,Connecticut,_______________________ 15 17 2, -0.1, 6.5, 6.44, 6.57 54,Merrimack,_________________________ 3 27 4, -0.7, 7.1, 6.43, 6.04 55,Bentley,___________________________ 12 21 1, -0.3, 6.5, 6.28, 6.02 56,Mercyhurst,________________________ 9 19 6, -0.3, 6.6, 6.26, 6.25 57,Holy Cross,________________________ 10 19 5, -0.3, 6.5, 6.25, 5.92 58,Canisius,__________________________ 9 23 3, -0.4, 6.6, 6.16, 5.92 59,American Int'l,____________________ 8 24 1, -0.5, 6.5, 6.04, 6.42 Link to the 2005-2006 Final Rankings . The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Games that go to shootouts for decision are considered ties for ratings purposes. Actually, there are two different rankings listed. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 7. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). This was done because the NCAA has indicated that it does not want to consider goal differential in the selection process. Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Note that the current spread between #1 and #59 is about 1.7 . Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States High School National Rankings New England Prep Midget Minor AAA Midget Major AAA Men's NCAA D1 USHL NAHL ACHA College Club USHSHO.com High School Ice Hockey Forums
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