Scores through March 5, 2006 courtesy of USCHO.com . Previous Week's Rankings . New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting. Maximum Goal Differential = 7 March 9, 2006 - 2005-2006 National High School Hockey Rankings released (over 1650 teams ranked). RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Minnesota,_________________________ 25 6 5, 1.7, 7.7, 9.41, 10.47 2,Wisconsin,_________________________ 23 9 3, 1.4, 7.9, 9.29, 7.19 3,North Dakota,______________________ 23 14 1, 1.1, 7.8, 8.84, 9.90 4,Colorado College,__________________ 23 13 2, 1.0, 7.8, 8.78, 9.07 5,Miami,_____________________________ 23 7 4, 1.2, 7.5, 8.73, 8.04 6,St. Cloud State,___________________ 18 14 4, 0.8, 7.7, 8.49, 7.93 7,Denver,____________________________ 20 13 3, 0.5, 7.9, 8.42, 8.33 8,Michigan,__________________________ 18 13 5, 0.7, 7.7, 8.41, 7.84 9,Maine,_____________________________ 24 10 2, 1.3, 7.1, 8.35, 8.11 10,Michigan State,____________________ 20 10 8, 0.6, 7.6, 8.26, 9.09 11,Boston College,____________________ 20 11 3, 1.0, 7.2, 8.18, 7.02 12,Boston University,_________________ 21 9 4, 0.8, 7.3, 8.11, 8.02 13,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 20 12 6, 0.5, 7.5, 8.06, 7.13 14,Minnesota State,___________________ 16 16 4, 0.3, 7.7, 7.95, 9.59 15,New Hampshire,_____________________ 18 11 7, 0.6, 7.3, 7.87, 8.94 16,Northern Michigan,_________________ 20 14 2, 0.4, 7.4, 7.79, 8.76 17,Ohio State,________________________ 15 19 5, 0.1, 7.7, 7.78, 6.17 18,Ferris State,______________________ 17 13 8, 0.3, 7.5, 7.75, 8.83 19,Dartmouth,_________________________ 16 11 2, 0.8, 6.9, 7.73, 8.81 20,Vermont,___________________________ 18 12 6, 0.6, 7.1, 7.65, 6.58 21,Providence,________________________ 17 14 3, 0.5, 7.2, 7.62, 6.34 22,Cornell,___________________________ 18 7 4, 0.8, 6.9, 7.62, 7.09 23,Lake Superior,_____________________ 15 14 7, 0.2, 7.4, 7.59, 5.93 24,Alaska-Fairbanks,__________________ 17 14 5, -0.2, 7.7, 7.58, 7.82 25,Harvard,___________________________ 17 10 2, 0.3, 7.2, 7.50, 8.09 26,Notre Dame,________________________ 13 19 4, -0.3, 7.7, 7.48, 7.25 27,Colgate,___________________________ 18 10 6, 0.6, 6.9, 7.44, 7.67 28,Bemidji State,_____________________ 18 13 3, 0.9, 6.5, 7.38, 7.33 29,St. Lawrence,______________________ 19 15 2, 0.3, 7.0, 7.25, 6.43 30,Clarkson,__________________________ 18 15 3, 0.3, 6.8, 7.18, 8.45 31,Quinnipiac,________________________ 19 16 1, 0.6, 6.5, 7.14, 7.37 32,Bowling Green,_____________________ 13 23 2, -0.6, 7.5, 6.94, 7.01 33,Niagara,___________________________ 19 14 1, 0.2, 6.5, 6.69, 7.40 34,Massachusetts,_____________________ 13 19 2, -0.6, 7.3, 6.68, 7.05 35,Rensselaer,________________________ 14 17 6, -0.2, 6.8, 6.63, 6.89 36,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 9 23 4, -1.4, 8.0, 6.57, 4.84 37,Princeton,_________________________ 10 18 3, -0.5, 7.0, 6.54, 5.53 38,Mass.-Lowell,______________________ 14 18 2, -0.8, 7.3, 6.50, 8.23 39,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 6 25 3, -1.8, 8.2, 6.39, 5.77 40,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 18 12 2, 0.0, 6.3, 6.37, 4.92 41,Union,_____________________________ 16 16 6, -0.3, 6.6, 6.32, 5.94 42,Sacred Heart,______________________ 21 11 2, 1.1, 5.2, 6.27, 6.45 43,Western Michigan,__________________ 10 22 6, -1.5, 7.6, 6.17, 8.38 44,Holy Cross,________________________ 23 9 2, 0.9, 5.3, 6.17, 5.18 45,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 7 23 6, -2.0, 8.0, 6.06, 5.79 46,Yale,______________________________ 10 18 3, -0.9, 6.9, 6.05, 5.31 47,Mercyhurst,________________________ 21 12 1, 0.8, 5.2, 6.02, 6.29 48,Northeastern,______________________ 3 24 7, -1.6, 7.5, 5.95, 6.04 49,Brown,_____________________________ 5 19 7, -1.2, 7.1, 5.94, 6.27 50,Robert Morris,_____________________ 11 19 3, -0.8, 6.3, 5.54, 6.35 51,Merrimack,_________________________ 6 23 5, -1.6, 7.1, 5.51, 6.09 52,Air Force,_________________________ 11 19 1, -0.7, 6.2, 5.50, 6.36 53,Wayne State,_______________________ 6 22 6, -1.5, 6.7, 5.18, 4.29 54,RIT,_______________________________ 4 21 2, -1.1, 6.2, 5.08, 5.24 55,Army,______________________________ 12 17 6, -0.4, 5.4, 5.04, 4.26 56,Bentley,___________________________ 13 16 5, -0.6, 5.3, 4.67, 6.07 57,Canisius,__________________________ 10 22 2, -0.6, 5.3, 4.61, 4.55 58,Connecticut,_______________________ 10 22 2, -1.1, 5.3, 4.19, 3.38 59,American Int'l,____________________ 6 20 5, -1.9, 5.4, 3.52, 4.31 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below Maximum Goal Differential = 1 March 9, 2006 - 2005-2006 National High School Hockey Rankings released (over 1650 teams ranked). RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Minnesota,_________________________ 25 6 5, 0.5, 7.2, 7.73, 7.94 2,Wisconsin,_________________________ 23 9 3, 0.4, 7.2, 7.64, 7.15 3,Miami,_____________________________ 23 7 4, 0.5, 7.1, 7.62, 7.39 4,Michigan State,____________________ 20 10 8, 0.3, 7.2, 7.48, 8.15 5,Colorado College,__________________ 23 13 2, 0.3, 7.2, 7.46, 7.47 6,North Dakota,______________________ 23 14 1, 0.2, 7.2, 7.44, 7.67 7,Denver,____________________________ 20 13 3, 0.2, 7.2, 7.42, 7.51 8,Boston University,_________________ 21 9 4, 0.4, 7.1, 7.42, 7.54 9,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 20 12 6, 0.2, 7.2, 7.40, 7.21 10,Maine,_____________________________ 24 10 2, 0.4, 7.0, 7.39, 7.63 11,Michigan,__________________________ 18 13 5, 0.1, 7.3, 7.39, 7.11 12,Alaska-Fairbanks,__________________ 17 14 5, 0.1, 7.2, 7.32, 7.64 13,Cornell,___________________________ 18 7 4, 0.4, 6.9, 7.32, 7.04 14,Northern Michigan,_________________ 20 14 2, 0.2, 7.1, 7.32, 7.81 15,Boston College,____________________ 20 11 3, 0.3, 7.0, 7.31, 6.76 16,St. Cloud State,___________________ 18 14 4, 0.1, 7.2, 7.28, 6.82 17,Ferris State,______________________ 17 13 8, 0.1, 7.2, 7.28, 7.64 18,New Hampshire,_____________________ 18 11 7, 0.2, 7.1, 7.27, 7.46 19,Harvard,___________________________ 17 10 2, 0.2, 7.0, 7.26, 7.63 20,Lake Superior,_____________________ 15 14 7, 0.0, 7.2, 7.19, 6.42 21,Vermont,___________________________ 18 12 6, 0.2, 7.0, 7.19, 6.92 22,Colgate,___________________________ 18 10 6, 0.2, 6.9, 7.18, 7.43 23,Minnesota State,___________________ 16 16 4, 0.0, 7.2, 7.18, 8.05 24,Dartmouth,_________________________ 16 11 2, 0.2, 7.0, 7.16, 7.67 25,Ohio State,________________________ 15 19 5, -0.1, 7.2, 7.13, 6.69 26,Providence,________________________ 17 14 3, 0.1, 7.0, 7.13, 6.82 27,St. Lawrence,______________________ 19 15 2, 0.1, 7.0, 7.08, 6.66 28,Notre Dame,________________________ 13 19 4, -0.2, 7.2, 7.07, 6.84 29,Clarkson,__________________________ 18 15 3, 0.1, 6.9, 7.02, 7.10 30,Bemidji State,_____________________ 18 13 3, 0.1, 6.9, 7.00, 7.06 31,Niagara,___________________________ 19 14 1, 0.1, 6.8, 6.98, 7.30 32,Holy Cross,________________________ 23 9 2, 0.4, 6.5, 6.95, 6.66 33,Mass.-Lowell,______________________ 14 18 2, -0.1, 7.1, 6.94, 7.70 34,Bowling Green,_____________________ 13 23 2, -0.3, 7.2, 6.92, 6.62 35,Quinnipiac,________________________ 19 16 1, 0.1, 6.8, 6.92, 7.17 36,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 18 12 2, 0.2, 6.7, 6.91, 6.47 37,Western Michigan,__________________ 10 22 6, -0.3, 7.2, 6.90, 7.70 38,Massachusetts,_____________________ 13 19 2, -0.2, 7.1, 6.89, 6.81 39,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 9 23 4, -0.4, 7.3, 6.87, 6.57 40,Union,_____________________________ 16 16 6, 0.0, 6.9, 6.86, 6.34 41,Rensselaer,________________________ 14 17 6, -0.1, 6.9, 6.85, 6.65 42,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 7 23 6, -0.4, 7.3, 6.82, 6.82 43,Sacred Heart,______________________ 21 11 2, 0.3, 6.5, 6.80, 6.88 44,Mercyhurst,________________________ 21 12 1, 0.3, 6.5, 6.78, 6.84 45,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 6 25 3, -0.6, 7.3, 6.77, 6.53 46,Princeton,_________________________ 10 18 3, -0.3, 7.0, 6.75, 6.44 47,Yale,______________________________ 10 18 3, -0.3, 7.0, 6.72, 6.69 48,Brown,_____________________________ 5 19 7, -0.5, 7.0, 6.57, 6.97 49,Northeastern,______________________ 3 24 7, -0.6, 7.2, 6.54, 6.35 50,Merrimack,_________________________ 6 23 5, -0.5, 7.0, 6.52, 6.60 51,Robert Morris,_____________________ 11 19 3, -0.2, 6.8, 6.51, 6.58 52,Air Force,_________________________ 11 19 1, -0.3, 6.7, 6.46, 6.77 53,Bentley,___________________________ 13 16 5, -0.1, 6.5, 6.45, 6.70 54,Wayne State,_______________________ 6 22 6, -0.5, 6.9, 6.45, 6.15 55,Army,______________________________ 12 17 6, -0.1, 6.6, 6.44, 6.39 56,Connecticut,_______________________ 10 22 2, -0.4, 6.6, 6.20, 6.19 57,Canisius,__________________________ 10 22 2, -0.4, 6.5, 6.19, 6.04 58,RIT,_______________________________ 4 21 2, -0.6, 6.8, 6.12, 5.80 59,American Int'l,____________________ 6 20 5, -0.5, 6.6, 6.10, 6.21 Link to the 2004-2005 Final Rankings . The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Games that go to shootouts for decision are considered ties for ratings purposes. Actually, there are two different rankings listed below. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 7. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). This was done because the NCAA has indicated that it does not want to consider goal differential in the selection process. Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Note that the current spread between #1 and #59 is about 1.9 . Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Links to other ratings: CT IA IL IN MA MD MD-VA ME MI MN MN-WI-ND MO ND Northeast NH NJ NY WNY Club OH PA-E PA-W RI VA VT WI wWI USA New England Prep Midget Minor AAA Midget Major AAA Men's NCAA D1 USHSHO.com High School Ice Hockey Forums
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