Scores (sorted by team) through March 10, 2007 courtesy of USCHO.com . Previous Rankings New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting. Maximum Goal Differential = 7 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Minnesota,_________________________ 27 9 3, 1.4, 7.8, 9.22, 8.25 2,St Cloud State,____________________ 21 8 7, 1.0, 7.9, 8.92, 7.51 3,New Hampshire,_____________________ 25 9 2, 1.5, 7.4, 8.91, 7.29 4,Notre Dame,________________________ 29 6 3, 1.8, 7.0, 8.85, 8.35 5,North Dakota,______________________ 21 12 5, 0.8, 7.9, 8.73, 10.54 6,Michigan,__________________________ 25 12 1, 1.2, 7.3, 8.55, 9.22 7,Boston College,____________________ 24 11 1, 0.9, 7.5, 8.47, 10.83 8,Maine,_____________________________ 21 14 2, 0.8, 7.5, 8.34, 6.61 9,Clarkson,__________________________ 23 8 5, 1.1, 7.1, 8.29, 7.20 10,Boston University,_________________ 20 8 9, 0.8, 7.5, 8.28, 7.55 11,Colorado College,__________________ 18 16 4, 0.4, 7.9, 8.26, 8.30 12,Michigan State,____________________ 21 12 3, 0.8, 7.5, 8.26, 7.55 13,Wisconsin,_________________________ 17 17 4, 0.2, 8.1, 8.24, 8.17 14,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 17 16 5, 0.1, 7.9, 8.03, 8.64 15,Denver,____________________________ 21 15 4, 0.3, 7.7, 7.99, 6.75 16,Miami,_____________________________ 23 13 4, 0.8, 7.2, 7.93, 6.89 17,Massachusetts,_____________________ 20 11 5, 0.6, 7.4, 7.92, 10.13 18,Vermont,___________________________ 18 16 5, 0.2, 7.6, 7.85, 7.04 19,St Lawrence,_______________________ 22 12 2, 0.6, 7.1, 7.75, 9.33 20,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 18 16 8, 0.5, 7.1, 7.65, 6.89 21,Quinnipiac,________________________ 20 13 5, 0.8, 6.8, 7.60, 7.65 22,Dartmouth,_________________________ 18 10 3, 0.5, 7.0, 7.50, 9.28 23,Ohio State,________________________ 15 17 5, 0.0, 7.4, 7.44, 7.98 24,Minnesota State,___________________ 13 19 6, -0.7, 8.1, 7.44, 7.02 25,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 13 20 5, -0.4, 7.9, 7.43, 9.09 26,Cornell,___________________________ 14 13 4, 0.4, 7.0, 7.40, 6.57 27,Lake Superior,_____________________ 21 17 3, 0.1, 7.2, 7.33, 7.88 28,Northeastern,______________________ 13 18 5, -0.3, 7.6, 7.32, 6.01 29,Harvard,___________________________ 14 17 2, -0.1, 7.3, 7.27, 7.76 30,Western Michigan,__________________ 18 18 1, -0.2, 7.3, 7.18, 7.34 31,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 13 20 3, -0.8, 8.0, 7.12, 7.35 32,Northern Michigan,_________________ 15 24 2, -0.7, 7.6, 6.93, 5.88 33,Princeton,_________________________ 15 16 3, 0.1, 6.8, 6.90, 6.28 34,Ferris State,______________________ 14 22 3, -0.5, 7.3, 6.86, 7.94 35,Providence,________________________ 10 23 3, -0.9, 7.7, 6.84, 7.89 36,Brown,_____________________________ 11 15 6, 0.0, 6.8, 6.79, 6.64 37,Colgate,___________________________ 15 21 4, -0.2, 7.0, 6.78, 5.77 38,Mass-Lowell,_______________________ 8 21 7, -0.8, 7.5, 6.69, 7.20 39,Alaska,____________________________ 11 22 6, -0.7, 7.4, 6.69, 6.05 40,Union,_____________________________ 14 19 3, -0.4, 7.0, 6.57, 6.23 41,Yale,______________________________ 11 17 3, -0.6, 7.0, 6.40, 5.51 42,Niagara,___________________________ 18 13 6, 0.0, 6.3, 6.34, 5.78 43,Bemidji State,_____________________ 14 14 5, -0.4, 6.7, 6.31, 4.98 44,RIT,_______________________________ 21 11 2, 1.1, 5.1, 6.25, 5.32 45,Rensselaer,________________________ 10 18 8, -1.2, 7.1, 5.94, 6.01 46,Robert Morris,_____________________ 14 18 2, -0.5, 6.4, 5.90, 4.92 47,Wayne State,_______________________ 12 21 2, -0.8, 6.6, 5.80, 7.02 48,Air Force,_________________________ 17 15 5, 0.5, 5.2, 5.75, 6.83 49,Sacred Heart,______________________ 21 10 4, 0.6, 5.1, 5.71, 6.22 50,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 12 19 3, -0.7, 6.4, 5.69, 7.43 51,Bowling Green,_____________________ 7 29 2, -1.9, 7.5, 5.63, 6.34 52,Merrimack,_________________________ 3 27 4, -2.2, 7.5, 5.36, 4.61 53,Army,______________________________ 16 11 5, 0.3, 4.9, 5.25, 6.35 54,Mercyhurst,________________________ 9 20 6, -0.6, 5.4, 4.83, 4.83 55,Connecticut,_______________________ 16 17 2, -0.5, 5.2, 4.73, 5.21 56,Holy Cross,________________________ 10 20 5, -0.8, 5.3, 4.50, 2.93 57,Canisius,__________________________ 9 23 3, -1.2, 5.4, 4.21, 3.89 58,Bentley,___________________________ 12 22 1, -1.3, 5.4, 4.10, 3.65 59,American Int'l,____________________ 8 25 1, -1.7, 5.3, 3.61, 3.03 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Minnesota,_________________________ 27 9 3, 0.5, 7.3, 7.72, 7.10 2,St Cloud State,____________________ 21 8 7, 0.4, 7.3, 7.67, 7.40 3,Notre Dame,________________________ 29 6 3, 0.6, 7.0, 7.57, 7.44 4,North Dakota,______________________ 21 12 5, 0.2, 7.3, 7.54, 8.22 5,New Hampshire,_____________________ 25 9 2, 0.4, 7.1, 7.53, 6.88 6,Boston College,____________________ 24 11 1, 0.4, 7.1, 7.46, 8.17 7,Clarkson,__________________________ 23 8 5, 0.4, 7.0, 7.45, 7.37 8,Boston University,_________________ 20 8 9, 0.3, 7.1, 7.43, 6.97 9,Michigan,__________________________ 25 12 1, 0.3, 7.1, 7.41, 7.61 10,Denver,____________________________ 21 15 4, 0.2, 7.2, 7.38, 6.59 11,Colorado College,__________________ 18 16 4, 0.1, 7.3, 7.36, 7.32 12,Michigan State,____________________ 21 12 3, 0.3, 7.1, 7.35, 7.05 13,Wisconsin,_________________________ 17 17 4, 0.0, 7.3, 7.34, 7.66 14,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 17 16 5, 0.0, 7.3, 7.33, 7.70 15,Massachusetts,_____________________ 20 11 5, 0.3, 7.1, 7.32, 8.25 16,Maine,_____________________________ 21 14 2, 0.2, 7.1, 7.31, 6.54 17,St Lawrence,_______________________ 22 12 2, 0.3, 7.0, 7.29, 7.52 18,Miami,_____________________________ 23 13 4, 0.3, 7.0, 7.27, 6.77 19,Dartmouth,_________________________ 18 10 3, 0.3, 7.0, 7.24, 7.91 20,Vermont,___________________________ 18 16 5, 0.1, 7.2, 7.21, 6.76 21,Minnesota State,___________________ 13 19 6, -0.2, 7.4, 7.21, 7.18 22,Lake Superior,_____________________ 21 17 3, 0.1, 7.0, 7.13, 7.63 23,Quinnipiac,________________________ 20 13 5, 0.2, 6.9, 7.12, 7.65 24,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 13 20 5, -0.2, 7.3, 7.11, 7.42 25,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 13 20 3, -0.2, 7.3, 7.10, 7.17 26,Western Michigan,__________________ 18 18 1, 0.0, 7.1, 7.06, 6.74 27,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 18 16 8, 0.0, 7.0, 7.06, 7.12 28,Ohio State,________________________ 15 17 5, -0.1, 7.1, 7.05, 6.91 29,Cornell,___________________________ 14 13 4, 0.0, 7.0, 7.03, 6.48 30,Harvard,___________________________ 14 17 2, -0.1, 7.1, 7.00, 7.31 31,Northeastern,______________________ 13 18 5, -0.1, 7.1, 7.00, 6.80 32,Niagara,___________________________ 18 13 6, 0.1, 6.9, 6.99, 6.54 33,Bemidji State,_____________________ 14 14 5, 0.0, 7.0, 6.97, 6.32 34,Princeton,_________________________ 15 16 3, -0.0, 6.9, 6.92, 6.77 35,Northern Michigan,_________________ 15 24 2, -0.2, 7.1, 6.92, 6.99 36,Ferris State,______________________ 14 22 3, -0.2, 7.1, 6.87, 7.10 37,Colgate,___________________________ 15 21 4, -0.2, 7.0, 6.86, 6.88 38,Union,_____________________________ 14 19 3, -0.1, 7.0, 6.86, 6.42 39,Providence,________________________ 10 23 3, -0.4, 7.2, 6.82, 7.29 40,Alaska,____________________________ 11 22 6, -0.3, 7.1, 6.81, 7.07 41,Yale,______________________________ 11 17 3, -0.2, 7.0, 6.80, 6.38 42,Rensselaer,________________________ 10 18 8, -0.2, 7.0, 6.79, 6.55 43,Brown,_____________________________ 11 15 6, -0.1, 6.9, 6.79, 6.68 44,Robert Morris,_____________________ 14 18 2, -0.1, 6.9, 6.79, 6.47 45,Sacred Heart,______________________ 21 10 4, 0.3, 6.5, 6.78, 6.93 46,Mass-Lowell,_______________________ 8 21 7, -0.4, 7.1, 6.77, 7.16 47,RIT,_______________________________ 21 11 2, 0.3, 6.5, 6.76, 6.50 48,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 12 19 3, -0.2, 6.9, 6.71, 7.73 49,Wayne State,_______________________ 12 21 2, -0.3, 7.0, 6.71, 7.24 50,Army,______________________________ 16 11 5, 0.2, 6.4, 6.59, 7.06 51,Air Force,_________________________ 17 15 5, 0.1, 6.5, 6.54, 6.72 52,Bowling Green,_____________________ 7 29 2, -0.6, 7.1, 6.54, 6.54 53,Connecticut,_______________________ 16 17 2, -0.0, 6.5, 6.45, 6.55 54,Merrimack,_________________________ 3 27 4, -0.7, 7.1, 6.42, 6.01 55,Bentley,___________________________ 12 22 1, -0.3, 6.5, 6.25, 6.05 56,Holy Cross,________________________ 10 20 5, -0.3, 6.5, 6.23, 5.60 57,Mercyhurst,________________________ 9 20 6, -0.3, 6.5, 6.23, 6.18 58,Canisius,__________________________ 9 23 3, -0.4, 6.6, 6.15, 5.92 59,American Int'l,____________________ 8 25 1, -0.5, 6.5, 6.04, 6.09 Link to the 2005-2006 Final Rankings . The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Games that go to shootouts for decision are considered ties for ratings purposes. Actually, there are two different rankings listed. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 7. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). This was done because the NCAA has indicated that it does not want to consider goal differential in the selection process. Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Note that the current spread between #1 and #59 is about 1.7 . Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States High School National Rankings New England Prep Midget Minor AAA Midget Major AAA Men's NCAA D1 USHL NAHL ACHA College Club USHSHO.com High School Ice Hockey Forums
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