Scores (sorted by team) through March 17, 2007 courtesy of USCHO.com . Previous Rankings New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting. Maximum Goal Differential = 7 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Minnesota,_________________________ 30 9 3, 1.4, 7.8, 9.24, 9.31 2,Notre Dame,________________________ 31 6 3, 1.8, 7.1, 8.90, 10.02 3,North Dakota,______________________ 22 13 5, 0.9, 7.9, 8.81, 10.73 4,New Hampshire,_____________________ 26 10 2, 1.3, 7.5, 8.80, 8.96 5,St Cloud State,____________________ 22 10 7, 0.8, 8.0, 8.76, 6.88 6,Boston College,____________________ 26 11 1, 1.1, 7.5, 8.63, 11.68 7,Michigan,__________________________ 26 13 1, 1.2, 7.4, 8.58, 9.48 8,Wisconsin,_________________________ 19 18 4, 0.2, 8.1, 8.34, 9.38 9,Maine,_____________________________ 21 14 2, 0.8, 7.5, 8.32, 6.58 10,Clarkson,__________________________ 25 8 5, 1.2, 7.1, 8.29, 9.44 11,Colorado College,__________________ 18 17 4, 0.3, 7.9, 8.22, 8.57 12,Michigan State,____________________ 22 13 3, 0.7, 7.5, 8.19, 7.76 13,Boston University,_________________ 20 9 9, 0.7, 7.5, 8.17, 7.08 14,Denver,____________________________ 21 15 4, 0.3, 7.7, 7.98, 6.79 15,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 18 17 5, 0.0, 7.9, 7.96, 7.85 16,Miami,_____________________________ 23 13 4, 0.8, 7.1, 7.91, 6.86 17,Massachusetts,_____________________ 20 12 5, 0.5, 7.4, 7.89, 9.82 18,Vermont,___________________________ 18 16 5, 0.2, 7.6, 7.82, 6.97 19,St Lawrence,_______________________ 23 13 2, 0.6, 7.1, 7.66, 7.88 20,Quinnipiac,________________________ 21 14 5, 0.9, 6.8, 7.65, 8.45 21,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 18 16 8, 0.5, 7.1, 7.65, 6.87 22,Minnesota State,___________________ 13 19 6, -0.7, 8.1, 7.44, 7.04 23,Ohio State,________________________ 15 17 5, 0.0, 7.4, 7.43, 7.99 24,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 13 21 5, -0.5, 7.9, 7.42, 8.19 25,Dartmouth,_________________________ 18 12 3, 0.4, 7.0, 7.41, 8.09 26,Cornell,___________________________ 14 13 4, 0.4, 7.0, 7.38, 6.56 27,Northeastern,______________________ 13 18 5, -0.3, 7.6, 7.31, 6.04 28,Lake Superior,_____________________ 21 19 3, 0.0, 7.3, 7.29, 7.75 29,Harvard,___________________________ 14 17 2, -0.1, 7.3, 7.25, 7.74 30,Western Michigan,__________________ 18 18 1, -0.2, 7.3, 7.18, 7.33 31,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 13 21 3, -0.9, 8.0, 7.13, 6.31 32,Northern Michigan,_________________ 15 24 2, -0.7, 7.6, 6.93, 5.89 33,Princeton,_________________________ 15 16 3, 0.1, 6.8, 6.87, 6.22 34,Ferris State,______________________ 14 22 3, -0.5, 7.3, 6.84, 7.93 35,Providence,________________________ 10 23 3, -0.9, 7.7, 6.81, 7.82 36,Brown,_____________________________ 11 15 6, 0.0, 6.7, 6.77, 6.61 37,Colgate,___________________________ 15 21 4, -0.2, 6.9, 6.75, 5.71 38,Alaska,____________________________ 11 22 6, -0.7, 7.4, 6.69, 6.06 39,Mass-Lowell,_______________________ 8 21 7, -0.8, 7.5, 6.67, 7.25 40,Union,_____________________________ 14 19 3, -0.4, 7.0, 6.55, 6.22 41,Yale,______________________________ 11 17 3, -0.6, 7.0, 6.37, 5.47 42,Niagara,___________________________ 18 13 6, 0.0, 6.3, 6.33, 5.78 43,Bemidji State,_____________________ 14 14 5, -0.4, 6.7, 6.30, 4.98 44,RIT,_______________________________ 21 11 2, 1.1, 5.1, 6.23, 5.33 45,Rensselaer,________________________ 10 18 8, -1.2, 7.1, 5.90, 5.98 46,Robert Morris,_____________________ 14 19 2, -0.5, 6.4, 5.87, 5.38 47,Air Force,_________________________ 19 15 5, 0.7, 5.2, 5.86, 7.89 48,Wayne State,_______________________ 12 21 2, -0.8, 6.6, 5.79, 7.01 49,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 13 19 3, -0.7, 6.4, 5.72, 7.33 50,Sacred Heart,______________________ 21 11 4, 0.5, 5.1, 5.66, 6.04 51,Bowling Green,_____________________ 7 29 2, -1.9, 7.5, 5.63, 6.30 52,Merrimack,_________________________ 3 27 4, -2.2, 7.5, 5.34, 4.59 53,Army,______________________________ 17 12 5, 0.2, 4.9, 5.14, 5.38 54,Mercyhurst,________________________ 9 20 6, -0.6, 5.4, 4.81, 4.79 55,Connecticut,_______________________ 16 18 2, -0.5, 5.2, 4.66, 5.30 56,Holy Cross,________________________ 10 20 5, -0.8, 5.2, 4.47, 2.90 57,Canisius,__________________________ 9 23 3, -1.2, 5.4, 4.19, 3.92 58,Bentley,___________________________ 12 22 1, -1.3, 5.4, 4.08, 3.58 59,American Int'l,____________________ 8 25 1, -1.7, 5.3, 3.59, 3.04 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Minnesota,_________________________ 30 9 3, 0.5, 7.3, 7.76, 7.84 2,St Cloud State,____________________ 22 10 7, 0.3, 7.3, 7.62, 7.04 3,Notre Dame,________________________ 31 6 3, 0.6, 7.0, 7.61, 8.00 4,North Dakota,______________________ 22 13 5, 0.2, 7.3, 7.54, 8.08 5,New Hampshire,_____________________ 26 10 2, 0.4, 7.1, 7.51, 7.39 6,Boston College,____________________ 26 11 1, 0.4, 7.1, 7.51, 8.28 7,Clarkson,__________________________ 25 8 5, 0.4, 7.0, 7.47, 8.08 8,Michigan,__________________________ 26 13 1, 0.3, 7.1, 7.42, 7.37 9,Boston University,_________________ 20 9 9, 0.3, 7.1, 7.40, 7.02 10,Wisconsin,_________________________ 19 18 4, 0.0, 7.4, 7.38, 8.09 11,Denver,____________________________ 21 15 4, 0.2, 7.2, 7.37, 6.60 12,Michigan State,____________________ 22 13 3, 0.2, 7.1, 7.35, 7.24 13,Colorado College,__________________ 18 17 4, 0.0, 7.3, 7.33, 7.35 14,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 18 17 5, 0.0, 7.3, 7.33, 7.63 15,Maine,_____________________________ 21 14 2, 0.2, 7.1, 7.31, 6.52 16,Massachusetts,_____________________ 20 12 5, 0.2, 7.1, 7.30, 7.95 17,St Lawrence,_______________________ 23 13 2, 0.3, 7.0, 7.27, 7.18 18,Miami,_____________________________ 23 13 4, 0.3, 7.0, 7.27, 6.76 19,Minnesota State,___________________ 13 19 6, -0.2, 7.4, 7.21, 7.17 20,Vermont,___________________________ 18 16 5, 0.1, 7.1, 7.20, 6.74 21,Dartmouth,_________________________ 18 12 3, 0.2, 7.0, 7.18, 7.28 22,Quinnipiac,________________________ 21 14 5, 0.2, 6.9, 7.12, 7.72 23,Lake Superior,_____________________ 21 19 3, 0.0, 7.1, 7.10, 7.47 24,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 13 21 5, -0.2, 7.3, 7.09, 7.12 25,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 13 21 3, -0.2, 7.3, 7.09, 6.89 26,Western Michigan,__________________ 18 18 1, 0.0, 7.1, 7.07, 6.73 27,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 18 16 8, 0.0, 7.0, 7.06, 7.12 28,Ohio State,________________________ 15 17 5, -0.1, 7.1, 7.05, 6.92 29,Cornell,___________________________ 14 13 4, 0.0, 7.0, 7.02, 6.46 30,Northeastern,______________________ 13 18 5, -0.1, 7.1, 6.99, 6.80 31,Harvard,___________________________ 14 17 2, -0.1, 7.1, 6.99, 7.31 32,Niagara,___________________________ 18 13 6, 0.1, 6.9, 6.99, 6.54 33,Bemidji State,_____________________ 14 14 5, 0.0, 7.0, 6.97, 6.33 34,Northern Michigan,_________________ 15 24 2, -0.2, 7.1, 6.92, 7.00 35,Princeton,_________________________ 15 16 3, -0.0, 6.9, 6.91, 6.74 36,Ferris State,______________________ 14 22 3, -0.2, 7.1, 6.87, 7.10 37,Colgate,___________________________ 15 21 4, -0.2, 7.0, 6.85, 6.85 38,Union,_____________________________ 14 19 3, -0.1, 7.0, 6.84, 6.41 39,Alaska,____________________________ 11 22 6, -0.3, 7.1, 6.82, 7.08 40,Providence,________________________ 10 23 3, -0.4, 7.2, 6.82, 7.27 41,Yale,______________________________ 11 17 3, -0.2, 7.0, 6.79, 6.36 42,Rensselaer,________________________ 10 18 8, -0.2, 7.0, 6.78, 6.55 43,Brown,_____________________________ 11 15 6, -0.1, 6.9, 6.77, 6.67 44,Mass-Lowell,_______________________ 8 21 7, -0.4, 7.1, 6.76, 7.17 45,Robert Morris,_____________________ 14 19 2, -0.1, 6.9, 6.76, 6.42 46,RIT,_______________________________ 21 11 2, 0.3, 6.5, 6.75, 6.50 47,Sacred Heart,______________________ 21 11 4, 0.3, 6.5, 6.73, 6.60 48,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 13 19 3, -0.2, 6.9, 6.73, 7.69 49,Wayne State,_______________________ 12 21 2, -0.3, 7.0, 6.70, 7.24 50,Air Force,_________________________ 19 15 5, 0.1, 6.5, 6.59, 7.31 51,Army,______________________________ 17 12 5, 0.1, 6.4, 6.57, 6.74 52,Bowling Green,_____________________ 7 29 2, -0.6, 7.1, 6.55, 6.54 53,Connecticut,_______________________ 16 18 2, -0.1, 6.5, 6.42, 6.65 54,Merrimack,_________________________ 3 27 4, -0.7, 7.1, 6.41, 6.00 55,Bentley,___________________________ 12 22 1, -0.3, 6.5, 6.24, 6.04 56,Mercyhurst,________________________ 9 20 6, -0.3, 6.5, 6.22, 6.16 57,Holy Cross,________________________ 10 20 5, -0.3, 6.5, 6.22, 5.58 58,Canisius,__________________________ 9 23 3, -0.4, 6.5, 6.14, 5.93 59,American Int'l,____________________ 8 25 1, -0.5, 6.5, 6.03, 6.10 Link to the 2005-2006 Final Rankings . The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Games that go to shootouts for decision are considered ties for ratings purposes. Actually, there are two different rankings listed. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 7. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). This was done because the NCAA has indicated that it does not want to consider goal differential in the selection process. Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Note that the current spread between #1 and #59 is about 1.7 . Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States High School National Rankings New England Prep Midget Minor AAA Midget Major AAA Men's NCAA D1 USHL NAHL ACHA College Club USHSHO.com High School Ice Hockey Forums
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