Scores (sorted by team) through February 8, 2015 courtesy of USCHO.com . Previous Rankings New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting. Maximum Goal Differential = 4 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Minnesota State,___________________ 23 5 1, 1.7, 7.2, 8.90, 9.54 2,Boston University,_________________ 18 4 4, 1.4, 7.2, 8.62, 9.73 3,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 17 10 1, 0.7, 7.9, 8.58, 9.11 4,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 22 7 1, 1.3, 7.2, 8.53, 9.38 5,Miami,_____________________________ 16 9 1, 0.8, 7.5, 8.32, 8.11 6,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 16 7 3, 0.6, 7.6, 8.22, 7.85 7,North Dakota,______________________ 19 6 2, 1.1, 7.1, 8.18, 7.86 8,Minnesota,_________________________ 14 9 3, 0.8, 7.3, 8.13, 8.08 9,Harvard,___________________________ 12 8 2, 0.9, 7.2, 8.13, 7.01 10,Denver,____________________________ 16 9 1, 0.7, 7.5, 8.12, 8.14 11,Michigan,__________________________ 16 8 0, 1.0, 7.1, 8.09, 9.06 12,Bowling Green,_____________________ 17 6 5, 0.8, 7.3, 8.06, 7.34 13,Boston College,____________________ 17 9 2, 0.7, 7.3, 7.94, 8.09 14,St Lawrence,_______________________ 16 10 2, 0.9, 7.1, 7.92, 9.01 15,Providence,________________________ 17 9 2, 0.8, 7.1, 7.90, 9.34 16,St Cloud State,____________________ 12 13 1, 0.1, 7.8, 7.87, 8.67 17,Bemidji State,_____________________ 10 14 4, 0.2, 7.7, 7.86, 8.82 18,Yale,______________________________ 13 7 3, 0.9, 7.0, 7.86, 7.91 19,Vermont,___________________________ 16 10 2, 0.6, 7.2, 7.77, 6.86 20,Massachusetts-Lowell,______________ 16 10 3, 0.5, 7.3, 7.77, 6.08 21,Western Michigan,__________________ 11 11 4, 0.2, 7.5, 7.72, 7.79 22,Penn State,________________________ 15 7 4, 0.8, 6.8, 7.63, 8.55 23,Quinnipiac,________________________ 18 8 2, 0.5, 7.1, 7.59, 7.72 24,Union,_____________________________ 14 12 2, 0.6, 7.0, 7.53, 7.93 25,Dartmouth,_________________________ 11 8 4, 0.4, 7.1, 7.51, 9.09 26,Colgate,___________________________ 15 10 3, 0.5, 7.0, 7.50, 6.17 27,Cornell,___________________________ 10 10 3, 0.1, 7.3, 7.39, 6.89 28,Merrimack,_________________________ 14 10 3, 0.2, 7.1, 7.33, 5.79 29,Northeastern,______________________ 12 11 4, -0.2, 7.5, 7.27, 8.39 30,Alaska,____________________________ 14 13 1, 0.1, 7.2, 7.26, 7.05 31,New Hampshire,_____________________ 10 16 2, -0.1, 7.3, 7.21, 6.63 32,Northern Michigan,_________________ 11 11 6, -0.1, 7.2, 7.09, 7.11 33,Ferris State,______________________ 11 17 1, -0.3, 7.3, 7.03, 6.16 34,Notre Dame,________________________ 12 14 4, 0.1, 6.9, 7.01, 7.18 35,Michigan State,____________________ 10 12 2, -0.2, 7.2, 6.99, 7.36 36,Clarkson,__________________________ 11 13 4, -0.1, 7.1, 6.99, 7.79 37,Robert Morris,_____________________ 20 5 5, 1.2, 5.7, 6.94, 6.91 38,Connecticut,_______________________ 8 13 7, -0.6, 7.2, 6.62, 6.59 39,Maine,_____________________________ 10 17 3, -0.5, 7.1, 6.60, 6.69 40,Ohio State,________________________ 7 15 2, -1.0, 7.5, 6.50, 4.67 41,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 7 15 4, -0.7, 7.1, 6.39, 6.05 42,Massachusetts,_____________________ 9 18 1, -1.0, 7.2, 6.23, 7.66 43,Bentley,___________________________ 15 11 3, 0.3, 5.9, 6.16, 6.57 44,RIT,_______________________________ 11 12 5, 0.3, 5.8, 6.14, 6.26 45,Rensselaer,________________________ 9 20 1, -1.3, 7.4, 6.13, 5.86 46,Mercyhurst,________________________ 14 10 4, 0.1, 5.9, 5.96, 5.18 47,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 7 18 3, -1.4, 7.3, 5.94, 5.82 48,Wisconsin,_________________________ 2 18 4, -1.8, 7.7, 5.91, 5.52 49,Lake Superior,_____________________ 7 22 1, -1.6, 7.5, 5.90, 7.50 50,Canisius,__________________________ 12 9 7, 0.1, 5.8, 5.89, 6.84 51,Colorado College,__________________ 5 19 1, -1.8, 7.6, 5.89, 5.25 52,Holy Cross,________________________ 10 14 5, 0.1, 5.8, 5.88, 5.88 53,Brown,_____________________________ 5 17 1, -1.7, 7.3, 5.53, 5.90 54,Air Force,_________________________ 11 17 3, -0.6, 6.0, 5.44, 5.41 55,Princeton,_________________________ 3 17 2, -1.9, 7.2, 5.35, 5.56 56,Sacred Heart,______________________ 9 15 6, -0.7, 6.0, 5.26, 6.43 57,American International,____________ 3 20 7, -1.4, 6.1, 4.65, 3.78 58,Army,______________________________ 6 18 2, -1.3, 5.8, 4.51, 4.30 59,Niagara,___________________________ 3 22 3, -2.0, 6.1, 4.07, 3.39 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Minnesota State,___________________ 23 5 1, 0.6, 7.1, 7.69, 7.46 2,Boston University,_________________ 18 4 4, 0.5, 7.1, 7.62, 8.17 3,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 16 7 3, 0.3, 7.2, 7.58, 7.39 4,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 17 10 1, 0.3, 7.3, 7.58, 7.86 5,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 22 7 1, 0.5, 7.1, 7.56, 7.96 6,North Dakota,______________________ 19 6 2, 0.5, 7.1, 7.54, 7.51 7,Bowling Green,_____________________ 17 6 5, 0.4, 7.1, 7.49, 7.35 8,Miami,_____________________________ 16 9 1, 0.3, 7.2, 7.49, 7.32 9,Denver,____________________________ 16 9 1, 0.3, 7.2, 7.47, 7.57 10,Boston College,____________________ 17 9 2, 0.3, 7.1, 7.38, 7.78 11,Quinnipiac,________________________ 18 8 2, 0.4, 7.0, 7.38, 7.46 12,Providence,________________________ 17 9 2, 0.3, 7.1, 7.36, 7.56 13,Michigan,__________________________ 16 8 0, 0.3, 7.0, 7.34, 7.38 14,Massachusetts-Lowell,______________ 16 10 3, 0.2, 7.1, 7.30, 6.64 15,Minnesota,_________________________ 14 9 3, 0.2, 7.1, 7.28, 7.29 16,Vermont,___________________________ 16 10 2, 0.2, 7.0, 7.26, 6.65 17,Harvard,___________________________ 12 8 2, 0.2, 7.1, 7.25, 6.53 18,St Cloud State,____________________ 12 13 1, -0.0, 7.3, 7.25, 7.26 19,Penn State,________________________ 15 7 4, 0.3, 6.9, 7.23, 7.71 20,Yale,______________________________ 13 7 3, 0.3, 7.0, 7.23, 7.03 21,St Lawrence,_______________________ 16 10 2, 0.2, 7.0, 7.22, 7.90 22,Merrimack,_________________________ 14 10 3, 0.1, 7.1, 7.22, 6.70 23,Northeastern,______________________ 12 11 4, 0.0, 7.2, 7.21, 7.84 24,Colgate,___________________________ 15 10 3, 0.2, 7.0, 7.20, 6.66 25,Western Michigan,__________________ 11 11 4, 0.0, 7.2, 7.20, 7.41 26,Dartmouth,_________________________ 11 8 4, 0.1, 7.0, 7.13, 7.94 27,Bemidji State,_____________________ 10 14 4, -0.1, 7.3, 7.13, 7.56 28,Cornell,___________________________ 10 10 3, 0.0, 7.1, 7.12, 7.07 29,Alaska,____________________________ 14 13 1, 0.0, 7.1, 7.10, 6.84 30,Northern Michigan,_________________ 11 11 6, 0.0, 7.1, 7.06, 7.16 31,Robert Morris,_____________________ 20 5 5, 0.5, 6.6, 7.05, 7.34 32,Union,_____________________________ 14 12 2, 0.1, 7.0, 7.04, 7.26 33,Clarkson,__________________________ 11 13 4, -0.1, 7.0, 6.95, 7.16 34,Michigan State,____________________ 10 12 2, -0.1, 7.0, 6.94, 7.32 35,Notre Dame,________________________ 12 14 4, -0.1, 7.0, 6.91, 6.91 36,Connecticut,_______________________ 8 13 7, -0.2, 7.1, 6.91, 6.93 37,Ferris State,______________________ 11 17 1, -0.2, 7.1, 6.90, 6.61 38,New Hampshire,_____________________ 10 16 2, -0.2, 7.1, 6.89, 6.83 39,Ohio State,________________________ 7 15 2, -0.3, 7.2, 6.84, 6.15 40,Maine,_____________________________ 10 17 3, -0.2, 7.0, 6.78, 6.70 41,Mercyhurst,________________________ 14 10 4, 0.1, 6.6, 6.76, 6.23 42,Massachusetts,_____________________ 9 18 1, -0.3, 7.1, 6.75, 7.31 43,Bentley,___________________________ 15 11 3, 0.1, 6.6, 6.75, 7.19 44,Rensselaer,________________________ 9 20 1, -0.4, 7.1, 6.75, 6.49 45,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 7 18 3, -0.4, 7.1, 6.73, 7.07 46,Colorado College,__________________ 5 19 1, -0.6, 7.3, 6.71, 6.41 47,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 7 15 4, -0.3, 7.0, 6.70, 6.72 48,Lake Superior,_____________________ 7 22 1, -0.5, 7.2, 6.68, 7.06 49,Canisius,__________________________ 12 9 7, 0.1, 6.5, 6.65, 6.96 50,Wisconsin,_________________________ 2 18 4, -0.7, 7.3, 6.58, 6.47 51,Brown,_____________________________ 5 17 1, -0.5, 7.1, 6.54, 6.68 52,RIT,_______________________________ 11 12 5, -0.0, 6.6, 6.54, 6.59 53,Air Force,_________________________ 11 17 3, -0.2, 6.7, 6.48, 6.02 54,Holy Cross,________________________ 10 14 5, -0.1, 6.6, 6.45, 6.30 55,Sacred Heart,______________________ 9 15 6, -0.2, 6.6, 6.44, 6.99 56,Princeton,_________________________ 3 17 2, -0.6, 7.1, 6.43, 6.44 57,Army,______________________________ 6 18 2, -0.5, 6.6, 6.12, 5.89 58,American International,____________ 3 20 7, -0.6, 6.7, 6.11, 5.97 59,Niagara,___________________________ 3 22 3, -0.7, 6.7, 5.97, 5.73 The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Games that go to shootouts for decision are considered ties for ratings purposes. Actually, there are two different rankings listed. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 4. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). This was done because the NCAA has indicated that it does not want to consider goal differential in the selection process. Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States High School National Rankings New England Prep Midget Minor AAA Midget Major AAA Men's NCAA D1 USHL NAHL ACHA College Club USHSHO.com High School Ice Hockey Forums
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