Scores (sorted by team) through February 23, 2014 courtesy of USCHO.com . Previous Rankings New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting. Maximum Goal Differential = 4 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Boston College,____________________ 25 4 4, 1.7, 7.3, 9.05, 9.81 2,Minnesota,_________________________ 21 4 5, 1.4, 7.5, 8.91, 8.34 3,Union,_____________________________ 22 6 4, 1.3, 7.2, 8.51, 10.02 4,Quinnipiac,________________________ 21 8 5, 1.3, 7.1, 8.36, 7.08 5,Notre Dame,________________________ 19 12 2, 0.9, 7.3, 8.20, 8.92 6,Vermont,___________________________ 17 11 3, 0.6, 7.5, 8.09, 8.23 7,Ferris State,______________________ 23 7 3, 1.1, 7.0, 8.09, 8.32 8,Massachusetts-Lowell,______________ 20 8 4, 0.9, 7.2, 8.04, 7.70 9,St Cloud State,____________________ 18 7 5, 0.8, 7.3, 8.04, 8.80 10,New Hampshire,_____________________ 18 15 1, 0.4, 7.6, 8.02, 7.89 11,Maine,_____________________________ 15 11 4, 0.7, 7.3, 8.00, 7.36 12,Wisconsin,_________________________ 19 9 2, 0.7, 7.2, 7.87, 8.98 13,Northeastern,______________________ 18 10 4, 0.4, 7.4, 7.81, 6.98 14,Providence,________________________ 17 9 6, 0.6, 7.2, 7.77, 6.87 15,Yale,______________________________ 14 8 5, 0.7, 7.0, 7.75, 7.04 16,North Dakota,______________________ 18 9 3, 0.4, 7.3, 7.70, 9.19 17,Ohio State,________________________ 15 10 3, 0.7, 7.0, 7.68, 7.47 18,Colgate,___________________________ 16 11 5, 0.2, 7.4, 7.64, 9.48 19,Cornell,___________________________ 14 7 5, 0.3, 7.3, 7.60, 6.48 20,Michigan,__________________________ 15 10 3, 0.3, 7.3, 7.56, 5.75 21,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 13 13 4, -0.1, 7.6, 7.51, 5.79 22,Minnesota State,___________________ 19 13 0, 0.5, 7.0, 7.49, 9.20 23,Denver,____________________________ 14 12 6, 0.3, 7.1, 7.38, 6.32 24,Alaska,____________________________ 14 12 4, 0.4, 6.9, 7.35, 8.47 25,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 13 15 2, -0.1, 7.4, 7.31, 8.21 26,Miami,_____________________________ 11 16 3, -0.1, 7.4, 7.30, 6.15 27,Western Michigan,__________________ 15 12 5, 0.1, 7.2, 7.29, 6.17 28,Brown,_____________________________ 11 13 3, -0.1, 7.3, 7.27, 6.79 29,Rensselaer,________________________ 13 13 6, 0.0, 7.3, 7.26, 7.52 30,Bowling Green,_____________________ 13 13 6, 0.2, 7.1, 7.25, 6.39 31,St Lawrence,_______________________ 12 16 4, -0.3, 7.4, 7.15, 7.37 32,Harvard,___________________________ 9 14 4, -0.3, 7.3, 7.09, 7.13 33,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 14 16 6, -0.1, 7.1, 7.06, 6.64 34,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 15 13 4, 0.0, 7.0, 6.99, 7.90 35,Clarkson,__________________________ 17 14 3, -0.2, 7.1, 6.94, 5.42 36,Massachusetts,_____________________ 8 21 4, -0.7, 7.6, 6.93, 6.69 37,Northern Michigan,_________________ 12 18 2, -0.3, 7.2, 6.91, 6.58 38,Bemidji State,_____________________ 9 16 7, -0.5, 7.3, 6.85, 7.30 39,Lake Superior,_____________________ 16 15 1, -0.3, 7.1, 6.84, 5.44 40,Michigan State,____________________ 9 15 7, -0.3, 7.1, 6.83, 6.27 41,Dartmouth,_________________________ 7 16 4, -0.7, 7.3, 6.61, 8.04 42,Mercyhurst,________________________ 18 12 6, 0.4, 6.1, 6.54, 6.96 43,Boston University,_________________ 8 20 4, -1.0, 7.6, 6.52, 5.71 44,Merrimack,_________________________ 7 20 3, -1.0, 7.5, 6.51, 6.25 45,Colorado College,__________________ 6 18 6, -1.0, 7.5, 6.47, 8.37 46,Bentley,___________________________ 16 12 4, 0.6, 5.9, 6.44, 5.50 47,Air Force,_________________________ 19 11 4, 0.4, 6.0, 6.33, 5.66 48,Robert Morris,_____________________ 13 15 4, 0.3, 5.8, 6.08, 6.80 49,Connecticut,_______________________ 17 11 4, 0.2, 5.9, 6.07, 6.20 50,Penn State,________________________ 6 20 2, -1.3, 7.3, 5.98, 7.46 51,Canisius,__________________________ 12 17 3, -0.3, 6.1, 5.79, 6.09 52,Niagara,___________________________ 10 17 5, -0.3, 6.0, 5.65, 5.80 53,Princeton,_________________________ 5 22 0, -1.9, 7.5, 5.64, 5.64 54,Holy Cross,________________________ 11 18 3, -0.5, 6.1, 5.64, 6.65 55,RIT,_______________________________ 9 18 5, -0.9, 6.0, 5.09, 4.16 56,Sacred Heart,______________________ 11 21 0, -1.2, 5.9, 4.72, 5.58 57,American International,____________ 10 21 1, -1.3, 6.0, 4.69, 4.14 58,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 1 32 1, -2.7, 7.4, 4.69, 4.34 59,Army,______________________________ 4 25 0, -1.9, 5.9, 3.99, 4.54 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Minnesota,_________________________ 21 4 5, 0.6, 7.2, 7.75, 7.45 2,Boston College,____________________ 25 4 4, 0.6, 7.1, 7.71, 8.15 3,Union,_____________________________ 22 6 4, 0.5, 7.1, 7.57, 8.01 4,Ferris State,______________________ 23 7 3, 0.5, 7.0, 7.49, 7.60 5,St Cloud State,____________________ 18 7 5, 0.4, 7.1, 7.48, 7.72 6,Wisconsin,_________________________ 19 9 2, 0.3, 7.1, 7.42, 7.77 7,Massachusetts-Lowell,______________ 20 8 4, 0.4, 7.0, 7.40, 7.36 8,Quinnipiac,________________________ 21 8 5, 0.4, 7.0, 7.39, 6.59 9,North Dakota,______________________ 18 9 3, 0.3, 7.1, 7.38, 7.71 10,Cornell,___________________________ 14 7 5, 0.3, 7.1, 7.35, 6.98 11,Northeastern,______________________ 18 10 4, 0.3, 7.1, 7.33, 7.14 12,Notre Dame,________________________ 19 12 2, 0.2, 7.1, 7.32, 7.87 13,Vermont,___________________________ 17 11 3, 0.2, 7.1, 7.32, 7.42 14,Colgate,___________________________ 16 11 5, 0.2, 7.2, 7.31, 7.79 15,Providence,________________________ 17 9 6, 0.3, 7.0, 7.28, 7.00 16,Michigan,__________________________ 15 10 3, 0.2, 7.1, 7.28, 6.47 17,New Hampshire,_____________________ 18 15 1, 0.1, 7.2, 7.27, 7.31 18,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 13 13 4, 0.0, 7.2, 7.24, 6.70 19,Yale,______________________________ 14 8 5, 0.2, 7.0, 7.22, 7.04 20,Minnesota State,___________________ 19 13 0, 0.2, 7.0, 7.21, 7.68 21,Maine,_____________________________ 15 11 4, 0.1, 7.1, 7.20, 7.08 22,Western Michigan,__________________ 15 12 5, 0.1, 7.1, 7.17, 6.95 23,Ohio State,________________________ 15 10 3, 0.2, 7.0, 7.17, 7.24 24,Clarkson,__________________________ 17 14 3, 0.1, 7.0, 7.11, 6.58 25,Rensselaer,________________________ 13 13 6, 0.0, 7.1, 7.10, 7.37 26,Denver,____________________________ 14 12 6, 0.1, 7.0, 7.10, 6.45 27,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 15 13 4, 0.1, 7.0, 7.09, 7.24 28,Lake Superior,_____________________ 16 15 1, 0.0, 7.1, 7.09, 6.90 29,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 13 15 2, -0.1, 7.1, 7.08, 7.39 30,Alaska,____________________________ 14 12 4, 0.1, 7.0, 7.08, 7.31 31,Bowling Green,_____________________ 13 13 6, 0.0, 7.1, 7.07, 6.66 32,Brown,_____________________________ 11 13 3, -0.1, 7.1, 7.04, 6.74 33,St Lawrence,_______________________ 12 16 4, -0.1, 7.2, 7.03, 7.15 34,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 14 16 6, -0.1, 7.1, 7.02, 7.06 35,Miami,_____________________________ 11 16 3, -0.2, 7.2, 7.00, 6.78 36,Bemidji State,_____________________ 9 16 7, -0.2, 7.2, 6.95, 7.10 37,Northern Michigan,_________________ 12 18 2, -0.2, 7.1, 6.94, 6.54 38,Harvard,___________________________ 9 14 4, -0.2, 7.1, 6.93, 7.04 39,Michigan State,____________________ 9 15 7, -0.2, 7.1, 6.87, 6.85 40,Air Force,_________________________ 19 11 4, 0.2, 6.6, 6.86, 6.72 41,Mercyhurst,________________________ 18 12 6, 0.2, 6.7, 6.84, 6.89 42,Colorado College,__________________ 6 18 6, -0.4, 7.2, 6.80, 7.56 43,Massachusetts,_____________________ 8 21 4, -0.4, 7.2, 6.79, 6.34 44,Boston University,_________________ 8 20 4, -0.4, 7.2, 6.78, 6.22 45,Dartmouth,_________________________ 7 16 4, -0.3, 7.1, 6.78, 7.47 46,Connecticut,_______________________ 17 11 4, 0.2, 6.6, 6.77, 6.61 47,Bentley,___________________________ 16 12 4, 0.1, 6.6, 6.71, 6.43 48,Merrimack,_________________________ 7 20 3, -0.4, 7.1, 6.71, 6.35 49,Penn State,________________________ 6 20 2, -0.5, 7.1, 6.62, 7.11 50,Robert Morris,_____________________ 13 15 4, -0.1, 6.6, 6.53, 6.65 51,Princeton,_________________________ 5 22 0, -0.6, 7.2, 6.52, 6.61 52,Canisius,__________________________ 12 17 3, -0.2, 6.7, 6.51, 6.44 53,Holy Cross,________________________ 11 18 3, -0.2, 6.7, 6.48, 7.08 54,Niagara,___________________________ 10 17 5, -0.2, 6.6, 6.43, 6.65 55,RIT,_______________________________ 9 18 5, -0.3, 6.7, 6.37, 6.19 56,Sacred Heart,______________________ 11 21 0, -0.3, 6.6, 6.30, 6.69 57,American International,____________ 10 21 1, -0.3, 6.6, 6.27, 6.09 58,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 1 32 1, -0.9, 7.2, 6.27, 6.12 59,Army,______________________________ 4 25 0, -0.7, 6.6, 5.90, 6.05 The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Games that go to shootouts for decision are considered ties for ratings purposes. Actually, there are two different rankings listed. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 4. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). This was done because the NCAA has indicated that it does not want to consider goal differential in the selection process. Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States High School National Rankings New England Prep Midget Minor AAA Midget Major AAA Men's NCAA D1 USHL NAHL ACHA College Club USHSHO.com High School Ice Hockey Forums
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