Scores (sorted by team) through March 2, 2014 courtesy of USCHO.com . Previous Rankings New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting. Maximum Goal Differential = 4 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Boston College,____________________ 25 5 4, 1.6, 7.3, 8.99, 9.10 2,Minnesota,_________________________ 23 4 5, 1.5, 7.4, 8.89, 8.82 3,Union,_____________________________ 24 6 4, 1.4, 7.2, 8.57, 9.92 4,Quinnipiac,________________________ 22 8 6, 1.3, 7.1, 8.40, 7.07 5,Notre Dame,________________________ 20 12 2, 0.9, 7.4, 8.24, 9.24 6,Vermont,___________________________ 18 12 3, 0.6, 7.5, 8.07, 8.05 7,Massachusetts-Lowell,______________ 21 9 4, 0.8, 7.2, 8.04, 7.81 8,St Cloud State,____________________ 19 8 5, 0.7, 7.3, 8.00, 7.92 9,New Hampshire,_____________________ 19 16 1, 0.4, 7.5, 7.97, 7.54 10,Ferris State,______________________ 23 9 3, 0.9, 7.0, 7.92, 6.77 11,Maine,_____________________________ 15 13 4, 0.5, 7.4, 7.89, 6.90 12,Wisconsin,_________________________ 19 9 2, 0.7, 7.2, 7.87, 8.96 13,Providence,________________________ 19 9 6, 0.6, 7.2, 7.86, 7.97 14,Yale,______________________________ 15 9 5, 0.8, 7.0, 7.81, 8.42 15,North Dakota,______________________ 19 10 3, 0.4, 7.3, 7.77, 10.08 16,Ohio State,________________________ 15 11 4, 0.6, 7.0, 7.63, 7.15 17,Michigan,__________________________ 16 10 4, 0.3, 7.3, 7.60, 7.24 18,Minnesota State,___________________ 21 13 0, 0.6, 7.0, 7.60, 8.75 19,Northeastern,______________________ 18 12 4, 0.3, 7.3, 7.59, 6.63 20,Colgate,___________________________ 17 12 5, 0.2, 7.4, 7.57, 8.45 21,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 15 13 4, 0.0, 7.6, 7.57, 6.41 22,Cornell,___________________________ 15 8 5, 0.3, 7.3, 7.55, 7.39 23,Alaska,____________________________ 16 12 4, 0.5, 7.0, 7.54, 10.34 24,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 15 15 2, 0.1, 7.3, 7.42, 7.75 25,Denver,____________________________ 15 13 6, 0.3, 7.1, 7.38, 6.96 26,Western Michigan,__________________ 16 13 5, 0.1, 7.2, 7.31, 6.20 27,Miami,_____________________________ 11 18 3, -0.1, 7.4, 7.26, 6.18 28,Rensselaer,________________________ 14 14 6, -0.0, 7.3, 7.25, 6.72 29,Bowling Green,_____________________ 14 14 6, 0.1, 7.1, 7.18, 5.81 30,Harvard,___________________________ 10 15 4, -0.2, 7.4, 7.12, 6.43 31,St Lawrence,_______________________ 13 17 4, -0.2, 7.4, 7.12, 7.37 32,Brown,_____________________________ 11 15 3, -0.3, 7.4, 7.11, 7.00 33,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 14 16 6, -0.1, 7.1, 7.06, 6.77 34,Northern Michigan,_________________ 13 19 2, -0.2, 7.2, 7.00, 7.44 35,Clarkson,__________________________ 18 14 4, -0.1, 7.1, 7.00, 6.08 36,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 15 13 4, 0.0, 7.0, 7.00, 7.79 37,Massachusetts,_____________________ 8 21 4, -0.7, 7.6, 6.91, 6.68 38,Michigan State,____________________ 9 15 7, -0.3, 7.1, 6.82, 6.28 39,Bemidji State,_____________________ 10 17 7, -0.4, 7.2, 6.80, 6.39 40,Lake Superior,_____________________ 16 17 1, -0.4, 7.2, 6.74, 4.94 41,Boston University,_________________ 10 20 4, -0.8, 7.6, 6.73, 7.73 42,Dartmouth,_________________________ 8 17 4, -0.7, 7.3, 6.65, 8.41 43,Mercyhurst,________________________ 19 12 7, 0.5, 6.1, 6.60, 7.53 44,Merrimack,_________________________ 8 21 3, -1.0, 7.6, 6.58, 6.80 45,Bentley,___________________________ 18 12 4, 0.7, 5.8, 6.56, 5.39 46,Colorado College,__________________ 6 20 6, -1.1, 7.5, 6.39, 7.58 47,Air Force,_________________________ 20 12 4, 0.4, 5.9, 6.31, 5.90 48,Connecticut,_______________________ 18 12 4, 0.2, 5.8, 6.03, 5.68 49,Robert Morris,_____________________ 13 16 5, 0.1, 5.9, 6.02, 6.25 50,Penn State,________________________ 6 22 2, -1.4, 7.4, 6.01, 6.36 51,Niagara,___________________________ 11 18 5, -0.3, 6.0, 5.70, 5.17 52,Canisius,__________________________ 12 19 3, -0.4, 6.1, 5.68, 4.76 53,Holy Cross,________________________ 12 19 3, -0.5, 6.0, 5.53, 4.70 54,Princeton,_________________________ 5 24 0, -1.9, 7.5, 5.53, 4.41 55,RIT,_______________________________ 11 18 5, -0.8, 6.0, 5.23, 5.92 56,Sacred Heart,______________________ 12 22 0, -1.1, 6.0, 4.81, 6.56 57,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 2 33 1, -2.6, 7.4, 4.74, 5.34 58,American International,____________ 10 23 1, -1.4, 6.0, 4.60, 3.60 59,Army,______________________________ 5 26 0, -1.8, 5.9, 4.13, 5.73 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Minnesota,_________________________ 23 4 5, 0.6, 7.1, 7.74, 7.66 2,Boston College,____________________ 25 5 4, 0.6, 7.1, 7.67, 7.75 3,Union,_____________________________ 24 6 4, 0.5, 7.1, 7.59, 7.93 4,St Cloud State,____________________ 19 8 5, 0.3, 7.1, 7.48, 7.40 5,Ferris State,______________________ 23 9 3, 0.4, 7.0, 7.42, 6.88 6,Wisconsin,_________________________ 19 9 2, 0.3, 7.1, 7.42, 7.75 7,Quinnipiac,________________________ 22 8 6, 0.4, 7.0, 7.40, 6.75 8,North Dakota,______________________ 19 10 3, 0.3, 7.1, 7.39, 7.90 9,Massachusetts-Lowell,______________ 21 9 4, 0.4, 7.0, 7.39, 7.35 10,Notre Dame,________________________ 20 12 2, 0.2, 7.1, 7.36, 8.01 11,Providence,________________________ 19 9 6, 0.3, 7.0, 7.33, 7.64 12,Cornell,___________________________ 15 8 5, 0.3, 7.1, 7.32, 7.15 13,Vermont,___________________________ 18 12 3, 0.2, 7.1, 7.32, 7.39 14,Michigan,__________________________ 16 10 4, 0.2, 7.1, 7.30, 7.06 15,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 15 13 4, 0.1, 7.2, 7.29, 7.03 16,Colgate,___________________________ 17 12 5, 0.1, 7.1, 7.28, 7.45 17,Minnesota State,___________________ 21 13 0, 0.2, 7.0, 7.27, 7.72 18,New Hampshire,_____________________ 19 16 1, 0.1, 7.2, 7.24, 7.11 19,Northeastern,______________________ 18 12 4, 0.2, 7.1, 7.24, 6.96 20,Yale,______________________________ 15 9 5, 0.2, 7.0, 7.22, 7.39 21,Western Michigan,__________________ 16 13 5, 0.1, 7.1, 7.17, 6.85 22,Alaska,____________________________ 16 12 4, 0.1, 7.0, 7.16, 8.04 23,Maine,_____________________________ 15 13 4, 0.1, 7.1, 7.14, 6.78 24,Ohio State,________________________ 15 11 4, 0.1, 7.0, 7.14, 7.06 25,Clarkson,__________________________ 18 14 4, 0.1, 7.0, 7.13, 6.88 26,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 15 15 2, 0.0, 7.1, 7.12, 7.20 27,Denver,____________________________ 15 13 6, 0.1, 7.1, 7.11, 6.80 28,Rensselaer,________________________ 14 14 6, 0.0, 7.1, 7.10, 7.14 29,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 15 13 4, 0.1, 7.0, 7.09, 7.20 30,Bowling Green,_____________________ 14 14 6, 0.0, 7.1, 7.07, 6.63 31,Lake Superior,_____________________ 16 17 1, -0.0, 7.1, 7.04, 6.62 32,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 14 16 6, -0.1, 7.1, 7.02, 7.11 33,St Lawrence,_______________________ 13 17 4, -0.1, 7.1, 7.01, 7.11 34,Brown,_____________________________ 11 15 3, -0.1, 7.1, 6.99, 6.97 35,Northern Michigan,_________________ 13 19 2, -0.2, 7.1, 6.96, 6.84 36,Miami,_____________________________ 11 18 3, -0.2, 7.2, 6.95, 6.78 37,Harvard,___________________________ 10 15 4, -0.2, 7.1, 6.95, 6.76 38,Bemidji State,_____________________ 10 17 7, -0.2, 7.1, 6.91, 6.74 39,Boston University,_________________ 10 20 4, -0.3, 7.2, 6.87, 7.09 40,Michigan State,____________________ 9 15 7, -0.2, 7.1, 6.87, 6.85 41,Mercyhurst,________________________ 19 12 7, 0.2, 6.7, 6.86, 7.08 42,Air Force,_________________________ 20 12 4, 0.2, 6.6, 6.84, 6.65 43,Dartmouth,_________________________ 8 17 4, -0.3, 7.1, 6.81, 7.59 44,Massachusetts,_____________________ 8 21 4, -0.4, 7.2, 6.78, 6.34 45,Colorado College,__________________ 6 20 6, -0.4, 7.2, 6.77, 7.33 46,Connecticut,_______________________ 18 12 4, 0.2, 6.6, 6.76, 6.40 47,Bentley,___________________________ 18 12 4, 0.2, 6.6, 6.75, 6.42 48,Merrimack,_________________________ 8 21 3, -0.4, 7.2, 6.75, 6.65 49,Penn State,________________________ 6 22 2, -0.5, 7.2, 6.63, 6.79 50,Robert Morris,_____________________ 13 16 5, -0.1, 6.6, 6.52, 6.61 51,Princeton,_________________________ 5 24 0, -0.7, 7.1, 6.49, 6.19 52,Niagara,___________________________ 11 18 5, -0.2, 6.7, 6.46, 6.38 53,Canisius,__________________________ 12 19 3, -0.2, 6.7, 6.45, 5.95 54,Holy Cross,________________________ 12 19 3, -0.2, 6.7, 6.45, 6.42 55,RIT,_______________________________ 11 18 5, -0.2, 6.6, 6.44, 6.89 56,Sacred Heart,______________________ 12 22 0, -0.3, 6.6, 6.33, 6.85 57,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 2 33 1, -0.9, 7.2, 6.31, 6.43 58,American International,____________ 10 23 1, -0.4, 6.6, 6.24, 5.95 59,Army,______________________________ 5 26 0, -0.7, 6.6, 5.94, 6.43 The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Games that go to shootouts for decision are considered ties for ratings purposes. Actually, there are two different rankings listed. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 4. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). This was done because the NCAA has indicated that it does not want to consider goal differential in the selection process. Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States High School National Rankings New England Prep Midget Minor AAA Midget Major AAA Men's NCAA D1 USHL NAHL ACHA College Club USHSHO.com High School Ice Hockey Forums
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