Scores (sorted by team) through March 9, 2014 courtesy of USCHO.com . Previous Rankings New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting. Maximum Goal Differential = 4 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Boston College,____________________ 25 5 4, 1.6, 7.4, 9.01, 9.11 2,Minnesota,_________________________ 24 4 6, 1.5, 7.4, 8.94, 9.39 3,Union,_____________________________ 24 6 4, 1.4, 7.2, 8.59, 9.95 4,Quinnipiac,________________________ 22 8 6, 1.3, 7.1, 8.41, 7.08 5,Notre Dame,________________________ 21 12 2, 0.9, 7.4, 8.24, 9.23 6,Vermont,___________________________ 19 12 3, 0.6, 7.5, 8.09, 8.24 7,St Cloud State,____________________ 21 8 5, 0.8, 7.3, 8.08, 8.69 8,Massachusetts-Lowell,______________ 21 9 4, 0.8, 7.2, 8.05, 7.83 9,New Hampshire,_____________________ 19 16 1, 0.4, 7.5, 7.98, 7.55 10,Ferris State,______________________ 25 9 3, 0.9, 7.0, 7.93, 6.93 11,Maine,_____________________________ 16 13 4, 0.6, 7.3, 7.92, 7.11 12,Yale,______________________________ 17 9 5, 0.9, 7.0, 7.92, 8.72 13,Providence,________________________ 19 9 6, 0.6, 7.3, 7.87, 7.99 14,Wisconsin,_________________________ 21 9 2, 0.7, 7.1, 7.86, 8.65 15,North Dakota,______________________ 20 11 3, 0.4, 7.3, 7.78, 8.87 16,Minnesota State,___________________ 22 13 1, 0.7, 7.0, 7.67, 8.86 17,Michigan,__________________________ 17 11 4, 0.4, 7.3, 7.64, 8.37 18,Ohio State,________________________ 15 12 5, 0.4, 7.2, 7.61, 6.80 19,Northeastern,______________________ 18 12 4, 0.3, 7.3, 7.60, 6.66 20,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 16 14 4, 0.0, 7.6, 7.59, 7.21 21,Colgate,___________________________ 17 12 5, 0.2, 7.4, 7.59, 8.45 22,Alaska,____________________________ 17 13 4, 0.6, 7.0, 7.57, 9.57 23,Cornell,___________________________ 15 8 5, 0.3, 7.3, 7.56, 7.38 24,Denver,____________________________ 16 14 6, 0.3, 7.1, 7.43, 7.08 25,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 16 16 2, 0.1, 7.3, 7.40, 7.43 26,Western Michigan,__________________ 17 14 5, 0.0, 7.3, 7.31, 7.76 27,Bowling Green,_____________________ 16 14 6, 0.3, 7.0, 7.30, 6.90 28,Rensselaer,________________________ 15 16 6, 0.0, 7.2, 7.24, 7.01 29,Miami,_____________________________ 12 19 3, -0.2, 7.4, 7.22, 6.22 30,St Lawrence,_______________________ 15 17 4, -0.2, 7.3, 7.18, 6.94 31,Brown,_____________________________ 11 17 3, -0.3, 7.4, 7.07, 6.24 32,Northern Michigan,_________________ 15 19 2, -0.1, 7.1, 7.05, 7.62 33,Harvard,___________________________ 10 17 4, -0.4, 7.4, 7.03, 6.21 34,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 14 17 7, -0.2, 7.2, 7.03, 6.80 35,Clarkson,__________________________ 20 15 4, 0.0, 7.0, 6.99, 7.32 36,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 16 14 4, -0.0, 7.0, 6.99, 7.06 37,Massachusetts,_____________________ 8 22 4, -0.7, 7.6, 6.93, 6.90 38,Michigan State,____________________ 10 16 7, -0.4, 7.2, 6.78, 6.01 39,Lake Superior,_____________________ 16 19 1, -0.4, 7.2, 6.76, 5.98 40,Boston University,_________________ 10 21 4, -0.8, 7.6, 6.76, 7.99 41,Bemidji State,_____________________ 10 19 7, -0.5, 7.2, 6.70, 5.99 42,Dartmouth,_________________________ 10 18 4, -0.7, 7.3, 6.68, 7.17 43,Mercyhurst,________________________ 19 12 7, 0.5, 6.1, 6.62, 7.53 44,Merrimack,_________________________ 8 22 3, -1.0, 7.6, 6.58, 6.61 45,Bentley,___________________________ 18 12 4, 0.7, 5.8, 6.57, 5.35 46,Air Force,_________________________ 20 12 4, 0.4, 6.0, 6.33, 5.92 47,Colorado College,__________________ 6 22 6, -1.2, 7.5, 6.32, 5.88 48,Connecticut,_______________________ 18 12 4, 0.2, 5.8, 6.04, 5.68 49,Penn State,________________________ 6 24 2, -1.4, 7.4, 6.04, 6.05 50,Robert Morris,_____________________ 15 17 5, 0.2, 5.8, 6.00, 5.36 51,Canisius,__________________________ 14 19 3, -0.2, 6.0, 5.82, 6.55 52,Niagara,___________________________ 13 18 5, -0.2, 6.0, 5.73, 5.89 53,Holy Cross,________________________ 14 20 3, -0.4, 6.0, 5.62, 5.38 54,Princeton,_________________________ 6 26 0, -1.9, 7.4, 5.55, 5.03 55,RIT,_______________________________ 12 20 5, -0.8, 6.0, 5.17, 5.50 56,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 2 35 1, -2.7, 7.4, 4.72, 5.05 57,Sacred Heart,______________________ 12 24 0, -1.3, 6.0, 4.69, 5.26 58,American International,____________ 10 25 1, -1.4, 6.0, 4.59, 3.84 59,Army,______________________________ 6 28 0, -1.7, 5.9, 4.19, 5.25 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Minnesota,_________________________ 24 4 6, 0.6, 7.2, 7.74, 7.77 2,Boston College,____________________ 25 5 4, 0.6, 7.1, 7.67, 7.77 3,Union,_____________________________ 24 6 4, 0.5, 7.1, 7.60, 7.94 4,St Cloud State,____________________ 21 8 5, 0.4, 7.1, 7.49, 7.65 5,Ferris State,______________________ 25 9 3, 0.4, 7.0, 7.46, 7.29 6,Wisconsin,_________________________ 21 9 2, 0.4, 7.1, 7.43, 7.84 7,Quinnipiac,________________________ 22 8 6, 0.4, 7.0, 7.40, 6.75 8,Massachusetts-Lowell,______________ 21 9 4, 0.4, 7.0, 7.39, 7.36 9,North Dakota,______________________ 20 11 3, 0.3, 7.1, 7.39, 7.53 10,Notre Dame,________________________ 21 12 2, 0.3, 7.1, 7.37, 8.12 11,Vermont,___________________________ 19 12 3, 0.2, 7.1, 7.34, 7.60 12,Providence,________________________ 19 9 6, 0.3, 7.0, 7.33, 7.65 13,Cornell,___________________________ 15 8 5, 0.3, 7.1, 7.33, 7.15 14,Colgate,___________________________ 17 12 5, 0.1, 7.1, 7.29, 7.46 15,Minnesota State,___________________ 22 13 1, 0.3, 7.0, 7.28, 7.67 16,Michigan,__________________________ 17 11 4, 0.2, 7.1, 7.28, 7.34 17,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 16 14 4, 0.1, 7.2, 7.28, 7.32 18,Yale,______________________________ 17 9 5, 0.3, 7.0, 7.27, 7.47 19,Northeastern,______________________ 18 12 4, 0.2, 7.1, 7.25, 6.96 20,New Hampshire,_____________________ 19 16 1, 0.1, 7.2, 7.24, 7.10 21,Western Michigan,__________________ 17 14 5, 0.1, 7.1, 7.19, 7.42 22,Maine,_____________________________ 16 13 4, 0.1, 7.1, 7.17, 6.78 23,Alaska,____________________________ 17 13 4, 0.1, 7.0, 7.16, 7.83 24,Ohio State,________________________ 15 12 5, 0.1, 7.1, 7.16, 6.90 25,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 16 16 2, 0.0, 7.1, 7.13, 7.25 26,Clarkson,__________________________ 20 15 4, 0.1, 7.0, 7.12, 7.10 27,Bowling Green,_____________________ 16 14 6, 0.1, 7.1, 7.11, 7.16 28,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 16 14 4, 0.1, 7.0, 7.11, 7.07 29,Denver,____________________________ 16 14 6, 0.1, 7.0, 7.10, 6.81 30,St Lawrence,_______________________ 15 17 4, -0.1, 7.1, 7.07, 7.28 31,Rensselaer,________________________ 15 16 6, -0.0, 7.1, 7.06, 6.76 32,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 14 17 7, -0.1, 7.1, 7.02, 7.14 33,Lake Superior,_____________________ 16 19 1, -0.1, 7.1, 7.02, 6.56 34,Northern Michigan,_________________ 15 19 2, -0.1, 7.1, 6.98, 6.97 35,Miami,_____________________________ 12 19 3, -0.2, 7.2, 6.97, 6.65 36,Brown,_____________________________ 11 17 3, -0.2, 7.1, 6.94, 6.54 37,Harvard,___________________________ 10 17 4, -0.2, 7.1, 6.92, 6.62 38,Michigan State,____________________ 10 16 7, -0.2, 7.1, 6.89, 7.01 39,Bemidji State,_____________________ 10 19 7, -0.3, 7.1, 6.88, 6.66 40,Dartmouth,_________________________ 10 18 4, -0.3, 7.1, 6.87, 7.36 41,Mercyhurst,________________________ 19 12 7, 0.2, 6.7, 6.86, 7.08 42,Boston University,_________________ 10 21 4, -0.3, 7.2, 6.86, 7.12 43,Air Force,_________________________ 20 12 4, 0.2, 6.6, 6.84, 6.66 44,Massachusetts,_____________________ 8 22 4, -0.4, 7.2, 6.77, 6.33 45,Connecticut,_______________________ 18 12 4, 0.2, 6.6, 6.76, 6.39 46,Bentley,___________________________ 18 12 4, 0.2, 6.6, 6.75, 6.39 47,Colorado College,__________________ 6 22 6, -0.5, 7.2, 6.75, 6.67 48,Merrimack,_________________________ 8 22 3, -0.4, 7.2, 6.73, 6.67 49,Penn State,________________________ 6 24 2, -0.6, 7.2, 6.62, 6.52 50,Princeton,_________________________ 6 26 0, -0.6, 7.1, 6.52, 6.51 51,Robert Morris,_____________________ 15 17 5, -0.1, 6.6, 6.51, 6.32 52,Niagara,___________________________ 13 18 5, -0.1, 6.6, 6.50, 6.79 53,Canisius,__________________________ 14 19 3, -0.1, 6.6, 6.50, 6.58 54,Holy Cross,________________________ 14 20 3, -0.2, 6.6, 6.47, 6.43 55,RIT,_______________________________ 12 20 5, -0.2, 6.6, 6.42, 6.68 56,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 2 35 1, -0.9, 7.2, 6.30, 6.35 57,Sacred Heart,______________________ 12 24 0, -0.3, 6.6, 6.28, 6.45 58,American International,____________ 10 25 1, -0.4, 6.6, 6.21, 5.59 59,Army,______________________________ 6 28 0, -0.6, 6.6, 5.96, 6.29 The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Games that go to shootouts for decision are considered ties for ratings purposes. Actually, there are two different rankings listed. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 4. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). This was done because the NCAA has indicated that it does not want to consider goal differential in the selection process. Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States High School National Rankings New England Prep Midget Minor AAA Midget Major AAA Men's NCAA D1 USHL NAHL ACHA College Club USHSHO.com High School Ice Hockey Forums
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