Scores (sorted by team) through March 17, 2013 courtesy of USCHO.com . Previous Rankings New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting. More scores give better rankings, Minimum 3 Scores vs. D1 Competition to be Ranked Maximum Goal Differential = 4 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Minnesota,_________________________ 26 7 5, 1.4, 7.4, 8.84, 9.24 2,St Cloud State,____________________ 23 14 1, 0.9, 7.4, 8.38, 8.09 3,North Dakota,______________________ 21 11 7, 0.8, 7.6, 8.34, 8.73 4,Quinnipiac,________________________ 26 6 5, 1.3, 7.0, 8.30, 8.21 5,Minnesota State,___________________ 24 12 3, 0.9, 7.4, 8.30, 8.31 6,Denver,____________________________ 20 13 5, 0.6, 7.7, 8.22, 8.59 7,Miami,_____________________________ 24 10 5, 0.9, 7.1, 8.03, 7.30 8,New Hampshire,_____________________ 19 11 7, 0.8, 7.2, 8.02, 7.11 9,Notre Dame,________________________ 23 12 3, 0.7, 7.2, 7.95, 8.30 10,Wisconsin,_________________________ 19 12 7, 0.4, 7.4, 7.84, 9.33 11,Massachusetts-Lowell,______________ 24 10 2, 0.8, 7.0, 7.76, 7.97 12,Boston College,____________________ 22 10 4, 0.8, 7.0, 7.76, 7.71 13,Union,_____________________________ 19 12 5, 0.8, 6.9, 7.67, 9.37 14,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 19 18 2, 0.2, 7.4, 7.62, 6.43 15,Rensselaer,________________________ 18 14 5, 0.4, 7.2, 7.59, 8.54 16,Providence,________________________ 17 13 7, 0.3, 7.2, 7.51, 7.72 17,Colorado College,__________________ 16 18 5, -0.2, 7.7, 7.51, 7.67 18,Yale,______________________________ 18 10 3, 0.3, 7.1, 7.41, 8.80 19,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 13 20 4, -0.2, 7.6, 7.35, 7.21 20,Western Michigan,__________________ 19 11 8, 0.2, 7.1, 7.35, 6.49 21,Boston University,_________________ 20 15 2, 0.2, 7.1, 7.34, 8.02 22,Ferris State,______________________ 16 16 5, 0.2, 7.2, 7.32, 6.39 23,Ohio State,________________________ 16 16 7, 0.0, 7.2, 7.26, 8.00 24,Dartmouth,_________________________ 15 14 5, 0.2, 7.1, 7.23, 6.63 25,Cornell,___________________________ 15 16 3, -0.1, 7.2, 7.19, 7.96 26,Brown,_____________________________ 15 13 6, 0.1, 7.0, 7.15, 7.73 27,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 14 19 5, -0.3, 7.4, 7.13, 7.86 28,Michigan,__________________________ 17 18 3, -0.1, 7.1, 7.08, 9.17 29,Niagara,___________________________ 23 7 5, 0.9, 6.2, 7.07, 5.90 30,Bowling Green,_____________________ 15 21 5, -0.2, 7.2, 7.04, 7.87 31,Alaska,____________________________ 17 16 4, -0.1, 7.1, 7.02, 7.28 32,Massachusetts,_____________________ 12 19 3, -0.2, 7.1, 6.92, 7.43 33,Northern Michigan,_________________ 15 19 4, -0.4, 7.4, 6.92, 5.37 34,Air Force,_________________________ 17 13 7, 0.6, 6.3, 6.89, 7.44 35,Lake Superior,_____________________ 17 21 1, -0.3, 7.1, 6.82, 6.19 36,St Lawrence,_______________________ 18 16 4, -0.1, 6.8, 6.80, 6.20 37,Merrimack,_________________________ 15 17 6, -0.2, 7.0, 6.79, 5.46 38,Colgate,___________________________ 13 18 4, -0.2, 7.0, 6.79, 4.95 39,Bemidji State,_____________________ 6 22 8, -0.9, 7.7, 6.74, 7.34 40,Michigan State,____________________ 14 25 3, -0.7, 7.3, 6.66, 6.63 41,Robert Morris,_____________________ 20 14 4, 0.4, 6.2, 6.62, 6.06 42,Mercyhurst,________________________ 18 16 5, 0.3, 6.3, 6.51, 7.01 43,Maine,_____________________________ 11 19 8, -0.6, 7.1, 6.51, 7.11 44,Vermont,___________________________ 11 19 6, -0.8, 7.3, 6.51, 6.47 45,Canisius,__________________________ 17 18 5, 0.1, 6.4, 6.47, 8.11 46,Princeton,_________________________ 10 16 5, -0.5, 7.0, 6.44, 5.86 47,Connecticut,_______________________ 19 13 4, 0.3, 6.2, 6.44, 7.41 48,Clarkson,__________________________ 9 20 7, -0.7, 7.1, 6.43, 3.97 49,Holy Cross,________________________ 20 14 3, 0.2, 6.2, 6.42, 6.66 50,Harvard,___________________________ 10 19 3, -0.9, 7.1, 6.27, 6.29 51,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 4 25 7, -1.6, 7.8, 6.22, 4.44 52,RIT,_______________________________ 15 18 5, -0.2, 6.3, 6.11, 6.55 53,Penn State,________________________ 13 14 0, -0.1, 6.2, 6.07, 6.81 54,Northeastern,______________________ 9 21 4, -1.0, 7.0, 6.00, 5.24 55,Bentley,___________________________ 12 20 3, -0.3, 6.1, 5.82, 3.81 56,American International,____________ 12 17 6, -0.5, 6.1, 5.57, 5.75 57,Army,______________________________ 7 22 5, -1.3, 6.2, 4.89, 3.69 58,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 3 21 1, -2.2, 6.6, 4.36, 3.95 59,Sacred Heart,______________________ 2 30 4, -2.4, 6.3, 3.96, 3.91 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Quinnipiac,________________________ 26 6 5, 0.5, 7.0, 7.55, 7.22 2,Minnesota,_________________________ 26 7 5, 0.5, 7.0, 7.54, 7.81 3,Miami,_____________________________ 24 10 5, 0.4, 7.0, 7.41, 7.17 4,Massachusetts-Lowell,______________ 24 10 2, 0.4, 7.0, 7.39, 7.64 5,Notre Dame,________________________ 23 12 3, 0.3, 7.1, 7.37, 7.81 6,Boston College,____________________ 22 10 4, 0.3, 7.0, 7.36, 7.37 7,Minnesota State,___________________ 24 12 3, 0.3, 7.1, 7.36, 7.38 8,North Dakota,______________________ 21 11 7, 0.3, 7.1, 7.35, 7.29 9,Denver,____________________________ 20 13 5, 0.2, 7.1, 7.32, 7.10 10,Yale,______________________________ 18 10 3, 0.3, 7.0, 7.30, 7.97 11,New Hampshire,_____________________ 19 11 7, 0.2, 7.1, 7.30, 6.68 12,St Cloud State,____________________ 23 14 1, 0.2, 7.1, 7.29, 7.11 13,Western Michigan,__________________ 19 11 8, 0.2, 7.0, 7.25, 6.64 14,Wisconsin,_________________________ 19 12 7, 0.2, 7.0, 7.23, 7.70 15,Providence,________________________ 17 13 7, 0.1, 7.1, 7.21, 7.54 16,Boston University,_________________ 20 15 2, 0.1, 7.1, 7.20, 7.46 17,Union,_____________________________ 19 12 5, 0.2, 7.0, 7.20, 7.60 18,Niagara,___________________________ 23 7 5, 0.5, 6.7, 7.19, 7.01 19,Rensselaer,________________________ 18 14 5, 0.1, 7.1, 7.17, 7.21 20,Colorado College,__________________ 16 18 5, -0.1, 7.2, 7.10, 7.35 21,Ohio State,________________________ 16 16 7, 0.0, 7.1, 7.10, 7.40 22,Brown,_____________________________ 15 13 6, 0.1, 7.0, 7.08, 7.61 23,Alaska,____________________________ 17 16 4, 0.0, 7.0, 7.07, 6.97 24,Cornell,___________________________ 15 16 3, -0.0, 7.1, 7.07, 7.46 25,Dartmouth,_________________________ 15 14 5, 0.0, 7.0, 7.07, 6.76 26,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 19 18 2, 0.0, 7.0, 7.07, 6.58 27,Ferris State,______________________ 16 16 5, 0.0, 7.1, 7.07, 6.68 28,Michigan,__________________________ 17 18 3, -0.0, 7.1, 7.04, 7.91 29,St Lawrence,_______________________ 18 16 4, 0.1, 7.0, 7.03, 6.90 30,Northern Michigan,_________________ 15 19 4, -0.1, 7.1, 7.00, 6.38 31,Merrimack,_________________________ 15 17 6, -0.1, 7.0, 6.99, 6.51 32,Bowling Green,_____________________ 15 21 5, -0.1, 7.1, 6.95, 6.90 33,Robert Morris,_____________________ 20 14 4, 0.2, 6.8, 6.95, 6.55 34,Lake Superior,_____________________ 17 21 1, -0.1, 7.0, 6.93, 6.77 35,Connecticut,_______________________ 19 13 4, 0.2, 6.8, 6.92, 7.26 36,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 14 19 5, -0.1, 7.0, 6.92, 7.15 37,Holy Cross,________________________ 20 14 3, 0.2, 6.8, 6.91, 6.83 38,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 13 20 4, -0.2, 7.1, 6.91, 7.05 39,Vermont,___________________________ 11 19 6, -0.2, 7.1, 6.90, 6.93 40,Air Force,_________________________ 17 13 7, 0.1, 6.8, 6.89, 6.74 41,Massachusetts,_____________________ 12 19 3, -0.2, 7.1, 6.89, 7.10 42,Maine,_____________________________ 11 19 8, -0.2, 7.1, 6.88, 7.02 43,Michigan State,____________________ 14 25 3, -0.3, 7.1, 6.88, 7.07 44,Colgate,___________________________ 13 18 4, -0.1, 7.0, 6.87, 6.12 45,Mercyhurst,________________________ 18 16 5, 0.1, 6.8, 6.84, 7.28 46,Princeton,_________________________ 10 16 5, -0.2, 7.0, 6.83, 6.66 47,Harvard,___________________________ 10 19 3, -0.3, 7.1, 6.80, 6.92 48,Canisius,__________________________ 17 18 5, -0.0, 6.8, 6.78, 7.70 49,Clarkson,__________________________ 9 20 7, -0.3, 7.1, 6.77, 6.06 50,Penn State,________________________ 13 14 0, -0.0, 6.8, 6.76, 7.32 51,RIT,_______________________________ 15 18 5, -0.1, 6.8, 6.73, 6.67 52,Northeastern,______________________ 9 21 4, -0.4, 7.0, 6.69, 6.28 53,Bemidji State,_____________________ 6 22 8, -0.4, 7.1, 6.69, 6.70 54,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 4 25 7, -0.6, 7.2, 6.60, 6.26 55,American International,____________ 12 17 6, -0.1, 6.7, 6.59, 6.76 56,Bentley,___________________________ 12 20 3, -0.2, 6.7, 6.51, 5.56 57,Army,______________________________ 7 22 5, -0.4, 6.8, 6.33, 5.82 58,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 3 21 1, -0.7, 6.9, 6.13, 5.90 59,Sacred Heart,______________________ 2 30 4, -0.8, 6.8, 6.03, 6.13 Link to the 2007-2008 Final Rankings . The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Games that go to shootouts for decision are considered ties for ratings purposes. Actually, there are two different rankings listed. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 4. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). This was done because the NCAA has indicated that it does not want to consider goal differential in the selection process. Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States High School National Rankings New England Prep Midget Minor AAA Midget Major AAA Men's NCAA D1 USHL NAHL ACHA College Club USHSHO.com High School Ice Hockey Forums
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