Scores (sorted by team) through March 24, 2013 courtesy of USCHO.com . Previous Rankings New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting. More scores give better rankings, Minimum 3 Scores vs. D1 Competition to be Ranked Maximum Goal Differential = 4 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Minnesota,_________________________ 26 8 5, 1.4, 7.4, 8.76, 7.90 2,North Dakota,______________________ 21 12 7, 0.7, 7.6, 8.30, 8.17 3,St Cloud State,____________________ 23 15 1, 0.8, 7.4, 8.30, 8.50 4,Denver,____________________________ 20 13 5, 0.6, 7.7, 8.21, 8.64 5,Quinnipiac,________________________ 27 7 5, 1.2, 7.0, 8.21, 7.80 6,Minnesota State,___________________ 24 13 3, 0.8, 7.4, 8.19, 7.62 7,Wisconsin,_________________________ 22 12 7, 0.6, 7.4, 8.02, 10.27 8,Notre Dame,________________________ 25 12 3, 0.8, 7.2, 8.01, 8.92 9,New Hampshire,_____________________ 19 11 7, 0.8, 7.2, 8.00, 7.07 10,Miami,_____________________________ 24 11 5, 0.8, 7.1, 7.92, 7.08 11,Union,_____________________________ 21 12 5, 0.9, 6.9, 7.79, 10.27 12,Massachusetts-Lowell,______________ 26 10 2, 0.8, 7.0, 7.77, 8.66 13,Boston College,____________________ 22 11 4, 0.7, 7.0, 7.65, 7.86 14,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 19 18 2, 0.2, 7.4, 7.60, 6.37 15,Colorado College,__________________ 18 19 5, -0.2, 7.8, 7.60, 9.10 16,Rensselaer,________________________ 18 14 5, 0.4, 7.1, 7.58, 8.58 17,Providence,________________________ 17 14 7, 0.3, 7.2, 7.46, 6.91 18,Boston University,_________________ 21 16 2, 0.3, 7.1, 7.39, 9.19 19,Western Michigan,__________________ 19 11 8, 0.2, 7.2, 7.37, 6.54 20,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 13 20 4, -0.2, 7.6, 7.35, 7.22 21,Ferris State,______________________ 16 16 5, 0.2, 7.2, 7.32, 6.40 22,Brown,_____________________________ 16 14 6, 0.2, 7.0, 7.23, 7.95 23,Yale,______________________________ 18 12 3, 0.1, 7.1, 7.23, 7.54 24,Ohio State,________________________ 16 17 7, -0.0, 7.2, 7.22, 6.98 25,Dartmouth,_________________________ 15 14 5, 0.2, 7.0, 7.22, 6.67 26,Michigan,__________________________ 18 19 3, 0.0, 7.2, 7.18, 9.72 27,Cornell,___________________________ 15 16 3, -0.1, 7.2, 7.17, 7.89 28,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 14 19 5, -0.3, 7.4, 7.13, 7.92 29,Bowling Green,_____________________ 15 21 5, -0.2, 7.2, 7.06, 7.90 30,Alaska,____________________________ 17 16 4, -0.1, 7.1, 7.02, 7.28 31,Niagara,___________________________ 23 8 5, 0.8, 6.2, 7.00, 5.12 32,Northern Michigan,_________________ 15 19 4, -0.4, 7.4, 6.92, 5.41 33,Massachusetts,_____________________ 12 19 3, -0.2, 7.1, 6.89, 7.41 34,Air Force,_________________________ 17 13 7, 0.6, 6.3, 6.89, 7.47 35,Lake Superior,_____________________ 17 21 1, -0.3, 7.1, 6.82, 6.20 36,Merrimack,_________________________ 15 17 6, -0.2, 7.0, 6.78, 5.47 37,St Lawrence,_______________________ 18 16 4, -0.1, 6.8, 6.78, 6.12 38,Colgate,___________________________ 13 18 4, -0.2, 6.9, 6.77, 4.92 39,Bemidji State,_____________________ 6 22 8, -0.9, 7.7, 6.73, 7.27 40,Michigan State,____________________ 14 25 3, -0.7, 7.3, 6.66, 6.56 41,Canisius,__________________________ 19 18 5, 0.2, 6.4, 6.61, 8.42 42,Robert Morris,_____________________ 20 14 4, 0.4, 6.2, 6.60, 6.01 43,Maine,_____________________________ 11 19 8, -0.6, 7.1, 6.49, 7.10 44,Vermont,___________________________ 11 19 6, -0.8, 7.2, 6.48, 6.39 45,Mercyhurst,________________________ 19 17 5, 0.2, 6.3, 6.48, 6.44 46,Clarkson,__________________________ 9 20 7, -0.7, 7.1, 6.43, 4.02 47,Princeton,_________________________ 10 16 5, -0.5, 6.9, 6.42, 5.81 48,Holy Cross,________________________ 20 14 3, 0.2, 6.2, 6.41, 6.64 49,Connecticut,_______________________ 19 14 4, 0.2, 6.2, 6.35, 6.51 50,Harvard,___________________________ 10 19 3, -0.9, 7.1, 6.25, 6.26 51,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 4 25 7, -1.6, 7.8, 6.21, 4.41 52,RIT,_______________________________ 15 18 5, -0.2, 6.3, 6.10, 6.55 53,Penn State,________________________ 13 14 0, -0.1, 6.2, 6.08, 6.88 54,Northeastern,______________________ 9 21 4, -1.0, 7.0, 5.98, 5.24 55,Bentley,___________________________ 12 20 3, -0.3, 6.1, 5.82, 3.86 56,American International,____________ 12 17 6, -0.5, 6.1, 5.56, 5.75 57,Army,______________________________ 7 22 5, -1.3, 6.2, 4.88, 3.67 58,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 3 21 1, -2.2, 6.6, 4.35, 3.95 59,Sacred Heart,______________________ 2 30 4, -2.4, 6.3, 3.95, 3.86 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Quinnipiac,________________________ 27 7 5, 0.5, 7.0, 7.52, 7.31 2,Minnesota,_________________________ 26 8 5, 0.5, 7.0, 7.50, 7.38 3,Massachusetts-Lowell,______________ 26 10 2, 0.4, 7.0, 7.43, 8.07 4,Notre Dame,________________________ 25 12 3, 0.3, 7.1, 7.40, 8.00 5,Miami,_____________________________ 24 11 5, 0.3, 7.0, 7.37, 7.15 6,Minnesota State,___________________ 24 13 3, 0.3, 7.1, 7.33, 7.36 7,Boston College,____________________ 22 11 4, 0.3, 7.0, 7.33, 7.36 8,North Dakota,______________________ 21 12 7, 0.2, 7.1, 7.33, 6.84 9,Denver,____________________________ 20 13 5, 0.2, 7.1, 7.32, 7.12 10,Wisconsin,_________________________ 22 12 7, 0.2, 7.1, 7.29, 8.12 11,New Hampshire,_____________________ 19 11 7, 0.2, 7.1, 7.29, 6.66 12,St Cloud State,____________________ 23 15 1, 0.2, 7.1, 7.27, 7.22 13,Western Michigan,__________________ 19 11 8, 0.2, 7.0, 7.25, 6.65 14,Yale,______________________________ 18 12 3, 0.2, 7.1, 7.25, 7.38 15,Union,_____________________________ 21 12 5, 0.2, 7.0, 7.24, 8.05 16,Boston University,_________________ 21 16 2, 0.1, 7.1, 7.20, 7.68 17,Providence,________________________ 17 14 7, 0.1, 7.1, 7.19, 7.15 18,Rensselaer,________________________ 18 14 5, 0.1, 7.1, 7.16, 7.21 19,Niagara,___________________________ 23 8 5, 0.4, 6.7, 7.16, 6.61 20,Colorado College,__________________ 18 19 5, -0.0, 7.2, 7.14, 7.95 21,Brown,_____________________________ 16 14 6, 0.1, 7.0, 7.09, 7.45 22,Ohio State,________________________ 16 17 7, -0.0, 7.1, 7.08, 6.99 23,Alaska,____________________________ 17 16 4, 0.0, 7.0, 7.07, 6.96 24,Cornell,___________________________ 15 16 3, -0.0, 7.1, 7.07, 7.44 25,Ferris State,______________________ 16 16 5, 0.0, 7.1, 7.07, 6.67 26,Dartmouth,_________________________ 15 14 5, 0.0, 7.0, 7.07, 6.77 27,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 19 18 2, 0.0, 7.0, 7.07, 6.57 28,Michigan,__________________________ 18 19 3, -0.0, 7.1, 7.06, 7.86 29,St Lawrence,_______________________ 18 16 4, 0.1, 7.0, 7.03, 6.88 30,Northern Michigan,_________________ 15 19 4, -0.1, 7.1, 7.00, 6.38 31,Merrimack,_________________________ 15 17 6, -0.1, 7.0, 6.99, 6.52 32,Bowling Green,_____________________ 15 21 5, -0.1, 7.1, 6.95, 6.91 33,Robert Morris,_____________________ 20 14 4, 0.2, 6.8, 6.94, 6.53 34,Lake Superior,_____________________ 17 21 1, -0.1, 7.0, 6.93, 6.77 35,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 14 19 5, -0.1, 7.1, 6.92, 7.17 36,Holy Cross,________________________ 20 14 3, 0.2, 6.7, 6.91, 6.83 37,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 13 20 4, -0.2, 7.1, 6.90, 7.05 38,Vermont,___________________________ 11 19 6, -0.2, 7.1, 6.89, 6.90 39,Connecticut,_______________________ 19 14 4, 0.1, 6.8, 6.89, 6.95 40,Air Force,_________________________ 17 13 7, 0.1, 6.8, 6.89, 6.74 41,Maine,_____________________________ 11 19 8, -0.2, 7.1, 6.88, 7.03 42,Massachusetts,_____________________ 12 19 3, -0.2, 7.1, 6.88, 7.09 43,Michigan State,____________________ 14 25 3, -0.3, 7.1, 6.88, 7.05 44,Colgate,___________________________ 13 18 4, -0.1, 7.0, 6.87, 6.11 45,Mercyhurst,________________________ 19 17 5, 0.0, 6.8, 6.83, 7.09 46,Canisius,__________________________ 19 18 5, 0.0, 6.8, 6.83, 7.85 47,Princeton,_________________________ 10 16 5, -0.2, 7.0, 6.82, 6.65 48,Harvard,___________________________ 10 19 3, -0.3, 7.1, 6.79, 6.91 49,Clarkson,__________________________ 9 20 7, -0.3, 7.1, 6.77, 6.07 50,Penn State,________________________ 13 14 0, -0.0, 6.8, 6.76, 7.35 51,RIT,_______________________________ 15 18 5, -0.1, 6.8, 6.72, 6.66 52,Northeastern,______________________ 9 21 4, -0.4, 7.0, 6.69, 6.27 53,Bemidji State,_____________________ 6 22 8, -0.4, 7.1, 6.68, 6.67 54,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 4 25 7, -0.6, 7.2, 6.60, 6.25 55,American International,____________ 12 17 6, -0.1, 6.7, 6.59, 6.76 56,Bentley,___________________________ 12 20 3, -0.2, 6.7, 6.51, 5.57 57,Army,______________________________ 7 22 5, -0.4, 6.8, 6.32, 5.81 58,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 3 21 1, -0.7, 6.9, 6.13, 5.90 59,Sacred Heart,______________________ 2 30 4, -0.8, 6.8, 6.02, 6.11 Link to the 2007-2008 Final Rankings . The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Games that go to shootouts for decision are considered ties for ratings purposes. Actually, there are two different rankings listed. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 4. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). This was done because the NCAA has indicated that it does not want to consider goal differential in the selection process. Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States High School National Rankings New England Prep Midget Minor AAA Midget Major AAA Men's NCAA D1 USHL NAHL ACHA College Club USHSHO.com High School Ice Hockey Forums
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