AA Rankings for 12/25/11 and Holiday Tourney Preview
Posted: Sun Dec 25, 2011 10:34 pm
Merry Christmas, everyone!
It was a short week, so there wasn’t a whole lot of excitement in the rankings, but there were enough big games to move a few things around. We can always rely on the holiday tournaments to shake things up, though, so this week’s rankings include some comments on all of the tournaments that involve top AA teams.
1. Duluth East (8-0)
-The Hounds cruised to victory over Centennial in their only game this past week. I got to see them for the first time, and there’s an awful lot to like. Their passing is as good as any high school team I’ve ever seen, and they’re deep, but they’re not quite a finished product--the defense had a couple of miscues, and they didn’t finish on all of their opportunities. Is Trevor Olson the missing piece? We may find out this week.
This week: Schwan Cup Gold
2. Minnetonka (8-0)
-Scored goals in bunches in wins over Armstrong and Stillwater, setting up a potentially great showdown with East in the Schwan Cup. Like East their December schedule has not been overly difficult, so we’ll see how they do against a higher level of competition, especially since they’re on the harder side of the bracket.
This week: Schwan Cup Gold
3. Maple Grove (8-0-1)
-Survived a roller coaster of a contest with Benilde and hold on to the third spot, at least for now. They looked sharp against Benilde, though I’m curious to see how they do against a team that is more interested in playing defense. With Elk River up first in their tournament, they may get that sort of test right away.
This week: St. Louis Park Tournament
4. Eagan (5-1)
-A convincing 5-0 win over Apple Valley has 3AA looking like a cakewalk. The scores coming in lately clearly suggest they’re an elite team, but we’re still waiting for that signature win against another state title contender. They’re in a weak tournament, so that opportunity won’t come this week; it will have to wait for the January 3rd match-up with Minnetonka.
This week: South St. Paul Premier Tournament
5. Edina (7-1)
-Didn’t play this past week, but Eden Prairie’s win over Burnsville helps move them up in the rankings. They’ve looked solid since the November loss to Maple Grove; can they keep that up against some of the state’s best, away from the friendly confines of Braemar Arena?
This week: Schwan Cup Gold
6. Eden Prairie (5-1-1)
-A convincing win over Burnsville edges them further upward. I will wait until after their performance in St. Louis Park to say whether they belong in the truly elite tier of teams, but they’ve certainly shown that they can beat anyone on any given night.
This week: St. Louis Park Tournament
7. Burnsville (6-2)
-The Blaze bounced back from the Eden Prairie loss with a comfortable win over a wildly inconsistent Prior Lake team. Their two losses are to teams above them, though they were a bit lopsided. The glow of the Benilde win is starting to wear off, though they can get that all back in a heartbeat if they knock off East.
This week: Schwan Cup Gold
8. Benilde-St. Margaret’s (5-2)
-A loss to Maple Grove sets the Red Knights another step back. The talent is there, but the execution simply has not been. With that in mind, they now host a holiday tournament that could play a huge role in the direction their season takes--this can either spring them back up into the state title conversation, or raise a lot of questions about the team.
This week: St. Louis Park Tournament
9. Moorhead (6-0)
-Blew out St. Cloud Tech in their only contest this past week, and now head into the Metro area for the first time this year. We still don’t know how well this team’s strong defense will stack up against the state’s best offensive attacks, so I’m very curious to see what they can do in St. Louis Park. How they perform will shape my opinion of the entire section.
This week: St. Louis Park Tournament
10. Blaine (6-1)
-I dropped the Bengals one spot after an unusually close game against Anoka. They’ve had a couple of these close calls so far, though they’ve come out unscathed against anyone not named Maple Grove, and the Elk River win shows they can beat other good teams. We’ll see if they can hang with some of the state’s best very shortly.
This week: Schwan Cup Gold
11. Elk River (6-2-1)
-Had some fun against Osseo on Thursday, and now head into St. Louis Park, where their first game has major conference implications. Even if they lose that one, the rest of the tournament will help show how high this team’s ceiling is.
12. Grand Rapids (6-3)
-Restored some order after that ugly Edina tournament with a win over a reasonably good Duluth Marshall team. I don’t foresee any challenges in their upcoming tournament.
This week: Perpich North-South Challenge
13. Lakeville South (4-2)
-The Cougars made some noise this past week by blowing out both White Bear Lake and Bloomington Jefferson. This helps atone for some of the ugliness earlier this year against Edina and Eagan, and has them in position to make a serious run at the Schwan Cup Silver title. For the first time since I’ve been doing this, another section has its top-ranked team behind the 1AA leader.
This week: Schwan Cup Silver
14. Wayzata (6-2-1)
-An interesting but not particularly illuminating week, as they roughed up Jefferson and then had some difficulty getting by Roseville. A fortunate draw in St. Louis Park gives them a shot at for a decent tournament.
This week: St. Louis Park Tournament
15. Hill-Murray (4-3)
-Pounded White Bear Lake to gain some measure of revenge for last year and cement themselves atop the section this time around. I’m very curious to see how good of a game they can give Minnetonka.
This week: Schwan Cup Gold
On the Bubble
Bemidji (5-3)
-Got back on track with a strong win over Brainerd, keeping themselves in the hunt for a top-2 seed in the process. They’re in the Schwan Cup Silver this year, and on a side of the bracket where they could make some noise…time to see if they can run with some Metro teams.
Roseville (6-2)
-Forcing Wayzata to overtime is a good sign for a team that has otherwise been plodding along, winning a series of tight conference games. Nothing too fancy, but they seem to be competitive every night. Like Bemidji, they have a chance to make a little noise in the Silver division.
Centennial (3-4-1)
-The record isn’t pretty, but East is the only team that’s really buried them, and they did get a win over a pretty good Andover team this past week as well. Could be in for a rough week in St. Louis Park.
Andover (4-4)
-Hovering in the picture because they’ve played some good teams close, though they have no wins of any great value. They could improve their standing somewhat with a good week in the Duluth Heritage Classic.
Cloquet (7-3)
-Beat Forest Lake in a game with important section seeding implications and now head a few miles east to a holiday tournament in Duluth. Not a very strong #20, but there aren’t a ton of options here.
The next five, in no particular order: Apple Valley, Stillwater, Roseau, White Bear Lake, Brainerd
Holiday Tournament Preview
Teams are listed in the order of the bracket. (The top two teams meet in the first round, then play the next two in the second, etc.)
Schwan Cup Gold
Monday-Wednesday
Holy Angels
St. Thomas Academy
1 Duluth East
7 Burnsville
15 Hill-Murray
2 Minnetonka
10 Blaine
5 Edina
-As usual the Gold has a very deep field, and the winner stands a good chance to be #1 next week. Holy Angels is a bit out of its league, and it’s hard to say quite where St. Thomas fits in with the top AA schools. The other three first-round match-ups are excellent and should lead to great second and third games throughout the bracket. East and Tonka will be seriously tested for the first time, while Edina and Burnsville look to convince us they’re in the state title conversation, and Blaine and Hill try to show they can contend.
St. Louis Park Tournament
Tuesday-Thursday
3 Maple Grove
11 Elk River
Bloomington Jefferson
14 Wayzata
6 Eden Prairie
9 Moorhead
8 Benilde-St. Margaret’s
Centennial
-A lot of teams with things to prove in this one. Maple Grove heads in as the favorite, and could easily face the team that gave them the one blemish on their record--the Wayzata tie--in the second round. The EP-Moorhead game interests me the most in the first round, and we also have a Benilde team that’s trying to assert its place. A week after I plugged Jefferson for playing top teams well, they had an awful week and dropped out of the picture; can they get back on track and climb back in, or will one of the state’s most storied programs go winless in December?
Schwan Cup Silver
Monday-Wednesday
13 Lakeville South
Stillwater
Breck
Apple Valley
Bemidji
Forest Lake
Roseville
Blake
-All signs point to a semifinal showdown between Lakeville South and Breck for the title in this one. Still, there are some other interesting story lines: Bemidji gets a chance to show what it can do against Metro-area teams, some of the SEC teams look to distinguish themselves outside of their muddle of a conference, and Apple Valley has done reasonably well so far this year, given everything that they lost.
South St. Paul Premier Tournament
Monday-Wednesday
St. Paul Johnson
Anoka
4 Eagan
Hopkins
Woodbury
Hastings
South St. Paul
North St. Paul
-Anything other than complete domination by Eagan would be a stunning upset. The Woodbury-Hastings game has 3AA implications, and this tournament will also tell us if North St. Paul might be able to creep into the picture in a weak 4AA.
Perpich North-South Challenge
Tuesday-Thursday
12 Grand Rapids
Hibbing
Virginia
Lakeville North
Mahtomedi
St. Francis
-Semi-round robin in which the three southern teams play at each of the three northern teams. Rapids should roll; this is a bigger tournament for A teams like Hibbing and Mahtomedi, who are trying to prove themselves.
Heritage Classic (Duluth)
Tuesday-Thursday
New Prague
Buffalo
Andover
Rosemount
Fort Frances, ON
Cloquet
St. Louis Park
Duluth Denfeld
-A couple of bubble teams, Cloquet and Andover, are the likely favorites in Duluth. A meeting between the two of them would have section seeding implications. Denfeld could also make some noise, and Buffalo did upset Cloquet already this year. Not sure what to expect from Fort Frances.
Of the bubble teams not already mentioned elsewhere:
-Brainerd ventures to Grand Forks to take on some of North Dakota’s finest.
-Roseau hosts its annual tournament, which is an 8-team bracket this year instead of the usual round robin. The Rams’ opener against Holy Family on Thursday will likely be their toughest game; they should win the tourney.
-White Bear Lake is not in a holiday tournament this year and plays at East Ridge on Thursday.
It was a short week, so there wasn’t a whole lot of excitement in the rankings, but there were enough big games to move a few things around. We can always rely on the holiday tournaments to shake things up, though, so this week’s rankings include some comments on all of the tournaments that involve top AA teams.
1. Duluth East (8-0)
-The Hounds cruised to victory over Centennial in their only game this past week. I got to see them for the first time, and there’s an awful lot to like. Their passing is as good as any high school team I’ve ever seen, and they’re deep, but they’re not quite a finished product--the defense had a couple of miscues, and they didn’t finish on all of their opportunities. Is Trevor Olson the missing piece? We may find out this week.
This week: Schwan Cup Gold
2. Minnetonka (8-0)
-Scored goals in bunches in wins over Armstrong and Stillwater, setting up a potentially great showdown with East in the Schwan Cup. Like East their December schedule has not been overly difficult, so we’ll see how they do against a higher level of competition, especially since they’re on the harder side of the bracket.
This week: Schwan Cup Gold
3. Maple Grove (8-0-1)
-Survived a roller coaster of a contest with Benilde and hold on to the third spot, at least for now. They looked sharp against Benilde, though I’m curious to see how they do against a team that is more interested in playing defense. With Elk River up first in their tournament, they may get that sort of test right away.
This week: St. Louis Park Tournament
4. Eagan (5-1)
-A convincing 5-0 win over Apple Valley has 3AA looking like a cakewalk. The scores coming in lately clearly suggest they’re an elite team, but we’re still waiting for that signature win against another state title contender. They’re in a weak tournament, so that opportunity won’t come this week; it will have to wait for the January 3rd match-up with Minnetonka.
This week: South St. Paul Premier Tournament
5. Edina (7-1)
-Didn’t play this past week, but Eden Prairie’s win over Burnsville helps move them up in the rankings. They’ve looked solid since the November loss to Maple Grove; can they keep that up against some of the state’s best, away from the friendly confines of Braemar Arena?
This week: Schwan Cup Gold
6. Eden Prairie (5-1-1)
-A convincing win over Burnsville edges them further upward. I will wait until after their performance in St. Louis Park to say whether they belong in the truly elite tier of teams, but they’ve certainly shown that they can beat anyone on any given night.
This week: St. Louis Park Tournament
7. Burnsville (6-2)
-The Blaze bounced back from the Eden Prairie loss with a comfortable win over a wildly inconsistent Prior Lake team. Their two losses are to teams above them, though they were a bit lopsided. The glow of the Benilde win is starting to wear off, though they can get that all back in a heartbeat if they knock off East.
This week: Schwan Cup Gold
8. Benilde-St. Margaret’s (5-2)
-A loss to Maple Grove sets the Red Knights another step back. The talent is there, but the execution simply has not been. With that in mind, they now host a holiday tournament that could play a huge role in the direction their season takes--this can either spring them back up into the state title conversation, or raise a lot of questions about the team.
This week: St. Louis Park Tournament
9. Moorhead (6-0)
-Blew out St. Cloud Tech in their only contest this past week, and now head into the Metro area for the first time this year. We still don’t know how well this team’s strong defense will stack up against the state’s best offensive attacks, so I’m very curious to see what they can do in St. Louis Park. How they perform will shape my opinion of the entire section.
This week: St. Louis Park Tournament
10. Blaine (6-1)
-I dropped the Bengals one spot after an unusually close game against Anoka. They’ve had a couple of these close calls so far, though they’ve come out unscathed against anyone not named Maple Grove, and the Elk River win shows they can beat other good teams. We’ll see if they can hang with some of the state’s best very shortly.
This week: Schwan Cup Gold
11. Elk River (6-2-1)
-Had some fun against Osseo on Thursday, and now head into St. Louis Park, where their first game has major conference implications. Even if they lose that one, the rest of the tournament will help show how high this team’s ceiling is.
12. Grand Rapids (6-3)
-Restored some order after that ugly Edina tournament with a win over a reasonably good Duluth Marshall team. I don’t foresee any challenges in their upcoming tournament.
This week: Perpich North-South Challenge
13. Lakeville South (4-2)
-The Cougars made some noise this past week by blowing out both White Bear Lake and Bloomington Jefferson. This helps atone for some of the ugliness earlier this year against Edina and Eagan, and has them in position to make a serious run at the Schwan Cup Silver title. For the first time since I’ve been doing this, another section has its top-ranked team behind the 1AA leader.
This week: Schwan Cup Silver
14. Wayzata (6-2-1)
-An interesting but not particularly illuminating week, as they roughed up Jefferson and then had some difficulty getting by Roseville. A fortunate draw in St. Louis Park gives them a shot at for a decent tournament.
This week: St. Louis Park Tournament
15. Hill-Murray (4-3)
-Pounded White Bear Lake to gain some measure of revenge for last year and cement themselves atop the section this time around. I’m very curious to see how good of a game they can give Minnetonka.
This week: Schwan Cup Gold
On the Bubble
Bemidji (5-3)
-Got back on track with a strong win over Brainerd, keeping themselves in the hunt for a top-2 seed in the process. They’re in the Schwan Cup Silver this year, and on a side of the bracket where they could make some noise…time to see if they can run with some Metro teams.
Roseville (6-2)
-Forcing Wayzata to overtime is a good sign for a team that has otherwise been plodding along, winning a series of tight conference games. Nothing too fancy, but they seem to be competitive every night. Like Bemidji, they have a chance to make a little noise in the Silver division.
Centennial (3-4-1)
-The record isn’t pretty, but East is the only team that’s really buried them, and they did get a win over a pretty good Andover team this past week as well. Could be in for a rough week in St. Louis Park.
Andover (4-4)
-Hovering in the picture because they’ve played some good teams close, though they have no wins of any great value. They could improve their standing somewhat with a good week in the Duluth Heritage Classic.
Cloquet (7-3)
-Beat Forest Lake in a game with important section seeding implications and now head a few miles east to a holiday tournament in Duluth. Not a very strong #20, but there aren’t a ton of options here.
The next five, in no particular order: Apple Valley, Stillwater, Roseau, White Bear Lake, Brainerd
Holiday Tournament Preview
Teams are listed in the order of the bracket. (The top two teams meet in the first round, then play the next two in the second, etc.)
Schwan Cup Gold
Monday-Wednesday
Holy Angels
St. Thomas Academy
1 Duluth East
7 Burnsville
15 Hill-Murray
2 Minnetonka
10 Blaine
5 Edina
-As usual the Gold has a very deep field, and the winner stands a good chance to be #1 next week. Holy Angels is a bit out of its league, and it’s hard to say quite where St. Thomas fits in with the top AA schools. The other three first-round match-ups are excellent and should lead to great second and third games throughout the bracket. East and Tonka will be seriously tested for the first time, while Edina and Burnsville look to convince us they’re in the state title conversation, and Blaine and Hill try to show they can contend.
St. Louis Park Tournament
Tuesday-Thursday
3 Maple Grove
11 Elk River
Bloomington Jefferson
14 Wayzata
6 Eden Prairie
9 Moorhead
8 Benilde-St. Margaret’s
Centennial
-A lot of teams with things to prove in this one. Maple Grove heads in as the favorite, and could easily face the team that gave them the one blemish on their record--the Wayzata tie--in the second round. The EP-Moorhead game interests me the most in the first round, and we also have a Benilde team that’s trying to assert its place. A week after I plugged Jefferson for playing top teams well, they had an awful week and dropped out of the picture; can they get back on track and climb back in, or will one of the state’s most storied programs go winless in December?
Schwan Cup Silver
Monday-Wednesday
13 Lakeville South
Stillwater
Breck
Apple Valley
Bemidji
Forest Lake
Roseville
Blake
-All signs point to a semifinal showdown between Lakeville South and Breck for the title in this one. Still, there are some other interesting story lines: Bemidji gets a chance to show what it can do against Metro-area teams, some of the SEC teams look to distinguish themselves outside of their muddle of a conference, and Apple Valley has done reasonably well so far this year, given everything that they lost.
South St. Paul Premier Tournament
Monday-Wednesday
St. Paul Johnson
Anoka
4 Eagan
Hopkins
Woodbury
Hastings
South St. Paul
North St. Paul
-Anything other than complete domination by Eagan would be a stunning upset. The Woodbury-Hastings game has 3AA implications, and this tournament will also tell us if North St. Paul might be able to creep into the picture in a weak 4AA.
Perpich North-South Challenge
Tuesday-Thursday
12 Grand Rapids
Hibbing
Virginia
Lakeville North
Mahtomedi
St. Francis
-Semi-round robin in which the three southern teams play at each of the three northern teams. Rapids should roll; this is a bigger tournament for A teams like Hibbing and Mahtomedi, who are trying to prove themselves.
Heritage Classic (Duluth)
Tuesday-Thursday
New Prague
Buffalo
Andover
Rosemount
Fort Frances, ON
Cloquet
St. Louis Park
Duluth Denfeld
-A couple of bubble teams, Cloquet and Andover, are the likely favorites in Duluth. A meeting between the two of them would have section seeding implications. Denfeld could also make some noise, and Buffalo did upset Cloquet already this year. Not sure what to expect from Fort Frances.
Of the bubble teams not already mentioned elsewhere:
-Brainerd ventures to Grand Forks to take on some of North Dakota’s finest.
-Roseau hosts its annual tournament, which is an 8-team bracket this year instead of the usual round robin. The Rams’ opener against Holy Family on Thursday will likely be their toughest game; they should win the tourney.
-White Bear Lake is not in a holiday tournament this year and plays at East Ridge on Thursday.