2003-04 Wisconsin Ratings
(Scores through 3/06/04)
Link to last year's (2002-2003) final ratings
Teams listed W-L-T record reflects only games whose score
is listed on the 2003-04 Wisconsin HS Scores page.
Wisconsin scores provided by WisconsinPrepHockey.Net
The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then
adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative
error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is
reached (convergence).
The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between
any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a
neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that due to goal
differential limits set in the ranking program these predicted goal differentials
are only accurate when comparing teams ranked within three goals of each other.
The differential between teams ranked farther apart becomes more and more
understated as the chosen teams become farther apart in the rankings.
A teams Total value only has meaning in relation to other teams in the same list.
The Last 5 column is a simple average performance of that team in the last five
games based on current opponent Total values and goal differential (up to max allowed).
Obviously, the fewer games a team's ranking is based upon the less likely
that ranking is to be accurate.
Links to other ratings:
CT IA IL IN MA MD MD-VA MI MN MN-WI-ND MO ND Northeast NH NJ NY WNY Club OH PA-E PA-W1A PA-W2A PA-W3A
RI VA VT WI wWI USA Midget AAA Men's NCAA D1
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As of 1/14/04 the Minnesota, Wisconsin, and North Dakota rankings and a regional ranking that includes
teams from all three states are all calculated simultaneously from the same scores file.
This allows games between interstate opponents from these states to affect each others ratings based
on their rating in the adjacent states.
The 2002-03 Wisconsin ratings again performed quite well in the sectional and state tournaments.
The Feb 2 ratings, frozen at the time of the coaches' seedings, correctly picked two more winners than
the coaches' seedings in the 64 sectional games (despite the disadvantage of having home ice awarded
based on the seedings) and the March 2 ratings correctly picked all 7 state tournament game winning
teams.
More information about how the ratings are calculated and their past
accuracy can be found here .
As of 2/21/04 all state rankings are calculated interdependently. This allows interstate opponents to be given
their proper weight. Also, games between teams ranked more than 5 goals apart are no longer used when
calculating the rankings.
As of 3/4/04 there are now two rankings listed. The first is the standard Goal Diff Limit = 4 ranking and
the second is a GDL=1 ranking. The GDL1 ranking has proven to be the most accurate for college and junior teams
but is yet unproven at other levels, especially for those rankings in which many teams are missing many scores.
The Totals column takes on a different meaning in the GDL1 ranking, see the D1 College rankings for details.
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RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 Section
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1,Superior,WI,________________________ 24 2 0, 2.4, 10.0, 12.41, 12.56 ,1
2,New Richmond,WI,____________________ 19 3 0, 2.4, 10.0, 12.40, 12.31 ,4
3,Menomonie,WI,_______________________ 19 3 1, 2.4, 9.5, 11.90, 11.79 ,4
4,Fond du Lac,WI,_____________________ 18 2 2, 2.5, 9.2, 11.65, 12.22 ,3
5,Wisconsin Rapids,WI,________________ 20 4 1, 2.5, 9.1, 11.56, 12.58 ,3
6,Hudson,WI,__________________________ 17 7 2, 1.3, 10.2, 11.47, 13.49 ,4
7,University School,WI,_______________ 19 5 0, 1.9, 9.4, 11.25, 11.00 ,8
8,Northland Pines,WI,_________________ 21 3 1, 1.9, 9.3, 11.17, 11.32 ,2
9,Madison Memorial,WI,________________ 18 4 2, 2.0, 9.0, 11.02, 11.06 ,7
10,Stoughton,WI,_______________________ 20 2 1, 2.6, 8.4, 10.99, 10.93 ,7
11,Eau Claire Memorial,WI,_____________ 16 6 0, 1.0, 9.9, 10.89, 10.89 ,4
12,Appleton,WI,________________________ 16 6 0, 1.5, 9.2, 10.67, 10.43 ,3
13,Stevens Point,WI,___________________ 17 5 1, 1.1, 9.3, 10.36, 11.40 ,3
14,Mosinee,WI,_________________________ 13 7 0, 1.4, 8.6, 10.01, 8.60 ,3
15,Hayward,WI,_________________________ 14 9 0, 0.5, 9.4, 9.95, 10.79 ,1
16,Lakeland,WI,________________________ 16 6 1, 1.3, 8.5, 9.79, 10.55 ,2
17,Sun Prairie,WI,_____________________ 16 8 0, 0.8, 9.0, 9.78, 9.92 ,6
18,Marquette,WI,_______________________ 16 7 0, 1.1, 8.6, 9.75, 10.81 ,8
19,Arrowhead,WI,_______________________ 15 7 0, 0.9, 8.7, 9.68, 9.03 ,6
20,Janesville,WI,______________________ 13 6 2, 1.0, 8.7, 9.60, 8.16 ,7
21,Verona,WI,__________________________ 13 7 2, 0.7, 8.8, 9.48, 9.11 ,7
22,Madison Edgewood,WI,________________ 14 5 2, 1.0, 8.5, 9.41, 9.22 ,7
23,Rhinelander,WI,_____________________ 14 6 1, 0.4, 8.9, 9.33, 9.69 ,2
24,Beloit Memorial,WI,_________________ 14 8 0, 1.0, 8.3, 9.29, 9.83 ,7
25,Medford,WI,_________________________ 13 8 0, 0.8, 8.5, 9.25, 8.89 ,2
26,Catholic Memorial,WI,_______________ 12 8 1, 0.8, 8.3, 9.11, 9.73 ,6
27,Homestead,WI,_______________________ 13 7 2, 0.7, 8.5, 9.11, 8.56 ,8
28,Somerset,WI,________________________ 15 5 0, 1.3, 7.8, 9.08, 8.85 ,4
29,Brookfield,WI,______________________ 15 6 1, 0.9, 8.1, 9.01, 9.31 ,8
30,Rice Lake,WI,_______________________ 9 13 0, -0.9, 9.9, 8.97, 8.23 ,1
31,Chippewa Falls,WI,__________________ 8 13 1, -0.7, 9.5, 8.85, 9.72 ,1
32,Eau Claire North,WI,________________ 8 13 0, -1.1, 9.8, 8.70, 7.13 ,4
33,Neenah,WI,__________________________ 8 11 3, -0.4, 9.1, 8.67, 8.41 ,3
34,Middleton,WI,_______________________ 9 10 3, -0.0, 8.7, 8.61, 9.79 ,7
35,Beaver Dam,WI,______________________ 8 13 1, -0.5, 9.1, 8.61, 8.42 ,3
36,Antigo,WI,__________________________ 7 12 3, -0.4, 8.9, 8.51, 8.09 ,2
37,Sparta,WI,__________________________ 17 4 1, 1.6, 6.9, 8.44, 6.66 ,5
38,Wausau West,WI,_____________________ 7 12 3, -0.5, 8.9, 8.35, 8.40 ,2
39,McFarland,WI,_______________________ 10 10 1, -0.1, 8.4, 8.26, 8.01 ,7
40,Madison West,WI,____________________ 7 14 1, -0.8, 9.1, 8.24, 8.36 ,7
41,Ashland,WI,_________________________ 11 10 0, 0.1, 8.0, 8.12, 8.76 ,1
42,Madison LaFollette,WI,______________ 8 13 1, -0.4, 8.5, 8.07, 8.08 ,6
43,LaCrosse,WI,________________________ 14 6 1, 1.0, 7.1, 8.06, 7.25 ,5
44,Tomahawk,WI,________________________ 10 11 1, -0.3, 8.3, 8.02, 8.04 ,2
45,Oregon,WI,__________________________ 9 12 0, 0.0, 7.8, 7.85, 8.23 ,7
46,Reedsburg,WI,_______________________ 12 9 0, 0.6, 7.2, 7.84, 8.21 ,5
47,DC Everest,WI,______________________ 9 13 0, -0.5, 8.4, 7.81, 8.44 ,2
48,River Falls,WI,_____________________ 6 16 0, -1.0, 8.8, 7.80, 7.74 ,4
49,Marshfield,WI,______________________ 7 15 0, -0.6, 8.3, 7.69, 6.58 ,3
50,Black River Falls,WI,_______________ 13 8 0, 1.1, 6.5, 7.54, 8.79 ,4
51,Milwaukee Pius XI,WI,_______________ 8 10 1, -0.1, 7.6, 7.50, 6.96 ,8
52,Sauk Prairie,WI,____________________ 10 14 0, -0.6, 7.8, 7.20, 7.97 ,5
53,Waupun,WI,__________________________ 7 14 0, -1.2, 8.4, 7.15, 6.98 ,3
54,Onalaska,WI,________________________ 12 9 0, 0.1, 7.0, 7.13, 6.86 ,5
55,Wausau East,WI,_____________________ 7 13 1, -1.0, 8.0, 6.98, 7.28 ,2
56,Sheboygan,WI,_______________________ 6 16 0, -1.2, 8.1, 6.88, 6.96 ,8
57,Altoona,WI,_________________________ 15 5 1, 0.9, 6.0, 6.86, 7.44 ,4
58,Baraboo,WI,_________________________ 9 13 1, -0.6, 7.4, 6.75, 6.80 ,5
59,Waunakee,WI,________________________ 8 13 0, -1.1, 7.5, 6.44, 5.86 ,7
60,Amery,WI,___________________________ 7 14 0, -0.4, 6.7, 6.31, 6.36 ,1
61,Monona Grove,WI,____________________ 3 18 0, -2.1, 8.4, 6.29, 6.07 ,6
62,Waupaca,WI,_________________________ 2 17 2, -2.2, 8.5, 6.27, 5.01 ,3
63,Madison East,WI,____________________ 4 17 0, -2.2, 8.4, 6.21, 6.06 ,6
64,Tomah,WI,___________________________ 8 13 1, -0.6, 6.8, 6.18, 5.88 ,5
65,Whitefish Bay,WI,___________________ 14 7 0, 1.1, 5.0, 6.09, 6.92 ,8
66,McDonell Central,WI,________________ 12 10 0, 0.1, 5.6, 5.70, 5.56 ,1
67,Wauwatosa,WI,_______________________ 11 10 0, 0.1, 5.3, 5.47, 5.02 ,8
68,Cedarburg,WI,_______________________ 7 12 0, -0.8, 6.3, 5.42, 4.90 ,8
69,Park Falls,WI,______________________ 5 16 0, -1.6, 7.0, 5.40, 6.05 ,1
70,Spooner,WI,_________________________ 3 16 1, -1.6, 6.7, 5.13, 5.57 ,1
71,FDL Springs,WI,_____________________ 13 8 0, 0.3, 4.8, 5.12, 4.01 ,3
72,Baldwin-Woodville,WI,_______________ 5 16 0, -1.4, 6.4, 5.05, 4.25 ,4
73,KM/Mukwonago,WI,____________________ 6 15 0, -1.7, 6.7, 5.04, 4.85 ,6
74,DeForest-Poynette,WI,_______________ 4 18 0, -1.9, 6.9, 5.03, 5.51 ,6
75,Waukesha,WI,________________________ 3 15 0, -1.6, 6.2, 4.63, 5.09 ,6
76,Viroqua,WI,_________________________ 3 16 0, -2.3, 6.6, 4.34, 4.49 ,5
77,Merrill,WI,_________________________ 0 21 0, -3.7, 7.5, 3.79, 3.70 ,2
78,Kenosha,WI,_________________________ 6 10 0, -0.7, 4.3, 3.64, 3.05 ,6
79,Grafton,WI,_________________________ 7 14 0, -0.8, 4.3, 3.60, 4.33 ,8
80,Holmen/Aquinas,WI,__________________ 1 20 0, -3.1, 5.7, 2.54, 2.32 ,5
81,Menomonee Falls,WI,_________________ 2 12 0, -2.5, 4.5, 2.00, 2.67 ,8
82,Barron,WI,__________________________ 1 15 0, -3.6, 5.2, 1.59, 1.66 ,1
83,Oconomowoc,WI,______________________ 1 13 0, -2.7, 3.4, 0.67 ,6
84,Wi. Dells/Mauston,WI,_______________ 0 4 0, -2.3, 1.6, -0.73 ,5
RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 Section
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1,Superior,WI,________________________ 24 2 0, 0.8, 7.5, 8.32, 8.29 ,1
2,New Richmond,WI,____________________ 19 3 0, 0.6, 7.5, 8.15, 7.98 ,4
3,Menomonie,WI,_______________________ 19 3 1, 0.7, 7.4, 8.02, 7.98 ,4
4,Northland Pines,WI,_________________ 21 3 1, 0.7, 7.2, 7.94, 8.07 ,2
5,Fond du Lac,WI,_____________________ 18 2 2, 0.7, 7.2, 7.91, 7.86 ,3
6,Eau Claire Memorial,WI,_____________ 16 6 0, 0.5, 7.4, 7.89, 7.89 ,4
7,Hudson,WI,__________________________ 17 7 2, 0.4, 7.5, 7.89, 8.77 ,4
8,University School,WI,_______________ 19 5 0, 0.6, 7.3, 7.82, 7.95 ,8
9,Wisconsin Rapids,WI,________________ 20 4 1, 0.6, 7.2, 7.76, 8.11 ,3
10,Madison Memorial,WI,________________ 18 4 2, 0.6, 7.2, 7.74, 7.75 ,7
11,Stoughton,WI,_______________________ 20 2 1, 0.8, 6.9, 7.72, 7.65 ,7
12,Stevens Point,WI,___________________ 17 5 1, 0.5, 7.2, 7.65, 7.87 ,3
13,Appleton,WI,________________________ 16 6 0, 0.5, 7.2, 7.64, 7.49 ,3
14,Hayward,WI,_________________________ 14 9 0, 0.2, 7.3, 7.52, 7.96 ,1
15,Lakeland,WI,________________________ 16 6 1, 0.4, 7.0, 7.47, 7.74 ,2
16,Sun Prairie,WI,_____________________ 16 8 0, 0.3, 7.1, 7.46, 7.51 ,6
17,Rhinelander,WI,_____________________ 14 6 1, 0.3, 7.1, 7.39, 7.34 ,2
18,Madison Edgewood,WI,________________ 14 5 2, 0.4, 7.0, 7.38, 7.28 ,7
19,Janesville,WI,______________________ 13 6 2, 0.3, 7.0, 7.37, 6.87 ,7
20,Mosinee,WI,_________________________ 13 7 0, 0.3, 7.1, 7.37, 6.73 ,3
21,Marquette,WI,_______________________ 16 7 0, 0.3, 7.0, 7.33, 7.78 ,8
22,Arrowhead,WI,_______________________ 15 7 0, 0.3, 7.1, 7.32, 7.00 ,6
23,Verona,WI,__________________________ 13 7 2, 0.2, 7.1, 7.30, 7.29 ,7
24,Rice Lake,WI,_______________________ 9 13 0, -0.2, 7.5, 7.27, 7.06 ,1
25,Somerset,WI,________________________ 15 5 0, 0.4, 6.8, 7.25, 7.03 ,4
26,Medford,WI,_________________________ 13 8 0, 0.2, 7.0, 7.23, 7.12 ,2
27,Beloit Memorial,WI,_________________ 14 8 0, 0.3, 6.9, 7.21, 7.44 ,7
28,Eau Claire North,WI,________________ 8 13 0, -0.2, 7.4, 7.20, 6.84 ,4
29,Brookfield,WI,______________________ 15 6 1, 0.3, 6.8, 7.19, 6.95 ,8
30,Homestead,WI,_______________________ 13 7 2, 0.2, 7.0, 7.16, 6.94 ,8
31,Chippewa Falls,WI,__________________ 8 13 1, -0.2, 7.4, 7.13, 7.40 ,1
32,Catholic Memorial,WI,_______________ 12 8 1, 0.1, 7.0, 7.12, 7.25 ,6
33,Sparta,WI,__________________________ 17 4 1, 0.6, 6.6, 7.10, 6.53 ,5
34,Neenah,WI,__________________________ 8 11 3, -0.1, 7.1, 7.01, 7.04 ,3
35,Middleton,WI,_______________________ 9 10 3, -0.0, 7.0, 7.00, 7.39 ,7
36,McFarland,WI,_______________________ 10 10 1, 0.0, 6.9, 6.94, 6.82 ,7
37,Ashland,WI,_________________________ 11 10 0, 0.0, 6.9, 6.93, 6.90 ,1
38,Beaver Dam,WI,______________________ 8 13 1, -0.2, 7.2, 6.93, 6.78 ,3
39,LaCrosse,WI,________________________ 14 6 1, 0.3, 6.6, 6.92, 6.23 ,5
40,Tomahawk,WI,________________________ 10 11 1, -0.0, 7.0, 6.92, 7.17 ,2
41,Wausau West,WI,_____________________ 7 12 3, -0.2, 7.1, 6.87, 6.78 ,2
42,Madison West,WI,____________________ 7 14 1, -0.3, 7.2, 6.85, 7.00 ,7
43,Antigo,WI,__________________________ 7 12 3, -0.3, 7.1, 6.85, 6.77 ,2
44,Altoona,WI,_________________________ 15 5 1, 0.5, 6.3, 6.78, 7.09 ,4
45,DC Everest,WI,______________________ 9 13 0, -0.2, 6.9, 6.76, 6.83 ,2
46,Madison LaFollette,WI,______________ 8 13 1, -0.2, 7.0, 6.76, 6.85 ,6
47,Onalaska,WI,________________________ 12 9 0, 0.1, 6.6, 6.73, 6.53 ,5
48,Reedsburg,WI,_______________________ 12 9 0, 0.1, 6.6, 6.73, 6.58 ,5
49,River Falls,WI,_____________________ 6 16 0, -0.5, 7.2, 6.70, 6.76 ,4
50,Oregon,WI,__________________________ 9 12 0, -0.1, 6.8, 6.66, 6.55 ,7
51,Black River Falls,WI,_______________ 13 8 0, 0.2, 6.5, 6.64, 7.12 ,4
52,Sauk Prairie,WI,____________________ 10 14 0, -0.2, 6.8, 6.62, 7.15 ,5
53,Waupun,WI,__________________________ 7 14 0, -0.3, 6.9, 6.60, 6.54 ,3
54,Milwaukee Pius XI,WI,_______________ 8 10 1, -0.2, 6.8, 6.58, 6.47 ,8
55,Marshfield,WI,______________________ 7 15 0, -0.4, 6.9, 6.58, 6.44 ,3
56,Wausau East,WI,_____________________ 7 13 1, -0.3, 6.8, 6.54, 6.75 ,2
57,Baraboo,WI,_________________________ 9 13 1, -0.2, 6.7, 6.49, 6.80 ,5
58,Waunakee,WI,________________________ 8 13 0, -0.2, 6.7, 6.46, 6.25 ,7
59,Sheboygan,WI,_______________________ 6 16 0, -0.5, 6.9, 6.42, 6.28 ,8
60,Whitefish Bay,WI,___________________ 14 7 0, 0.3, 6.0, 6.38, 6.89 ,8
61,Madison East,WI,____________________ 4 17 0, -0.6, 7.0, 6.33, 6.09 ,6
62,Waupaca,WI,_________________________ 2 17 2, -0.7, 7.0, 6.30, 6.03 ,3
63,Tomah,WI,___________________________ 8 13 1, -0.2, 6.5, 6.30, 6.30 ,5
64,Amery,WI,___________________________ 7 14 0, -0.3, 6.5, 6.29, 6.29 ,1
65,McDonell Central,WI,________________ 12 10 0, 0.1, 6.2, 6.28, 6.15 ,1
66,Monona Grove,WI,____________________ 3 18 0, -0.7, 7.0, 6.26, 6.15 ,6
67,FDL Springs,WI,_____________________ 13 8 0, 0.2, 6.0, 6.19, 5.61 ,3
68,Wauwatosa,WI,_______________________ 11 10 0, 0.0, 6.1, 6.16, 6.14 ,8
69,Park Falls,WI,______________________ 5 16 0, -0.4, 6.6, 6.14, 6.27 ,1
70,Cedarburg,WI,_______________________ 7 12 0, -0.3, 6.4, 6.09, 5.56 ,8
71,KM/Mukwonago,WI,____________________ 6 15 0, -0.4, 6.5, 6.04, 6.04 ,6
72,Baldwin-Woodville,WI,_______________ 5 16 0, -0.5, 6.4, 5.95, 5.64 ,4
73,DeForest-Poynette,WI,_______________ 4 18 0, -0.6, 6.5, 5.91, 6.14 ,6
74,Spooner,WI,_________________________ 3 16 1, -0.7, 6.5, 5.89, 6.10 ,1
75,Kenosha,WI,_________________________ 6 10 0, 0.0, 5.8, 5.85, 5.81 ,6
76,Waukesha,WI,________________________ 3 15 0, -0.6, 6.4, 5.76, 5.81 ,6
77,Viroqua,WI,_________________________ 3 16 0, -0.8, 6.5, 5.70, 5.80 ,5
78,Merrill,WI,_________________________ 0 21 0, -1.0, 6.7, 5.66, 5.55 ,2
79,Grafton,WI,_________________________ 7 14 0, -0.3, 5.9, 5.57, 6.08 ,8
80,Holmen/Aquinas,WI,__________________ 1 20 0, -0.9, 6.2, 5.39, 5.29 ,5
81,Menomonee Falls,WI,_________________ 2 12 0, -0.7, 5.9, 5.24, 5.28 ,8
82,Barron,WI,__________________________ 1 15 0, -0.9, 6.0, 5.14, 5.13 ,1
83,Oconomowoc,WI,______________________ 1 13 0, -0.8, 5.6, 4.85 ,6
84,Wi. Dells/Mauston,WI,_______________ 0 4 0, -1.0, 5.1, 4.13 ,5