Scores that ratings are based upon. Scores through March 2, 2014. Previous Rankings New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting.
Maximum Goal Differential = 7 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below Division 1 RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,Arizona State,____________________________ 34 2 0, 3.7, 8.2, 12.00, 11.87 2,Oklahoma,_________________________________ 26 8 0, 2.6, 8.1, 10.73, 11.37 3,Robert Morris Illinois,___________________ 30 9 0, 2.2, 8.5, 10.73, 9.61 4,Adrian,___________________________________ 31 6 0, 3.0, 7.6, 10.67, 12.04 5,Ohio,_____________________________________ 30 10 0, 2.4, 8.2, 10.59, 11.47 6,Stony Brook,______________________________ 26 7 0, 2.2, 8.3, 10.45, 12.57 7,Liberty,__________________________________ 29 8 0, 1.8, 8.5, 10.35, 11.30 8,Minot State,______________________________ 23 10 0, 2.5, 7.7, 10.20, 11.00 9,Iowa State,_______________________________ 35 13 0, 1.5, 8.1, 9.63, 8.79 10,Delaware,_________________________________ 25 13 0, 0.8, 8.7, 9.52, 8.48 11,Central Oklahoma,_________________________ 25 17 0, 1.3, 8.2, 9.50, 10.55 12,Davenport,________________________________ 25 14 0, 1.4, 8.0, 9.38, 11.20 13,Lindenwood,_______________________________ 13 21 0, -0.3, 9.4, 9.04, 8.82 14,Navy,_____________________________________ 26 8 0, 2.5, 6.5, 8.95, 10.10 15,Oakland,__________________________________ 23 16 0, 1.0, 7.9, 8.94, 7.90 16,Rhode Island,_____________________________ 22 15 0, 0.6, 7.7, 8.32, 8.69 17,Illinois,_________________________________ 20 19 0, 0.4, 7.9, 8.27, 9.59 18,Arizona,__________________________________ 17 23 0, -0.8, 9.0, 8.24, 6.65 19,Rutgers,__________________________________ 8 19 0, -0.6, 8.6, 8.08, 6.80 20,Buffalo,__________________________________ 24 10 0, 2.1, 5.9, 7.97, 7.84 21,Mercyhurst,_______________________________ 19 19 0, 0.4, 7.6, 7.95, 7.38 22,John Carroll,_____________________________ 22 15 0, 1.1, 6.7, 7.82, 9.13 23,Syracuse,_________________________________ 20 8 0, 2.2, 5.5, 7.78, 7.46 24,Wayne State,______________________________ 14 15 0, 0.6, 7.1, 7.69, 7.48 25,Niagara,__________________________________ 19 9 0, 1.2, 6.5, 7.68, 9.02 26,West Virginia,____________________________ 17 19 0, -0.0, 7.7, 7.64, 7.30 27,Lebanon Valley,___________________________ 15 17 0, -0.7, 7.8, 7.16, 7.34 28,Colorado State,___________________________ 12 25 0, -1.5, 8.5, 7.00, 6.94 29,Michigan-Dearborn,________________________ 20 22 0, -0.6, 7.6, 6.94, 6.26 30,Drexel,___________________________________ 16 14 0, 0.7, 6.2, 6.90, 8.23 31,Oswego State,_____________________________ 18 11 0, 1.8, 4.9, 6.72, 5.50 32,Rochester College,________________________ 15 20 0, -0.5, 7.2, 6.68, 6.65 33,Pittsburgh,_______________________________ 14 17 0, -0.1, 6.7, 6.54, 6.82 34,Duquesne,_________________________________ 17 13 0, 0.7, 5.8, 6.47, 4.34 35,West Chester,_____________________________ 12 22 0, -1.1, 7.5, 6.41, 6.19 36,Western Michigan,_________________________ 11 25 0, -1.7, 7.8, 6.07, 6.83 37,Villanova,________________________________ 19 12 0, 0.7, 5.2, 5.93, 5.76 38,Kent State,_______________________________ 7 28 0, -1.8, 7.7, 5.91, 4.84 39,Towson,___________________________________ 14 14 0, -0.6, 6.6, 5.91, 4.38 40,Eastern Michigan,_________________________ 16 26 0, -1.7, 7.6, 5.86, 4.67 41,Colorado,_________________________________ 11 21 0, -1.9, 7.8, 5.86, 6.82 42,Robert Morris Pennsylvania,_______________ 16 14 0, -0.5, 6.3, 5.82, 5.01 43,Indiana,__________________________________ 7 22 0, -2.6, 8.2, 5.60, 5.38 44,Penn State Berks,_________________________ 14 16 0, 0.5, 4.9, 5.43, 6.04 45,Indiana Pennsylvania,_____________________ 8 21 0, -1.5, 6.4, 4.92, 5.27 46,Canisius,_________________________________ 20 25 0, -0.5, 5.4, 4.87, 5.50 47,Slippery Rock,____________________________ 11 16 0, -0.8, 5.3, 4.48, 6.10 48,North Dakota State,_______________________ 12 15 0, -1.3, 4.9, 3.62, 4.13 49,Lehigh,___________________________________ 4 25 0, -3.0, 6.3, 3.36, 2.91 50,Binghamton,_______________________________ 8 13 0, -0.9, 4.0, 3.13, 4.73 51,Rochester Inst of Tech,___________________ 9 18 0, -1.6, 4.2, 2.62, 2.70 52,Cornell,__________________________________ 7 14 0, -1.4, 3.9, 2.53, 2.55 53,Cortland State,___________________________ 7 17 0, -2.0, 4.2, 2.28, 2.31 54,Saint Bonaventure,________________________ 8 13 0, -1.9, 4.2, 2.27, 3.63 55,Ithaca,___________________________________ 7 19 0, -1.9, 3.8, 1.85, 0.71 56,Washington & Jefferson,___________________ 8 14 0, -1.8, 3.4, 1.62, 2.21 57,Scranton,_________________________________ 4 19 0, -4.0, 5.5, 1.47, 0.29 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) Division 1 RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,Arizona State,____________________________ 34 2 0, 0.9, 7.4, 8.30, 8.16 2,Liberty,__________________________________ 29 8 0, 0.6, 7.4, 8.00, 8.17 3,Stony Brook,______________________________ 26 7 0, 0.6, 7.3, 7.89, 8.17 4,Robert Morris Illinois,___________________ 30 9 0, 0.5, 7.3, 7.86, 7.33 5,Oklahoma,_________________________________ 26 8 0, 0.5, 7.3, 7.82, 8.24 6,Adrian,___________________________________ 31 6 0, 0.7, 7.1, 7.74, 8.11 7,Ohio,_____________________________________ 30 10 0, 0.5, 7.2, 7.73, 7.72 8,Delaware,_________________________________ 25 13 0, 0.3, 7.4, 7.72, 7.48 9,Iowa State,_______________________________ 35 13 0, 0.5, 7.2, 7.69, 7.27 10,Minot State,______________________________ 23 10 0, 0.4, 7.2, 7.63, 8.05 11,Central Oklahoma,_________________________ 25 17 0, 0.1, 7.3, 7.49, 7.41 12,Davenport,________________________________ 25 14 0, 0.3, 7.2, 7.44, 8.06 13,Arizona,__________________________________ 17 23 0, -0.1, 7.6, 7.43, 7.15 14,Navy,_____________________________________ 26 8 0, 0.5, 6.9, 7.41, 7.78 15,Rhode Island,_____________________________ 22 15 0, 0.2, 7.1, 7.34, 7.09 16,Oakland,__________________________________ 23 16 0, 0.2, 7.2, 7.33, 7.48 17,Lindenwood,_______________________________ 13 21 0, -0.2, 7.5, 7.29, 7.10 18,Illinois,_________________________________ 20 19 0, 0.0, 7.2, 7.26, 7.50 19,Niagara,__________________________________ 19 9 0, 0.4, 6.8, 7.20, 7.93 20,Buffalo,__________________________________ 24 10 0, 0.4, 6.7, 7.15, 7.14 21,Lebanon Valley,___________________________ 15 17 0, -0.1, 7.2, 7.11, 7.67 22,West Virginia,____________________________ 17 19 0, -0.1, 7.2, 7.10, 7.16 23,Wayne State,______________________________ 14 15 0, 0.2, 6.9, 7.08, 6.53 24,Mercyhurst,_______________________________ 19 19 0, 0.0, 7.1, 7.08, 6.78 25,Syracuse,_________________________________ 20 8 0, 0.4, 6.6, 7.07, 7.01 26,John Carroll,_____________________________ 22 15 0, 0.2, 6.9, 7.07, 7.27 27,Colorado State,___________________________ 12 25 0, -0.4, 7.4, 7.03, 7.30 28,Rutgers,__________________________________ 8 19 0, -0.4, 7.4, 7.00, 6.56 29,Michigan-Dearborn,________________________ 20 22 0, -0.0, 7.0, 6.99, 6.78 30,Drexel,___________________________________ 16 14 0, 0.1, 6.9, 6.93, 7.50 31,Colorado,_________________________________ 11 21 0, -0.4, 7.3, 6.90, 7.15 32,Towson,___________________________________ 14 14 0, 0.0, 6.9, 6.90, 6.54 33,Villanova,________________________________ 19 12 0, 0.2, 6.6, 6.85, 6.61 34,West Chester,_____________________________ 12 22 0, -0.3, 7.1, 6.84, 6.87 35,Eastern Michigan,_________________________ 16 26 0, -0.2, 7.1, 6.83, 6.90 36,Duquesne,_________________________________ 17 13 0, 0.1, 6.7, 6.82, 6.43 37,Robert Morris Pennsylvania,_______________ 16 14 0, 0.0, 6.8, 6.79, 6.43 38,Pittsburgh,_______________________________ 14 17 0, -0.1, 6.9, 6.78, 7.09 39,Rochester College,________________________ 15 20 0, -0.2, 7.0, 6.77, 6.50 40,Indiana,__________________________________ 7 22 0, -0.5, 7.2, 6.76, 6.55 41,Oswego State,_____________________________ 18 11 0, 0.2, 6.5, 6.76, 6.47 42,Western Michigan,_________________________ 11 25 0, -0.4, 7.1, 6.64, 6.76 43,North Dakota State,_______________________ 12 15 0, -0.1, 6.7, 6.58, 6.55 44,Kent State,_______________________________ 7 28 0, -0.6, 7.1, 6.50, 6.41 45,Penn State Berks,_________________________ 14 16 0, -0.1, 6.6, 6.49, 6.20 46,Canisius,_________________________________ 20 25 0, -0.1, 6.6, 6.48, 6.68 47,Slippery Rock,____________________________ 11 16 0, -0.2, 6.6, 6.41, 6.76 48,Indiana Pennsylvania,_____________________ 8 21 0, -0.4, 6.8, 6.34, 6.64 49,Lehigh,___________________________________ 4 25 0, -0.7, 6.8, 6.12, 5.87 50,Binghamton,_______________________________ 8 13 0, -0.2, 6.4, 6.12, 6.14 51,Saint Bonaventure,________________________ 8 13 0, -0.3, 6.4, 6.10, 6.88 52,Rochester Inst of Tech,___________________ 9 18 0, -0.3, 6.4, 6.06, 5.42 53,Cortland State,___________________________ 7 17 0, -0.4, 6.4, 6.02, 6.26 54,Cornell,__________________________________ 7 14 0, -0.3, 6.3, 6.00, 6.18 55,Scranton,_________________________________ 4 19 0, -0.7, 6.6, 5.97, 5.88 56,Washington & Jefferson,___________________ 8 14 0, -0.3, 6.2, 5.86, 6.22 57,Ithaca,___________________________________ 7 19 0, -0.5, 6.3, 5.86, 5.41 The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Actually, there are two different rankings listed below. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 7. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Currently, teams with as few as 3 scores are ranked. The more games that go into a team's ranking, the more accurate their ranking will be. Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States High School National Rankings New England Prep Midget Minor AAA Midget Major AAA Men's NCAA D1 USHL NAHL ACHA College ClubUSHSHO.com High School Ice Hockey Forums
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