Scores that ratings are based upon. Scores through March 7, 2012. Previous Rankings New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting.
Maximum Goal Differential = 7 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below Division 1 RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,Penn State,_______________________________ 29 4 1, 3.6, 9.3, 12.81, 11.50 2,Lindenwood,_______________________________ 30 5 1, 2.1, 9.6, 11.69, 12.12 3,Arizona State,____________________________ 27 6 3, 2.4, 9.3, 11.69, 10.91 4,Delaware,_________________________________ 33 4 1, 2.7, 8.9, 11.52, 11.05 5,Minot State,______________________________ 27 7 1, 2.8, 8.5, 11.26, 12.01 6,Liberty,__________________________________ 23 10 3, 1.6, 9.1, 10.73, 11.01 7,Ohio,_____________________________________ 26 14 2, 1.4, 9.3, 10.64, 9.86 8,Oklahoma,_________________________________ 25 14 2, 1.1, 9.2, 10.36, 11.09 9,Adrian,___________________________________ 25 13 3, 2.0, 8.2, 10.25, 11.42 10,Iowa State,_______________________________ 27 11 5, 1.7, 8.3, 10.00, 8.31 11,Robert Morris Illinois,___________________ 23 9 3, 2.0, 7.9, 9.96, 11.41 12,Illinois,_________________________________ 16 17 1, 0.6, 9.0, 9.58, 10.15 13,Oakland,__________________________________ 24 16 3, 0.9, 8.6, 9.56, 11.99 14,Davenport,________________________________ 21 21 0, 0.3, 9.1, 9.40, 8.21 15,Canton,___________________________________ 29 2 3, 3.9, 5.2, 9.08, 8.39 16,Arizona,__________________________________ 12 19 3, 0.4, 8.6, 9.02, 9.74 17,Rhode Island,_____________________________ 21 21 1, 0.7, 8.3, 8.97, 11.31 18,Stony Brook,______________________________ 16 13 2, 0.5, 8.4, 8.91, 9.38 19,Central Oklahoma,_________________________ 14 24 2, -0.6, 9.2, 8.60, 8.25 20,West Virginia,____________________________ 25 15 1, 1.3, 7.2, 8.49, 9.41 21,West Chester,_____________________________ 19 13 0, 0.3, 7.9, 8.24, 7.37 22,Drexel,___________________________________ 24 12 0, 1.2, 6.1, 7.38, 8.36 23,Rutgers,__________________________________ 16 8 4, 1.3, 6.0, 7.33, 7.45 24,Pittsburgh,_______________________________ 21 11 2, 1.6, 5.7, 7.32, 8.28 25,Navy,_____________________________________ 23 8 3, 2.4, 4.8, 7.28, 6.26 26,Michigan-Dearborn,________________________ 14 20 0, -1.2, 8.2, 7.07, 5.98 27,Niagara,__________________________________ 18 10 2, 1.5, 5.3, 6.76, 5.64 28,Mercyhurst,_______________________________ 18 13 3, 0.3, 6.3, 6.67, 6.02 29,North Dakota State,_______________________ 14 15 1, 0.6, 5.8, 6.46, 7.29 30,Indiana,__________________________________ 9 19 3, -1.7, 8.1, 6.38, 4.21 31,Kent State,_______________________________ 15 23 2, -2.0, 8.2, 6.13, 6.26 32,Penn State Berks,_________________________ 16 7 1, 1.6, 4.3, 5.87, 5.69 33,John Carroll,_____________________________ 23 13 1, 0.8, 5.1, 5.87, 5.60 34,Robert Morris Pennsylvania,_______________ 12 23 0, -1.8, 7.6, 5.75, 5.95 35,Eastern Michigan,_________________________ 8 28 2, -2.6, 8.3, 5.70, 5.87 36,Indiana Pennsylvania,_____________________ 12 16 2, -0.1, 5.6, 5.43, 4.59 37,Western Michigan,_________________________ 6 28 2, -2.8, 8.2, 5.34, 7.86 38,Syracuse,_________________________________ 14 13 7, -0.1, 5.3, 5.19, 5.70 39,Lebanon Valley,___________________________ 10 17 4, -1.5, 6.6, 5.08, 5.94 40,Buffalo,__________________________________ 12 16 3, -0.3, 5.3, 5.05, 4.60 41,Duquesne,_________________________________ 11 19 1, -0.6, 5.5, 4.96, 5.02 42,Slippery Rock,____________________________ 11 15 2, -0.5, 5.4, 4.96, 3.19 43,Lehigh,___________________________________ 10 15 0, -0.8, 5.6, 4.80, 5.14 44,Cornell,__________________________________ 12 12 2, 0.1, 4.0, 4.12, 5.88 45,Scranton,_________________________________ 10 15 3, -1.2, 5.3, 4.09, 5.99 46,Youngstown State,_________________________ 7 21 1, -1.6, 5.5, 3.92, 3.79 47,Canisius,_________________________________ 18 19 1, 0.1, 3.8, 3.86, 4.25 48,Villanova,________________________________ 8 24 0, -2.1, 5.6, 3.53, 2.95 49,Cortland State,___________________________ 6 14 2, -1.0, 4.6, 3.51, 2.80 50,Oswego State,_____________________________ 11 16 1, -0.5, 3.9, 3.35, 2.88 51,Towson,___________________________________ 6 23 0, -2.8, 6.1, 3.33, 2.72 52,Saint Bonaventure,________________________ 8 13 1, -1.1, 4.0, 2.89, 2.43 53,Rochester Inst of Tech,___________________ 5 25 2, -2.3, 4.9, 2.61, 3.88 54,Ithaca,___________________________________ 10 14 2, -2.0, 4.0, 2.01, 0.25 55,Binghamton,_______________________________ 1 17 2, -3.3, 4.5, 1.19, 1.30 56,Washington & Jefferson,___________________ 2 25 0, -4.9, 6.1, 1.13, 3.64 57,Rochester,________________________________ 2 17 0, -3.6, 4.4, 0.73, 2.86 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) Division 1 RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,Lindenwood,_______________________________ 30 5 1, 0.7, 7.6, 8.29, 8.36 2,Penn State,_______________________________ 29 4 1, 0.7, 7.5, 8.22, 7.81 3,Delaware,_________________________________ 33 4 1, 0.8, 7.4, 8.19, 8.27 4,Arizona State,____________________________ 27 6 3, 0.6, 7.5, 8.05, 7.89 5,Minot State,______________________________ 27 7 1, 0.6, 7.4, 7.95, 8.19 6,Ohio,_____________________________________ 26 14 2, 0.3, 7.6, 7.85, 7.62 7,Liberty,__________________________________ 23 10 3, 0.4, 7.5, 7.83, 7.59 8,Oklahoma,_________________________________ 25 14 2, 0.3, 7.5, 7.78, 8.07 9,Iowa State,_______________________________ 27 11 5, 0.4, 7.4, 7.76, 7.42 10,Robert Morris Illinois,___________________ 23 9 3, 0.4, 7.2, 7.64, 7.54 11,Adrian,___________________________________ 25 13 3, 0.3, 7.3, 7.55, 7.90 12,Illinois,_________________________________ 16 17 1, -0.0, 7.5, 7.50, 7.65 13,Oakland,__________________________________ 24 16 3, 0.2, 7.3, 7.50, 8.39 14,Davenport,________________________________ 21 21 0, 0.0, 7.4, 7.44, 7.20 15,Stony Brook,______________________________ 16 13 2, 0.1, 7.3, 7.42, 7.83 16,West Chester,_____________________________ 19 13 0, 0.2, 7.2, 7.41, 7.23 17,Canton,___________________________________ 29 2 3, 0.8, 6.6, 7.38, 7.39 18,West Virginia,____________________________ 25 15 1, 0.2, 7.1, 7.30, 7.53 19,Rhode Island,_____________________________ 21 21 1, 0.0, 7.3, 7.30, 7.88 20,Central Oklahoma,_________________________ 14 24 2, -0.3, 7.5, 7.29, 7.14 21,Arizona,__________________________________ 12 19 3, -0.2, 7.4, 7.16, 7.18 22,Drexel,___________________________________ 24 12 0, 0.3, 6.8, 7.14, 7.08 23,Rutgers,__________________________________ 16 8 4, 0.3, 6.8, 7.08, 7.13 24,Kent State,_______________________________ 15 23 2, -0.2, 7.2, 7.04, 6.81 25,Michigan-Dearborn,________________________ 14 20 0, -0.2, 7.2, 7.03, 6.82 26,Pittsburgh,_______________________________ 21 11 2, 0.3, 6.7, 7.03, 6.97 27,Indiana,__________________________________ 9 19 3, -0.3, 7.3, 6.97, 6.59 28,Navy,_____________________________________ 23 8 3, 0.4, 6.5, 6.95, 6.54 29,Mercyhurst,_______________________________ 18 13 3, 0.1, 6.8, 6.95, 6.91 30,Niagara,__________________________________ 18 10 2, 0.3, 6.6, 6.84, 6.64 31,Robert Morris Pennsylvania,_______________ 12 23 0, -0.3, 7.2, 6.84, 6.75 32,North Dakota State,_______________________ 14 15 1, -0.0, 6.9, 6.82, 6.66 33,John Carroll,_____________________________ 23 13 1, 0.3, 6.5, 6.82, 6.84 34,Penn State Berks,_________________________ 16 7 1, 0.4, 6.4, 6.79, 6.78 35,Eastern Michigan,_________________________ 8 28 2, -0.5, 7.2, 6.68, 6.62 36,Lebanon Valley,___________________________ 10 17 4, -0.2, 6.9, 6.67, 7.12 37,Syracuse,_________________________________ 14 13 7, 0.0, 6.6, 6.64, 6.47 38,Western Michigan,_________________________ 6 28 2, -0.6, 7.2, 6.60, 7.17 39,Indiana Pennsylvania,_____________________ 12 16 2, -0.1, 6.7, 6.57, 6.10 40,Slippery Rock,____________________________ 11 15 2, -0.1, 6.7, 6.53, 6.39 41,Buffalo,__________________________________ 12 16 3, -0.1, 6.6, 6.48, 6.47 42,Lehigh,___________________________________ 10 15 0, -0.2, 6.7, 6.48, 6.64 43,Scranton,_________________________________ 10 15 3, -0.2, 6.6, 6.43, 6.82 44,Duquesne,_________________________________ 11 19 1, -0.3, 6.7, 6.42, 6.64 45,Cornell,__________________________________ 12 12 2, 0.0, 6.4, 6.37, 7.01 46,Canisius,_________________________________ 18 19 1, -0.0, 6.3, 6.25, 6.50 47,Ithaca,___________________________________ 10 14 2, -0.2, 6.4, 6.22, 5.77 48,Towson,___________________________________ 6 23 0, -0.6, 6.8, 6.20, 5.83 49,Youngstown State,_________________________ 7 21 1, -0.5, 6.7, 6.20, 6.39 50,Villanova,________________________________ 8 24 0, -0.5, 6.7, 6.19, 5.85 51,Oswego State,_____________________________ 11 16 1, -0.2, 6.3, 6.14, 5.52 52,Saint Bonaventure,________________________ 8 13 1, -0.2, 6.3, 6.11, 6.09 53,Cortland State,___________________________ 6 14 2, -0.4, 6.5, 6.10, 6.15 54,Washington & Jefferson,___________________ 2 25 0, -0.9, 6.8, 5.91, 6.21 55,Rochester Inst of Tech,___________________ 5 25 2, -0.6, 6.5, 5.91, 6.23 56,Binghamton,_______________________________ 1 17 2, -0.8, 6.5, 5.67, 5.84 57,Rochester,________________________________ 2 17 0, -0.8, 6.4, 5.59, 6.02 The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Games that go to shootouts for decision are considered ties for ratings purposes. Actually, there are two different rankings listed below. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 7. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Currently, teams with as few as 3 scores are ranked. The more games that go into a team's ranking, the more accurate their ranking will be. Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States High School National Rankings New England Prep Midget Minor AAA Midget Major AAA Men's NCAA D1 USHL NAHL ACHA College ClubUSHSHO.com High School Ice Hockey Forums
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