ACHA College Club Hockey Rankings

Scores that ratings are based upon. Scores through January 18, 2015. Previous Rankings New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting.

Maximum Goal Differential = 7 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,Arizona State,____________________________ 26 3 1, 2.5, 9.3, 11.77, 13.59 2,Central Oklahoma,_________________________ 24 4 1, 2.2, 8.9, 11.14, 9.86 3,Ohio,_____________________________________ 24 5 1, 2.7, 8.3, 11.01, 11.78 4,Lindenwood,_______________________________ 10 13 3, 0.2, 10.5, 10.67, 10.53 5,Minot State,______________________________ 22 8 1, 1.8, 8.8, 10.67, 12.83 6,Robert Morris Illinois,___________________ 22 4 3, 2.6, 7.9, 10.40, 10.67 7,Stony Brook,______________________________ 22 5 0, 2.3, 8.1, 10.32, 10.92 8,Oklahoma,_________________________________ 18 7 3, 1.1, 9.2, 10.31, 9.50 9,Iowa State,_______________________________ 13 13 3, 0.8, 9.5, 10.24, 9.82 10,Adrian,___________________________________ 23 4 1, 2.1, 7.9, 10.03, 9.42 11,Liberty,__________________________________ 15 10 4, 1.1, 8.8, 9.86, 9.01 12,Illinois,_________________________________ 15 14 2, 0.5, 9.0, 9.58, 9.48 13,Davenport,________________________________ 15 11 5, 0.7, 8.4, 9.04, 11.44 14,Rhode Island,_____________________________ 27 4 2, 2.0, 6.9, 8.89, 8.74 15,Michigan-Dearborn,________________________ 16 14 3, 0.8, 7.8, 8.57, 8.03 16,Colorado,_________________________________ 10 14 0, 0.4, 8.0, 8.44, 8.29 17,Niagara,__________________________________ 15 7 0, 1.9, 6.4, 8.31, 7.25 18,Buffalo,__________________________________ 21 5 1, 2.0, 6.2, 8.28, 7.62 19,Delaware,_________________________________ 10 10 3, 0.5, 7.8, 8.25, 6.33 20,Arizona,__________________________________ 9 18 2, -0.8, 8.9, 8.18, 7.86 21,Colorado State,___________________________ 13 16 1, -0.4, 8.3, 7.86, 8.23 22,Syracuse,_________________________________ 17 9 1, 1.6, 6.3, 7.83, 7.70 23,Oakland,__________________________________ 13 16 3, 0.2, 7.6, 7.78, 7.55 24,Rochester College,________________________ 9 14 6, -0.2, 7.6, 7.35, 7.59 25,Navy,_____________________________________ 12 9 3, 0.8, 6.6, 7.32, 8.47 26,Mercyhurst,_______________________________ 18 11 3, 0.6, 6.3, 6.92, 6.59 27,Lebanon Valley,___________________________ 11 9 4, 0.2, 6.7, 6.91, 7.46 28,West Virginia,____________________________ 16 11 1, 0.0, 6.8, 6.81, 6.86 29,Western Michigan,_________________________ 11 17 6, -0.4, 7.2, 6.80, 5.26 30,Drexel,___________________________________ 13 11 1, 0.8, 5.9, 6.75, 8.86 31,Robert Morris Pennsylvania,_______________ 13 5 5, 0.7, 6.0, 6.65, 5.42 32,Kent State,_______________________________ 11 16 2, -0.9, 7.3, 6.40, 6.48 33,Rutgers,__________________________________ 4 16 0, -2.2, 8.2, 5.99, 6.22 34,Villanova,________________________________ 17 7 0, 1.7, 4.2, 5.86, 5.28 35,Pittsburgh,_______________________________ 9 11 5, -0.4, 6.1, 5.72, 5.74 36,Eastern Michigan,_________________________ 8 21 1, -1.8, 7.5, 5.71, 6.66 37,John Carroll,_____________________________ 12 15 2, -0.7, 6.4, 5.70, 5.84 38,Canisius,_________________________________ 10 14 2, 0.2, 5.5, 5.62, 4.69 39,Oswego State,_____________________________ 10 7 1, 0.9, 4.5, 5.34, 5.94 40,Towson,___________________________________ 10 9 2, 0.4, 4.8, 5.20, 6.17 41,West Chester,_____________________________ 4 20 1, -2.9, 8.0, 5.16, 6.20 42,Indiana Tech,_____________________________ 7 21 1, -2.0, 6.9, 4.95, 6.74 43,Duquesne,_________________________________ 4 13 4, -1.1, 5.9, 4.83, 4.30 44,Midland,__________________________________ 7 21 1, -2.2, 6.8, 4.57, 3.96 45,Penn State Berks,_________________________ 10 14 0, 0.2, 4.1, 4.29, 5.15 46,Indiana Pennsylvania,_____________________ 7 17 1, -1.7, 5.8, 4.03, 5.64 47,Lehigh,___________________________________ 8 12 0, -1.4, 5.0, 3.69, 2.98 48,Cortland State,___________________________ 10 6 0, 0.6, 2.8, 3.40, 2.94 49,Cornell,__________________________________ 6 9 0, -0.4, 3.0, 2.64, 2.91 50,Slippery Rock,____________________________ 6 17 1, -1.9, 4.1, 2.19, 2.32 51,Rochester Inst of Tech,___________________ 6 17 0, -2.3, 4.4, 2.05, 3.08 52,Saint Bonaventure,________________________ 2 10 0, -3.3, 3.5, 0.15, -0.88 53,Binghamton,_______________________________ 4 12 0, -3.2, 3.1, -0.12, -2.61 54,Ithaca,___________________________________ 3 15 0, -3.7, 3.4, -0.38, 1.20 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) Division 1 RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,Arizona State,____________________________ 26 3 1, 0.8, 7.5, 8.29, 8.70 2,Central Oklahoma,_________________________ 24 4 1, 0.7, 7.4, 8.12, 7.81 3,Stony Brook,______________________________ 22 5 0, 0.6, 7.3, 7.91, 8.01 4,Oklahoma,_________________________________ 18 7 3, 0.4, 7.5, 7.89, 7.96 5,Ohio,_____________________________________ 24 5 1, 0.6, 7.2, 7.88, 8.12 6,Minot State,______________________________ 22 8 1, 0.5, 7.4, 7.86, 8.47 7,Rhode Island,_____________________________ 27 4 2, 0.7, 7.0, 7.72, 7.89 8,Adrian,___________________________________ 23 4 1, 0.7, 7.0, 7.71, 7.52 9,Robert Morris Illinois,___________________ 22 4 3, 0.6, 7.1, 7.71, 7.63 10,Lindenwood,_______________________________ 10 13 3, -0.1, 7.8, 7.67, 7.81 11,Iowa State,_______________________________ 13 13 3, 0.0, 7.5, 7.50, 7.44 12,Liberty,__________________________________ 15 10 4, 0.1, 7.4, 7.47, 6.87 13,Buffalo,__________________________________ 21 5 1, 0.6, 6.9, 7.44, 7.49 14,Illinois,_________________________________ 15 14 2, 0.0, 7.4, 7.44, 7.13 15,Niagara,__________________________________ 15 7 0, 0.3, 7.0, 7.32, 6.85 16,Davenport,________________________________ 15 11 5, 0.1, 7.2, 7.29, 7.91 17,Delaware,_________________________________ 10 10 3, 0.0, 7.3, 7.26, 6.74 18,Syracuse,_________________________________ 17 9 1, 0.3, 6.9, 7.24, 7.02 19,Colorado State,___________________________ 13 16 1, -0.1, 7.3, 7.21, 7.13 20,Arizona,__________________________________ 9 18 2, -0.3, 7.4, 7.14, 7.00 21,Colorado,_________________________________ 10 14 0, -0.2, 7.3, 7.13, 7.08 22,Michigan-Dearborn,________________________ 16 14 3, 0.1, 7.1, 7.12, 6.79 23,Robert Morris Pennsylvania,_______________ 13 5 5, 0.3, 6.8, 7.10, 6.52 24,West Virginia,____________________________ 16 11 1, 0.1, 6.9, 7.10, 7.50 25,Lebanon Valley,___________________________ 11 9 4, 0.1, 7.0, 7.09, 7.08 26,Navy,_____________________________________ 12 9 3, 0.1, 6.9, 7.06, 7.53 27,Mercyhurst,_______________________________ 18 11 3, 0.2, 6.8, 7.06, 7.14 28,Drexel,___________________________________ 13 11 1, 0.1, 6.9, 6.94, 7.23 29,Oakland,__________________________________ 13 16 3, -0.1, 7.0, 6.89, 6.79 30,Villanova,________________________________ 17 7 0, 0.4, 6.5, 6.87, 6.78 31,Rochester College,________________________ 9 14 6, -0.2, 7.0, 6.84, 7.12 32,Rutgers,__________________________________ 4 16 0, -0.6, 7.4, 6.78, 6.75 33,Pittsburgh,_______________________________ 9 11 5, -0.1, 6.8, 6.76, 6.51 34,Kent State,_______________________________ 11 16 2, -0.2, 6.9, 6.74, 6.70 35,West Chester,_____________________________ 4 20 1, -0.6, 7.3, 6.70, 6.85 36,Oswego State,_____________________________ 10 7 1, 0.2, 6.5, 6.69, 7.10 37,John Carroll,_____________________________ 12 15 2, -0.2, 6.9, 6.69, 7.05 38,Western Michigan,_________________________ 11 17 6, -0.2, 6.8, 6.64, 6.40 39,Towson,___________________________________ 10 9 2, 0.0, 6.6, 6.62, 6.85 40,Canisius,_________________________________ 10 14 2, -0.2, 6.8, 6.60, 6.54 41,Eastern Michigan,_________________________ 8 21 1, -0.4, 6.9, 6.51, 6.81 42,Midland,__________________________________ 7 21 1, -0.5, 7.0, 6.50, 6.70 43,Cortland State,___________________________ 10 6 0, 0.3, 6.2, 6.45, 6.50 44,Lehigh,___________________________________ 8 12 0, -0.2, 6.6, 6.45, 6.41 45,Indiana Pennsylvania,_____________________ 7 17 1, -0.3, 6.8, 6.44, 6.49 46,Duquesne,_________________________________ 4 13 4, -0.4, 6.8, 6.39, 5.95 47,Indiana Tech,_____________________________ 7 21 1, -0.5, 6.9, 6.37, 6.83 48,Penn State Berks,_________________________ 10 14 0, -0.2, 6.4, 6.27, 6.31 49,Rochester Inst of Tech,___________________ 6 17 0, -0.4, 6.5, 6.11, 6.15 50,Cornell,__________________________________ 6 9 0, -0.2, 6.3, 6.05, 6.21 51,Slippery Rock,____________________________ 6 17 1, -0.5, 6.4, 5.93, 5.69 52,Binghamton,_______________________________ 4 12 0, -0.5, 6.2, 5.74, 5.14 53,Saint Bonaventure,________________________ 2 10 0, -0.7, 6.3, 5.63, 5.64 54,Ithaca,___________________________________ 3 15 0, -0.7, 6.3, 5.58, 5.72 The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Actually, there are two different rankings listed below. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 7. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Currently, teams with as few as 3 scores are ranked. The more games that go into a team's ranking, the more accurate their ranking will be. Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States  High School National Rankings  New England Prep  Midget Minor AAA  Midget Major AAA  Men's NCAA D1  USHL  NAHL  ACHA College Club

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