ACHA College Club Hockey Rankings

Scores that ratings are based upon. Scores through December 14, 2014. Previous Rankings New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting.

Maximum Goal Differential = 7 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below Division 1 RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,Arizona State,____________________________ 22 2 0, 2.6, 8.7, 11.35, 11.71 2,Central Oklahoma,_________________________ 20 2 1, 2.7, 8.6, 11.30, 10.79 3,Ohio,_____________________________________ 19 4 1, 3.0, 8.0, 10.91, 10.61 4,Lindenwood,_______________________________ 8 10 2, 0.3, 10.4, 10.75, 10.10 5,Adrian,___________________________________ 19 2 1, 2.3, 8.1, 10.45, 9.65 6,Robert Morris Illinois,___________________ 17 3 3, 2.4, 8.0, 10.39, 10.01 7,Stony Brook,______________________________ 17 3 0, 2.7, 7.7, 10.38, 8.90 8,Oklahoma,_________________________________ 13 7 2, 1.0, 9.2, 10.19, 9.79 9,Iowa State,_______________________________ 9 11 3, 0.5, 9.5, 10.00, 10.27 10,Minot State,______________________________ 18 8 1, 1.7, 8.3, 9.98, 10.00 11,Liberty,__________________________________ 13 6 4, 1.3, 8.6, 9.84, 9.18 12,Illinois,_________________________________ 13 8 2, 1.1, 8.6, 9.75, 10.20 13,Rhode Island,_____________________________ 19 3 2, 2.2, 7.0, 9.23, 8.80 14,Davenport,________________________________ 11 8 4, 0.7, 8.3, 8.97, 8.96 15,Delaware,_________________________________ 9 6 1, 1.2, 7.8, 8.94, 8.21 16,Niagara,__________________________________ 13 4 0, 2.3, 6.5, 8.81, 9.29 17,Michigan-Dearborn,________________________ 14 11 2, 0.9, 8.0, 8.80, 8.99 18,Buffalo,__________________________________ 16 4 0, 2.4, 6.1, 8.44, 9.69 19,Oakland,__________________________________ 10 11 3, 0.6, 7.8, 8.37, 8.89 20,Colorado,_________________________________ 8 11 0, 0.3, 7.9, 8.14, 8.60 21,Syracuse,_________________________________ 13 7 1, 1.5, 6.6, 8.08, 8.45 22,Arizona,__________________________________ 7 13 2, -0.7, 8.8, 8.03, 7.83 23,Rochester College,________________________ 5 12 6, -0.3, 7.9, 7.56, 7.57 24,Western Michigan,_________________________ 10 12 6, 0.0, 7.3, 7.33, 6.12 25,Mercyhurst,_______________________________ 15 9 3, 0.7, 6.5, 7.24, 7.82 26,Robert Morris Pennsylvania,_______________ 12 3 4, 1.1, 6.1, 7.14, 6.90 27,Navy,_____________________________________ 8 9 3, 0.3, 6.8, 7.10, 7.67 28,Colorado State,___________________________ 9 12 0, -1.1, 8.2, 7.07, 6.37 29,West Virginia,____________________________ 12 9 1, 0.0, 6.9, 6.91, 7.91 30,Lebanon Valley,___________________________ 10 7 2, 0.3, 6.4, 6.76, 6.94 31,Kent State,_______________________________ 10 11 1, -0.7, 7.4, 6.74, 6.45 32,Villanova,________________________________ 16 5 0, 2.0, 4.4, 6.37, 7.00 33,Drexel,___________________________________ 10 8 1, 0.4, 5.8, 6.27, 5.32 34,Pittsburgh,_______________________________ 9 9 3, -0.3, 6.3, 6.01, 5.38 35,John Carroll,_____________________________ 10 12 0, -0.5, 6.4, 5.99, 6.36 36,Rutgers,__________________________________ 3 13 0, -2.6, 8.5, 5.92, 5.26 37,Canisius,_________________________________ 10 13 1, 0.5, 5.5, 5.91, 4.93 38,Eastern Michigan,_________________________ 6 19 0, -2.1, 7.8, 5.77, 5.76 39,Oswego State,_____________________________ 8 7 1, 0.6, 5.0, 5.66, 5.74 40,Towson,___________________________________ 10 9 0, 0.4, 4.7, 5.11, 5.60 41,Duquesne,_________________________________ 4 11 3, -1.1, 6.2, 5.09, 4.88 42,Indiana Tech,_____________________________ 6 20 1, -2.1, 7.0, 4.89, 5.81 43,West Chester,_____________________________ 3 17 0, -3.2, 8.1, 4.89, 5.66 44,Penn State Berks,_________________________ 8 13 0, -0.2, 4.6, 4.46, 4.39 45,Midland,__________________________________ 5 17 1, -1.9, 6.1, 4.17, 4.85 46,Lehigh,___________________________________ 7 9 0, -0.8, 4.9, 4.08, 3.48 47,Indiana Pennsylvania,_____________________ 6 15 0, -2.0, 5.9, 3.89, 3.08 48,Cortland State,___________________________ 7 5 0, 0.9, 2.9, 3.84, 4.62 49,Cornell,__________________________________ 5 8 0, -0.2, 3.7, 3.42, 3.20 50,Rochester Inst of Tech,___________________ 6 15 0, -2.2, 4.5, 2.33, 3.60 51,Slippery Rock,____________________________ 6 15 1, -1.8, 4.1, 2.31, 2.55 52,Binghamton,_______________________________ 4 10 0, -3.2, 3.7, 0.58, -0.62 53,Saint Bonaventure,________________________ 1 9 0, -3.4, 3.8, 0.39, 0.11 54,Ithaca,___________________________________ 1 14 0, -5.3, 4.6, -0.72, 0.12 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) Division 1 RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,Arizona State,____________________________ 22 2 0, 0.8, 7.4, 8.25, 8.42 2,Central Oklahoma,_________________________ 20 2 1, 0.8, 7.4, 8.14, 7.58 3,Stony Brook,______________________________ 17 3 0, 0.7, 7.3, 7.97, 7.78 4,Adrian,___________________________________ 19 2 1, 0.8, 7.1, 7.85, 7.84 5,Ohio,_____________________________________ 19 4 1, 0.6, 7.2, 7.82, 7.66 6,Oklahoma,_________________________________ 13 7 2, 0.3, 7.5, 7.77, 7.89 7,Rhode Island,_____________________________ 19 3 2, 0.7, 7.1, 7.76, 7.66 8,Robert Morris Illinois,___________________ 17 3 3, 0.6, 7.1, 7.72, 7.75 9,Minot State,______________________________ 18 8 1, 0.4, 7.3, 7.67, 7.79 10,Lindenwood,_______________________________ 8 10 2, -0.1, 7.8, 7.66, 7.39 11,Liberty,__________________________________ 13 6 4, 0.2, 7.3, 7.56, 7.37 12,Illinois,_________________________________ 13 8 2, 0.2, 7.3, 7.53, 7.49 13,Niagara,__________________________________ 13 4 0, 0.5, 7.0, 7.48, 7.82 14,Delaware,_________________________________ 9 6 1, 0.2, 7.3, 7.46, 7.39 15,Buffalo,__________________________________ 16 4 0, 0.6, 6.9, 7.46, 7.72 16,Iowa State,_______________________________ 9 11 3, -0.1, 7.5, 7.43, 7.76 17,Davenport,________________________________ 11 8 4, 0.1, 7.2, 7.29, 7.11 18,Syracuse,_________________________________ 13 7 1, 0.3, 7.0, 7.28, 7.76 19,Robert Morris Pennsylvania,_______________ 12 3 4, 0.5, 6.8, 7.24, 7.03 20,Michigan-Dearborn,________________________ 14 11 2, 0.1, 7.1, 7.22, 7.37 21,Arizona,__________________________________ 7 13 2, -0.3, 7.4, 7.17, 7.23 22,Lebanon Valley,___________________________ 10 7 2, 0.2, 7.0, 7.12, 6.96 23,Mercyhurst,_______________________________ 15 9 3, 0.2, 6.9, 7.09, 7.61 24,West Virginia,____________________________ 12 9 1, 0.1, 7.0, 7.08, 7.03 25,Colorado State,___________________________ 9 12 0, -0.2, 7.3, 7.07, 6.34 26,Colorado,_________________________________ 8 11 0, -0.2, 7.2, 7.05, 6.86 27,Oakland,__________________________________ 10 11 3, -0.0, 7.1, 7.01, 7.39 28,Navy,_____________________________________ 8 9 3, -0.1, 7.0, 6.99, 7.03 29,Villanova,________________________________ 16 5 0, 0.5, 6.5, 6.97, 7.11 30,Drexel,___________________________________ 10 8 1, 0.1, 6.8, 6.93, 6.63 31,Kent State,_______________________________ 10 11 1, -0.0, 6.9, 6.90, 6.73 32,Pittsburgh,_______________________________ 9 9 3, 0.0, 6.9, 6.88, 6.85 33,Rutgers,__________________________________ 3 13 0, -0.6, 7.4, 6.82, 6.67 34,Rochester College,________________________ 5 12 6, -0.3, 7.1, 6.81, 6.95 35,Western Michigan,_________________________ 10 12 6, -0.1, 6.9, 6.78, 6.23 36,Oswego State,_____________________________ 8 7 1, 0.1, 6.6, 6.70, 6.65 37,West Chester,_____________________________ 3 17 0, -0.7, 7.4, 6.70, 6.69 38,John Carroll,_____________________________ 10 12 0, -0.2, 6.9, 6.69, 6.70 39,Towson,___________________________________ 10 9 0, 0.1, 6.6, 6.62, 6.84 40,Canisius,_________________________________ 10 13 1, -0.1, 6.7, 6.59, 6.46 41,Eastern Michigan,_________________________ 6 19 0, -0.5, 7.1, 6.53, 6.62 42,Lehigh,___________________________________ 7 9 0, -0.1, 6.6, 6.50, 6.25 43,Duquesne,_________________________________ 4 11 3, -0.4, 6.8, 6.48, 6.30 44,Indiana Pennsylvania,_____________________ 6 15 0, -0.4, 6.8, 6.46, 6.19 45,Cortland State,___________________________ 7 5 0, 0.2, 6.3, 6.43, 6.56 46,Indiana Tech,_____________________________ 6 20 1, -0.5, 6.9, 6.37, 6.53 47,Penn State Berks,_________________________ 8 13 0, -0.2, 6.6, 6.32, 6.41 48,Midland,__________________________________ 5 17 1, -0.5, 6.8, 6.25, 6.27 49,Rochester Inst of Tech,___________________ 6 15 0, -0.4, 6.5, 6.16, 6.48 50,Cornell,__________________________________ 5 8 0, -0.2, 6.3, 6.11, 5.94 51,Slippery Rock,____________________________ 6 15 1, -0.4, 6.4, 5.98, 5.83 52,Binghamton,_______________________________ 4 10 0, -0.4, 6.3, 5.89, 5.80 53,Ithaca,___________________________________ 1 14 0, -1.0, 6.6, 5.57, 5.45 54,Saint Bonaventure,________________________ 1 9 0, -0.8, 6.3, 5.51, 5.51 The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Actually, there are two different rankings listed below. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 7. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Currently, teams with as few as 3 scores are ranked. The more games that go into a team's ranking, the more accurate their ranking will be. Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States  High School National Rankings  New England Prep  Midget Minor AAA  Midget Major AAA  Men's NCAA D1  USHL  NAHL  ACHA College Club

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