ACHA College Club Hockey Rankings

Scores that ratings are based upon. Scores through February 14, 2016. Previous Rankings New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting.

Maximum Goal Differential = 7 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,Minot State,______________________________ 27 2 6, 3.1, 8.6, 11.63, 10.48 2,Lindenwood,_______________________________ 21 9 2, 1.5, 9.9, 11.44, 10.95 3,Central Oklahoma,_________________________ 23 8 3, 2.1, 9.3, 11.42, 11.10 4,Stony Brook,______________________________ 26 3 1, 2.8, 8.5, 11.31, 11.54 5,Ohio,_____________________________________ 26 8 3, 2.2, 8.5, 10.72, 10.67 6,Adrian,___________________________________ 22 6 1, 2.4, 8.3, 10.68, 10.66 7,Davenport,________________________________ 28 2 2, 2.4, 8.1, 10.57, 10.69 8,Iowa State,_______________________________ 22 8 6, 1.4, 8.9, 10.35, 10.98 9,Colorado,_________________________________ 21 7 6, 1.3, 9.0, 10.34, 9.55 10,Lebanon Valley,___________________________ 23 5 1, 2.4, 7.7, 10.04, 10.15 11,Robert Morris Illinois,___________________ 15 17 3, 0.4, 9.4, 9.81, 9.75 12,Oklahoma,_________________________________ 19 10 4, 0.8, 8.9, 9.77, 9.62 13,Illinois,_________________________________ 15 14 5, 0.3, 9.0, 9.34, 9.24 14,Michigan-Dearborn,________________________ 18 6 2, 1.8, 7.5, 9.27, 8.49 15,Arizona,__________________________________ 7 16 6, -0.9, 10.1, 9.15, 10.19 16,Delaware,_________________________________ 19 10 3, 0.8, 8.3, 9.07, 9.49 17,Western Michigan,_________________________ 17 11 5, 0.8, 7.8, 8.58, 9.28 18,Liberty,__________________________________ 11 16 2, -1.0, 9.4, 8.40, 7.45 19,Niagara,__________________________________ 21 7 3, 2.2, 5.9, 8.08, 7.99 20,Buffalo,__________________________________ 18 9 6, 1.6, 6.5, 8.06, 6.98 21,Colorado State,___________________________ 9 25 3, -1.3, 9.3, 8.00, 7.99 22,Indiana Tech,_____________________________ 18 13 5, 0.8, 7.1, 7.88, 7.67 23,Rutgers,__________________________________ 12 12 1, -0.1, 8.0, 7.87, 8.69 24,Rhode Island,_____________________________ 14 18 4, 0.2, 7.6, 7.79, 8.29 25,Arkansas,_________________________________ 13 17 3, -0.8, 8.6, 7.79, 7.76 26,Missouri State,___________________________ 16 21 2, -0.1, 7.9, 7.73, 5.72 27,Mercyhurst,_______________________________ 20 11 3, 1.4, 6.0, 7.45, 6.44 28,Rochester College,________________________ 12 17 1, -0.5, 7.8, 7.30, 5.79 29,Syracuse,_________________________________ 21 8 2, 0.6, 6.6, 7.27, 8.22 30,Midland,__________________________________ 14 15 5, 0.1, 7.1, 7.19, 7.40 31,Illinois State,___________________________ 10 24 4, -1.1, 8.2, 7.16, 6.06 32,Navy,_____________________________________ 15 16 4, 0.4, 6.7, 7.08, 8.18 33,Oakland,__________________________________ 8 18 4, -1.1, 8.2, 7.05, 7.86 34,Kent State,_______________________________ 13 11 7, 0.1, 6.9, 7.00, 8.17 35,Robert Morris Pennsylvania,_______________ 17 12 3, 0.8, 6.0, 6.79, 7.06 36,Alabama,__________________________________ 13 15 2, -0.1, 6.3, 6.24, 7.69 37,West Chester,_____________________________ 8 19 1, -1.7, 7.8, 6.13, 5.78 38,Pittsburgh,_______________________________ 14 14 1, 0.6, 5.5, 6.08, 6.39 39,Drexel,___________________________________ 14 15 1, 0.1, 6.0, 6.07, 5.89 40,Indiana Pennsylvania,_____________________ 15 12 0, 0.3, 5.3, 5.61, 5.68 41,Villanova,________________________________ 12 15 1, -0.1, 5.7, 5.57, 4.98 42,Towson,___________________________________ 13 10 3, -0.2, 5.3, 5.19, 2.78 43,West Virginia,____________________________ 12 21 1, -1.1, 5.9, 4.83, 4.32 44,Oswego State,_____________________________ 11 16 2, -0.0, 4.9, 4.82, 5.27 45,Canisius,_________________________________ 14 18 2, -0.4, 5.1, 4.72, 5.06 46,Cortland State,___________________________ 14 12 2, 0.5, 3.9, 4.36, 5.15 47,Lehigh,___________________________________ 14 12 0, 0.1, 4.2, 4.26, 4.52 48,Duquesne,_________________________________ 9 17 4, -1.2, 5.4, 4.22, 5.15 49,John Carroll,_____________________________ 11 25 0, -1.6, 5.8, 4.17, 4.45 50,Eastern Michigan,_________________________ 6 28 1, -3.6, 7.7, 4.10, 3.28 51,Penn State Berks,_________________________ 10 17 0, -1.3, 5.3, 3.99, 2.51 52,Slippery Rock,____________________________ 11 18 0, -0.8, 4.3, 3.49, 4.26 53,Temple,___________________________________ 6 24 2, -2.2, 5.7, 3.43, 2.10 54,Cornell,__________________________________ 11 6 0, 1.9, 1.5, 3.36, 2.45 55,Binghamton,_______________________________ 11 9 1, -0.1, 1.9, 1.76, 2.98 56,Rochester Inst of Tech,___________________ 5 25 0, -3.6, 4.4, 0.85, 0.61 57,Saint Bonaventure,________________________ 4 16 2, -3.0, 2.8, -0.18, -0.35 58,Ithaca,___________________________________ 1 16 3, -3.9, 2.5, -1.37, -2.59 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,Stony Brook,______________________________ 26 3 1, 0.8, 7.4, 8.15, 8.11 2,Davenport,________________________________ 28 2 2, 0.8, 7.3, 8.09, 8.55 3,Minot State,______________________________ 27 2 6, 0.7, 7.3, 8.06, 8.00 4,Lindenwood,_______________________________ 21 9 2, 0.4, 7.6, 8.02, 7.71 5,Central Oklahoma,_________________________ 23 8 3, 0.4, 7.5, 7.98, 7.91 6,Adrian,___________________________________ 22 6 1, 0.6, 7.3, 7.90, 7.93 7,Colorado,_________________________________ 21 7 6, 0.4, 7.4, 7.84, 7.61 8,Iowa State,_______________________________ 22 8 6, 0.4, 7.4, 7.81, 8.20 9,Ohio,_____________________________________ 26 8 3, 0.5, 7.3, 7.78, 7.88 10,Lebanon Valley,___________________________ 23 5 1, 0.6, 7.2, 7.78, 8.04 11,Oklahoma,_________________________________ 19 10 4, 0.3, 7.5, 7.73, 7.76 12,Michigan-Dearborn,________________________ 18 6 2, 0.5, 7.2, 7.64, 7.28 13,Delaware,_________________________________ 19 10 3, 0.3, 7.3, 7.60, 7.69 14,Robert Morris Illinois,___________________ 15 17 3, -0.1, 7.5, 7.49, 7.26 15,Western Michigan,_________________________ 17 11 5, 0.2, 7.3, 7.44, 7.63 16,Arizona,__________________________________ 7 16 6, -0.3, 7.7, 7.43, 7.38 17,Illinois,_________________________________ 15 14 5, 0.0, 7.4, 7.42, 7.28 18,Liberty,__________________________________ 11 16 2, -0.2, 7.6, 7.40, 7.37 19,Syracuse,_________________________________ 21 8 2, 0.4, 6.9, 7.28, 7.17 20,Rutgers,__________________________________ 12 12 1, 0.0, 7.3, 7.25, 7.53 21,Arkansas,_________________________________ 13 17 3, -0.1, 7.3, 7.20, 7.11 22,Indiana Tech,_____________________________ 18 13 5, 0.1, 7.0, 7.19, 7.32 23,Niagara,__________________________________ 21 7 3, 0.4, 6.7, 7.18, 7.26 24,Missouri State,___________________________ 16 21 2, -0.1, 7.3, 7.13, 6.81 25,Buffalo,__________________________________ 18 9 6, 0.3, 6.9, 7.12, 7.11 26,Colorado State,___________________________ 9 25 3, -0.4, 7.5, 7.11, 7.12 27,Kent State,_______________________________ 13 11 7, 0.1, 7.0, 7.06, 7.46 28,Rhode Island,_____________________________ 14 18 4, -0.1, 7.2, 7.06, 7.00 29,Rochester College,________________________ 12 17 1, -0.2, 7.2, 7.05, 6.56 30,Oakland,__________________________________ 8 18 4, -0.3, 7.4, 7.02, 7.20 31,Mercyhurst,_______________________________ 20 11 3, 0.3, 6.7, 6.99, 6.90 32,Navy,_____________________________________ 15 16 4, 0.0, 7.0, 6.97, 7.26 33,Midland,__________________________________ 14 15 5, -0.0, 6.9, 6.92, 6.75 34,Illinois State,___________________________ 10 24 4, -0.4, 7.3, 6.89, 6.60 35,Robert Morris Pennsylvania,_______________ 17 12 3, 0.2, 6.7, 6.87, 7.09 36,West Chester,_____________________________ 8 19 1, -0.4, 7.2, 6.83, 6.53 37,Alabama,__________________________________ 13 15 2, -0.1, 6.9, 6.81, 7.04 38,Drexel,___________________________________ 14 15 1, -0.0, 6.8, 6.75, 6.82 39,Indiana Pennsylvania,_____________________ 15 12 0, 0.1, 6.6, 6.71, 6.95 40,Towson,___________________________________ 13 10 3, 0.1, 6.6, 6.68, 6.31 41,Pittsburgh,_______________________________ 14 14 1, 0.0, 6.6, 6.60, 6.69 42,Villanova,________________________________ 12 15 1, -0.1, 6.7, 6.60, 6.45 43,Eastern Michigan,_________________________ 6 28 1, -0.6, 7.2, 6.58, 6.25 44,Lehigh,___________________________________ 14 12 0, 0.1, 6.4, 6.51, 6.22 45,West Virginia,____________________________ 12 21 1, -0.3, 6.7, 6.46, 6.40 46,Canisius,_________________________________ 14 18 2, -0.1, 6.5, 6.41, 6.59 47,Cortland State,___________________________ 14 12 2, 0.1, 6.3, 6.39, 6.27 48,John Carroll,_____________________________ 11 25 0, -0.4, 6.7, 6.33, 6.23 49,Penn State Berks,_________________________ 10 17 0, -0.3, 6.6, 6.32, 6.05 50,Oswego State,_____________________________ 11 16 2, -0.2, 6.5, 6.32, 6.46 51,Duquesne,_________________________________ 9 17 4, -0.3, 6.6, 6.32, 6.57 52,Cornell,__________________________________ 11 6 0, 0.3, 5.8, 6.13, 5.92 53,Slippery Rock,____________________________ 11 18 0, -0.2, 6.3, 6.09, 5.98 54,Temple,___________________________________ 6 24 2, -0.6, 6.6, 6.08, 5.85 55,Binghamton,_______________________________ 11 9 1, 0.1, 5.8, 5.90, 6.34 56,Rochester Inst of Tech,___________________ 5 25 0, -0.7, 6.4, 5.76, 5.71 57,Saint Bonaventure,________________________ 4 16 2, -0.5, 6.1, 5.51, 5.03 58,Ithaca,___________________________________ 1 16 3, -0.8, 6.0, 5.29, 5.11 The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Actually, there are two different rankings listed below. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 7. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Currently, teams with as few as 3 scores are ranked. The more games that go into a team's ranking, the more accurate their ranking will be. Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States  High School National Rankings  New England Prep  Midget Minor AAA  Midget Major AAA  Men's NCAA D1  USHL  NAHL  ACHA College Club

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