ACHA College Club Hockey Rankings

Scores that ratings are based upon. Scores through February 15, 2015. Previous Rankings New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting.

Maximum Goal Differential = 7 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,Arizona State,____________________________ 31 3 1, 2.8, 9.1, 11.88, 12.79 2,Central Oklahoma,_________________________ 28 5 2, 2.1, 9.0, 11.12, 11.31 3,Minot State,______________________________ 27 8 1, 2.4, 8.5, 10.81, 11.22 4,Ohio,_____________________________________ 25 9 2, 2.1, 8.7, 10.81, 10.17 5,Robert Morris Illinois,___________________ 27 4 4, 2.4, 8.4, 10.80, 12.11 6,Lindenwood,_______________________________ 11 15 4, 0.1, 10.5, 10.60, 10.13 7,Adrian,___________________________________ 27 4 1, 2.6, 7.9, 10.48, 12.17 8,Stony Brook,______________________________ 28 5 0, 2.6, 7.8, 10.41, 11.40 9,Oklahoma,_________________________________ 20 10 4, 0.9, 9.5, 10.31, 10.72 10,Iowa State,_______________________________ 14 15 4, 0.6, 9.7, 10.27, 10.22 11,Liberty,__________________________________ 20 11 4, 1.4, 8.6, 9.97, 10.47 12,Illinois,_________________________________ 17 16 4, 0.4, 9.3, 9.71, 9.63 13,Davenport,________________________________ 21 11 5, 1.3, 8.3, 9.59, 11.89 14,Rhode Island,_____________________________ 30 7 2, 1.7, 7.0, 8.78, 8.61 15,Colorado,_________________________________ 14 16 0, 0.5, 8.3, 8.72, 10.09 16,Niagara,__________________________________ 17 7 0, 2.1, 6.2, 8.29, 8.32 17,Michigan-Dearborn,________________________ 17 19 3, 0.4, 7.9, 8.24, 5.16 18,Delaware,_________________________________ 13 13 4, 0.5, 7.7, 8.16, 8.22 19,Oakland,__________________________________ 16 19 3, 0.2, 7.9, 8.09, 8.18 20,Buffalo,__________________________________ 25 6 1, 2.2, 5.9, 8.03, 6.22 21,Colorado State,___________________________ 17 20 1, -0.4, 8.3, 7.94, 7.78 22,Syracuse,_________________________________ 20 9 1, 1.9, 6.0, 7.92, 8.15 23,Arizona,__________________________________ 9 23 2, -1.2, 9.0, 7.79, 5.67 24,Navy,_____________________________________ 15 10 3, 0.9, 6.3, 7.28, 7.22 25,Lebanon Valley,___________________________ 15 11 4, 0.6, 6.7, 7.27, 8.77 26,Rochester College,________________________ 11 19 6, -0.4, 7.6, 7.14, 5.18 27,Western Michigan,_________________________ 14 19 6, -0.3, 7.3, 7.06, 7.66 28,Kent State,_______________________________ 15 18 2, -0.6, 7.6, 6.95, 8.92 29,Mercyhurst,_______________________________ 21 13 4, 0.5, 6.4, 6.91, 6.15 30,Drexel,___________________________________ 15 15 1, 0.6, 6.0, 6.65, 6.22 31,Robert Morris Pennsylvania,_______________ 15 6 5, 0.7, 5.9, 6.61, 5.83 32,West Virginia,____________________________ 17 15 2, -0.3, 6.8, 6.50, 4.56 33,Villanova,________________________________ 21 8 0, 1.6, 4.6, 6.25, 7.65 34,John Carroll,_____________________________ 15 18 2, -0.6, 6.4, 5.81, 6.57 35,Pittsburgh,_______________________________ 13 13 5, 0.1, 5.6, 5.67, 5.65 36,Eastern Michigan,_________________________ 9 27 1, -2.2, 7.9, 5.66, 4.83 37,Oswego State,_____________________________ 11 9 1, 0.7, 4.8, 5.54, 5.84 38,Canisius,_________________________________ 14 17 2, 0.4, 5.1, 5.50, 4.65 39,Towson,___________________________________ 12 12 2, 0.3, 5.1, 5.35, 5.68 40,Rutgers,__________________________________ 4 22 0, -2.9, 8.2, 5.34, 3.68 41,Duquesne,_________________________________ 6 14 5, -0.8, 5.9, 5.11, 6.08 42,Indiana Tech,_____________________________ 7 24 1, -2.0, 7.1, 5.03, 5.37 43,Midland,__________________________________ 9 25 1, -2.3, 7.2, 4.89, 5.69 44,West Chester,_____________________________ 5 24 3, -2.6, 7.4, 4.85, 3.25 45,Indiana Pennsylvania,_____________________ 8 20 2, -1.5, 5.8, 4.31, 4.95 46,Penn State Berks,_________________________ 10 17 1, -0.2, 4.3, 4.14, 3.26 47,Lehigh,___________________________________ 11 14 0, -1.2, 5.0, 3.77, 3.83 48,Cortland State,___________________________ 14 7 0, 1.1, 2.6, 3.73, 4.49 49,Slippery Rock,____________________________ 8 20 1, -1.9, 4.5, 2.59, 3.87 50,Rochester Inst of Tech,___________________ 10 19 0, -1.6, 3.8, 2.29, 3.59 51,Cornell,__________________________________ 8 12 0, -0.6, 2.8, 2.29, 1.08 52,Saint Bonaventure,________________________ 3 16 0, -3.8, 3.9, 0.08, -0.43 53,Ithaca,___________________________________ 4 20 0, -3.3, 3.4, 0.05, 1.50 54,Binghamton,_______________________________ 5 15 0, -3.3, 3.1, -0.17, -0.07 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) Division 1 RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,Arizona State,____________________________ 31 3 1, 0.8, 7.5, 8.25, 8.17 2,Central Oklahoma,_________________________ 28 5 2, 0.7, 7.4, 8.10, 8.35 3,Stony Brook,______________________________ 28 5 0, 0.7, 7.2, 7.90, 8.01 4,Minot State,______________________________ 27 8 1, 0.5, 7.3, 7.87, 7.81 5,Robert Morris Illinois,___________________ 27 4 4, 0.7, 7.2, 7.85, 8.42 6,Oklahoma,_________________________________ 20 10 4, 0.3, 7.6, 7.84, 7.85 7,Ohio,_____________________________________ 25 9 2, 0.4, 7.3, 7.77, 7.31 8,Adrian,___________________________________ 27 4 1, 0.7, 7.0, 7.76, 7.76 9,Lindenwood,_______________________________ 11 15 4, -0.1, 7.8, 7.64, 7.62 10,Rhode Island,_____________________________ 30 7 2, 0.6, 7.0, 7.62, 7.40 11,Iowa State,_______________________________ 14 15 4, -0.0, 7.6, 7.52, 7.69 12,Liberty,__________________________________ 20 11 4, 0.2, 7.3, 7.50, 7.62 13,Illinois,_________________________________ 17 16 4, 0.0, 7.5, 7.50, 7.53 14,Davenport,________________________________ 21 11 5, 0.3, 7.1, 7.42, 7.79 15,Buffalo,__________________________________ 25 6 1, 0.6, 6.8, 7.38, 6.98 16,Niagara,__________________________________ 17 7 0, 0.4, 6.9, 7.30, 7.30 17,Colorado,_________________________________ 14 16 0, -0.1, 7.4, 7.28, 7.79 18,Syracuse,_________________________________ 20 9 1, 0.4, 6.9, 7.22, 7.01 19,Colorado State,___________________________ 17 20 1, -0.1, 7.3, 7.19, 7.18 20,Delaware,_________________________________ 13 13 4, 0.0, 7.2, 7.19, 7.41 21,Lebanon Valley,___________________________ 15 11 4, 0.1, 7.0, 7.10, 7.31 22,Robert Morris Pennsylvania,_______________ 15 6 5, 0.3, 6.7, 7.08, 6.94 23,Navy,_____________________________________ 15 10 3, 0.2, 6.9, 7.07, 7.24 24,Mercyhurst,_______________________________ 21 13 4, 0.2, 6.9, 7.06, 6.86 25,Arizona,__________________________________ 9 23 2, -0.4, 7.5, 7.05, 6.63 26,Michigan-Dearborn,________________________ 17 19 3, -0.1, 7.1, 7.04, 6.27 27,Villanova,________________________________ 21 8 0, 0.4, 6.6, 7.03, 7.58 28,Oakland,__________________________________ 16 19 3, -0.1, 7.1, 6.98, 6.99 29,West Virginia,____________________________ 17 15 2, 0.0, 6.9, 6.97, 6.31 30,Kent State,_______________________________ 15 18 2, -0.1, 7.0, 6.90, 7.39 31,Drexel,___________________________________ 15 15 1, 0.0, 6.8, 6.85, 6.75 32,Rochester College,________________________ 11 19 6, -0.2, 7.0, 6.81, 6.28 33,Western Michigan,_________________________ 14 19 6, -0.1, 6.9, 6.77, 7.21 34,Pittsburgh,_______________________________ 13 13 5, 0.0, 6.7, 6.73, 6.72 35,John Carroll,_____________________________ 15 18 2, -0.2, 6.8, 6.70, 6.94 36,Oswego State,_____________________________ 11 9 1, 0.1, 6.6, 6.70, 6.73 37,Rutgers,__________________________________ 4 22 0, -0.7, 7.3, 6.63, 6.45 38,Midland,__________________________________ 9 25 1, -0.5, 7.1, 6.63, 6.90 39,Towson,___________________________________ 12 12 2, 0.0, 6.6, 6.59, 6.54 40,Canisius,_________________________________ 14 17 2, -0.1, 6.7, 6.59, 6.25 41,Eastern Michigan,_________________________ 9 27 1, -0.5, 7.0, 6.55, 6.73 42,West Chester,_____________________________ 5 24 3, -0.6, 7.1, 6.55, 6.08 43,Cortland State,___________________________ 14 7 0, 0.3, 6.2, 6.51, 6.67 44,Lehigh,___________________________________ 11 14 0, -0.1, 6.6, 6.50, 6.71 45,Duquesne,_________________________________ 6 14 5, -0.3, 6.8, 6.48, 6.80 46,Indiana Pennsylvania,_____________________ 8 20 2, -0.4, 6.8, 6.42, 6.19 47,Indiana Tech,_____________________________ 7 24 1, -0.5, 6.9, 6.40, 6.16 48,Penn State Berks,_________________________ 10 17 1, -0.3, 6.5, 6.25, 5.97 49,Rochester Inst of Tech,___________________ 10 19 0, -0.3, 6.4, 6.17, 6.52 50,Slippery Rock,____________________________ 8 20 1, -0.4, 6.5, 6.05, 6.53 51,Cornell,__________________________________ 8 12 0, -0.2, 6.2, 6.04, 5.86 52,Binghamton,_______________________________ 5 15 0, -0.5, 6.2, 5.76, 5.64 53,Saint Bonaventure,________________________ 3 16 0, -0.7, 6.4, 5.71, 5.76 54,Ithaca,___________________________________ 4 20 0, -0.7, 6.3, 5.61, 5.79 The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Actually, there are two different rankings listed below. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 7. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Currently, teams with as few as 3 scores are ranked. The more games that go into a team's ranking, the more accurate their ranking will be. Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States  High School National Rankings  New England Prep  Midget Minor AAA  Midget Major AAA  Men's NCAA D1  USHL  NAHL  ACHA College Club

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