Scores (sorted by team) through February 6, 2010 courtesy of USCHO.com . Previous Rankings New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting. More scores give better rankings, Minimum 3 Scores vs. D1 Competition to be Ranked Maximum Goal Differential = 4 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Wisconsin,_________________________ 16 7 4, 1.2, 7.8, 9.03, 8.36 2,Miami,_____________________________ 20 4 6, 1.4, 7.6, 9.02, 10.01 3,North Dakota,______________________ 13 10 5, 0.6, 7.7, 8.35, 6.56 4,Colorado College,__________________ 17 10 3, 0.7, 7.6, 8.33, 7.77 5,St Cloud State,____________________ 18 8 4, 0.7, 7.6, 8.31, 8.84 6,Bemidji State,_____________________ 18 6 2, 1.3, 7.0, 8.29, 8.43 7,Denver,____________________________ 18 6 4, 0.6, 7.7, 8.28, 8.81 8,Boston College,____________________ 15 8 2, 1.0, 7.2, 8.14, 8.58 9,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 18 11 1, 0.5, 7.6, 8.09, 7.63 10,Michigan,__________________________ 16 13 1, 0.6, 7.5, 8.05, 7.55 11,Michigan State,____________________ 17 10 5, 0.5, 7.4, 7.92, 6.91 12,Maine,_____________________________ 14 9 3, 0.5, 7.4, 7.87, 8.58 13,Ferris State,______________________ 17 9 4, 0.7, 7.2, 7.83, 6.60 14,Minnesota,_________________________ 13 13 2, 0.1, 7.7, 7.77, 8.15 15,Cornell,___________________________ 13 6 3, 0.9, 6.9, 7.74, 7.04 16,Yale,______________________________ 14 6 3, 1.0, 6.7, 7.73, 6.71 17,New Hampshire,_____________________ 13 10 4, 0.1, 7.6, 7.66, 7.21 18,Mass-Lowell,_______________________ 14 12 2, 0.6, 7.1, 7.66, 7.10 19,Northern Michigan,_________________ 12 10 8, 0.2, 7.4, 7.59, 8.22 20,Vermont,___________________________ 13 9 4, 0.2, 7.4, 7.58, 8.00 21,Alaska,____________________________ 11 9 8, 0.1, 7.4, 7.55, 7.41 22,Minnesota State,___________________ 12 14 2, 0.0, 7.5, 7.54, 6.47 23,Union,_____________________________ 15 7 6, 0.9, 6.7, 7.52, 7.03 24,Notre Dame,________________________ 12 13 7, -0.0, 7.4, 7.40, 5.61 25,Ohio State,________________________ 11 14 3, -0.3, 7.6, 7.38, 8.26 26,Massachusetts,_____________________ 16 11 0, 0.1, 7.3, 7.38, 6.21 27,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 14 12 6, 0.1, 7.3, 7.36, 8.23 28,Boston University,_________________ 11 11 3, -0.1, 7.4, 7.31, 8.38 29,Lake Superior,_____________________ 14 11 5, -0.0, 7.2, 7.21, 6.24 30,St Lawrence,_______________________ 14 10 5, 0.3, 6.8, 7.11, 7.32 31,Northeastern,______________________ 12 12 1, -0.2, 7.3, 7.07, 7.60 32,Western Michigan,__________________ 8 15 5, -0.5, 7.5, 7.05, 8.18 33,Rensselaer,________________________ 15 12 3, 0.3, 6.7, 7.02, 7.30 34,Merrimack,_________________________ 10 15 0, -0.3, 7.3, 6.99, 7.10 35,Quinnipiac,________________________ 14 12 2, 0.3, 6.6, 6.94, 5.75 36,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 10 16 2, -1.0, 7.9, 6.89, 7.10 37,Niagara,___________________________ 7 15 4, -0.3, 7.1, 6.81, 7.04 38,Robert Morris,_____________________ 8 14 5, -0.7, 7.3, 6.59, 6.51 39,Colgate,___________________________ 11 11 5, -0.1, 6.7, 6.57, 7.09 40,Providence,________________________ 9 16 2, -0.8, 7.2, 6.44, 5.33 41,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 5 22 1, -1.5, 7.9, 6.41, 8.03 42,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 7 13 2, -0.6, 7.0, 6.37, 6.29 43,RIT,_______________________________ 16 11 1, 0.8, 5.5, 6.28, 6.88 44,Princeton,_________________________ 10 11 2, -0.6, 6.8, 6.16, 7.45 45,Harvard,___________________________ 6 13 3, -0.8, 6.9, 6.12, 5.98 46,Sacred Heart,______________________ 14 10 4, 0.3, 5.7, 6.04, 5.70 47,Bowling Green,_____________________ 4 19 4, -1.4, 7.4, 6.04, 6.66 48,Brown,_____________________________ 7 13 3, -0.7, 6.6, 5.87, 6.22 49,Dartmouth,_________________________ 6 16 1, -0.9, 6.7, 5.79, 6.65 50,Mercyhurst,________________________ 12 16 2, 0.0, 5.8, 5.79, 5.61 51,Canisius,__________________________ 13 11 4, 0.2, 5.5, 5.72, 5.74 52,Clarkson,__________________________ 5 20 3, -1.4, 7.0, 5.65, 4.54 53,Army,______________________________ 10 13 5, -0.2, 5.8, 5.58, 5.44 54,Air Force,_________________________ 12 12 6, -0.1, 5.7, 5.55, 5.76 55,Bentley,___________________________ 11 14 3, -0.6, 5.8, 5.19, 3.84 56,Holy Cross,________________________ 7 15 5, -0.7, 5.7, 5.03, 5.04 57,Connecticut,_______________________ 4 22 3, -1.9, 5.9, 4.02, 3.74 58,American Int'l,____________________ 5 19 2, -1.7, 5.7, 3.94, 4.20 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Miami,_____________________________ 20 4 6, 0.5, 7.2, 7.74, 8.08 2,Denver,____________________________ 18 6 4, 0.4, 7.3, 7.70, 7.68 3,Wisconsin,_________________________ 16 7 4, 0.3, 7.3, 7.65, 7.91 4,St Cloud State,____________________ 18 8 4, 0.3, 7.2, 7.58, 7.70 5,Colorado College,__________________ 17 10 3, 0.2, 7.3, 7.50, 7.24 6,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 18 11 1, 0.2, 7.2, 7.45, 7.04 7,Bemidji State,_____________________ 18 6 2, 0.5, 6.9, 7.41, 7.66 8,North Dakota,______________________ 13 10 5, 0.1, 7.3, 7.40, 6.84 9,Boston College,____________________ 15 8 2, 0.3, 7.1, 7.40, 7.22 10,Maine,_____________________________ 14 9 3, 0.2, 7.2, 7.39, 7.65 11,Vermont,___________________________ 13 9 4, 0.2, 7.2, 7.35, 7.36 12,Michigan State,____________________ 17 10 5, 0.2, 7.1, 7.35, 6.81 13,New Hampshire,_____________________ 13 10 4, 0.1, 7.2, 7.33, 6.97 14,Ferris State,______________________ 17 9 4, 0.3, 7.0, 7.31, 6.99 15,Massachusetts,_____________________ 16 11 0, 0.2, 7.1, 7.30, 7.03 16,Cornell,___________________________ 13 6 3, 0.3, 6.9, 7.26, 7.13 17,Michigan,__________________________ 16 13 1, 0.1, 7.2, 7.26, 7.05 18,Minnesota,_________________________ 13 13 2, 0.0, 7.3, 7.25, 7.16 19,Yale,______________________________ 14 6 3, 0.3, 6.9, 7.24, 7.06 20,Northern Michigan,_________________ 12 10 8, 0.1, 7.2, 7.22, 7.44 21,Alaska,____________________________ 11 9 8, 0.1, 7.1, 7.21, 7.17 22,Boston University,_________________ 11 11 3, 0.0, 7.2, 7.18, 7.86 23,Union,_____________________________ 15 7 6, 0.3, 6.9, 7.18, 6.75 24,Lake Superior,_____________________ 14 11 5, 0.1, 7.1, 7.18, 6.97 25,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 14 12 6, 0.1, 7.1, 7.17, 7.54 26,Mass-Lowell,_______________________ 14 12 2, 0.1, 7.1, 7.15, 6.92 27,Northeastern,______________________ 12 12 1, 0.0, 7.1, 7.14, 7.30 28,Minnesota State,___________________ 12 14 2, -0.1, 7.2, 7.13, 6.56 29,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 10 16 2, -0.2, 7.3, 7.13, 7.43 30,Ohio State,________________________ 11 14 3, -0.1, 7.2, 7.12, 7.46 31,Notre Dame,________________________ 12 13 7, -0.0, 7.1, 7.11, 6.67 32,St Lawrence,_______________________ 14 10 5, 0.1, 6.9, 7.02, 7.11 33,Rensselaer,________________________ 15 12 3, 0.1, 6.9, 7.01, 6.99 34,Merrimack,_________________________ 10 15 0, -0.2, 7.1, 6.94, 7.36 35,Quinnipiac,________________________ 14 12 2, 0.1, 6.9, 6.93, 6.40 36,Western Michigan,__________________ 8 15 5, -0.3, 7.2, 6.91, 7.06 37,Providence,________________________ 9 16 2, -0.3, 7.1, 6.86, 6.47 38,Robert Morris,_____________________ 8 14 5, -0.2, 7.1, 6.85, 6.85 39,Colgate,___________________________ 11 11 5, 0.0, 6.8, 6.85, 6.82 40,Princeton,_________________________ 10 11 2, -0.0, 6.9, 6.85, 7.23 41,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 5 22 1, -0.6, 7.4, 6.75, 7.06 42,Niagara,___________________________ 7 15 4, -0.3, 7.0, 6.71, 6.61 43,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 7 13 2, -0.3, 6.9, 6.66, 6.72 44,Sacred Heart,______________________ 14 10 4, 0.1, 6.5, 6.65, 6.82 45,Harvard,___________________________ 6 13 3, -0.3, 6.9, 6.63, 6.62 46,RIT,_______________________________ 16 11 1, 0.2, 6.4, 6.61, 6.63 47,Brown,_____________________________ 7 13 3, -0.3, 6.9, 6.59, 6.94 48,Bowling Green,_____________________ 4 19 4, -0.6, 7.1, 6.58, 6.90 49,Canisius,__________________________ 13 11 4, 0.1, 6.5, 6.55, 6.53 50,Air Force,_________________________ 12 12 6, 0.0, 6.5, 6.50, 6.46 51,Clarkson,__________________________ 5 20 3, -0.5, 7.0, 6.46, 5.98 52,Dartmouth,_________________________ 6 16 1, -0.4, 6.9, 6.45, 6.96 53,Bentley,___________________________ 11 14 3, -0.1, 6.5, 6.44, 5.71 54,Army,______________________________ 10 13 5, -0.1, 6.5, 6.44, 6.28 55,Mercyhurst,________________________ 12 16 2, -0.1, 6.6, 6.43, 6.35 56,Holy Cross,________________________ 7 15 5, -0.3, 6.5, 6.22, 6.16 57,Connecticut,_______________________ 4 22 3, -0.6, 6.6, 5.96, 5.65 58,American Int'l,____________________ 5 19 2, -0.5, 6.5, 5.95, 6.35 Link to the 2007-2008 Final Rankings . The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Games that go to shootouts for decision are considered ties for ratings purposes. Actually, there are two different rankings listed. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 4. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). This was done because the NCAA has indicated that it does not want to consider goal differential in the selection process. Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Note that the current spread between #1 and #58 is about 1.7 . Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States High School National Rankings New England Prep Midget Minor AAA Midget Major AAA Men's NCAA D1 USHL NAHL ACHA College Club USHSHO.com High School Ice Hockey Forums
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