Men's NCAA Division 1 College Hockey Rankings

Scores (sorted by team) through March 22, 2015 courtesy of USCHO.com . Previous Rankings  New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting. Maximum Goal Differential = 4 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Minnesota State,___________________ 29 7 3, 1.6, 7.2, 8.80, 10.19 2,Boston University,_________________ 25 7 5, 1.5, 7.2, 8.68, 10.74 3,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 29 9 2, 1.4, 7.2, 8.53, 8.25 4,Miami,_____________________________ 25 13 1, 0.8, 7.6, 8.37, 9.37 5,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 20 15 3, 0.4, 8.0, 8.34, 6.90 6,Minnesota,_________________________ 23 12 3, 1.0, 7.3, 8.31, 9.15 7,Denver,____________________________ 23 13 2, 0.7, 7.6, 8.27, 9.07 8,North Dakota,______________________ 27 9 3, 0.9, 7.3, 8.20, 6.62 9,St Cloud State,____________________ 19 18 1, 0.2, 7.9, 8.12, 9.37 10,Harvard,___________________________ 21 12 3, 0.8, 7.2, 8.07, 8.89 11,Yale,______________________________ 18 9 5, 1.0, 7.0, 8.07, 8.57 12,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 18 12 6, 0.4, 7.6, 8.00, 7.19 13,Massachusetts-Lowell,______________ 21 12 6, 0.7, 7.3, 7.94, 8.61 14,Boston College,____________________ 21 13 3, 0.5, 7.4, 7.89, 7.27 15,St Lawrence,_______________________ 20 14 3, 0.9, 7.0, 7.88, 7.07 16,Michigan,__________________________ 22 15 0, 0.8, 7.1, 7.86, 8.36 17,Providence,________________________ 22 13 2, 0.7, 7.1, 7.84, 8.28 18,Bemidji State,_____________________ 16 17 5, 0.3, 7.5, 7.80, 7.01 19,Bowling Green,_____________________ 23 11 5, 0.6, 7.1, 7.75, 8.01 20,Colgate,___________________________ 22 12 4, 0.6, 7.1, 7.64, 8.10 21,New Hampshire,_____________________ 19 19 2, 0.3, 7.3, 7.63, 7.71 22,Quinnipiac,________________________ 23 11 4, 0.5, 7.1, 7.62, 6.96 23,Vermont,___________________________ 22 15 4, 0.3, 7.3, 7.61, 7.47 24,Western Michigan,__________________ 14 18 5, -0.2, 7.7, 7.49, 7.56 25,Union,_____________________________ 19 18 2, 0.4, 7.1, 7.46, 8.17 26,Northeastern,______________________ 16 16 4, -0.1, 7.5, 7.33, 6.77 27,Alaska,____________________________ 19 13 2, 0.3, 7.0, 7.33, 8.09 28,Dartmouth,_________________________ 17 12 4, 0.3, 7.0, 7.32, 7.13 29,Michigan State,____________________ 17 16 2, 0.1, 7.1, 7.26, 7.40 30,Notre Dame,________________________ 18 19 5, 0.1, 7.1, 7.25, 7.64 31,Ferris State,______________________ 18 20 2, -0.1, 7.2, 7.16, 8.38 32,Penn State,________________________ 18 15 4, 0.2, 7.0, 7.14, 6.43 33,Cornell,___________________________ 11 14 6, -0.3, 7.3, 7.00, 5.47 34,Merrimack,_________________________ 16 18 4, -0.3, 7.2, 6.90, 6.13 35,Northern Michigan,_________________ 14 18 6, -0.4, 7.2, 6.82, 5.06 36,Ohio State,________________________ 14 19 3, -0.5, 7.3, 6.79, 7.84 37,Maine,_____________________________ 14 22 3, -0.5, 7.2, 6.75, 6.30 38,Clarkson,__________________________ 12 20 5, -0.2, 7.0, 6.72, 6.36 39,Robert Morris,_____________________ 24 8 5, 1.1, 5.5, 6.65, 5.51 40,RIT,_______________________________ 19 14 5, 0.6, 5.8, 6.46, 7.84 41,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 8 22 4, -0.8, 7.2, 6.40, 7.39 42,Connecticut,_______________________ 10 19 7, -0.9, 7.2, 6.35, 5.74 43,Colorado College,__________________ 6 26 3, -1.6, 7.7, 6.18, 7.38 44,Massachusetts,_____________________ 11 23 2, -1.1, 7.3, 6.17, 5.58 45,Rensselaer,________________________ 12 26 3, -1.2, 7.3, 6.08, 5.99 46,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 8 26 4, -1.3, 7.3, 5.94, 5.98 47,Canisius,__________________________ 18 12 7, 0.3, 5.6, 5.92, 6.04 48,Brown,_____________________________ 8 20 3, -1.3, 7.2, 5.90, 6.28 49,Bentley,___________________________ 17 15 5, 0.2, 5.7, 5.86, 4.84 50,Lake Superior,_____________________ 8 28 2, -1.7, 7.4, 5.74, 5.95 51,Wisconsin,_________________________ 4 26 5, -1.8, 7.6, 5.72, 4.79 52,Mercyhurst,________________________ 19 16 4, -0.1, 5.8, 5.72, 5.54 53,Holy Cross,________________________ 14 18 5, -0.0, 5.7, 5.63, 3.93 54,Air Force,_________________________ 16 21 4, -0.3, 5.8, 5.44, 6.68 55,Sacred Heart,______________________ 13 19 6, -0.4, 5.8, 5.43, 6.33 56,Princeton,_________________________ 4 23 3, -1.9, 7.2, 5.36, 5.02 57,Army,______________________________ 8 22 4, -1.1, 5.6, 4.49, 4.06 58,Niagara,___________________________ 7 28 4, -1.6, 6.0, 4.45, 5.44 59,American International,____________ 4 25 7, -1.6, 5.9, 4.29, 3.06 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Minnesota State,___________________ 29 7 3, 0.6, 7.1, 7.64, 7.99 2,North Dakota,______________________ 27 9 3, 0.5, 7.1, 7.59, 6.99 3,Boston University,_________________ 25 7 5, 0.5, 7.1, 7.57, 8.13 4,Miami,_____________________________ 25 13 1, 0.3, 7.2, 7.55, 7.88 5,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 29 9 2, 0.5, 7.0, 7.54, 7.64 6,Denver,____________________________ 23 13 2, 0.3, 7.2, 7.51, 7.70 7,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 20 15 3, 0.1, 7.4, 7.49, 6.96 8,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 18 12 6, 0.2, 7.3, 7.42, 6.95 9,St Cloud State,____________________ 19 18 1, 0.0, 7.4, 7.39, 8.10 10,Minnesota,_________________________ 23 12 3, 0.3, 7.1, 7.37, 7.64 11,Boston College,____________________ 21 13 3, 0.2, 7.1, 7.35, 6.97 12,Bowling Green,_____________________ 23 11 5, 0.3, 7.0, 7.35, 7.54 13,Quinnipiac,________________________ 23 11 4, 0.3, 7.0, 7.34, 6.92 14,Massachusetts-Lowell,______________ 21 12 6, 0.2, 7.1, 7.32, 7.39 15,Harvard,___________________________ 21 12 3, 0.3, 7.1, 7.32, 7.89 16,Providence,________________________ 22 13 2, 0.2, 7.1, 7.31, 7.22 17,Colgate,___________________________ 22 12 4, 0.3, 7.0, 7.28, 7.68 18,Yale,______________________________ 18 9 5, 0.3, 7.0, 7.27, 7.24 19,Vermont,___________________________ 22 15 4, 0.2, 7.1, 7.26, 7.45 20,Michigan,__________________________ 22 15 0, 0.2, 7.0, 7.20, 7.21 21,Alaska,____________________________ 19 13 2, 0.2, 7.0, 7.18, 7.84 22,Western Michigan,__________________ 14 18 5, -0.1, 7.3, 7.17, 7.33 23,Northeastern,______________________ 16 16 4, 0.0, 7.2, 7.17, 6.75 24,Bemidji State,_____________________ 16 17 5, -0.0, 7.2, 7.17, 6.86 25,St Lawrence,_______________________ 20 14 3, 0.2, 7.0, 7.16, 6.71 26,Dartmouth,_________________________ 17 12 4, 0.2, 7.0, 7.14, 7.15 27,New Hampshire,_____________________ 19 19 2, 0.0, 7.1, 7.12, 7.46 28,Penn State,________________________ 18 15 4, 0.1, 7.0, 7.05, 7.02 29,Michigan State,____________________ 17 16 2, 0.0, 7.0, 7.05, 7.14 30,Union,_____________________________ 19 18 2, 0.0, 7.0, 7.04, 7.39 31,Notre Dame,________________________ 18 19 5, -0.0, 7.1, 7.03, 7.30 32,Merrimack,_________________________ 16 18 4, -0.1, 7.1, 7.03, 7.12 33,Ferris State,______________________ 18 20 2, -0.1, 7.1, 7.01, 7.64 34,Cornell,___________________________ 11 14 6, -0.1, 7.1, 6.98, 6.61 35,Northern Michigan,_________________ 14 18 6, -0.1, 7.1, 6.96, 6.28 36,Ohio State,________________________ 14 19 3, -0.1, 7.1, 6.96, 7.38 37,Robert Morris,_____________________ 24 8 5, 0.4, 6.5, 6.92, 6.42 38,Maine,_____________________________ 14 22 3, -0.2, 7.1, 6.88, 6.68 39,Connecticut,_______________________ 10 19 7, -0.3, 7.1, 6.82, 6.45 40,Clarkson,__________________________ 12 20 5, -0.2, 7.0, 6.77, 6.40 41,Massachusetts,_____________________ 11 23 2, -0.3, 7.1, 6.77, 6.85 42,Colorado College,__________________ 6 26 3, -0.6, 7.3, 6.75, 7.04 43,Rensselaer,________________________ 12 26 3, -0.3, 7.1, 6.73, 6.73 44,RIT,_______________________________ 19 14 5, 0.1, 6.6, 6.71, 7.57 45,Canisius,__________________________ 18 12 7, 0.2, 6.5, 6.67, 6.69 46,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 8 22 4, -0.4, 7.1, 6.66, 6.64 47,Brown,_____________________________ 8 20 3, -0.4, 7.0, 6.66, 6.65 48,Mercyhurst,________________________ 19 16 4, 0.1, 6.6, 6.66, 6.89 49,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 8 26 4, -0.5, 7.1, 6.63, 6.39 50,Lake Superior,_____________________ 8 28 2, -0.5, 7.1, 6.62, 6.65 51,Bentley,___________________________ 17 15 5, 0.1, 6.6, 6.61, 5.96 52,Wisconsin,_________________________ 4 26 5, -0.6, 7.2, 6.55, 6.24 53,Air Force,_________________________ 16 21 4, -0.1, 6.6, 6.44, 6.63 54,Sacred Heart,______________________ 13 19 6, -0.2, 6.6, 6.44, 6.64 55,Princeton,_________________________ 4 23 3, -0.6, 7.1, 6.43, 6.20 56,Holy Cross,________________________ 14 18 5, -0.1, 6.5, 6.42, 6.07 57,Army,______________________________ 8 22 4, -0.4, 6.5, 6.12, 5.90 58,Niagara,___________________________ 7 28 4, -0.5, 6.6, 6.11, 6.42 59,American International,____________ 4 25 7, -0.6, 6.6, 6.01, 5.71 The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Games that go to shootouts for decision are considered ties for ratings purposes. Actually, there are two different rankings listed. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 4. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). This was done because the NCAA has indicated that it does not want to consider goal differential in the selection process. Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States  High School National Rankings  New England Prep  Midget Minor AAA  Midget Major AAA  Men's NCAA D1  USHL  NAHL  ACHA College Club

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