Scores (sorted by team) through April 12, 2008 courtesy of USCHO.com . Previous Rankings New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting. More scores give better rankings, Minimum 3 Scores vs. D1 Competition to be Ranked Maximum Goal Differential = 4 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Michigan,__________________________ 33 6 4, 1.7, 7.4, 9.12, 9.33 2,North Dakota,______________________ 27 12 4, 1.0, 7.9, 8.95, 8.51 3,Colorado College,__________________ 28 12 1, 1.1, 7.8, 8.93, 7.69 4,Miami,_____________________________ 33 8 1, 1.8, 7.1, 8.91, 8.24 5,Boston College,____________________ 25 11 8, 1.2, 7.5, 8.66, 11.17 6,New Hampshire,_____________________ 25 10 3, 1.0, 7.5, 8.52, 7.98 7,St Cloud State,____________________ 19 16 5, 0.5, 7.8, 8.34, 8.52 8,Denver,____________________________ 26 14 1, 0.5, 7.9, 8.32, 8.61 9,Michigan State,____________________ 25 12 5, 0.9, 7.4, 8.31, 8.21 10,Wisconsin,_________________________ 16 17 7, 0.2, 7.9, 8.16, 8.06 11,Notre Dame,________________________ 27 16 4, 0.7, 7.4, 8.01, 8.99 12,Minnesota State,___________________ 19 16 4, 0.3, 7.7, 7.94, 7.89 13,Minnesota,_________________________ 19 17 9, 0.0, 7.8, 7.84, 8.24 14,Boston University,_________________ 19 17 4, 0.3, 7.5, 7.79, 7.50 15,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 13 17 6, -0.4, 8.0, 7.55, 6.86 16,Massachusetts,_____________________ 14 16 6, 0.1, 7.5, 7.54, 8.05 17,Princeton,_________________________ 21 14 0, 0.6, 6.9, 7.49, 8.26 18,Clarkson,__________________________ 22 13 4, 0.3, 7.2, 7.46, 7.20 19,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 14 20 5, -0.5, 8.0, 7.46, 7.34 20,Mass-Lowell,_______________________ 16 17 4, 0.1, 7.3, 7.37, 6.50 21,Northern Michigan,_________________ 20 20 4, -0.0, 7.4, 7.37, 7.81 22,Harvard,___________________________ 17 13 4, 0.3, 7.0, 7.34, 7.50 23,Ferris State,______________________ 18 16 5, 0.3, 7.1, 7.34, 7.44 24,Cornell,___________________________ 19 14 3, 0.4, 6.8, 7.29, 8.02 25,Providence,________________________ 14 17 5, -0.2, 7.5, 7.27, 5.51 26,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 7 21 8, -0.8, 8.0, 7.17, 6.57 27,Vermont,___________________________ 17 15 7, -0.4, 7.5, 7.13, 7.75 28,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 17 19 4, -0.3, 7.4, 7.12, 6.71 29,Northeastern,______________________ 16 18 3, -0.4, 7.5, 7.10, 6.74 30,Bemidji State,_____________________ 18 15 3, 0.6, 6.5, 7.06, 7.87 31,Maine,_____________________________ 13 18 3, -0.4, 7.4, 7.05, 8.51 32,Bowling Green,_____________________ 18 21 0, -0.4, 7.3, 6.92, 6.14 33,Quinnipiac,________________________ 20 15 4, 0.3, 6.6, 6.90, 7.15 34,Niagara,___________________________ 22 11 4, 0.8, 6.1, 6.90, 7.22 35,Colgate,___________________________ 18 18 6, 0.1, 6.8, 6.84, 6.63 36,Alaska,____________________________ 9 21 5, -0.7, 7.4, 6.76, 6.32 37,Merrimack,_________________________ 12 18 4, -0.6, 7.3, 6.71, 6.88 38,Dartmouth,_________________________ 12 16 4, -0.2, 6.9, 6.70, 6.40 39,St Lawrence,_______________________ 13 20 4, -0.2, 6.8, 6.68, 7.78 40,Lake Superior,_____________________ 10 20 7, -0.8, 7.5, 6.63, 7.70 41,Union,_____________________________ 15 14 6, -0.2, 6.8, 6.61, 6.54 42,Yale,______________________________ 16 14 4, -0.1, 6.7, 6.59, 6.15 43,Air Force,_________________________ 21 12 6, 0.8, 5.7, 6.51, 7.92 44,Ohio State,________________________ 12 25 4, -0.9, 7.4, 6.50, 6.58 45,Rensselaer,________________________ 11 23 4, -0.8, 7.0, 6.13, 5.42 46,Western Michigan,__________________ 8 27 3, -1.1, 7.1, 6.09, 6.52 47,Robert Morris,_____________________ 15 15 4, -0.4, 6.3, 5.94, 4.50 48,Army,______________________________ 19 14 4, 0.6, 5.3, 5.87, 6.97 49,Brown,_____________________________ 6 21 4, -1.1, 6.9, 5.85, 5.77 50,RIT,_______________________________ 19 12 6, 0.2, 5.6, 5.84, 5.94 51,Wayne State,_______________________ 11 25 2, -1.1, 6.6, 5.50, 5.76 52,Mercyhurst,________________________ 15 19 7, -0.4, 5.8, 5.39, 7.27 53,Sacred Heart,______________________ 16 19 3, -0.1, 5.5, 5.38, 4.80 54,Canisius,__________________________ 11 20 6, -0.5, 5.8, 5.29, 5.02 55,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 6 21 4, -1.6, 6.5, 4.89, 4.64 56,Holy Cross,________________________ 10 19 7, -0.7, 5.6, 4.88, 3.05 57,Bentley,___________________________ 9 21 6, -0.9, 5.6, 4.72, 3.11 58,Connecticut,_______________________ 13 21 3, -0.9, 5.5, 4.59, 5.58 59,American Int'l,____________________ 8 23 5, -1.2, 5.6, 4.34, 3.27 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Michigan,__________________________ 33 6 4, 0.6, 7.1, 7.75, 7.87 2,North Dakota,______________________ 27 12 4, 0.3, 7.3, 7.66, 7.64 3,Colorado College,__________________ 28 12 1, 0.4, 7.3, 7.65, 7.05 4,Miami,_____________________________ 33 8 1, 0.6, 7.0, 7.61, 7.47 5,New Hampshire,_____________________ 25 10 3, 0.4, 7.2, 7.59, 7.08 6,Denver,____________________________ 26 14 1, 0.3, 7.3, 7.56, 7.94 7,Boston College,____________________ 25 11 8, 0.3, 7.2, 7.52, 8.43 8,Michigan State,____________________ 25 12 5, 0.3, 7.1, 7.42, 7.06 9,St Cloud State,____________________ 19 16 5, 0.1, 7.3, 7.34, 7.36 10,Notre Dame,________________________ 27 16 4, 0.2, 7.1, 7.32, 7.68 11,Minnesota,_________________________ 19 17 9, 0.0, 7.3, 7.31, 7.67 12,Minnesota State,___________________ 19 16 4, 0.1, 7.2, 7.29, 7.05 13,Wisconsin,_________________________ 16 17 7, -0.0, 7.3, 7.29, 6.85 14,Clarkson,__________________________ 22 13 4, 0.2, 7.0, 7.27, 6.98 15,Boston University,_________________ 19 17 4, 0.1, 7.2, 7.25, 7.34 16,Vermont,___________________________ 17 15 7, 0.1, 7.2, 7.23, 7.44 17,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 13 17 6, -0.1, 7.3, 7.22, 6.88 18,Princeton,_________________________ 21 14 0, 0.2, 7.0, 7.20, 7.34 19,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 14 20 5, -0.2, 7.3, 7.17, 7.31 20,Massachusetts,_____________________ 14 16 6, -0.1, 7.2, 7.15, 7.46 21,Harvard,___________________________ 17 13 4, 0.1, 7.0, 7.14, 7.26 22,Northeastern,______________________ 16 18 3, -0.1, 7.2, 7.14, 7.15 23,Mass-Lowell,_______________________ 16 17 4, -0.0, 7.1, 7.11, 6.57 24,Northern Michigan,_________________ 20 20 4, 0.0, 7.1, 7.11, 7.67 25,Providence,________________________ 14 17 5, -0.1, 7.2, 7.11, 6.62 26,Cornell,___________________________ 19 14 3, 0.1, 7.0, 7.11, 7.58 27,Ferris State,______________________ 18 16 5, 0.1, 7.0, 7.04, 7.20 28,Maine,_____________________________ 13 18 3, -0.1, 7.2, 7.04, 7.77 29,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 17 19 4, -0.1, 7.1, 7.04, 6.96 30,Niagara,___________________________ 22 11 4, 0.3, 6.7, 7.01, 7.09 31,Quinnipiac,________________________ 20 15 4, 0.1, 6.9, 7.00, 7.09 32,Bowling Green,_____________________ 18 21 0, -0.1, 7.1, 6.98, 6.96 33,Union,_____________________________ 15 14 6, 0.0, 6.9, 6.97, 6.70 34,Yale,______________________________ 16 14 4, 0.1, 6.9, 6.97, 7.19 35,Bemidji State,_____________________ 18 15 3, 0.1, 6.9, 6.94, 7.43 36,Merrimack,_________________________ 12 18 4, -0.2, 7.1, 6.94, 6.92 37,Colgate,___________________________ 18 18 6, 0.0, 6.9, 6.94, 7.03 38,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 7 21 8, -0.4, 7.3, 6.93, 6.70 39,Lake Superior,_____________________ 10 20 7, -0.3, 7.1, 6.87, 7.03 40,Dartmouth,_________________________ 12 16 4, -0.1, 7.0, 6.86, 6.87 41,Air Force,_________________________ 21 12 6, 0.2, 6.6, 6.79, 7.24 42,Ohio State,________________________ 12 25 4, -0.3, 7.1, 6.79, 6.71 43,St Lawrence,_______________________ 13 20 4, -0.2, 7.0, 6.78, 7.20 44,Robert Morris,_____________________ 15 15 4, 0.0, 6.8, 6.77, 6.35 45,Alaska,____________________________ 9 21 5, -0.3, 7.1, 6.76, 6.37 46,RIT,_______________________________ 19 12 6, 0.2, 6.5, 6.71, 6.95 47,Rensselaer,________________________ 11 23 4, -0.3, 7.0, 6.69, 6.34 48,Army,______________________________ 19 14 4, 0.1, 6.4, 6.56, 6.91 49,Brown,_____________________________ 6 21 4, -0.5, 7.0, 6.52, 6.36 50,Western Michigan,__________________ 8 27 3, -0.5, 7.0, 6.52, 6.67 51,Mercyhurst,________________________ 15 19 7, -0.1, 6.6, 6.50, 7.10 52,Wayne State,_______________________ 11 25 2, -0.4, 6.9, 6.49, 6.66 53,Sacred Heart,______________________ 16 19 3, -0.1, 6.5, 6.43, 6.18 54,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 6 21 4, -0.5, 6.8, 6.37, 6.41 55,Canisius,__________________________ 11 20 6, -0.2, 6.6, 6.36, 6.16 56,Holy Cross,________________________ 10 19 7, -0.3, 6.5, 6.29, 5.48 57,Connecticut,_______________________ 13 21 3, -0.2, 6.5, 6.28, 6.57 58,Bentley,___________________________ 9 21 6, -0.3, 6.5, 6.20, 5.71 59,American Int'l,____________________ 8 23 5, -0.4, 6.5, 6.11, 5.80 Link to the 2006-2007 Final Rankings . The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Games that go to shootouts for decision are considered ties for ratings purposes. Actually, there are two different rankings listed. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 4. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). This was done because the NCAA has indicated that it does not want to consider goal differential in the selection process. Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Note that the current spread between #1 and #59 is about 2.7 . Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States High School National Rankings New England Prep Midget Minor AAA Midget Major AAA Men's NCAA D1 USHL NAHL ACHA College Club USHSHO.com High School Ice Hockey Forums
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