Men's NCAA Division 1 College Hockey Rankings

Scores (sorted by team) through January 25, 2015 courtesy of USCHO.com . Previous Rankings  New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting. Maximum Goal Differential = 4 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Minnesota State,___________________ 19 5 1, 1.4, 7.3, 8.63, 8.21 2,Harvard,___________________________ 12 4 2, 1.4, 7.1, 8.56, 7.28 3,Boston University,_________________ 15 4 4, 1.2, 7.3, 8.48, 8.71 4,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 14 9 1, 0.5, 7.9, 8.42, 6.26 5,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 18 7 1, 1.1, 7.3, 8.36, 7.80 6,Miami,_____________________________ 15 9 0, 0.8, 7.5, 8.30, 7.72 7,Bowling Green,_____________________ 15 5 4, 0.9, 7.3, 8.19, 7.16 8,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 15 6 3, 0.7, 7.5, 8.18, 7.08 9,North Dakota,______________________ 18 5 2, 1.2, 7.0, 8.18, 8.61 10,Michigan,__________________________ 15 7 0, 1.0, 7.1, 8.08, 9.69 11,Denver,____________________________ 14 8 1, 0.7, 7.4, 8.04, 8.61 12,Minnesota,_________________________ 11 9 2, 0.6, 7.4, 8.03, 6.98 13,Massachusetts-Lowell,______________ 15 7 3, 0.8, 7.2, 7.98, 5.95 14,Boston College,____________________ 15 8 2, 0.7, 7.2, 7.91, 8.09 15,Providence,________________________ 16 8 1, 0.8, 7.1, 7.91, 7.78 16,Vermont,___________________________ 15 8 2, 0.7, 7.2, 7.88, 7.11 17,St Lawrence,_______________________ 13 10 2, 0.7, 7.1, 7.77, 8.71 18,Yale,______________________________ 11 6 2, 0.8, 7.0, 7.76, 8.02 19,Bemidji State,_____________________ 9 12 3, 0.2, 7.5, 7.75, 8.38 20,Western Michigan,__________________ 11 10 3, 0.3, 7.4, 7.67, 7.81 21,St Cloud State,____________________ 10 13 1, -0.3, 7.9, 7.65, 7.74 22,Colgate,___________________________ 14 8 2, 0.6, 7.0, 7.58, 6.66 23,Union,_____________________________ 12 10 2, 0.7, 6.8, 7.53, 6.96 24,Quinnipiac,________________________ 15 8 1, 0.4, 7.0, 7.45, 7.83 25,Penn State,________________________ 12 7 4, 0.6, 6.9, 7.44, 8.36 26,Merrimack,_________________________ 13 8 3, 0.4, 7.0, 7.39, 6.83 27,Cornell,___________________________ 8 9 2, 0.0, 7.3, 7.32, 7.51 28,Alaska,____________________________ 12 13 1, 0.0, 7.3, 7.27, 6.82 29,Dartmouth,_________________________ 7 8 4, 0.1, 7.1, 7.25, 6.71 30,Ferris State,______________________ 11 13 1, 0.1, 7.1, 7.19, 6.94 31,New Hampshire,_____________________ 8 14 2, -0.1, 7.3, 7.16, 5.96 32,Northeastern,______________________ 10 11 4, -0.4, 7.5, 7.16, 8.30 33,Northern Michigan,_________________ 9 9 6, 0.0, 7.1, 7.11, 6.68 34,Clarkson,__________________________ 10 11 4, -0.1, 7.1, 7.00, 7.85 35,Michigan State,____________________ 9 11 2, -0.1, 7.1, 6.98, 7.44 36,Robert Morris,_____________________ 17 5 4, 1.2, 5.7, 6.98, 6.85 37,Notre Dame,________________________ 10 13 3, -0.0, 7.0, 6.92, 7.05 38,Maine,_____________________________ 10 15 1, -0.4, 7.2, 6.79, 9.08 39,Connecticut,_______________________ 7 12 5, -0.5, 7.2, 6.64, 6.85 40,Ohio State,________________________ 7 13 2, -0.8, 7.4, 6.61, 5.19 41,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 7 11 4, -0.4, 7.0, 6.59, 6.40 42,RIT,_______________________________ 9 11 4, 0.2, 6.1, 6.25, 7.04 43,Rensselaer,________________________ 9 17 1, -1.1, 7.4, 6.20, 7.63 44,Massachusetts,_____________________ 8 16 1, -1.0, 7.1, 6.17, 6.98 45,Colorado College,__________________ 5 16 1, -1.5, 7.6, 6.09, 7.47 46,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 7 16 3, -1.2, 7.2, 6.07, 6.26 47,Bentley,___________________________ 11 11 3, 0.1, 5.9, 6.00, 5.66 48,Mercyhurst,________________________ 12 8 4, 0.0, 6.0, 5.96, 4.64 49,Holy Cross,________________________ 8 12 5, 0.0, 5.9, 5.90, 5.35 50,Canisius,__________________________ 12 8 6, 0.2, 5.7, 5.90, 7.28 51,Lake Superior,_____________________ 7 20 1, -1.6, 7.5, 5.89, 8.30 52,Wisconsin,_________________________ 2 15 3, -1.8, 7.7, 5.89, 5.34 53,Air Force,_________________________ 11 13 3, -0.4, 6.0, 5.60, 6.34 54,Brown,_____________________________ 4 15 0, -1.9, 7.3, 5.38, 5.64 55,Princeton,_________________________ 2 14 1, -2.1, 7.4, 5.27, 4.85 56,Sacred Heart,______________________ 7 15 4, -0.9, 6.2, 5.25, 5.48 57,American International,____________ 3 18 5, -1.5, 6.2, 4.72, 3.88 58,Army,______________________________ 5 16 2, -1.3, 5.8, 4.52, 4.25 59,Niagara,___________________________ 3 19 2, -1.9, 6.1, 4.22, 3.95 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Minnesota State,___________________ 19 5 1, 0.6, 7.1, 7.67, 7.58 2,Boston University,_________________ 15 4 4, 0.5, 7.1, 7.57, 7.79 3,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 15 6 3, 0.4, 7.2, 7.57, 7.25 4,North Dakota,______________________ 18 5 2, 0.5, 7.0, 7.54, 7.61 5,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 14 9 1, 0.2, 7.3, 7.52, 6.85 6,Bowling Green,_____________________ 15 5 4, 0.4, 7.1, 7.52, 7.10 7,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 18 7 1, 0.4, 7.1, 7.51, 7.44 8,Harvard,___________________________ 12 4 2, 0.4, 7.0, 7.48, 6.93 9,Miami,_____________________________ 15 9 0, 0.3, 7.2, 7.46, 7.01 10,Denver,____________________________ 14 8 1, 0.3, 7.2, 7.43, 7.58 11,Providence,________________________ 16 8 1, 0.3, 7.1, 7.41, 7.12 12,Massachusetts-Lowell,______________ 15 7 3, 0.3, 7.1, 7.39, 6.62 13,Michigan,__________________________ 15 7 0, 0.4, 7.0, 7.36, 7.90 14,Boston College,____________________ 15 8 2, 0.3, 7.1, 7.35, 7.73 15,Vermont,___________________________ 15 8 2, 0.3, 7.0, 7.33, 6.88 16,Quinnipiac,________________________ 15 8 1, 0.3, 7.0, 7.30, 7.30 17,Colgate,___________________________ 14 8 2, 0.3, 7.0, 7.26, 7.08 18,Merrimack,_________________________ 13 8 3, 0.2, 7.0, 7.24, 7.08 19,Minnesota,_________________________ 11 9 2, 0.1, 7.1, 7.22, 6.74 20,Yale,______________________________ 11 6 2, 0.3, 7.0, 7.22, 7.12 21,Western Michigan,__________________ 11 10 3, 0.0, 7.2, 7.20, 7.66 22,St Cloud State,____________________ 10 13 1, -0.1, 7.3, 7.19, 7.14 23,Penn State,________________________ 12 7 4, 0.2, 6.9, 7.15, 7.56 24,St Lawrence,_______________________ 13 10 2, 0.1, 7.0, 7.14, 7.68 25,Northeastern,______________________ 10 11 4, -0.0, 7.2, 7.14, 7.55 26,Bemidji State,_____________________ 9 12 3, -0.1, 7.2, 7.09, 7.27 27,Cornell,___________________________ 8 9 2, -0.1, 7.1, 7.07, 7.25 28,Alaska,____________________________ 12 13 1, -0.0, 7.1, 7.06, 6.42 29,Northern Michigan,_________________ 9 9 6, 0.0, 7.0, 7.04, 6.66 30,Robert Morris,_____________________ 17 5 4, 0.5, 6.6, 7.02, 6.96 31,Union,_____________________________ 12 10 2, 0.1, 6.9, 7.01, 6.77 32,Dartmouth,_________________________ 7 8 4, -0.1, 7.0, 6.98, 6.75 33,Clarkson,__________________________ 10 11 4, -0.0, 7.0, 6.98, 7.25 34,Ferris State,______________________ 11 13 1, -0.1, 7.0, 6.94, 6.99 35,Michigan State,____________________ 9 11 2, -0.1, 7.0, 6.90, 7.09 36,Ohio State,________________________ 7 13 2, -0.3, 7.2, 6.89, 6.49 37,Notre Dame,________________________ 10 13 3, -0.1, 7.0, 6.89, 6.65 38,Connecticut,_______________________ 7 12 5, -0.2, 7.1, 6.88, 6.93 39,New Hampshire,_____________________ 8 14 2, -0.3, 7.1, 6.86, 6.71 40,Maine,_____________________________ 10 15 1, -0.2, 7.0, 6.84, 7.63 41,Mercyhurst,________________________ 12 8 4, 0.2, 6.7, 6.82, 6.48 42,Rensselaer,________________________ 9 17 1, -0.3, 7.1, 6.80, 7.21 43,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 7 11 4, -0.2, 7.0, 6.77, 6.75 44,Colorado College,__________________ 5 16 1, -0.5, 7.3, 6.76, 7.22 45,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 7 16 3, -0.3, 7.1, 6.75, 7.21 46,Massachusetts,_____________________ 8 16 1, -0.3, 7.0, 6.72, 7.01 47,Lake Superior,_____________________ 7 20 1, -0.5, 7.2, 6.71, 7.58 48,Canisius,__________________________ 12 8 6, 0.2, 6.5, 6.68, 7.22 49,Bentley,___________________________ 11 11 3, 0.0, 6.6, 6.63, 6.71 50,Air Force,_________________________ 11 13 3, -0.1, 6.7, 6.59, 7.10 51,Wisconsin,_________________________ 2 15 3, -0.7, 7.2, 6.59, 6.55 52,RIT,_______________________________ 9 11 4, -0.1, 6.7, 6.58, 7.03 53,Brown,_____________________________ 4 15 0, -0.6, 7.1, 6.49, 6.59 54,Holy Cross,________________________ 8 12 5, -0.2, 6.6, 6.47, 5.87 55,Princeton,_________________________ 2 14 1, -0.7, 7.1, 6.41, 6.22 56,Sacred Heart,______________________ 7 15 4, -0.3, 6.7, 6.39, 6.32 57,Army,______________________________ 5 16 2, -0.5, 6.6, 6.12, 5.86 58,American International,____________ 3 18 5, -0.6, 6.7, 6.12, 5.76 59,Niagara,___________________________ 3 19 2, -0.7, 6.7, 6.01, 6.01 The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Games that go to shootouts for decision are considered ties for ratings purposes. Actually, there are two different rankings listed. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 4. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). This was done because the NCAA has indicated that it does not want to consider goal differential in the selection process. Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States  High School National Rankings  New England Prep  Midget Minor AAA  Midget Major AAA  Men's NCAA D1  USHL  NAHL  ACHA College Club

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