Men's NCAA Division 1 College Hockey Rankings

Scores (sorted by team) through December 14, 2014 courtesy of USCHO.com . Previous Rankings  New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting. Maximum Goal Differential = 4 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 12 6 0, 1.0, 8.1, 9.14, 8.12 2,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 10 4 2, 0.9, 8.1, 9.01, 8.47 3,Harvard,___________________________ 9 1 2, 1.9, 7.1, 8.99, 9.33 4,Minnesota State,___________________ 13 4 0, 1.4, 7.4, 8.79, 8.54 5,Miami,_____________________________ 11 5 0, 0.9, 7.8, 8.75, 8.65 6,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 13 3 0, 1.5, 7.2, 8.68, 8.28 7,Minnesota,_________________________ 9 4 1, 1.1, 7.5, 8.67, 8.49 8,Boston University,_________________ 11 3 2, 1.4, 7.1, 8.45, 8.60 9,Bowling Green,_____________________ 11 3 2, 1.0, 7.3, 8.33, 8.80 10,North Dakota,______________________ 13 4 2, 1.0, 7.2, 8.16, 8.06 11,Vermont,___________________________ 13 3 1, 1.4, 6.7, 8.08, 8.80 12,Massachusetts-Lowell,______________ 10 3 3, 0.9, 7.1, 8.03, 7.74 13,Denver,____________________________ 10 5 0, 0.7, 7.3, 8.03, 7.70 14,St Cloud State,____________________ 6 9 1, -0.3, 8.2, 7.84, 7.45 15,Cornell,___________________________ 5 5 1, 0.4, 7.4, 7.81, 8.90 16,Boston College,____________________ 9 7 1, 0.5, 7.2, 7.68, 7.69 17,Union,_____________________________ 9 6 1, 0.9, 6.7, 7.68, 7.96 18,St Lawrence,_______________________ 8 8 1, 0.6, 7.1, 7.68, 6.77 19,Providence,________________________ 9 6 1, 0.3, 7.3, 7.66, 8.05 20,Penn State,________________________ 9 4 2, 0.8, 6.8, 7.62, 6.79 21,Yale,______________________________ 6 3 2, 0.5, 7.1, 7.59, 7.84 22,Bemidji State,_____________________ 5 10 3, -0.3, 7.9, 7.55, 7.94 23,Dartmouth,_________________________ 6 4 1, 0.6, 6.9, 7.55, 7.92 24,Western Michigan,__________________ 6 8 2, 0.1, 7.4, 7.55, 8.14 25,Colgate,___________________________ 9 6 1, 0.8, 6.7, 7.50, 6.17 26,Merrimack,_________________________ 10 5 2, 0.6, 6.8, 7.49, 7.37 27,Michigan,__________________________ 8 7 0, 0.4, 7.1, 7.48, 8.64 28,Quinnipiac,________________________ 10 5 1, 0.3, 7.1, 7.36, 7.11 29,Ferris State,______________________ 9 7 1, 0.6, 6.7, 7.25, 7.01 30,Robert Morris,_____________________ 11 2 3, 1.7, 5.4, 7.06, 7.51 31,Alaska,____________________________ 10 8 0, 0.1, 6.9, 7.04, 7.17 32,Ohio State,________________________ 5 9 1, -0.6, 7.6, 7.03, 6.50 33,Notre Dame,________________________ 8 8 2, 0.1, 6.9, 6.99, 7.02 34,Northern Michigan,_________________ 8 5 3, 0.3, 6.6, 6.94, 7.16 35,Clarkson,__________________________ 6 8 4, -0.3, 7.2, 6.90, 6.76 36,New Hampshire,_____________________ 5 10 1, -0.1, 6.9, 6.81, 6.06 37,Michigan State,____________________ 6 9 1, -0.3, 7.0, 6.74, 6.62 38,Connecticut,_______________________ 3 8 4, -0.7, 7.4, 6.71, 6.15 39,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 5 7 4, -0.3, 6.7, 6.49, 7.05 40,Bentley,___________________________ 9 8 2, 0.4, 5.9, 6.37, 6.35 41,Mercyhurst,________________________ 8 5 2, 0.1, 6.2, 6.33, 6.68 42,Holy Cross,________________________ 7 5 4, 0.4, 5.9, 6.29, 7.28 43,RIT,_______________________________ 5 8 3, 0.1, 6.2, 6.27, 6.32 44,Northeastern,______________________ 4 10 1, -1.3, 7.5, 6.14, 7.39 45,Maine,_____________________________ 4 13 1, -1.3, 7.3, 5.99, 6.16 46,Rensselaer,________________________ 6 12 1, -1.4, 7.3, 5.94, 4.45 47,Canisius,__________________________ 6 6 5, -0.1, 5.8, 5.72, 6.06 48,Massachusetts,_____________________ 4 11 0, -1.3, 7.0, 5.67, 5.56 49,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 3 13 2, -1.4, 7.0, 5.66, 5.14 50,Air Force,_________________________ 5 10 2, -0.8, 6.5, 5.66, 5.36 51,Colorado College,__________________ 3 11 1, -1.9, 7.5, 5.62, 6.20 52,Wisconsin,_________________________ 1 10 1, -1.7, 7.3, 5.59, 6.75 53,Sacred Heart,______________________ 5 9 2, -0.9, 6.4, 5.52, 4.44 54,Princeton,_________________________ 2 10 1, -2.1, 7.5, 5.42, 6.36 55,Brown,_____________________________ 3 8 0, -1.8, 7.1, 5.26, 5.09 56,Lake Superior,_____________________ 3 17 0, -2.2, 7.3, 5.11, 4.92 57,American International,____________ 2 11 4, -1.5, 6.3, 4.83, 5.15 58,Army,______________________________ 4 12 2, -1.3, 6.1, 4.79, 5.21 59,Niagara,___________________________ 3 12 1, -1.7, 6.2, 4.49, 5.18 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 10 4 2, 0.4, 7.4, 7.76, 7.64 2,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 12 6 0, 0.3, 7.4, 7.75, 7.46 3,Harvard,___________________________ 9 1 2, 0.7, 7.1, 7.74, 8.12 4,Minnesota State,___________________ 13 4 0, 0.5, 7.2, 7.73, 7.32 5,Miami,_____________________________ 11 5 0, 0.4, 7.3, 7.67, 7.63 6,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 13 3 0, 0.6, 7.0, 7.66, 7.45 7,Bowling Green,_____________________ 11 3 2, 0.5, 7.1, 7.63, 7.84 8,North Dakota,______________________ 13 4 2, 0.5, 7.1, 7.54, 7.69 9,Boston University,_________________ 11 3 2, 0.5, 7.0, 7.53, 7.54 10,Minnesota,_________________________ 9 4 1, 0.4, 7.1, 7.50, 7.04 11,Massachusetts-Lowell,______________ 10 3 3, 0.4, 7.0, 7.45, 7.44 12,Vermont,___________________________ 13 3 1, 0.6, 6.9, 7.45, 7.75 13,Denver,____________________________ 10 5 0, 0.3, 7.1, 7.43, 7.37 14,Quinnipiac,________________________ 10 5 1, 0.3, 7.0, 7.33, 7.21 15,Providence,________________________ 9 6 1, 0.2, 7.1, 7.33, 7.43 16,Merrimack,_________________________ 10 5 2, 0.3, 7.0, 7.28, 7.16 17,Yale,______________________________ 6 3 2, 0.3, 7.0, 7.28, 7.15 18,Penn State,________________________ 9 4 2, 0.3, 6.9, 7.23, 7.02 19,Cornell,___________________________ 5 5 1, 0.0, 7.2, 7.21, 7.78 20,Dartmouth,_________________________ 6 4 1, 0.2, 7.0, 7.21, 7.42 21,St Cloud State,____________________ 6 9 1, -0.2, 7.4, 7.18, 6.84 22,Colgate,___________________________ 9 6 1, 0.2, 7.0, 7.15, 6.73 23,Boston College,____________________ 9 7 1, 0.1, 7.0, 7.13, 7.04 24,Union,_____________________________ 9 6 1, 0.2, 6.9, 7.10, 7.48 25,Alaska,____________________________ 10 8 0, 0.1, 7.0, 7.09, 7.31 26,Michigan,__________________________ 8 7 0, 0.1, 7.0, 7.07, 7.58 27,Bemidji State,_____________________ 5 10 3, -0.3, 7.3, 7.07, 7.35 28,St Lawrence,_______________________ 8 8 1, 0.0, 7.0, 7.04, 6.55 29,Northern Michigan,_________________ 8 5 3, 0.2, 6.9, 7.04, 7.10 30,Western Michigan,__________________ 6 8 2, -0.1, 7.2, 7.04, 7.39 31,Notre Dame,________________________ 8 8 2, 0.0, 7.0, 7.01, 6.92 32,Robert Morris,_____________________ 11 2 3, 0.6, 6.4, 7.00, 7.21 33,Ohio State,________________________ 5 9 1, -0.3, 7.2, 6.97, 6.73 34,Clarkson,__________________________ 6 8 4, -0.1, 7.1, 6.96, 6.78 35,Ferris State,______________________ 9 7 1, 0.1, 6.8, 6.96, 6.82 36,Mercyhurst,________________________ 8 5 2, 0.2, 6.7, 6.93, 7.02 37,Connecticut,_______________________ 3 8 4, -0.3, 7.2, 6.87, 6.75 38,Northeastern,______________________ 4 10 1, -0.4, 7.2, 6.79, 7.55 39,Rensselaer,________________________ 6 12 1, -0.3, 7.1, 6.78, 6.10 40,Michigan State,____________________ 6 9 1, -0.2, 7.0, 6.77, 7.01 41,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 5 7 4, -0.1, 6.9, 6.76, 6.83 42,Bentley,___________________________ 9 8 2, 0.1, 6.7, 6.73, 6.74 43,Holy Cross,________________________ 7 5 4, 0.1, 6.6, 6.72, 7.16 44,New Hampshire,_____________________ 5 10 1, -0.3, 7.0, 6.65, 6.44 45,Colorado College,__________________ 3 11 1, -0.5, 7.1, 6.61, 6.42 46,Maine,_____________________________ 4 13 1, -0.5, 7.1, 6.58, 6.53 47,Brown,_____________________________ 3 8 0, -0.5, 7.0, 6.55, 6.74 48,Canisius,__________________________ 6 6 5, 0.0, 6.5, 6.55, 6.67 49,Princeton,_________________________ 2 10 1, -0.6, 7.2, 6.54, 6.64 50,Massachusetts,_____________________ 4 11 0, -0.5, 7.0, 6.54, 6.63 51,Air Force,_________________________ 5 10 2, -0.3, 6.8, 6.52, 6.43 52,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 3 13 2, -0.6, 7.1, 6.52, 6.29 53,RIT,_______________________________ 5 8 3, -0.2, 6.7, 6.51, 6.50 54,Sacred Heart,______________________ 5 9 2, -0.3, 6.7, 6.49, 6.25 55,Lake Superior,_____________________ 3 17 0, -0.7, 7.1, 6.43, 6.34 56,Wisconsin,_________________________ 1 10 1, -0.8, 7.1, 6.37, 6.76 57,Army,______________________________ 4 12 2, -0.4, 6.7, 6.27, 6.33 58,American International,____________ 2 11 4, -0.5, 6.7, 6.19, 6.15 59,Niagara,___________________________ 3 12 1, -0.6, 6.7, 6.12, 6.15 The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Games that go to shootouts for decision are considered ties for ratings purposes. Actually, there are two different rankings listed. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 4. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). This was done because the NCAA has indicated that it does not want to consider goal differential in the selection process. Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States  High School National Rankings  New England Prep  Midget Minor AAA  Midget Major AAA  Men's NCAA D1  USHL  NAHL  ACHA College Club

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