Scores that ratings are based upon. Scores through November 16, 2014. Previous Rankings New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting.
Maximum Goal Differential = 7 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below Division 1 RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,Arizona State,_________________________ 20 2 0, 2.5, 8.7, 11.25, 10.58 2,Central Oklahoma,______________________ 19 2 0, 2.6, 8.4, 11.06, 10.19 3,Ohio,__________________________________ 16 3 1, 2.9, 8.0, 10.91, 11.81 4,Lindenwood,____________________________ 8 9 1, 0.4, 10.5, 10.86, 10.05 5,Adrian,________________________________ 17 2 0, 2.4, 8.1, 10.54, 8.12 6,Robert Morris Illinois,________________ 15 2 2, 2.9, 7.6, 10.47, 10.83 7,Oklahoma,______________________________ 13 6 1, 1.4, 8.9, 10.33, 10.70 8,Stony Brook,___________________________ 15 3 0, 2.7, 7.5, 10.22, 9.41 9,Iowa State,____________________________ 8 10 1, 0.6, 9.3, 9.95, 9.11 10,Liberty,_______________________________ 12 6 4, 1.1, 8.7, 9.80, 8.92 11,Minot State,___________________________ 12 8 1, 1.0, 8.7, 9.78, 9.16 12,Illinois,______________________________ 10 7 2, 0.7, 8.9, 9.58, 9.90 13,Rhode Island,__________________________ 16 2 2, 2.2, 6.9, 9.20, 8.85 14,Delaware,______________________________ 7 4 1, 1.5, 7.6, 9.12, 8.70 15,Davenport,_____________________________ 9 5 3, 0.8, 8.3, 9.08, 9.48 16,Niagara,_______________________________ 12 3 0, 2.7, 6.1, 8.79, 10.06 17,Michigan-Dearborn,_____________________ 8 10 2, 0.1, 8.4, 8.60, 9.22 18,Oakland,_______________________________ 9 11 2, 0.6, 7.9, 8.54, 9.67 19,Buffalo,_______________________________ 14 4 0, 2.3, 6.0, 8.32, 8.53 20,Arizona,_______________________________ 7 11 2, -0.4, 8.5, 8.10, 7.33 21,Syracuse,______________________________ 11 7 1, 1.2, 6.9, 8.04, 7.99 22,Western Michigan,______________________ 9 8 5, 0.2, 7.6, 7.81, 7.67 23,Colorado,______________________________ 8 9 0, 0.4, 7.4, 7.78, 7.86 24,Rochester College,_____________________ 4 10 6, -0.2, 7.9, 7.69, 6.06 25,Robert Morris Pennsylvania,____________ 11 2 3, 1.2, 6.1, 7.40, 7.68 26,Colorado State,________________________ 9 9 0, -0.9, 8.2, 7.23, 7.87 27,Mercyhurst,____________________________ 9 8 3, 0.5, 6.7, 7.21, 7.02 28,Kent State,____________________________ 10 9 1, -0.5, 7.4, 6.99, 7.45 29,Navy,__________________________________ 7 9 2, -0.1, 6.9, 6.89, 6.70 30,Drexel,________________________________ 10 5 0, 1.2, 5.6, 6.85, 7.36 31,Lebanon Valley,________________________ 8 7 1, -0.3, 7.1, 6.84, 7.60 32,West Virginia,_________________________ 10 9 1, -0.5, 7.1, 6.53, 7.04 33,Villanova,_____________________________ 14 5 0, 1.8, 4.6, 6.35, 6.46 34,John Carroll,__________________________ 8 10 0, -0.3, 6.4, 6.15, 6.39 35,Canisius,______________________________ 9 11 1, 0.5, 5.6, 6.13, 6.46 36,Rutgers,_______________________________ 3 11 0, -2.1, 8.1, 6.08, 7.37 37,Pittsburgh,____________________________ 9 9 2, -0.3, 6.3, 5.92, 5.61 38,Eastern Michigan,______________________ 4 14 0, -2.1, 7.9, 5.83, 5.50 39,Oswego State,__________________________ 7 7 1, 0.5, 5.2, 5.64, 5.98 40,West Chester,__________________________ 3 16 0, -3.1, 8.2, 5.10, 5.93 41,Duquesne,______________________________ 4 10 3, -1.1, 6.1, 5.06, 4.80 42,Towson,________________________________ 9 9 0, 0.3, 4.6, 4.89, 6.09 43,Indiana Tech,__________________________ 4 14 1, -2.2, 7.1, 4.86, 3.93 44,Penn State Berks,______________________ 6 11 0, -0.4, 4.7, 4.35, 4.80 45,Cortland State,________________________ 7 5 0, 0.9, 3.3, 4.18, 4.81 46,Midland,_______________________________ 5 15 1, -2.0, 6.1, 4.11, 5.73 47,Lehigh,________________________________ 6 9 0, -0.9, 4.9, 3.98, 3.73 48,Indiana Pennsylvania,__________________ 6 12 0, -1.6, 5.6, 3.97, 3.56 49,Cornell,_______________________________ 4 7 0, -0.5, 4.3, 3.74, 4.88 50,Slippery Rock,_________________________ 6 13 1, -1.7, 3.9, 2.22, 1.23 51,Rochester Inst of Tech,________________ 4 13 0, -2.9, 4.8, 1.94, 1.34 52,Binghamton,____________________________ 4 8 0, -2.5, 4.0, 1.44, 1.90 53,Saint Bonaventure,_____________________ 1 7 0, -2.9, 3.7, 0.80, 0.60 54,Ithaca,________________________________ 1 13 0, -5.2, 4.5, -0.73, -0.13 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) Division 1 RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,Arizona State,_________________________ 20 2 0, 0.8, 7.4, 8.24, 8.23 2,Central Oklahoma,______________________ 19 2 0, 0.8, 7.3, 8.16, 7.59 3,Stony Brook,___________________________ 15 3 0, 0.7, 7.3, 7.92, 7.96 4,Adrian,________________________________ 17 2 0, 0.8, 7.1, 7.87, 7.23 5,Ohio,__________________________________ 16 3 1, 0.7, 7.2, 7.86, 8.27 6,Oklahoma,______________________________ 13 6 1, 0.3, 7.4, 7.78, 7.95 7,Rhode Island,__________________________ 16 2 2, 0.7, 7.1, 7.77, 7.81 8,Lindenwood,____________________________ 8 9 1, -0.1, 7.8, 7.75, 7.36 9,Robert Morris Illinois,________________ 15 2 2, 0.7, 7.1, 7.74, 7.88 10,Minot State,___________________________ 12 8 1, 0.2, 7.4, 7.57, 7.44 11,Liberty,_______________________________ 12 6 4, 0.2, 7.4, 7.55, 7.26 12,Illinois,______________________________ 10 7 2, 0.2, 7.4, 7.54, 7.56 13,Delaware,______________________________ 7 4 1, 0.3, 7.2, 7.48, 7.45 14,Buffalo,_______________________________ 14 4 0, 0.6, 6.8, 7.39, 7.33 15,Niagara,_______________________________ 12 3 0, 0.6, 6.8, 7.39, 7.92 16,Davenport,_____________________________ 9 5 3, 0.2, 7.1, 7.38, 7.69 17,Iowa State,____________________________ 8 10 1, -0.1, 7.5, 7.38, 7.38 18,Robert Morris Pennsylvania,____________ 11 2 3, 0.6, 6.7, 7.29, 7.34 19,Syracuse,______________________________ 11 7 1, 0.2, 7.0, 7.24, 7.41 20,Colorado State,________________________ 9 9 0, -0.1, 7.3, 7.21, 7.17 21,Lebanon Valley,________________________ 8 7 1, 0.1, 7.1, 7.18, 7.19 22,Arizona,_______________________________ 7 11 2, -0.2, 7.4, 7.17, 7.06 23,Michigan-Dearborn,_____________________ 8 10 2, -0.1, 7.3, 7.16, 7.26 24,Drexel,________________________________ 10 5 0, 0.3, 6.8, 7.13, 7.33 25,Oakland,_______________________________ 9 11 2, -0.1, 7.1, 7.03, 7.31 26,West Virginia,_________________________ 10 9 1, 0.0, 7.0, 7.03, 6.91 27,Colorado,______________________________ 8 9 0, -0.1, 7.1, 7.02, 6.80 28,Kent State,____________________________ 10 9 1, 0.1, 6.9, 6.99, 7.04 29,Mercyhurst,____________________________ 9 8 3, 0.1, 6.9, 6.98, 7.04 30,Western Michigan,______________________ 9 8 5, 0.0, 6.9, 6.97, 7.01 31,Villanova,_____________________________ 14 5 0, 0.5, 6.5, 6.93, 6.85 32,Navy,__________________________________ 7 9 2, -0.1, 7.0, 6.93, 6.83 33,Pittsburgh,____________________________ 9 9 2, 0.0, 6.8, 6.85, 6.78 34,Rochester College,_____________________ 4 10 6, -0.3, 7.1, 6.83, 6.22 35,Rutgers,_______________________________ 3 11 0, -0.6, 7.4, 6.82, 7.09 36,John Carroll,__________________________ 8 10 0, -0.1, 6.9, 6.77, 7.00 37,West Chester,__________________________ 3 16 0, -0.7, 7.4, 6.74, 6.71 38,Canisius,______________________________ 9 11 1, -0.1, 6.7, 6.61, 6.91 39,Oswego State,__________________________ 7 7 1, 0.0, 6.6, 6.61, 6.42 40,Towson,________________________________ 9 9 0, 0.0, 6.5, 6.55, 6.76 41,Eastern Michigan,______________________ 4 14 0, -0.6, 7.1, 6.53, 6.30 42,Indiana Pennsylvania,__________________ 6 12 0, -0.3, 6.8, 6.50, 6.27 43,Cortland State,________________________ 7 5 0, 0.2, 6.3, 6.47, 6.54 44,Duquesne,______________________________ 4 10 3, -0.4, 6.8, 6.45, 6.26 45,Lehigh,________________________________ 6 9 0, -0.2, 6.6, 6.45, 6.38 46,Indiana Tech,__________________________ 4 14 1, -0.5, 6.9, 6.39, 6.32 47,Midland,_______________________________ 5 15 1, -0.5, 6.8, 6.28, 6.62 48,Penn State Berks,______________________ 6 11 0, -0.3, 6.5, 6.23, 6.44 49,Cornell,_______________________________ 4 7 0, -0.3, 6.4, 6.14, 6.19 50,Rochester Inst of Tech,________________ 4 13 0, -0.5, 6.5, 6.02, 6.14 51,Binghamton,____________________________ 4 8 0, -0.3, 6.3, 6.01, 6.40 52,Slippery Rock,_________________________ 6 13 1, -0.3, 6.3, 6.00, 5.67 53,Saint Bonaventure,_____________________ 1 7 0, -0.8, 6.3, 5.54, 5.50 54,Ithaca,________________________________ 1 13 0, -1.0, 6.5, 5.50, 5.32 The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Actually, there are two different rankings listed below. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 7. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Currently, teams with as few as 3 scores are ranked. The more games that go into a team's ranking, the more accurate their ranking will be. Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States High School National Rankings New England Prep Midget Minor AAA Midget Major AAA Men's NCAA D1 USHL NAHL ACHA College ClubUSHSHO.com High School Ice Hockey Forums
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