Arizona Boys High School Hockey Ratings 2007-08

Last updated April 4, 2008)

  Teams listed W-L-T record reflects only games whose score  is listed on the Arizona HS Scores page.     The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then  adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative  error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is  reached (convergence).      The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between  any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a  neutral site between those two teams.  It should be noted that due to goal differential limits set in the ranking program these predicted goal differentials are only accurate when comparing teams ranked within three goals of each other. The differential between teams ranked farther apart becomes more and more understated as the chosen teams become farther apart in the rankings. A teams Total value only has meaning in relation to other teams in the same list. The Last 5 column is a simple average performance of that team in the last five games based on current opponent Total values and goal differential (up to max allowed). Obviously, the fewer games a team's ranking is based upon the less likely that ranking is to be accurate. Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States  High School National Rankings  New England Prep  Midget Minor AAA  Midget Major AAA  Men's NCAA D1  USHL  NAHL  ACHA College Club Back to US HS Hockey Online main page. More information about how the ratings are calculated and their past accuracy can be found here . Receive email when this page changes Here is your chance to Rate the Rankings. Quick and easy EZBoard registration is required, if not already registered. Games between teams rated over 4 goals apart are disregarded in determining final ratings. March 9, 2006 - 2005-2006 National High School Hockey Rankings released (over 1650 teams ranked). All rankings dated after 12/23/06 do not consider games between teams ranked more than 4 goals apart. Arizona Class A RANK TEAM W L T >4 GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Notre Dame Prep,AZ,_________________ 20 2 1, 2 2.6, 6.8, 9.37, 8.44 2,Pinnacle,AZ,________________________ 15 6 2, 0 1.4, 6.9, 8.31, 10.11 3,Desert Vista,AZ,____________________ 12 7 2, 0 0.7, 6.8, 7.51, 6.87 4,Desert Mountain,AZ,_________________ 11 6 4, 0 0.4, 7.0, 7.40, 6.98 5,Mountain Ridge,AZ,__________________ 8 12 3, 0 -0.2, 7.0, 6.78, 7.01 6,Horizon,AZ,_________________________ 4 15 2, 0 -1.5, 7.2, 5.73, 5.66 7,Brophy,AZ,__________________________ 5 14 4, 0 -1.8, 7.2, 5.46, 5.99 8,Hamilton,AZ,________________________ 3 16 2, 2 -1.7, 7.0, 5.31, 3.76 Notes: * indicates teams with only two games against teams ranked within 4 goals of them. - indicates teams with only one game against teams ranked within 4 goals of them. Since some "mismatch" games are not used in determining the rankings, the Sched column can be somewhat misleading as it only reflects the average opponent strength of only the opponents ranked within 4 goals of each team. The GAMES Column indicates how many games each team's rating is based upon (i.e. how many of their games were against teams rated within 4 goals of themselves).
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