Scores (sorted by team) through January 15, 2012 courtesy of USCHO.com . Previous Rankings New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting. More scores give better rankings, Minimum 3 Scores vs. D1 Competition to be Ranked Maximum Goal Differential = 4 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 15 4 3, 1.6, 7.5, 9.13, 9.75 2,Michigan,__________________________ 14 8 4, 1.0, 7.6, 8.61, 9.76 3,Minnesota,_________________________ 16 8 1, 1.4, 7.1, 8.55, 8.51 4,Boston College,____________________ 14 8 1, 0.7, 7.8, 8.48, 7.04 5,Western Michigan,__________________ 12 7 5, 0.5, 7.6, 8.18, 8.05 6,Notre Dame,________________________ 13 8 3, 0.4, 7.8, 8.15, 8.93 7,Michigan State,____________________ 12 9 3, 0.5, 7.7, 8.14, 7.09 8,Northern Michigan,_________________ 10 8 5, 0.2, 7.9, 8.10, 8.87 9,Boston University,_________________ 13 6 1, 0.6, 7.5, 8.09, 8.66 10,Ohio State,________________________ 14 6 3, 0.6, 7.4, 8.03, 6.09 11,Merrimack,_________________________ 12 4 5, 1.0, 7.0, 7.97, 8.49 12,Northeastern,______________________ 8 9 3, 0.2, 7.8, 7.97, 7.90 13,Massachusetts-Lowell,______________ 12 6 0, 0.9, 7.0, 7.93, 7.61 14,Colorado College,__________________ 13 8 1, 0.7, 7.1, 7.87, 7.77 15,Union,_____________________________ 12 5 6, 1.2, 6.7, 7.87, 8.32 16,Denver,____________________________ 13 8 3, 0.5, 7.3, 7.83, 8.06 17,Cornell,___________________________ 10 4 3, 0.9, 6.9, 7.82, 8.25 18,Miami,_____________________________ 12 10 2, 0.3, 7.6, 7.81, 8.58 19,North Dakota,______________________ 12 9 2, 0.2, 7.5, 7.69, 8.03 20,St Cloud State,____________________ 9 11 4, 0.1, 7.6, 7.67, 8.79 21,Ferris State,______________________ 14 8 2, 0.5, 7.1, 7.65, 7.45 22,Wisconsin,_________________________ 10 10 2, 0.1, 7.5, 7.60, 7.45 23,Maine,_____________________________ 10 8 3, 0.1, 7.4, 7.52, 7.72 24,Massachusetts,_____________________ 8 8 5, 0.0, 7.4, 7.44, 8.43 25,Quinnipiac,________________________ 14 8 5, 0.9, 6.6, 7.43, 7.44 26,Alaska,____________________________ 7 11 4, -0.2, 7.6, 7.42, 6.82 27,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 11 9 4, 0.1, 7.3, 7.40, 8.16 28,Providence,________________________ 9 9 2, 0.1, 7.2, 7.31, 6.36 29,Lake Superior,_____________________ 13 10 3, 0.1, 7.2, 7.31, 7.00 30,Bemidji State,_____________________ 11 11 2, -0.1, 7.4, 7.30, 7.32 31,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 11 11 1, 0.0, 7.2, 7.22, 7.55 32,Colgate,___________________________ 12 8 2, 0.5, 6.7, 7.18, 5.23 33,New Hampshire,_____________________ 8 11 2, -0.2, 7.4, 7.17, 6.92 34,Yale,______________________________ 8 7 2, 0.5, 6.6, 7.14, 7.70 35,Harvard,___________________________ 4 6 6, -0.4, 7.1, 6.70, 5.97 36,Brown,_____________________________ 7 7 3, 0.1, 6.5, 6.65, 7.79 37,Clarkson,__________________________ 10 10 5, 0.2, 6.4, 6.63, 5.96 38,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 6 12 2, -1.0, 7.5, 6.53, 6.17 39,Princeton,_________________________ 6 11 5, -0.6, 7.0, 6.43, 7.17 40,Minnesota State,___________________ 7 16 1, -0.8, 7.2, 6.37, 6.27 41,Air Force,_________________________ 10 7 4, 0.5, 5.8, 6.33, 5.05 42,Connecticut,_______________________ 10 10 2, 0.3, 6.0, 6.25, 7.61 43,RIT,_______________________________ 12 8 2, 0.3, 5.9, 6.18, 7.00 44,St Lawrence,_______________________ 8 12 3, -0.8, 6.9, 6.13, 5.71 45,Bowling Green,_____________________ 6 13 5, -1.0, 7.2, 6.12, 6.17 46,Niagara,___________________________ 7 8 7, -0.1, 6.2, 6.07, 6.21 47,Vermont,___________________________ 5 16 1, -1.5, 7.5, 6.04, 6.97 48,Dartmouth,_________________________ 7 7 2, -0.5, 6.5, 6.01, 5.47 49,Robert Morris,_____________________ 10 9 3, 0.0, 6.0, 6.01, 5.69 50,Mercyhurst,________________________ 13 9 2, 0.1, 5.8, 5.94, 6.30 51,Bentley,___________________________ 7 9 5, -0.3, 6.2, 5.87, 5.96 52,Holy Cross,________________________ 10 10 1, -0.3, 6.1, 5.84, 6.13 53,Rensselaer,________________________ 4 17 1, -1.6, 6.9, 5.32, 5.17 54,Canisius,__________________________ 6 13 3, -1.1, 6.1, 4.99, 4.76 55,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 2 22 1, -2.5, 7.2, 4.69, 4.77 56,American International,____________ 4 16 2, -1.4, 6.0, 4.67, 4.11 57,Army,______________________________ 2 13 6, -1.4, 6.0, 4.57, 3.69 58,Sacred Heart,______________________ 1 20 1, -2.6, 6.3, 3.74, 2.85 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 15 4 3, 0.5, 7.1, 7.64, 7.86 2,Boston University,_________________ 13 6 1, 0.3, 7.2, 7.55, 7.84 3,Boston College,____________________ 14 8 1, 0.3, 7.3, 7.53, 7.25 4,Ohio State,________________________ 14 6 3, 0.3, 7.2, 7.52, 6.86 5,Notre Dame,________________________ 13 8 3, 0.2, 7.3, 7.50, 7.61 6,Michigan,__________________________ 14 8 4, 0.2, 7.2, 7.48, 8.18 7,Western Michigan,__________________ 12 7 5, 0.2, 7.2, 7.43, 7.67 8,Northern Michigan,_________________ 10 8 5, 0.1, 7.3, 7.40, 7.39 9,Merrimack,_________________________ 12 4 5, 0.4, 7.0, 7.39, 7.45 10,Michigan State,____________________ 12 9 3, 0.1, 7.3, 7.38, 6.98 11,Massachusetts-Lowell,______________ 12 6 0, 0.3, 7.0, 7.33, 7.10 12,Ferris State,______________________ 14 8 2, 0.3, 7.1, 7.33, 7.41 13,Miami,_____________________________ 12 10 2, 0.1, 7.2, 7.32, 7.55 14,Minnesota,_________________________ 16 8 1, 0.3, 7.0, 7.32, 6.98 15,Cornell,___________________________ 10 4 3, 0.4, 6.9, 7.29, 7.62 16,Denver,____________________________ 13 8 3, 0.2, 7.1, 7.28, 7.33 17,North Dakota,______________________ 12 9 2, 0.1, 7.1, 7.25, 7.44 18,Lake Superior,_____________________ 13 10 3, 0.1, 7.1, 7.24, 6.88 19,Colorado College,__________________ 13 8 1, 0.2, 7.0, 7.23, 7.18 20,Maine,_____________________________ 10 8 3, 0.1, 7.1, 7.23, 7.52 21,Northeastern,______________________ 8 9 3, -0.1, 7.3, 7.22, 7.29 22,Union,_____________________________ 12 5 6, 0.3, 6.9, 7.16, 7.23 23,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 11 9 4, 0.1, 7.1, 7.15, 7.34 24,Massachusetts,_____________________ 8 8 5, 0.0, 7.1, 7.14, 7.57 25,Bemidji State,_____________________ 11 11 2, 0.0, 7.1, 7.13, 7.10 26,Wisconsin,_________________________ 10 10 2, 0.0, 7.1, 7.12, 7.11 27,Alaska,____________________________ 7 11 4, -0.2, 7.3, 7.09, 6.78 28,Quinnipiac,________________________ 14 8 5, 0.2, 6.9, 7.09, 7.05 29,Providence,________________________ 9 9 2, 0.0, 7.1, 7.08, 6.64 30,Colgate,___________________________ 12 8 2, 0.2, 6.9, 7.08, 6.38 31,St Cloud State,____________________ 9 11 4, -0.1, 7.2, 7.08, 7.52 32,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 11 11 1, 0.0, 7.0, 7.03, 6.99 33,New Hampshire,_____________________ 8 11 2, -0.1, 7.1, 7.01, 6.89 34,Yale,______________________________ 8 7 2, 0.1, 6.8, 6.90, 6.80 35,Harvard,___________________________ 4 6 6, -0.1, 7.0, 6.89, 6.49 36,Bowling Green,_____________________ 6 13 5, -0.3, 7.1, 6.82, 6.75 37,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 6 12 2, -0.3, 7.1, 6.82, 6.55 38,Dartmouth,_________________________ 7 7 2, 0.0, 6.8, 6.81, 6.80 39,Brown,_____________________________ 7 7 3, 0.0, 6.8, 6.81, 7.10 40,RIT,_______________________________ 12 8 2, 0.2, 6.6, 6.80, 6.85 41,Clarkson,__________________________ 10 10 5, 0.0, 6.8, 6.78, 6.70 42,St Lawrence,_______________________ 8 12 3, -0.2, 7.0, 6.78, 6.56 43,Air Force,_________________________ 10 7 4, 0.1, 6.6, 6.77, 6.20 44,Mercyhurst,________________________ 13 9 2, 0.2, 6.6, 6.76, 6.67 45,Princeton,_________________________ 6 11 5, -0.2, 7.0, 6.74, 7.15 46,Holy Cross,________________________ 10 10 1, 0.0, 6.7, 6.72, 6.87 47,Robert Morris,_____________________ 10 9 3, 0.0, 6.7, 6.72, 6.44 48,Vermont,___________________________ 5 16 1, -0.5, 7.2, 6.70, 7.02 49,Connecticut,_______________________ 10 10 2, 0.0, 6.7, 6.69, 7.29 50,Niagara,___________________________ 7 8 7, -0.0, 6.7, 6.67, 6.48 51,Minnesota State,___________________ 7 16 1, -0.4, 7.0, 6.65, 6.80 52,Bentley,___________________________ 7 9 5, -0.1, 6.7, 6.63, 6.98 53,Canisius,__________________________ 6 13 3, -0.3, 6.7, 6.40, 6.35 54,Rensselaer,________________________ 4 17 1, -0.6, 6.9, 6.35, 6.23 55,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 2 22 1, -0.8, 7.1, 6.30, 6.44 56,Army,______________________________ 2 13 6, -0.5, 6.7, 6.15, 5.90 57,American International,____________ 4 16 2, -0.5, 6.7, 6.13, 6.09 58,Sacred Heart,______________________ 1 20 1, -0.9, 6.8, 5.90, 5.79 Link to the 2007-2008 Final Rankings . The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Games that go to shootouts for decision are considered ties for ratings purposes. Actually, there are two different rankings listed. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 4. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). This was done because the NCAA has indicated that it does not want to consider goal differential in the selection process. Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States High School National Rankings New England Prep Midget Minor AAA Midget Major AAA Men's NCAA D1 USHL NAHL ACHA College Club USHSHO.com High School Ice Hockey Forums
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