Scores (sorted by team) through February 22, 2009 courtesy of USCHO.com . Previous Rankings New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting. More scores give better rankings, Minimum 3 Scores vs. D1 Competition to be Ranked Maximum Goal Differential = 7 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Boston University,_________________ 23 5 4, 1.8, 7.5, 9.33, 9.44 2,Michigan,__________________________ 24 10 0, 1.4, 7.6, 9.00, 9.60 3,Notre Dame,________________________ 25 5 3, 1.6, 7.4, 8.96, 8.66 4,Denver,____________________________ 19 9 4, 1.1, 7.7, 8.80, 9.16 5,Miami,_____________________________ 18 9 5, 1.2, 7.4, 8.59, 8.29 6,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 16 9 7, 0.7, 7.7, 8.40, 8.69 7,North Dakota,______________________ 20 11 3, 0.9, 7.5, 8.39, 9.67 8,Northeastern,______________________ 20 8 4, 0.8, 7.5, 8.34, 7.89 9,St Cloud State,____________________ 17 13 2, 0.8, 7.5, 8.33, 7.38 10,Wisconsin,_________________________ 16 13 3, 0.5, 7.8, 8.26, 7.38 11,Vermont,___________________________ 17 8 5, 0.5, 7.6, 8.14, 7.65 12,Mass-Lowell,_______________________ 15 13 2, 0.7, 7.5, 8.14, 9.45 13,Ohio State,________________________ 19 11 4, 0.6, 7.4, 8.03, 8.09 14,Minnesota,_________________________ 13 11 6, 0.2, 7.7, 7.95, 7.02 15,New Hampshire,_____________________ 16 9 5, 0.2, 7.6, 7.78, 7.71 16,Alaska,____________________________ 15 11 6, 0.3, 7.4, 7.77, 6.48 17,Massachusetts,_____________________ 14 15 3, 0.5, 7.2, 7.73, 8.20 18,St Lawrence,_______________________ 17 11 4, 0.8, 6.9, 7.72, 7.87 19,Princeton,_________________________ 20 7 0, 1.1, 6.5, 7.64, 7.92 20,Boston College,____________________ 13 12 5, -0.1, 7.7, 7.63, 5.95 21,Minnesota State,___________________ 13 15 3, -0.1, 7.6, 7.55, 8.02 22,Cornell,___________________________ 17 6 4, 0.8, 6.8, 7.54, 6.80 23,Colorado College,__________________ 16 9 8, 0.2, 7.3, 7.46, 8.66 24,Lake Superior,_____________________ 10 16 8, 0.0, 7.5, 7.45, 6.85 25,Yale,______________________________ 19 6 2, 1.1, 6.3, 7.41, 7.59 26,Northern Michigan,_________________ 12 15 5, -0.3, 7.6, 7.39, 7.77 27,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 13 15 7, -0.1, 7.4, 7.25, 5.79 28,Air Force,_________________________ 22 8 2, 1.6, 5.6, 7.20, 6.02 29,Ferris State,______________________ 12 15 7, 0.0, 7.2, 7.16, 6.36 30,Maine,_____________________________ 12 16 4, -0.4, 7.5, 7.10, 7.18 31,Western Michigan,__________________ 10 17 7, -0.5, 7.5, 7.03, 8.94 32,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 10 15 5, -0.7, 7.7, 6.97, 7.00 33,Merrimack,_________________________ 8 18 4, -0.4, 7.3, 6.93, 7.85 34,Quinnipiac,________________________ 15 14 3, 0.5, 6.4, 6.90, 6.26 35,Bowling Green,_____________________ 11 20 3, -0.9, 7.6, 6.75, 7.24 36,Michigan State,____________________ 10 19 5, -1.2, 8.0, 6.74, 7.14 37,Dartmouth,_________________________ 13 11 3, 0.2, 6.5, 6.71, 5.02 38,Bemidji State,_____________________ 15 14 1, 0.0, 6.7, 6.71, 6.75 39,Niagara,___________________________ 15 13 2, 0.1, 6.4, 6.55, 5.59 40,RIT,_______________________________ 20 10 2, 0.9, 5.5, 6.42, 7.24 41,Union,_____________________________ 15 14 3, -0.1, 6.5, 6.40, 5.86 42,Mercyhurst,________________________ 17 14 3, 0.6, 5.7, 6.31, 6.92 43,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 5 22 7, -1.6, 7.9, 6.29, 6.38 44,Colgate,___________________________ 10 16 6, -0.6, 6.9, 6.26, 6.65 45,Clarkson,__________________________ 9 16 7, -0.7, 6.8, 6.17, 7.18 46,Bentley,___________________________ 17 14 1, 0.2, 5.9, 6.12, 7.44 47,Providence,________________________ 7 18 5, -1.4, 7.5, 6.10, 5.71 48,Harvard,___________________________ 7 14 6, -0.9, 6.9, 5.94, 7.46 49,Canisius,__________________________ 14 12 6, 0.3, 5.5, 5.75, 5.57 50,Robert Morris,_____________________ 8 17 5, -0.9, 6.5, 5.58, 7.18 51,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 5 18 3, -1.2, 6.6, 5.47, 4.79 52,Rensselaer,________________________ 7 23 2, -1.6, 6.9, 5.32, 5.08 53,Holy Cross,________________________ 10 17 5, -0.7, 5.9, 5.19, 4.07 54,Army,______________________________ 10 17 5, -0.8, 5.9, 5.11, 5.96 55,Brown,_____________________________ 3 20 4, -2.0, 6.7, 4.77, 5.24 56,Sacred Heart,______________________ 8 20 4, -1.3, 5.9, 4.60, 4.08 57,Connecticut,_______________________ 8 25 1, -1.6, 6.1, 4.48, 5.10 58,American Int'l,____________________ 5 26 1, -2.4, 5.8, 3.39, 2.44 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Boston University,_________________ 23 5 4, 0.6, 7.2, 7.76, 7.75 2,Notre Dame,________________________ 25 5 3, 0.6, 7.0, 7.65, 7.69 3,Michigan,__________________________ 24 10 0, 0.4, 7.2, 7.56, 7.71 4,Northeastern,______________________ 20 8 4, 0.4, 7.2, 7.56, 7.30 5,Denver,____________________________ 19 9 4, 0.3, 7.2, 7.50, 7.73 6,Vermont,___________________________ 17 8 5, 0.3, 7.2, 7.49, 6.98 7,New Hampshire,_____________________ 16 9 5, 0.2, 7.2, 7.43, 7.44 8,North Dakota,______________________ 20 11 3, 0.3, 7.2, 7.42, 8.11 9,Princeton,_________________________ 20 7 0, 0.5, 6.9, 7.39, 7.62 10,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 16 9 7, 0.2, 7.2, 7.39, 7.56 11,Cornell,___________________________ 17 6 4, 0.4, 7.0, 7.38, 6.73 12,Miami,_____________________________ 18 9 5, 0.3, 7.1, 7.37, 7.36 13,Yale,______________________________ 19 6 2, 0.5, 6.8, 7.32, 7.36 14,Ohio State,________________________ 19 11 4, 0.2, 7.1, 7.31, 7.34 15,Wisconsin,_________________________ 16 13 3, 0.1, 7.2, 7.30, 7.19 16,Minnesota,_________________________ 13 11 6, 0.1, 7.2, 7.28, 6.77 17,St Cloud State,____________________ 17 13 2, 0.1, 7.1, 7.27, 7.18 18,Colorado College,__________________ 16 9 8, 0.2, 7.1, 7.26, 7.71 19,Boston College,____________________ 13 12 5, 0.0, 7.2, 7.26, 6.82 20,Mass-Lowell,_______________________ 15 13 2, 0.1, 7.2, 7.25, 7.92 21,St Lawrence,_______________________ 17 11 4, 0.2, 7.0, 7.24, 7.37 22,Alaska,____________________________ 15 11 6, 0.1, 7.1, 7.19, 7.18 23,Minnesota State,___________________ 13 15 3, -0.1, 7.2, 7.13, 7.16 24,Massachusetts,_____________________ 14 15 3, -0.0, 7.1, 7.10, 7.49 25,Northern Michigan,_________________ 12 15 5, -0.1, 7.1, 7.05, 7.38 26,Maine,_____________________________ 12 16 4, -0.1, 7.2, 7.05, 7.03 27,Air Force,_________________________ 22 8 2, 0.4, 6.6, 7.04, 7.14 28,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 13 15 7, -0.1, 7.1, 7.01, 6.46 29,Dartmouth,_________________________ 13 11 3, 0.1, 6.9, 7.01, 6.51 30,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 10 15 5, -0.2, 7.2, 7.01, 6.94 31,Michigan State,____________________ 10 19 5, -0.3, 7.2, 6.96, 7.45 32,Union,_____________________________ 15 14 3, 0.0, 6.9, 6.93, 6.88 33,Lake Superior,_____________________ 10 16 8, -0.2, 7.1, 6.92, 6.62 34,Quinnipiac,________________________ 15 14 3, 0.0, 6.9, 6.92, 6.50 35,Ferris State,______________________ 12 15 7, -0.1, 7.0, 6.90, 6.42 36,Western Michigan,__________________ 10 17 7, -0.2, 7.1, 6.89, 7.25 37,RIT,_______________________________ 20 10 2, 0.3, 6.6, 6.88, 7.24 38,Bowling Green,_____________________ 11 20 3, -0.3, 7.1, 6.87, 6.75 39,Bemidji State,_____________________ 15 14 1, 0.0, 6.8, 6.87, 7.00 40,Niagara,___________________________ 15 13 2, 0.1, 6.8, 6.85, 6.39 41,Colgate,___________________________ 10 16 6, -0.2, 7.0, 6.83, 7.23 42,Providence,________________________ 7 18 5, -0.4, 7.2, 6.81, 6.59 43,Merrimack,_________________________ 8 18 4, -0.3, 7.1, 6.80, 7.39 44,Clarkson,__________________________ 9 16 7, -0.2, 7.0, 6.79, 7.06 45,Bentley,___________________________ 17 14 1, 0.1, 6.7, 6.77, 6.99 46,Harvard,___________________________ 7 14 6, -0.3, 7.0, 6.76, 7.30 47,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 5 22 7, -0.5, 7.2, 6.74, 6.52 48,Mercyhurst,________________________ 17 14 3, 0.1, 6.6, 6.71, 6.99 49,Canisius,__________________________ 14 12 6, 0.1, 6.5, 6.61, 6.57 50,Rensselaer,________________________ 7 23 2, -0.5, 7.0, 6.54, 6.36 51,Holy Cross,________________________ 10 17 5, -0.2, 6.7, 6.48, 5.92 52,Robert Morris,_____________________ 8 17 5, -0.3, 6.8, 6.47, 7.06 53,Army,______________________________ 10 17 5, -0.2, 6.7, 6.45, 6.80 54,Brown,_____________________________ 3 20 4, -0.6, 7.0, 6.36, 6.31 55,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 5 18 3, -0.5, 6.9, 6.36, 6.10 56,Sacred Heart,______________________ 8 20 4, -0.4, 6.7, 6.33, 5.75 57,Connecticut,_______________________ 8 25 1, -0.5, 6.7, 6.22, 6.32 58,American Int'l,____________________ 5 26 1, -0.7, 6.6, 5.97, 5.82 Link to the 2007-2008 Final Rankings . The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Games that go to shootouts for decision are considered ties for ratings purposes. Actually, there are two different rankings listed. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 4. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). This was done because the NCAA has indicated that it does not want to consider goal differential in the selection process. Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Note that the current spread between #1 and #58 is about 1.7 . Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States High School National Rankings New England Prep Midget Minor AAA Midget Major AAA Men's NCAA D1 USHL NAHL ACHA College Club USHSHO.com High School Ice Hockey Forums
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