Scores (sorted by team) through March 8, 2008 courtesy of USCHO.com . Previous Rankings New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting. More scores give better rankings, Minimum 3 Scores vs. D1 Competition to be Ranked Maximum Goal Differential = 4 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Colorado College,__________________ 26 9 1, 1.3, 7.9, 9.22, 10.35 2,North Dakota,______________________ 22 9 4, 1.1, 8.0, 9.12, 8.32 3,Michigan,__________________________ 27 5 4, 1.6, 7.4, 9.08, 8.03 4,Miami,_____________________________ 29 6 1, 1.9, 7.1, 9.00, 7.76 5,New Hampshire,_____________________ 23 8 3, 1.0, 7.5, 8.56, 8.35 6,St Cloud State,____________________ 17 14 5, 0.5, 8.0, 8.46, 9.07 7,Denver,____________________________ 22 13 1, 0.4, 8.0, 8.40, 7.57 8,Michigan State,____________________ 23 9 5, 1.0, 7.4, 8.34, 9.63 9,Wisconsin,_________________________ 15 14 7, 0.3, 8.0, 8.28, 8.17 10,Boston College,____________________ 17 11 8, 0.8, 7.4, 8.18, 6.96 11,Minnesota State,___________________ 18 14 4, 0.3, 7.8, 8.10, 7.75 12,Minnesota,_________________________ 15 14 9, 0.0, 7.9, 7.91, 8.68 13,Notre Dame,________________________ 22 12 4, 0.7, 7.2, 7.89, 5.85 14,Boston University,_________________ 17 15 4, 0.4, 7.5, 7.87, 8.68 15,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 13 15 6, -0.4, 8.1, 7.75, 6.86 16,Massachusetts,_____________________ 14 14 6, 0.3, 7.4, 7.69, 8.25 17,Clarkson,__________________________ 20 10 4, 0.4, 7.1, 7.56, 7.59 18,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 13 18 5, -0.5, 8.0, 7.56, 7.29 19,Providence,________________________ 14 15 5, 0.0, 7.4, 7.42, 6.56 20,Ferris State,______________________ 17 14 5, 0.4, 7.0, 7.39, 7.87 21,Mass-Lowell,_______________________ 15 15 4, 0.1, 7.3, 7.38, 6.51 22,Princeton,_________________________ 17 12 0, 0.4, 6.9, 7.35, 8.26 23,Harvard,___________________________ 14 11 4, 0.3, 7.0, 7.34, 8.75 24,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 7 19 8, -0.8, 8.1, 7.31, 6.62 25,Northern Michigan,_________________ 16 18 4, -0.1, 7.3, 7.27, 6.95 26,Cornell,___________________________ 15 13 3, 0.3, 6.9, 7.24, 7.04 27,Northeastern,______________________ 15 16 3, -0.3, 7.5, 7.19, 6.80 28,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 16 17 4, -0.2, 7.3, 7.18, 6.86 29,Bemidji State,_____________________ 17 14 3, 0.5, 6.6, 7.17, 8.08 30,Vermont,___________________________ 14 13 7, -0.4, 7.5, 7.06, 7.52 31,Maine,_____________________________ 13 18 3, -0.4, 7.4, 7.05, 8.51 32,Quinnipiac,________________________ 19 13 4, 0.4, 6.6, 6.98, 6.01 33,Bowling Green,_____________________ 17 19 0, -0.3, 7.2, 6.95, 5.68 34,Niagara,___________________________ 20 10 4, 0.9, 6.1, 6.94, 7.46 35,Colgate,___________________________ 15 15 6, 0.1, 6.7, 6.88, 6.15 36,Dartmouth,_________________________ 12 15 4, -0.1, 6.9, 6.84, 7.87 37,Alaska,____________________________ 9 20 5, -0.6, 7.5, 6.83, 6.72 38,St Lawrence,_______________________ 13 19 4, -0.1, 6.9, 6.79, 7.76 39,Yale,______________________________ 15 12 4, 0.1, 6.7, 6.75, 6.41 40,Merrimack,_________________________ 12 18 4, -0.6, 7.3, 6.72, 6.98 41,Union,_____________________________ 15 12 6, -0.2, 6.9, 6.69, 6.18 42,Lake Superior,_____________________ 10 19 7, -0.8, 7.5, 6.67, 8.25 43,Ohio State,________________________ 12 24 4, -0.8, 7.4, 6.61, 7.49 44,Air Force,_________________________ 19 11 6, 0.8, 5.6, 6.42, 6.92 45,Rensselaer,________________________ 11 23 4, -0.8, 7.0, 6.17, 5.54 46,Western Michigan,__________________ 8 27 3, -1.1, 7.2, 6.10, 6.51 47,Robert Morris,_____________________ 15 14 4, -0.3, 6.4, 6.09, 4.44 48,Army,______________________________ 19 13 4, 0.7, 5.3, 5.98, 7.88 49,RIT,_______________________________ 19 11 6, 0.4, 5.6, 5.93, 6.92 50,Brown,_____________________________ 6 21 4, -1.1, 7.0, 5.91, 5.83 51,Wayne State,_______________________ 10 24 2, -1.2, 6.7, 5.52, 4.66 52,Sacred Heart,______________________ 15 18 3, -0.1, 5.5, 5.44, 5.05 53,Canisius,__________________________ 11 20 6, -0.5, 5.8, 5.32, 4.91 54,Mercyhurst,________________________ 13 18 7, -0.6, 5.9, 5.28, 5.44 55,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 6 20 4, -1.5, 6.6, 5.09, 6.12 56,Holy Cross,________________________ 10 19 7, -0.7, 5.6, 4.92, 3.14 57,Bentley,___________________________ 9 21 6, -0.9, 5.7, 4.75, 3.14 58,Connecticut,_______________________ 13 20 3, -0.9, 5.6, 4.69, 6.42 59,American Int'l,____________________ 8 23 5, -1.2, 5.6, 4.40, 3.30 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Colorado College,__________________ 26 9 1, 0.5, 7.3, 7.79, 8.03 2,Michigan,__________________________ 27 5 4, 0.6, 7.1, 7.73, 7.39 3,North Dakota,______________________ 22 9 4, 0.4, 7.4, 7.73, 7.49 4,New Hampshire,_____________________ 23 8 3, 0.4, 7.2, 7.63, 7.53 5,Miami,_____________________________ 29 6 1, 0.6, 7.0, 7.62, 7.35 6,Denver,____________________________ 22 13 1, 0.3, 7.3, 7.56, 7.20 7,Michigan State,____________________ 23 9 5, 0.4, 7.1, 7.48, 7.79 8,St Cloud State,____________________ 17 14 5, 0.1, 7.3, 7.41, 7.68 9,Wisconsin,_________________________ 15 14 7, 0.0, 7.3, 7.37, 7.36 10,Minnesota State,___________________ 18 14 4, 0.1, 7.3, 7.37, 7.21 11,Boston College,____________________ 17 11 8, 0.2, 7.2, 7.35, 6.84 12,Clarkson,__________________________ 20 10 4, 0.3, 7.0, 7.33, 7.38 13,Minnesota,_________________________ 15 14 9, 0.0, 7.3, 7.32, 7.40 14,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 13 15 6, -0.1, 7.4, 7.31, 6.98 15,Notre Dame,________________________ 22 12 4, 0.3, 7.0, 7.30, 6.50 16,Boston University,_________________ 17 15 4, 0.1, 7.2, 7.25, 7.76 17,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 13 18 5, -0.1, 7.3, 7.20, 7.25 18,Vermont,___________________________ 14 13 7, 0.0, 7.2, 7.20, 7.49 19,Massachusetts,_____________________ 14 14 6, 0.0, 7.2, 7.18, 7.28 20,Princeton,_________________________ 17 12 0, 0.2, 7.0, 7.16, 7.20 21,Northeastern,______________________ 15 16 3, -0.0, 7.2, 7.15, 6.64 22,Providence,________________________ 14 15 5, -0.0, 7.2, 7.14, 6.83 23,Mass-Lowell,_______________________ 15 15 4, 0.0, 7.1, 7.13, 6.91 24,Harvard,___________________________ 14 11 4, 0.1, 7.0, 7.12, 7.71 25,Ferris State,______________________ 17 14 5, 0.1, 7.0, 7.06, 7.30 26,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 16 17 4, -0.0, 7.1, 7.05, 6.81 27,Cornell,___________________________ 15 13 3, 0.1, 7.0, 7.05, 6.79 28,Northern Michigan,_________________ 16 18 4, -0.1, 7.1, 7.04, 6.90 29,Union,_____________________________ 15 12 6, 0.1, 6.9, 7.04, 6.92 30,Maine,_____________________________ 13 18 3, -0.1, 7.2, 7.03, 7.77 31,Quinnipiac,________________________ 19 13 4, 0.2, 6.9, 7.02, 6.63 32,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 7 19 8, -0.4, 7.4, 7.00, 6.63 33,Bemidji State,_____________________ 17 14 3, 0.1, 6.9, 7.00, 7.65 34,Yale,______________________________ 15 12 4, 0.1, 6.9, 7.00, 7.00 35,Niagara,___________________________ 20 10 4, 0.3, 6.7, 6.99, 6.81 36,Bowling Green,_____________________ 17 19 0, -0.1, 7.0, 6.99, 6.96 37,Merrimack,_________________________ 12 18 4, -0.2, 7.1, 6.94, 6.95 38,Colgate,___________________________ 15 15 6, 0.0, 6.9, 6.93, 6.93 39,Lake Superior,_____________________ 10 19 7, -0.3, 7.2, 6.90, 7.37 40,Dartmouth,_________________________ 12 15 4, -0.1, 7.0, 6.89, 7.21 41,St Lawrence,_______________________ 13 19 4, -0.2, 7.0, 6.82, 7.22 42,Robert Morris,_____________________ 15 14 4, 0.0, 6.8, 6.82, 6.37 43,Ohio State,________________________ 12 24 4, -0.3, 7.1, 6.81, 6.93 44,Alaska,____________________________ 9 20 5, -0.3, 7.1, 6.80, 6.64 45,Air Force,_________________________ 19 11 6, 0.2, 6.5, 6.76, 7.01 46,RIT,_______________________________ 19 11 6, 0.2, 6.5, 6.73, 7.30 47,Rensselaer,________________________ 11 23 4, -0.3, 7.0, 6.70, 6.37 48,Army,______________________________ 19 13 4, 0.2, 6.4, 6.60, 7.27 49,Brown,_____________________________ 6 21 4, -0.5, 7.0, 6.54, 6.38 50,Western Michigan,__________________ 8 27 3, -0.5, 7.0, 6.53, 6.67 51,Wayne State,_______________________ 10 24 2, -0.4, 6.9, 6.50, 6.28 52,Mercyhurst,________________________ 13 18 7, -0.1, 6.6, 6.48, 6.44 53,Sacred Heart,______________________ 15 18 3, -0.1, 6.5, 6.44, 6.23 54,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 6 20 4, -0.5, 6.9, 6.42, 6.82 55,Canisius,__________________________ 11 20 6, -0.2, 6.6, 6.37, 6.14 56,Connecticut,_______________________ 13 20 3, -0.2, 6.5, 6.32, 6.92 57,Holy Cross,________________________ 10 19 7, -0.3, 6.6, 6.30, 5.51 58,Bentley,___________________________ 9 21 6, -0.3, 6.5, 6.21, 5.72 59,American Int'l,____________________ 8 23 5, -0.4, 6.5, 6.13, 5.81 Link to the 2006-2007 Final Rankings . The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Games that go to shootouts for decision are considered ties for ratings purposes. Actually, there are two different rankings listed. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 4. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). This was done because the NCAA has indicated that it does not want to consider goal differential in the selection process. Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Note that the current spread between #1 and #59 is about 2.7 . Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States High School National Rankings New England Prep Midget Minor AAA Midget Major AAA Men's NCAA D1 USHL NAHL ACHA College Club USHSHO.com High School Ice Hockey Forums
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