Scores (sorted by team) through March 21, 2009 courtesy of USCHO.com . Previous Rankings New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting. More scores give better rankings, Minimum 3 Scores vs. D1 Competition to be Ranked Maximum Goal Differential = 7 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Boston University,_________________ 31 6 4, 1.9, 7.4, 9.34, 8.24 2,Michigan,__________________________ 29 11 0, 1.6, 7.6, 9.13, 9.67 3,Notre Dame,________________________ 31 5 3, 1.8, 7.4, 9.12, 10.41 4,Denver,____________________________ 23 11 5, 1.0, 7.8, 8.76, 9.53 5,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 21 12 8, 0.7, 7.8, 8.52, 6.49 6,Wisconsin,_________________________ 20 16 4, 0.6, 7.9, 8.50, 7.29 7,Miami,_____________________________ 20 12 5, 0.9, 7.4, 8.36, 5.86 8,Northeastern,______________________ 25 11 4, 0.8, 7.6, 8.34, 7.88 9,Mass-Lowell,_______________________ 20 16 2, 0.7, 7.6, 8.24, 8.47 10,North Dakota,______________________ 24 14 4, 0.6, 7.6, 8.24, 8.46 11,Minnesota,_________________________ 17 13 7, 0.4, 7.8, 8.14, 7.67 12,St Cloud State,____________________ 18 17 3, 0.4, 7.7, 8.09, 7.23 13,Ohio State,________________________ 23 14 4, 0.7, 7.4, 8.04, 8.00 14,Vermont,___________________________ 20 11 5, 0.4, 7.6, 8.03, 8.01 15,Northern Michigan,_________________ 19 17 5, 0.2, 7.6, 7.83, 8.97 16,Boston College,____________________ 18 14 5, 0.2, 7.6, 7.83, 7.39 17,New Hampshire,_____________________ 19 12 5, 0.1, 7.6, 7.69, 7.08 18,St Lawrence,_______________________ 21 12 5, 0.8, 6.8, 7.67, 7.67 19,Alaska,____________________________ 17 16 6, 0.2, 7.5, 7.65, 8.02 20,Minnesota State,___________________ 15 17 6, -0.1, 7.7, 7.62, 9.09 21,Massachusetts,_____________________ 16 20 3, 0.2, 7.4, 7.60, 6.81 22,Yale,______________________________ 24 7 2, 1.2, 6.3, 7.52, 8.59 23,Colorado College,__________________ 16 12 10, 0.0, 7.5, 7.47, 8.71 24,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 14 17 5, -0.4, 7.8, 7.37, 7.53 25,Princeton,_________________________ 22 11 1, 0.8, 6.6, 7.32, 6.71 26,Lake Superior,_____________________ 11 20 8, -0.1, 7.4, 7.30, 7.50 27,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 15 17 8, -0.1, 7.4, 7.29, 7.91 28,Cornell,___________________________ 21 9 4, 0.6, 6.6, 7.17, 6.21 29,Air Force,_________________________ 27 10 2, 1.6, 5.6, 7.13, 7.25 30,Maine,_____________________________ 13 22 4, -0.6, 7.7, 7.04, 7.60 31,Western Michigan,__________________ 14 20 7, -0.5, 7.5, 7.02, 6.43 32,Ferris State,______________________ 12 19 7, -0.4, 7.2, 6.84, 5.97 33,Merrimack,_________________________ 9 21 4, -0.5, 7.3, 6.82, 6.26 34,Quinnipiac,________________________ 18 18 3, 0.4, 6.4, 6.78, 6.20 35,Bemidji State,_____________________ 18 15 1, 0.1, 6.5, 6.65, 7.25 36,Union,_____________________________ 19 17 3, 0.1, 6.5, 6.58, 8.17 37,Michigan State,____________________ 10 23 5, -1.5, 8.0, 6.54, 6.04 38,Bowling Green,_____________________ 11 24 3, -1.1, 7.6, 6.51, 6.11 39,Dartmouth,_________________________ 14 14 3, 0.0, 6.4, 6.48, 5.46 40,Mercyhurst,________________________ 22 15 3, 0.8, 5.6, 6.46, 8.11 41,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 6 25 7, -1.6, 8.0, 6.42, 7.09 42,RIT,_______________________________ 23 13 2, 0.8, 5.6, 6.38, 6.02 43,Niagara,___________________________ 16 14 6, 0.2, 6.2, 6.36, 6.34 44,Colgate,___________________________ 12 18 7, -0.5, 6.8, 6.22, 5.99 45,Providence,________________________ 7 22 5, -1.6, 7.6, 5.95, 4.99 46,Clarkson,__________________________ 10 19 7, -0.8, 6.7, 5.94, 4.51 47,Harvard,___________________________ 9 16 6, -0.8, 6.7, 5.88, 4.91 48,Bentley,___________________________ 19 17 2, 0.1, 5.8, 5.87, 6.18 49,Robert Morris,_____________________ 10 19 7, -0.8, 6.4, 5.61, 6.98 50,Canisius,__________________________ 15 16 6, 0.1, 5.5, 5.58, 5.90 51,Rensselaer,________________________ 10 27 2, -1.4, 6.8, 5.41, 6.69 52,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 5 20 5, -1.2, 6.6, 5.36, 5.59 53,Holy Cross,________________________ 13 20 5, -0.6, 5.8, 5.13, 5.21 54,Brown,_____________________________ 5 23 5, -1.7, 6.7, 5.00, 6.12 55,Army,______________________________ 11 19 6, -0.9, 5.8, 4.86, 4.18 56,Sacred Heart,______________________ 11 23 4, -1.3, 5.9, 4.64, 5.46 57,Connecticut,_______________________ 9 26 2, -1.4, 6.0, 4.56, 4.92 58,American Int'l,____________________ 5 28 2, -2.3, 5.7, 3.40, 3.30 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Boston University,_________________ 31 6 4, 0.6, 7.2, 7.77, 7.73 2,Notre Dame,________________________ 31 5 3, 0.7, 7.0, 7.71, 8.25 3,Michigan,__________________________ 29 11 0, 0.5, 7.1, 7.57, 7.72 4,Northeastern,______________________ 25 11 4, 0.4, 7.2, 7.53, 7.06 5,Denver,____________________________ 23 11 5, 0.3, 7.2, 7.53, 7.68 6,Vermont,___________________________ 20 11 5, 0.3, 7.2, 7.44, 6.99 7,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 21 12 8, 0.2, 7.2, 7.44, 6.55 8,North Dakota,______________________ 24 14 4, 0.2, 7.2, 7.41, 7.66 9,New Hampshire,_____________________ 19 12 5, 0.2, 7.2, 7.39, 6.88 10,Wisconsin,_________________________ 20 16 4, 0.1, 7.3, 7.36, 6.94 11,Yale,______________________________ 24 7 2, 0.5, 6.8, 7.35, 7.88 12,Boston College,____________________ 18 14 5, 0.1, 7.2, 7.34, 7.56 13,Minnesota,_________________________ 17 13 7, 0.1, 7.2, 7.33, 7.14 14,Mass-Lowell,_______________________ 20 16 2, 0.1, 7.2, 7.32, 7.63 15,Miami,_____________________________ 20 12 5, 0.2, 7.1, 7.31, 6.33 16,Cornell,___________________________ 21 9 4, 0.4, 6.9, 7.28, 7.07 17,Ohio State,________________________ 23 14 4, 0.2, 7.1, 7.28, 7.19 18,Princeton,_________________________ 22 11 1, 0.3, 6.9, 7.25, 7.08 19,St Lawrence,_______________________ 21 12 5, 0.2, 7.0, 7.24, 7.41 20,Colorado College,__________________ 16 12 10, 0.1, 7.1, 7.23, 7.60 21,St Cloud State,____________________ 18 17 3, 0.0, 7.2, 7.23, 7.24 22,Northern Michigan,_________________ 19 17 5, 0.0, 7.1, 7.18, 7.55 23,Minnesota State,___________________ 15 17 6, -0.1, 7.2, 7.17, 7.52 24,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 14 17 5, -0.1, 7.2, 7.14, 7.21 25,Alaska,____________________________ 17 16 6, 0.0, 7.1, 7.12, 7.12 26,Massachusetts,_____________________ 16 20 3, -0.1, 7.2, 7.06, 7.06 27,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 15 17 8, -0.1, 7.1, 7.03, 7.25 28,Air Force,_________________________ 27 10 2, 0.4, 6.6, 7.02, 7.11 29,Maine,_____________________________ 13 22 4, -0.2, 7.2, 7.00, 7.05 30,Union,_____________________________ 19 17 3, 0.1, 6.9, 6.96, 7.23 31,Western Michigan,__________________ 14 20 7, -0.1, 7.1, 6.92, 6.94 32,Dartmouth,_________________________ 14 14 3, 0.0, 6.9, 6.91, 6.38 33,Michigan State,____________________ 10 23 5, -0.3, 7.2, 6.90, 6.94 34,Quinnipiac,________________________ 18 18 3, 0.0, 6.9, 6.88, 6.78 35,Bemidji State,_____________________ 18 15 1, 0.1, 6.8, 6.87, 6.82 36,Lake Superior,_____________________ 11 20 8, -0.2, 7.1, 6.85, 6.68 37,RIT,_______________________________ 23 13 2, 0.3, 6.6, 6.83, 6.50 38,Ferris State,______________________ 12 19 7, -0.2, 7.0, 6.82, 6.49 39,Colgate,___________________________ 12 18 7, -0.2, 7.0, 6.81, 6.67 40,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 6 25 7, -0.5, 7.3, 6.79, 6.95 41,Bowling Green,_____________________ 11 24 3, -0.3, 7.1, 6.79, 6.83 42,Merrimack,_________________________ 9 21 4, -0.4, 7.1, 6.78, 6.57 43,Mercyhurst,________________________ 22 15 3, 0.2, 6.6, 6.77, 7.38 44,Providence,________________________ 7 22 5, -0.4, 7.2, 6.77, 6.38 45,Niagara,___________________________ 16 14 6, 0.1, 6.7, 6.76, 6.38 46,Harvard,___________________________ 9 16 6, -0.2, 7.0, 6.75, 5.86 47,Clarkson,__________________________ 10 19 7, -0.3, 7.0, 6.71, 6.14 48,Bentley,___________________________ 19 17 2, 0.1, 6.6, 6.69, 6.92 49,Rensselaer,________________________ 10 27 2, -0.4, 7.0, 6.59, 7.33 50,Canisius,__________________________ 15 16 6, -0.0, 6.5, 6.52, 6.70 51,Robert Morris,_____________________ 10 19 7, -0.3, 6.7, 6.50, 6.73 52,Holy Cross,________________________ 13 20 5, -0.2, 6.6, 6.47, 6.67 53,Brown,_____________________________ 5 23 5, -0.5, 7.0, 6.43, 6.80 54,Army,______________________________ 11 19 6, -0.2, 6.6, 6.40, 6.44 55,Sacred Heart,______________________ 11 23 4, -0.3, 6.7, 6.36, 6.61 56,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 5 20 5, -0.5, 6.8, 6.34, 6.45 57,Connecticut,_______________________ 9 26 2, -0.5, 6.7, 6.24, 6.20 58,American Int'l,____________________ 5 28 2, -0.7, 6.6, 5.94, 5.90 Link to the 2007-2008 Final Rankings . The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Games that go to shootouts for decision are considered ties for ratings purposes. Actually, there are two different rankings listed. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 4. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). This was done because the NCAA has indicated that it does not want to consider goal differential in the selection process. Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Note that the current spread between #1 and #58 is about 1.7 . Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States High School National Rankings New England Prep Midget Minor AAA Midget Major AAA Men's NCAA D1 USHL NAHL ACHA College Club USHSHO.com High School Ice Hockey Forums
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