Scores (sorted by team) through March 30, 2014 courtesy of USCHO.com . Previous Rankings New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting. Maximum Goal Differential = 4 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Boston College,____________________ 28 7 4, 1.5, 7.4, 8.90, 8.28 2,Minnesota,_________________________ 27 6 6, 1.4, 7.4, 8.80, 8.01 3,Union,_____________________________ 30 6 4, 1.6, 7.1, 8.74, 10.10 4,Quinnipiac,________________________ 24 10 6, 1.2, 7.1, 8.33, 7.79 5,Massachusetts-Lowell,______________ 26 11 4, 0.9, 7.4, 8.27, 9.96 6,Notre Dame,________________________ 23 15 2, 0.8, 7.5, 8.21, 8.37 7,Vermont,___________________________ 20 15 3, 0.4, 7.6, 7.99, 7.49 8,Providence,________________________ 22 11 6, 0.6, 7.3, 7.99, 8.91 9,St Cloud State,____________________ 22 11 5, 0.6, 7.3, 7.91, 7.20 10,New Hampshire,_____________________ 22 18 1, 0.4, 7.5, 7.91, 7.59 11,Ferris State,______________________ 29 11 3, 0.9, 7.0, 7.85, 7.13 12,Minnesota State,___________________ 26 14 1, 0.8, 7.0, 7.78, 9.07 13,Maine,_____________________________ 16 15 4, 0.4, 7.3, 7.78, 6.70 14,North Dakota,______________________ 25 13 3, 0.5, 7.2, 7.76, 8.49 15,Wisconsin,_________________________ 24 11 2, 0.6, 7.1, 7.73, 6.84 16,Yale,______________________________ 17 11 5, 0.6, 7.1, 7.71, 8.15 17,Michigan,__________________________ 18 13 4, 0.4, 7.3, 7.70, 8.49 18,Ohio State,________________________ 18 14 5, 0.4, 7.2, 7.60, 7.55 19,Northeastern,______________________ 19 14 4, 0.2, 7.3, 7.56, 6.23 20,Colgate,___________________________ 20 14 5, 0.2, 7.4, 7.53, 7.62 21,Denver,____________________________ 20 16 6, 0.3, 7.1, 7.47, 8.39 22,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 16 16 4, -0.0, 7.5, 7.46, 7.26 23,Alaska,____________________________ 18 15 4, 0.5, 7.0, 7.45, 7.20 24,Cornell,___________________________ 17 10 5, 0.1, 7.2, 7.37, 6.75 25,Miami,_____________________________ 15 20 3, -0.1, 7.4, 7.33, 8.71 26,Bowling Green,_____________________ 18 15 6, 0.2, 7.0, 7.27, 7.96 27,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 17 18 2, -0.1, 7.3, 7.24, 6.27 28,Western Michigan,__________________ 19 16 5, -0.1, 7.3, 7.23, 7.18 29,Rensselaer,________________________ 15 16 6, 0.0, 7.2, 7.19, 6.90 30,St Lawrence,_______________________ 15 19 4, -0.2, 7.3, 7.08, 7.71 31,Clarkson,__________________________ 21 17 4, 0.0, 7.0, 7.01, 7.82 32,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 18 16 4, -0.0, 7.0, 7.00, 7.93 33,Brown,_____________________________ 11 17 3, -0.3, 7.3, 7.00, 6.21 34,Northern Michigan,_________________ 15 21 2, -0.1, 7.1, 6.98, 7.04 35,Harvard,___________________________ 10 17 4, -0.4, 7.3, 6.95, 6.06 36,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 14 19 7, -0.3, 7.2, 6.90, 6.22 37,Massachusetts,_____________________ 8 22 4, -0.7, 7.6, 6.90, 6.96 38,Michigan State,____________________ 11 18 7, -0.4, 7.2, 6.82, 6.89 39,Lake Superior,_____________________ 16 19 1, -0.4, 7.2, 6.72, 5.99 40,Boston University,_________________ 10 21 4, -0.8, 7.5, 6.71, 7.95 41,Dartmouth,_________________________ 10 20 4, -0.8, 7.4, 6.60, 6.61 42,Mercyhurst,________________________ 21 13 7, 0.5, 6.1, 6.60, 7.04 43,Bemidji State,_____________________ 10 21 7, -0.6, 7.2, 6.59, 5.58 44,Merrimack,_________________________ 8 22 3, -1.0, 7.6, 6.56, 6.51 45,Bentley,___________________________ 19 14 4, 0.6, 5.8, 6.45, 6.55 46,Colorado College,__________________ 7 24 6, -1.2, 7.5, 6.33, 6.22 47,Air Force,_________________________ 21 14 4, 0.3, 6.0, 6.26, 5.56 48,Penn State,________________________ 8 26 2, -1.2, 7.5, 6.21, 7.47 49,Robert Morris,_____________________ 19 18 5, 0.3, 5.8, 6.14, 7.26 50,Connecticut,_______________________ 18 14 4, 0.1, 5.9, 5.93, 4.76 51,Canisius,__________________________ 17 21 3, -0.2, 6.0, 5.87, 6.22 52,Niagara,___________________________ 15 20 5, -0.2, 6.0, 5.76, 6.30 53,Holy Cross,________________________ 14 22 3, -0.4, 6.0, 5.53, 5.73 54,Princeton,_________________________ 6 26 0, -1.9, 7.4, 5.50, 5.03 55,RIT,_______________________________ 12 20 5, -0.8, 6.0, 5.16, 5.47 56,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 2 35 1, -2.7, 7.3, 4.67, 4.97 57,Sacred Heart,______________________ 12 24 0, -1.3, 5.9, 4.67, 5.21 58,American International,____________ 10 25 1, -1.4, 6.0, 4.58, 3.79 59,Army,______________________________ 6 28 0, -1.7, 5.9, 4.18, 5.30 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Minnesota,_________________________ 27 6 6, 0.5, 7.1, 7.68, 7.35 2,Union,_____________________________ 30 6 4, 0.6, 7.1, 7.66, 8.21 3,Boston College,____________________ 28 7 4, 0.5, 7.1, 7.64, 7.53 4,Massachusetts-Lowell,______________ 26 11 4, 0.4, 7.1, 7.44, 7.97 5,Ferris State,______________________ 29 11 3, 0.4, 7.0, 7.43, 7.39 6,St Cloud State,____________________ 22 11 5, 0.3, 7.1, 7.42, 6.98 7,Wisconsin,_________________________ 24 11 2, 0.4, 7.0, 7.40, 7.20 8,North Dakota,______________________ 25 13 3, 0.3, 7.1, 7.39, 7.77 9,Quinnipiac,________________________ 24 10 6, 0.3, 7.0, 7.37, 7.22 10,Notre Dame,________________________ 23 15 2, 0.2, 7.1, 7.35, 7.36 11,Providence,________________________ 22 11 6, 0.3, 7.1, 7.34, 7.50 12,Minnesota State,___________________ 26 14 1, 0.3, 7.0, 7.32, 7.77 13,Cornell,___________________________ 17 10 5, 0.2, 7.1, 7.30, 7.37 14,Colgate,___________________________ 20 14 5, 0.2, 7.1, 7.29, 7.50 15,Vermont,___________________________ 20 15 3, 0.1, 7.2, 7.29, 7.15 16,New Hampshire,_____________________ 22 18 1, 0.1, 7.2, 7.26, 7.48 17,Michigan,__________________________ 18 13 4, 0.1, 7.1, 7.26, 6.97 18,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 16 16 4, 0.0, 7.2, 7.21, 6.93 19,Northeastern,______________________ 19 14 4, 0.1, 7.1, 7.20, 6.49 20,Yale,______________________________ 17 11 5, 0.2, 7.0, 7.19, 7.31 21,Western Michigan,__________________ 19 16 5, 0.1, 7.1, 7.19, 7.47 22,Ohio State,________________________ 18 14 5, 0.1, 7.1, 7.17, 7.27 23,Denver,____________________________ 20 16 6, 0.1, 7.1, 7.16, 7.82 24,Bowling Green,_____________________ 18 15 6, 0.1, 7.0, 7.13, 7.58 25,Alaska,____________________________ 18 15 4, 0.1, 7.0, 7.11, 6.90 26,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 17 18 2, -0.0, 7.1, 7.10, 6.98 27,Maine,_____________________________ 16 15 4, 0.0, 7.1, 7.10, 6.62 28,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 18 16 4, 0.1, 7.0, 7.10, 7.37 29,Clarkson,__________________________ 21 17 4, 0.1, 7.0, 7.09, 7.18 30,Miami,_____________________________ 15 20 3, -0.1, 7.2, 7.05, 7.91 31,Rensselaer,________________________ 15 16 6, -0.0, 7.1, 7.05, 6.72 32,St Lawrence,_______________________ 15 19 4, -0.1, 7.1, 7.01, 7.19 33,Lake Superior,_____________________ 16 19 1, -0.1, 7.1, 7.00, 6.55 34,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 14 19 7, -0.1, 7.1, 6.95, 6.76 35,Northern Michigan,_________________ 15 21 2, -0.2, 7.1, 6.93, 6.66 36,Brown,_____________________________ 11 17 3, -0.2, 7.1, 6.92, 6.52 37,Michigan State,____________________ 11 18 7, -0.2, 7.1, 6.89, 7.10 38,Harvard,___________________________ 10 17 4, -0.2, 7.1, 6.89, 6.58 39,Mercyhurst,________________________ 21 13 7, 0.2, 6.7, 6.85, 6.93 40,Boston University,_________________ 10 21 4, -0.3, 7.1, 6.84, 7.09 41,Dartmouth,_________________________ 10 20 4, -0.3, 7.1, 6.83, 7.09 42,Bemidji State,_____________________ 10 21 7, -0.3, 7.1, 6.83, 6.48 43,Air Force,_________________________ 21 14 4, 0.2, 6.6, 6.80, 6.32 44,Colorado College,__________________ 7 24 6, -0.5, 7.2, 6.76, 6.80 45,Massachusetts,_____________________ 8 22 4, -0.4, 7.2, 6.75, 6.32 46,Merrimack,_________________________ 8 22 3, -0.4, 7.1, 6.72, 6.64 47,Bentley,___________________________ 19 14 4, 0.1, 6.6, 6.70, 6.61 48,Connecticut,_______________________ 18 14 4, 0.1, 6.6, 6.69, 6.15 49,Penn State,________________________ 8 26 2, -0.5, 7.2, 6.68, 7.08 50,Robert Morris,_____________________ 19 18 5, 0.0, 6.6, 6.61, 7.43 51,Canisius,__________________________ 17 21 3, -0.1, 6.6, 6.55, 6.91 52,Niagara,___________________________ 15 20 5, -0.1, 6.6, 6.52, 6.84 53,Princeton,_________________________ 6 26 0, -0.6, 7.1, 6.50, 6.48 54,Holy Cross,________________________ 14 22 3, -0.2, 6.6, 6.43, 6.39 55,RIT,_______________________________ 12 20 5, -0.2, 6.6, 6.41, 6.68 56,Sacred Heart,______________________ 12 24 0, -0.3, 6.6, 6.28, 6.44 57,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 2 35 1, -0.9, 7.1, 6.28, 6.30 58,American International,____________ 10 25 1, -0.4, 6.6, 6.20, 5.58 59,Army,______________________________ 6 28 0, -0.6, 6.6, 5.96, 6.34 The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Games that go to shootouts for decision are considered ties for ratings purposes. Actually, there are two different rankings listed. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 4. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). This was done because the NCAA has indicated that it does not want to consider goal differential in the selection process. Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States High School National Rankings New England Prep Midget Minor AAA Midget Major AAA Men's NCAA D1 USHL NAHL ACHA College Club USHSHO.com High School Ice Hockey Forums
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