2002-03 Western New York High School Club Hockey Computer Ratings
Western New York HS Club Hockey Scores -these scores are what the ratings are based upon.
Please send missing NY club scores in the proper format to wnyhshockey@mail.com for consolidation.
Links to other ratings:
CT IA IL IN MA MI MN MN-WI-ND MO ND Northeast NH NJ NY OH PA-E PA-W1A PA-W2A PA-W3A
RI VT WI wWI USA  Midget AAA Men's NCAA D1 
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The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then
adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative
error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is
reached (convergence).
The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between
any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a
neutral site between those two teams. A teams Total value only has meaning
in relation to other teams in the same list (i.e. Totals cannot be compared
from one week to the next or between different ratings lists).
A teams listed W-L-T record reflects only those games that have been
reported and are in the scores database. Apologies in advance for not being
able to accept scores that are not reported in the proper format as described
above.
Current minimum of 3 reported scores to be listed.
More information about how the ratings are calculated and their past
accuracy can be found here .
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RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last10
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1,Lancaster,_________________________ 14 3 2, 2.2, 6.7, 8.87
2,North Tonawanda,___________________ 15 4 1, 1.9, 6.8, 8.70, 8.84
3,Orchard Park,______________________ 20 2 5, 2.2, 6.5, 8.64, 8.87
4,McKinley,__________________________ 21 3 1, 2.7, 5.1, 7.79, 7.80
5,Niagara Wheatfield,________________ 11 5 1, 1.2, 6.6, 7.75
6,Maryvale,__________________________ 18 6 1, 1.9, 5.8, 7.71, 7.61
7,South Western/Maple Grove,_________ 18 5 0, 2.2, 5.5, 7.70, 7.61
8,West Seneca West,__________________ 12 7 2, 0.6, 6.9, 7.52, 8.00
9,Cheektowaga,_______________________ 13 4 0, 1.7, 5.4, 7.13
10,West Seneca East,__________________ 8 8 3, 0.3, 6.8, 7.11
11,Saint Joes "A",____________________ 7 5 2, 0.6, 6.2, 6.79
12,Hamburg,___________________________ 8 6 1, 0.4, 6.3, 6.75
13,Jamestown,_________________________ 5 4 0, 0.9, 5.7, 6.62
14,Lockport,__________________________ 11 10 0, 0.1, 6.5, 6.57, 6.06
15,Grand Island,______________________ 6 6 2, 0.1, 6.5, 6.57
16,Depew,_____________________________ 13 10 1, 0.4, 6.0, 6.47, 6.08
17,Fredonia/Dunkirk,__________________ 10 9 2, 0.3, 6.1, 6.37, 5.28
18,Iroquois/Alden,____________________ 9 5 2, 0.4, 5.9, 6.23
19,Cleve-Hill/JFK,____________________ 7 12 2, -0.4, 6.0, 5.61, 5.90
20,Starpoint,_________________________ 5 7 1, -0.1, 5.6, 5.56
21,Saint Joes "B",____________________ 4 7 0, -0.8, 6.3, 5.45
22,Canisius,__________________________ 8 11 1, -0.8, 5.9, 5.19, 4.21
23,Saint Francis,_____________________ 5 11 2, -0.7, 5.9, 5.15
24,Clarence,__________________________ 4 8 2, -0.9, 5.9, 5.01
25,Livingston,________________________ 3 8 2, -1.7, 6.6, 4.92
26,Hutch Tech,________________________ 6 8 0, -0.4, 5.1, 4.72
27,Seneca/South Park,_________________ 9 7 0, 0.1, 4.6, 4.70
28,Cathedral Prep,____________________ 1 8 1, -2.0, 6.5, 4.50
29,Bishop Walsh,______________________ 4 7 0, -1.1, 5.5, 4.45
30,Niagara Catholic,__________________ 3 7 3, -1.4, 5.8, 4.37
31,Lewport,___________________________ 2 7 0, -1.3, 5.5, 4.15
32,Niagara Falls,_____________________ 1 10 0, -2.9, 6.9, 4.02
33,Saint Mary's,______________________ 5 7 0, -1.1, 5.1, 3.98
34,Harbor Creek,______________________ 2 10 0, -3.1, 7.0, 3.94
35,City Honors,_______________________ 6 13 1, -1.5, 4.6, 3.12, 3.28
36,Lakeshore,_________________________ 1 11 0, -3.3, 6.1, 2.81
37,Cardinal O'Hara,___________________ 0 12 0, -3.6, 5.5, 1.96
38,Riverside/Lafayette,_______________ 1 15 1, -2.7, 4.6, 1.85
246 predicted correctly
55 predicted incorrectly
Ties 22
Predict Pct 0.81728
The Goal Diff Limit is set at 4