Scores (sorted by team) through February 28, 2009 courtesy of USCHO.com . Previous Rankings New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting. More scores give better rankings, Minimum 3 Scores vs. D1 Competition to be Ranked Maximum Goal Differential = 7 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Boston University,_________________ 25 5 4, 1.9, 7.6, 9.47, 9.44 2,Michigan,__________________________ 26 10 0, 1.6, 7.6, 9.11, 10.06 3,Notre Dame,________________________ 27 5 3, 1.7, 7.3, 8.96, 9.25 4,Denver,____________________________ 20 10 4, 1.1, 7.8, 8.85, 9.57 5,Miami,_____________________________ 19 10 5, 1.1, 7.4, 8.47, 7.88 6,Northeastern,______________________ 22 8 4, 0.9, 7.6, 8.46, 8.91 7,North Dakota,______________________ 20 11 4, 0.8, 7.6, 8.43, 9.25 8,St Cloud State,____________________ 18 14 2, 0.7, 7.7, 8.38, 7.72 9,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 16 10 8, 0.6, 7.8, 8.37, 8.16 10,Wisconsin,_________________________ 16 14 4, 0.4, 7.8, 8.26, 7.03 11,Vermont,___________________________ 19 8 5, 0.6, 7.6, 8.13, 7.83 12,Minnesota,_________________________ 14 11 7, 0.3, 7.8, 8.11, 8.01 13,Ohio State,________________________ 20 12 4, 0.6, 7.4, 8.07, 8.17 14,Mass-Lowell,_______________________ 15 15 2, 0.5, 7.5, 8.00, 7.37 15,New Hampshire,_____________________ 18 9 5, 0.3, 7.5, 7.79, 8.45 16,St Lawrence,_______________________ 19 11 4, 0.9, 6.9, 7.72, 8.59 17,Boston College,____________________ 15 12 5, 0.1, 7.6, 7.68, 7.53 18,Minnesota State,___________________ 14 15 5, -0.0, 7.7, 7.66, 7.52 19,Alaska,____________________________ 15 13 6, 0.2, 7.4, 7.60, 6.89 20,Massachusetts,_____________________ 14 17 3, 0.2, 7.4, 7.60, 7.72 21,Colorado College,__________________ 16 9 9, 0.2, 7.4, 7.55, 9.17 22,Northern Michigan,_________________ 14 15 5, -0.1, 7.6, 7.49, 8.69 23,Yale,______________________________ 20 6 2, 1.1, 6.4, 7.49, 7.69 24,Princeton,_________________________ 20 9 0, 0.9, 6.5, 7.47, 6.58 25,Cornell,___________________________ 18 7 4, 0.7, 6.7, 7.40, 6.63 26,Lake Superior,_____________________ 10 18 8, -0.1, 7.4, 7.29, 5.73 27,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 13 15 8, -0.1, 7.4, 7.22, 6.96 28,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 12 15 5, -0.5, 7.7, 7.19, 7.43 29,Air Force,_________________________ 23 9 2, 1.5, 5.7, 7.16, 5.65 30,Maine,_____________________________ 12 18 4, -0.4, 7.5, 7.10, 7.38 31,Western Michigan,__________________ 12 17 7, -0.3, 7.4, 7.10, 7.88 32,Ferris State,______________________ 12 17 7, -0.3, 7.2, 6.98, 5.41 33,Merrimack,_________________________ 8 20 4, -0.4, 7.3, 6.93, 7.36 34,Quinnipiac,________________________ 16 15 3, 0.5, 6.4, 6.91, 6.87 35,Dartmouth,_________________________ 14 12 3, 0.1, 6.6, 6.71, 4.89 36,Bemidji State,_____________________ 15 14 1, 0.0, 6.7, 6.71, 6.73 37,Michigan State,____________________ 10 21 5, -1.3, 8.0, 6.67, 6.24 38,Bowling Green,_____________________ 11 22 3, -0.9, 7.5, 6.60, 6.90 39,Niagara,___________________________ 15 13 4, 0.1, 6.4, 6.48, 4.62 40,RIT,_______________________________ 21 11 2, 0.8, 5.6, 6.45, 6.52 41,Union,_____________________________ 16 15 3, -0.1, 6.5, 6.40, 6.07 42,Mercyhurst,________________________ 19 14 3, 0.7, 5.7, 6.37, 6.96 43,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 5 22 7, -1.6, 7.9, 6.36, 6.41 44,Colgate,___________________________ 10 16 7, -0.6, 6.8, 6.18, 6.07 45,Clarkson,__________________________ 10 17 7, -0.6, 6.8, 6.16, 6.68 46,Harvard,___________________________ 9 14 6, -0.8, 6.9, 6.09, 7.93 47,Providence,________________________ 7 20 5, -1.5, 7.5, 6.04, 5.20 48,Bentley,___________________________ 17 15 2, 0.1, 5.8, 5.94, 5.83 49,Canisius,__________________________ 14 14 6, 0.1, 5.5, 5.65, 5.08 50,Robert Morris,_____________________ 8 17 7, -0.8, 6.5, 5.61, 7.13 51,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 5 18 3, -1.2, 6.6, 5.48, 4.78 52,Rensselaer,________________________ 7 25 2, -1.6, 6.9, 5.29, 4.79 53,Holy Cross,________________________ 11 18 5, -0.6, 5.8, 5.20, 5.58 54,Army,______________________________ 11 17 6, -0.7, 5.8, 5.05, 5.46 55,Brown,_____________________________ 3 21 5, -1.9, 6.7, 4.88, 5.87 56,Connecticut,_______________________ 9 25 2, -1.4, 6.0, 4.63, 6.72 57,Sacred Heart,______________________ 9 21 4, -1.3, 5.9, 4.57, 4.05 58,American Int'l,____________________ 5 27 2, -2.3, 5.7, 3.41, 3.17 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Boston University,_________________ 25 5 4, 0.6, 7.2, 7.79, 7.67 2,Notre Dame,________________________ 27 5 3, 0.6, 7.0, 7.65, 7.99 3,Northeastern,______________________ 22 8 4, 0.4, 7.2, 7.59, 7.61 4,Michigan,__________________________ 26 10 0, 0.4, 7.1, 7.57, 7.66 5,Vermont,___________________________ 19 8 5, 0.3, 7.2, 7.52, 7.44 6,Denver,____________________________ 20 10 4, 0.3, 7.2, 7.51, 7.70 7,New Hampshire,_____________________ 18 9 5, 0.3, 7.2, 7.45, 7.98 8,North Dakota,______________________ 20 11 4, 0.3, 7.2, 7.44, 7.97 9,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 16 10 8, 0.2, 7.2, 7.37, 7.35 10,Miami,_____________________________ 19 10 5, 0.3, 7.1, 7.35, 7.12 11,Yale,______________________________ 20 6 2, 0.5, 6.9, 7.35, 7.40 12,Minnesota,_________________________ 14 11 7, 0.1, 7.3, 7.35, 7.29 13,Cornell,___________________________ 18 7 4, 0.4, 7.0, 7.34, 7.00 14,St Cloud State,____________________ 18 14 2, 0.1, 7.2, 7.31, 7.33 15,Boston College,____________________ 15 12 5, 0.1, 7.2, 7.30, 7.13 16,Ohio State,________________________ 20 12 4, 0.2, 7.1, 7.30, 7.15 17,Princeton,_________________________ 20 9 0, 0.4, 6.9, 7.29, 6.77 18,Colorado College,__________________ 16 9 9, 0.2, 7.1, 7.29, 7.88 19,Wisconsin,_________________________ 16 14 4, 0.1, 7.2, 7.29, 6.95 20,St Lawrence,_______________________ 19 11 4, 0.2, 7.0, 7.26, 7.72 21,Mass-Lowell,_______________________ 15 15 2, 0.0, 7.2, 7.21, 7.30 22,Minnesota State,___________________ 14 15 5, -0.0, 7.2, 7.19, 7.10 23,Alaska,____________________________ 15 13 6, 0.1, 7.1, 7.12, 7.17 24,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 12 15 5, -0.1, 7.2, 7.10, 7.10 25,Massachusetts,_____________________ 14 17 3, -0.1, 7.2, 7.08, 7.64 26,Northern Michigan,_________________ 14 15 5, -0.0, 7.1, 7.08, 7.62 27,Air Force,_________________________ 23 9 2, 0.4, 6.6, 7.02, 6.88 28,Dartmouth,_________________________ 14 12 3, 0.1, 7.0, 7.02, 6.41 29,Maine,_____________________________ 12 18 4, -0.2, 7.2, 7.02, 6.60 30,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 13 15 8, -0.1, 7.1, 7.00, 6.72 31,Michigan State,____________________ 10 21 5, -0.3, 7.2, 6.93, 7.04 32,Union,_____________________________ 16 15 3, 0.0, 6.9, 6.93, 6.91 33,Western Michigan,__________________ 12 17 7, -0.1, 7.1, 6.92, 7.09 34,Quinnipiac,________________________ 16 15 3, 0.0, 6.9, 6.91, 6.88 35,Bemidji State,_____________________ 15 14 1, 0.0, 6.8, 6.88, 7.00 36,RIT,_______________________________ 21 11 2, 0.3, 6.6, 6.88, 7.08 37,Ferris State,______________________ 12 17 7, -0.1, 7.0, 6.87, 6.24 38,Lake Superior,_____________________ 10 18 8, -0.2, 7.1, 6.86, 6.47 39,Harvard,___________________________ 9 14 6, -0.2, 7.0, 6.85, 7.72 40,Niagara,___________________________ 15 13 4, 0.1, 6.8, 6.82, 6.02 41,Bowling Green,_____________________ 11 22 3, -0.3, 7.1, 6.81, 6.71 42,Colgate,___________________________ 10 16 7, -0.2, 7.0, 6.80, 6.94 43,Clarkson,__________________________ 10 17 7, -0.2, 7.0, 6.78, 6.84 44,Merrimack,_________________________ 8 20 4, -0.4, 7.2, 6.78, 6.79 45,Providence,________________________ 7 20 5, -0.4, 7.2, 6.77, 6.32 46,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 5 22 7, -0.5, 7.3, 6.77, 6.53 47,Mercyhurst,________________________ 19 14 3, 0.1, 6.6, 6.74, 7.16 48,Bentley,___________________________ 17 15 2, 0.1, 6.6, 6.70, 6.61 49,Canisius,__________________________ 14 14 6, 0.0, 6.6, 6.55, 6.20 50,Rensselaer,________________________ 7 25 2, -0.5, 7.0, 6.51, 6.11 51,Robert Morris,_____________________ 8 17 7, -0.3, 6.8, 6.48, 7.05 52,Holy Cross,________________________ 11 18 5, -0.2, 6.7, 6.46, 6.12 53,Army,______________________________ 11 17 6, -0.2, 6.6, 6.45, 6.60 54,Brown,_____________________________ 3 21 5, -0.6, 7.0, 6.37, 6.66 55,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 5 18 3, -0.5, 6.9, 6.36, 6.10 56,Sacred Heart,______________________ 9 21 4, -0.4, 6.7, 6.33, 6.06 57,Connecticut,_______________________ 9 25 2, -0.4, 6.7, 6.27, 6.90 58,American Int'l,____________________ 5 27 2, -0.6, 6.6, 5.96, 5.96 Link to the 2007-2008 Final Rankings . The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Games that go to shootouts for decision are considered ties for ratings purposes. Actually, there are two different rankings listed. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 4. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). This was done because the NCAA has indicated that it does not want to consider goal differential in the selection process. Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Note that the current spread between #1 and #58 is about 1.7 . Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States High School National Rankings New England Prep Midget Minor AAA Midget Major AAA Men's NCAA D1 USHL NAHL ACHA College Club USHSHO.com High School Ice Hockey Forums
Over 4000 registered members, HS message boards for over 30 states + midget, junior, college, and pro hockey forums! Receive email when this page changes