Scores (sorted by team) through March 7, 2009 courtesy of USCHO.com . Previous Rankings New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting. More scores give better rankings, Minimum 3 Scores vs. D1 Competition to be Ranked Maximum Goal Differential = 7 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Boston University,_________________ 26 5 4, 2.0, 7.5, 9.53, 10.41 2,Michigan,__________________________ 26 10 0, 1.6, 7.6, 9.12, 10.08 3,Notre Dame,________________________ 27 5 3, 1.7, 7.3, 8.97, 9.29 4,Denver,____________________________ 20 10 5, 1.1, 7.8, 8.82, 9.53 5,Miami,_____________________________ 19 10 5, 1.1, 7.4, 8.48, 8.00 6,Northeastern,______________________ 23 9 4, 0.8, 7.6, 8.38, 8.87 7,North Dakota,______________________ 22 12 4, 0.7, 7.6, 8.38, 8.43 8,Wisconsin,_________________________ 17 15 4, 0.5, 7.9, 8.32, 7.43 9,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 16 12 8, 0.5, 7.8, 8.24, 6.44 10,St Cloud State,____________________ 18 15 3, 0.6, 7.7, 8.23, 7.34 11,Ohio State,________________________ 22 12 4, 0.8, 7.4, 8.16, 9.82 12,Mass-Lowell,_______________________ 17 15 2, 0.7, 7.5, 8.16, 8.56 13,Vermont,___________________________ 20 9 5, 0.6, 7.6, 8.14, 7.92 14,Minnesota,_________________________ 15 12 7, 0.3, 7.8, 8.05, 7.59 15,Minnesota State,___________________ 15 15 6, 0.1, 7.7, 7.80, 9.09 16,New Hampshire,_____________________ 19 10 5, 0.2, 7.6, 7.78, 8.15 17,Boston College,____________________ 16 13 5, 0.1, 7.6, 7.76, 8.29 18,St Lawrence,_______________________ 19 11 4, 0.9, 6.9, 7.71, 8.59 19,Northern Michigan,_________________ 16 15 5, 0.1, 7.5, 7.67, 9.85 20,Massachusetts,_____________________ 15 18 3, 0.3, 7.3, 7.66, 7.34 21,Alaska,____________________________ 15 13 6, 0.2, 7.4, 7.61, 6.89 22,Colorado College,__________________ 16 10 10, 0.1, 7.4, 7.57, 8.73 23,Princeton,_________________________ 20 9 0, 0.9, 6.5, 7.47, 6.52 24,Yale,______________________________ 20 7 2, 1.0, 6.4, 7.42, 7.09 25,Cornell,___________________________ 18 7 4, 0.7, 6.7, 7.39, 6.67 26,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 15 15 8, 0.0, 7.3, 7.36, 8.69 27,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 14 15 5, -0.4, 7.8, 7.34, 8.62 28,Lake Superior,_____________________ 11 19 8, -0.1, 7.4, 7.34, 6.10 29,Air Force,_________________________ 23 9 2, 1.5, 5.7, 7.15, 5.64 30,Western Michigan,__________________ 13 18 7, -0.3, 7.4, 7.06, 8.21 31,Maine,_____________________________ 12 20 4, -0.6, 7.6, 6.95, 5.85 32,Quinnipiac,________________________ 17 16 3, 0.5, 6.4, 6.87, 6.21 33,Ferris State,______________________ 12 19 7, -0.4, 7.3, 6.86, 4.91 34,Merrimack,_________________________ 9 21 4, -0.5, 7.4, 6.86, 6.97 35,Bemidji State,_____________________ 16 15 1, 0.0, 6.6, 6.65, 7.16 36,Union,_____________________________ 18 15 3, 0.1, 6.4, 6.56, 7.22 37,Michigan State,____________________ 10 23 5, -1.5, 8.0, 6.54, 4.36 38,Dartmouth,_________________________ 14 14 3, 0.0, 6.5, 6.53, 4.78 39,Bowling Green,_____________________ 11 24 3, -1.1, 7.6, 6.52, 5.80 40,Niagara,___________________________ 16 13 5, 0.2, 6.3, 6.47, 5.74 41,RIT,_______________________________ 21 11 2, 0.8, 5.6, 6.45, 6.52 42,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 6 23 7, -1.5, 8.0, 6.44, 6.96 43,Mercyhurst,________________________ 19 14 3, 0.7, 5.7, 6.38, 6.95 44,Colgate,___________________________ 12 17 7, -0.5, 6.8, 6.28, 6.72 45,Clarkson,__________________________ 10 19 7, -0.8, 6.7, 5.99, 5.01 46,Providence,________________________ 7 21 5, -1.6, 7.6, 5.96, 4.75 47,Bentley,___________________________ 17 15 2, 0.1, 5.8, 5.95, 5.82 48,Harvard,___________________________ 9 16 6, -0.8, 6.8, 5.93, 5.87 49,Canisius,__________________________ 14 14 6, 0.1, 5.5, 5.63, 5.08 50,Robert Morris,_____________________ 9 18 7, -0.8, 6.4, 5.62, 6.73 51,Rensselaer,________________________ 9 25 2, -1.4, 6.9, 5.43, 6.21 52,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 5 19 4, -1.2, 6.6, 5.41, 4.93 53,Holy Cross,________________________ 12 18 5, -0.6, 5.8, 5.18, 5.60 54,Army,______________________________ 11 17 6, -0.7, 5.8, 5.06, 5.48 55,Brown,_____________________________ 5 21 5, -1.6, 6.7, 5.01, 7.08 56,Sacred Heart,______________________ 10 21 4, -1.2, 5.9, 4.62, 4.77 57,Connecticut,_______________________ 9 26 2, -1.4, 6.0, 4.59, 5.76 58,American Int'l,____________________ 5 28 2, -2.3, 5.7, 3.45, 3.91 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Boston University,_________________ 26 5 4, 0.6, 7.2, 7.79, 7.81 2,Notre Dame,________________________ 27 5 3, 0.6, 7.0, 7.65, 8.00 3,Northeastern,______________________ 23 9 4, 0.4, 7.2, 7.58, 7.78 4,Michigan,__________________________ 26 10 0, 0.4, 7.1, 7.57, 7.67 5,Vermont,___________________________ 20 9 5, 0.3, 7.2, 7.52, 7.42 6,Denver,____________________________ 20 10 5, 0.3, 7.2, 7.50, 7.68 7,North Dakota,______________________ 22 12 4, 0.3, 7.2, 7.45, 7.67 8,New Hampshire,_____________________ 19 10 5, 0.3, 7.2, 7.45, 7.79 9,Miami,_____________________________ 19 10 5, 0.3, 7.1, 7.36, 7.15 10,Cornell,___________________________ 18 7 4, 0.4, 7.0, 7.34, 7.02 11,Ohio State,________________________ 22 12 4, 0.3, 7.1, 7.32, 7.77 12,Minnesota,_________________________ 15 12 7, 0.1, 7.2, 7.32, 7.10 13,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 16 12 8, 0.1, 7.2, 7.31, 6.55 14,Boston College,____________________ 16 13 5, 0.1, 7.2, 7.31, 7.43 15,Yale,______________________________ 20 7 2, 0.4, 6.9, 7.31, 6.99 16,Wisconsin,_________________________ 17 15 4, 0.1, 7.2, 7.30, 6.97 17,Princeton,_________________________ 20 9 0, 0.4, 6.9, 7.30, 6.74 18,Colorado College,__________________ 16 10 10, 0.2, 7.1, 7.28, 7.61 19,St Cloud State,____________________ 18 15 3, 0.1, 7.2, 7.27, 7.25 20,St Lawrence,_______________________ 19 11 4, 0.2, 7.0, 7.26, 7.71 21,Mass-Lowell,_______________________ 17 15 2, 0.1, 7.2, 7.25, 7.53 22,Minnesota State,___________________ 15 15 6, 0.0, 7.2, 7.22, 7.64 23,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 14 15 5, -0.0, 7.2, 7.17, 7.86 24,Alaska,____________________________ 15 13 6, 0.1, 7.1, 7.12, 7.18 25,Northern Michigan,_________________ 16 15 5, 0.0, 7.1, 7.12, 7.78 26,Massachusetts,_____________________ 15 18 3, -0.1, 7.1, 7.07, 7.03 27,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 15 15 8, 0.0, 7.0, 7.05, 7.24 28,Air Force,_________________________ 23 9 2, 0.4, 6.6, 7.02, 6.88 29,Maine,_____________________________ 12 20 4, -0.2, 7.2, 6.98, 6.32 30,Union,_____________________________ 18 15 3, 0.1, 6.9, 6.97, 7.16 31,Dartmouth,_________________________ 14 14 3, 0.0, 6.9, 6.93, 6.33 32,Western Michigan,__________________ 13 18 7, -0.1, 7.1, 6.92, 7.44 33,Quinnipiac,________________________ 17 16 3, 0.0, 6.9, 6.91, 6.57 34,Michigan State,____________________ 10 23 5, -0.3, 7.2, 6.89, 6.27 35,RIT,_______________________________ 21 11 2, 0.3, 6.6, 6.88, 7.08 36,Lake Superior,_____________________ 11 19 8, -0.2, 7.1, 6.87, 6.40 37,Colgate,___________________________ 12 17 7, -0.1, 7.0, 6.85, 7.23 38,Bemidji State,_____________________ 16 15 1, 0.0, 6.8, 6.85, 7.03 39,Ferris State,______________________ 12 19 7, -0.2, 7.0, 6.83, 6.27 40,Niagara,___________________________ 16 13 5, 0.1, 6.7, 6.82, 6.51 41,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 6 23 7, -0.5, 7.3, 6.80, 6.90 42,Merrimack,_________________________ 9 21 4, -0.4, 7.1, 6.80, 6.96 43,Bowling Green,_____________________ 11 24 3, -0.3, 7.1, 6.79, 6.47 44,Providence,________________________ 7 21 5, -0.4, 7.2, 6.78, 6.40 45,Harvard,___________________________ 9 16 6, -0.2, 7.0, 6.76, 6.77 46,Mercyhurst,________________________ 19 14 3, 0.1, 6.6, 6.75, 7.15 47,Clarkson,__________________________ 10 19 7, -0.3, 7.0, 6.73, 6.45 48,Bentley,___________________________ 17 15 2, 0.1, 6.7, 6.71, 6.60 49,Rensselaer,________________________ 9 25 2, -0.4, 7.0, 6.58, 6.74 50,Canisius,__________________________ 14 14 6, 0.0, 6.5, 6.55, 6.19 51,Robert Morris,_____________________ 9 18 7, -0.3, 6.8, 6.50, 6.94 52,Holy Cross,________________________ 12 18 5, -0.2, 6.6, 6.48, 6.34 53,Brown,_____________________________ 5 21 5, -0.5, 7.0, 6.45, 7.32 54,Army,______________________________ 11 17 6, -0.2, 6.6, 6.45, 6.61 55,Sacred Heart,______________________ 10 21 4, -0.3, 6.7, 6.35, 6.42 56,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 5 19 4, -0.5, 6.8, 6.35, 6.29 57,Connecticut,_______________________ 9 26 2, -0.5, 6.7, 6.25, 6.57 58,American Int'l,____________________ 5 28 2, -0.7, 6.6, 5.96, 6.02 Link to the 2007-2008 Final Rankings . The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Games that go to shootouts for decision are considered ties for ratings purposes. Actually, there are two different rankings listed. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 4. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). This was done because the NCAA has indicated that it does not want to consider goal differential in the selection process. Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Note that the current spread between #1 and #58 is about 1.7 . Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States High School National Rankings New England Prep Midget Minor AAA Midget Major AAA Men's NCAA D1 USHL NAHL ACHA College Club USHSHO.com High School Ice Hockey Forums
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