Scores (sorted by team) through March 16, 2008 courtesy of USCHO.com . Previous Rankings New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting. More scores give better rankings, Minimum 3 Scores vs. D1 Competition to be Ranked Maximum Goal Differential = 4 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Colorado College,__________________ 28 9 1, 1.3, 7.9, 9.21, 9.51 2,North Dakota,______________________ 24 10 4, 1.1, 8.0, 9.11, 8.75 3,Michigan,__________________________ 29 5 4, 1.7, 7.4, 9.10, 9.05 4,Miami,_____________________________ 31 6 1, 2.0, 7.0, 9.01, 8.80 5,New Hampshire,_____________________ 25 8 3, 1.2, 7.5, 8.66, 8.80 6,St Cloud State,____________________ 19 14 5, 0.6, 8.0, 8.53, 9.55 7,Denver,____________________________ 24 13 1, 0.5, 7.9, 8.45, 7.87 8,Boston College,____________________ 19 11 8, 0.9, 7.4, 8.32, 9.18 9,Michigan State,____________________ 24 11 5, 1.0, 7.4, 8.31, 8.98 10,Wisconsin,_________________________ 15 16 7, 0.2, 8.0, 8.18, 7.61 11,Minnesota State,___________________ 19 16 4, 0.3, 7.8, 8.04, 7.98 12,Minnesota,_________________________ 17 15 9, 0.0, 7.9, 7.92, 8.49 13,Notre Dame,________________________ 24 13 4, 0.7, 7.2, 7.91, 7.24 14,Boston University,_________________ 19 16 4, 0.4, 7.5, 7.84, 8.71 15,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 13 17 6, -0.4, 8.1, 7.67, 6.97 16,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 14 20 5, -0.5, 8.1, 7.57, 7.48 17,Massachusetts,_____________________ 14 16 6, 0.1, 7.5, 7.54, 8.11 18,Clarkson,__________________________ 21 12 4, 0.4, 7.1, 7.47, 7.85 19,Princeton,_________________________ 19 13 0, 0.6, 6.9, 7.43, 7.60 20,Harvard,___________________________ 16 12 4, 0.4, 7.0, 7.38, 8.01 21,Mass-Lowell,_______________________ 16 17 4, 0.1, 7.3, 7.36, 6.52 22,Northern Michigan,_________________ 19 19 4, -0.0, 7.4, 7.35, 8.40 23,Ferris State,______________________ 18 16 5, 0.3, 7.1, 7.34, 7.38 24,Cornell,___________________________ 18 13 3, 0.5, 6.9, 7.33, 7.69 25,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 7 21 8, -0.8, 8.1, 7.30, 6.74 26,Providence,________________________ 14 17 5, -0.2, 7.5, 7.24, 5.32 27,Bemidji State,_____________________ 18 15 3, 0.6, 6.6, 7.14, 7.95 28,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 17 19 4, -0.3, 7.4, 7.14, 6.71 29,Vermont,___________________________ 16 14 7, -0.3, 7.4, 7.12, 8.12 30,Northeastern,______________________ 16 18 3, -0.4, 7.4, 7.09, 6.60 31,Maine,_____________________________ 13 18 3, -0.4, 7.4, 7.04, 8.50 32,Niagara,___________________________ 22 10 4, 0.9, 6.1, 6.99, 8.25 33,Colgate,___________________________ 18 16 6, 0.2, 6.8, 6.96, 7.97 34,Bowling Green,_____________________ 18 21 0, -0.4, 7.3, 6.93, 6.18 35,Quinnipiac,________________________ 20 15 4, 0.3, 6.6, 6.92, 7.18 36,Alaska,____________________________ 9 21 5, -0.7, 7.4, 6.79, 6.34 37,Dartmouth,_________________________ 12 16 4, -0.2, 6.9, 6.73, 6.46 38,St Lawrence,_______________________ 13 20 4, -0.2, 6.9, 6.72, 7.85 39,Merrimack,_________________________ 12 18 4, -0.6, 7.3, 6.70, 6.93 40,Lake Superior,_____________________ 10 20 7, -0.8, 7.5, 6.64, 7.70 41,Union,_____________________________ 15 14 6, -0.2, 6.9, 6.63, 6.57 42,Yale,______________________________ 16 14 4, -0.1, 6.7, 6.61, 6.12 43,Ohio State,________________________ 12 25 4, -0.9, 7.4, 6.52, 6.61 44,Air Force,_________________________ 21 11 6, 0.9, 5.6, 6.49, 8.02 45,Rensselaer,________________________ 11 23 4, -0.8, 7.0, 6.15, 5.43 46,Western Michigan,__________________ 8 27 3, -1.1, 7.1, 6.09, 6.50 47,Robert Morris,_____________________ 15 15 4, -0.4, 6.4, 6.00, 4.57 48,Army,______________________________ 19 14 4, 0.6, 5.3, 5.89, 6.99 49,Brown,_____________________________ 6 21 4, -1.1, 7.0, 5.87, 5.80 50,RIT,_______________________________ 19 12 6, 0.2, 5.6, 5.85, 5.95 51,Wayne State,_______________________ 11 25 2, -1.1, 6.6, 5.55, 5.84 52,Mercyhurst,________________________ 15 19 7, -0.4, 5.8, 5.41, 7.29 53,Sacred Heart,______________________ 16 19 3, -0.1, 5.5, 5.41, 4.82 54,Canisius,__________________________ 11 20 6, -0.5, 5.8, 5.32, 5.03 55,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 6 21 4, -1.6, 6.6, 4.95, 4.71 56,Holy Cross,________________________ 10 19 7, -0.7, 5.6, 4.89, 3.07 57,Bentley,___________________________ 9 21 6, -0.9, 5.6, 4.73, 3.12 58,Connecticut,_______________________ 13 21 3, -0.9, 5.6, 4.61, 5.60 59,American Int'l,____________________ 8 23 5, -1.2, 5.6, 4.36, 3.27 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Colorado College,__________________ 28 9 1, 0.5, 7.3, 7.79, 7.89 2,Michigan,__________________________ 29 5 4, 0.6, 7.1, 7.74, 7.72 3,North Dakota,______________________ 24 10 4, 0.4, 7.3, 7.71, 7.50 4,New Hampshire,_____________________ 25 8 3, 0.5, 7.2, 7.65, 7.53 5,Miami,_____________________________ 31 6 1, 0.7, 7.0, 7.63, 7.81 6,Denver,____________________________ 24 13 1, 0.3, 7.3, 7.59, 7.26 7,St Cloud State,____________________ 19 14 5, 0.1, 7.3, 7.44, 8.08 8,Michigan State,____________________ 24 11 5, 0.3, 7.1, 7.42, 7.25 9,Boston College,____________________ 19 11 8, 0.2, 7.2, 7.38, 7.50 10,Minnesota,_________________________ 17 15 9, 0.0, 7.3, 7.33, 7.50 11,Minnesota State,___________________ 19 16 4, 0.1, 7.3, 7.33, 7.08 12,Wisconsin,_________________________ 15 16 7, -0.0, 7.3, 7.32, 7.02 13,Notre Dame,________________________ 24 13 4, 0.3, 7.0, 7.30, 7.04 14,Clarkson,__________________________ 21 12 4, 0.2, 7.0, 7.28, 7.23 15,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 13 17 6, -0.1, 7.4, 7.26, 6.91 16,Boston University,_________________ 19 16 4, 0.1, 7.2, 7.26, 7.70 17,Vermont,___________________________ 16 14 7, 0.1, 7.2, 7.21, 7.53 18,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 14 20 5, -0.2, 7.4, 7.21, 7.36 19,Princeton,_________________________ 19 13 0, 0.2, 7.0, 7.17, 6.80 20,Massachusetts,_____________________ 14 16 6, -0.1, 7.2, 7.14, 7.48 21,Harvard,___________________________ 16 12 4, 0.1, 7.0, 7.14, 7.42 22,Northeastern,______________________ 16 18 3, -0.1, 7.2, 7.12, 7.08 23,Cornell,___________________________ 18 13 3, 0.1, 7.0, 7.12, 7.51 24,Mass-Lowell,_______________________ 16 17 4, -0.0, 7.1, 7.10, 6.57 25,Northern Michigan,_________________ 19 19 4, 0.0, 7.1, 7.10, 7.77 26,Providence,________________________ 14 17 5, -0.1, 7.2, 7.09, 6.53 27,Ferris State,______________________ 18 16 5, 0.1, 7.0, 7.04, 7.19 28,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 17 19 4, -0.1, 7.1, 7.04, 6.96 29,Niagara,___________________________ 22 10 4, 0.3, 6.7, 7.03, 7.31 30,Maine,_____________________________ 13 18 3, -0.1, 7.2, 7.03, 7.76 31,Quinnipiac,________________________ 20 15 4, 0.1, 6.9, 7.01, 7.09 32,Colgate,___________________________ 18 16 6, 0.1, 6.9, 6.98, 7.68 33,Bowling Green,_____________________ 18 21 0, -0.1, 7.1, 6.98, 6.98 34,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 7 21 8, -0.4, 7.4, 6.98, 6.77 35,Union,_____________________________ 15 14 6, 0.0, 6.9, 6.98, 6.71 36,Yale,______________________________ 16 14 4, 0.1, 6.9, 6.97, 7.18 37,Bemidji State,_____________________ 18 15 3, 0.1, 6.9, 6.97, 7.45 38,Merrimack,_________________________ 12 18 4, -0.2, 7.1, 6.93, 6.93 39,Lake Superior,_____________________ 10 20 7, -0.3, 7.1, 6.87, 7.03 40,Dartmouth,_________________________ 12 16 4, -0.1, 7.0, 6.87, 6.89 41,Air Force,_________________________ 21 11 6, 0.3, 6.5, 6.81, 7.35 42,St Lawrence,_______________________ 13 20 4, -0.2, 7.0, 6.79, 7.23 43,Ohio State,________________________ 12 25 4, -0.3, 7.1, 6.79, 6.71 44,Robert Morris,_____________________ 15 15 4, 0.0, 6.8, 6.79, 6.37 45,Alaska,____________________________ 9 21 5, -0.3, 7.1, 6.77, 6.37 46,RIT,_______________________________ 19 12 6, 0.2, 6.5, 6.72, 6.97 47,Rensselaer,________________________ 11 23 4, -0.3, 7.0, 6.69, 6.34 48,Army,______________________________ 19 14 4, 0.1, 6.4, 6.57, 6.93 49,Brown,_____________________________ 6 21 4, -0.5, 7.0, 6.53, 6.36 50,Western Michigan,__________________ 8 27 3, -0.5, 7.0, 6.52, 6.66 51,Mercyhurst,________________________ 15 19 7, -0.1, 6.6, 6.51, 7.12 52,Wayne State,_______________________ 11 25 2, -0.4, 6.9, 6.50, 6.68 53,Sacred Heart,______________________ 16 19 3, -0.1, 6.5, 6.44, 6.19 54,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 6 21 4, -0.5, 6.9, 6.38, 6.43 55,Canisius,__________________________ 11 20 6, -0.2, 6.6, 6.38, 6.17 56,Holy Cross,________________________ 10 19 7, -0.3, 6.5, 6.30, 5.49 57,Connecticut,_______________________ 13 21 3, -0.2, 6.5, 6.29, 6.58 58,Bentley,___________________________ 9 21 6, -0.3, 6.5, 6.21, 5.72 59,American Int'l,____________________ 8 23 5, -0.4, 6.5, 6.12, 5.81 Link to the 2006-2007 Final Rankings . The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Games that go to shootouts for decision are considered ties for ratings purposes. Actually, there are two different rankings listed. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 4. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). This was done because the NCAA has indicated that it does not want to consider goal differential in the selection process. Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Note that the current spread between #1 and #59 is about 2.7 . Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States High School National Rankings New England Prep Midget Minor AAA Midget Major AAA Men's NCAA D1 USHL NAHL ACHA College Club USHSHO.com High School Ice Hockey Forums
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