Scores (sorted by team) through March 11, 2012 courtesy of USCHO.com . Disclaimer: The D3 rankings are new and it is unclear to me how well connected the East/West schedules are and therefore still unclear how accurate the relative rankings between regions are. Previous Rankings New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting. Maximum Goal Differential = 4 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Oswego,____________________________ 23 3 2, 2.4, 7.8, 10.25, 10.99 2,Norwich,___________________________ 24 2 2, 2.5, 7.0, 9.49, 9.32 3,St Norbert,________________________ 19 5 5, 1.4, 7.9, 9.35, 10.75 4,Amherst,___________________________ 24 3 1, 1.7, 7.5, 9.24, 9.91 5,Plattsburgh,_______________________ 19 5 4, 1.1, 8.0, 9.04, 8.39 6,Hobart,____________________________ 16 10 1, 0.9, 8.1, 8.98, 11.88 7,Elmira,____________________________ 15 9 3, 0.6, 8.3, 8.97, 8.56 8,Utica,_____________________________ 15 9 2, 0.8, 8.1, 8.93, 7.99 9,Neumann,___________________________ 15 8 3, 0.6, 8.2, 8.82, 8.56 10,Bowdoin,___________________________ 16 6 3, 1.5, 7.2, 8.74, 8.54 11,Castleton,_________________________ 19 7 2, 1.6, 7.1, 8.66, 8.34 12,Wisconsin-River Falls,_____________ 16 9 2, 0.7, 7.9, 8.63, 7.76 13,Wisconsin-Stevens Point,___________ 14 11 4, 0.4, 8.2, 8.61, 9.47 14,Manhattanville,____________________ 13 9 3, 0.5, 8.1, 8.53, 6.27 15,Wisconsin-Eau Claire,______________ 13 12 3, 0.3, 8.2, 8.44, 8.42 16,St Scholastica,____________________ 15 8 5, 0.4, 8.0, 8.41, 8.10 17,Middlebury,________________________ 14 10 3, 0.4, 7.8, 8.28, 8.94 18,St Thomas,_________________________ 18 6 2, 1.0, 7.3, 8.23, 7.66 19,Wisconsin-Superior,________________ 10 10 7, 0.1, 8.0, 8.10, 7.98 20,Gustavus Adolphus,_________________ 17 7 5, 0.7, 7.4, 8.05, 8.62 21,Williams,__________________________ 12 9 5, 0.5, 7.5, 8.04, 8.33 22,Fredonia,__________________________ 12 11 3, 0.3, 7.6, 7.95, 7.83 23,St Olaf,___________________________ 13 9 6, 0.5, 7.4, 7.90, 7.71 24,Buffalo State,_____________________ 13 12 2, 0.1, 7.8, 7.87, 7.90 25,Adrian,____________________________ 20 6 1, 1.4, 6.4, 7.74, 7.41 26,Milwaukee School of Engineering,___ 22 7 1, 1.6, 6.1, 7.71, 6.97 27,Wesleyan,__________________________ 12 11 2, 0.3, 7.3, 7.59, 6.73 28,Brockport,_________________________ 9 13 3, -0.3, 7.7, 7.43, 8.22 29,Geneseo,___________________________ 13 12 1, 0.1, 7.3, 7.41, 7.17 30,Wisconsin-Stout,___________________ 8 17 2, -0.6, 8.0, 7.41, 7.08 31,Wentworth,_________________________ 21 7 1, 1.2, 6.1, 7.31, 7.72 32,Curry,_____________________________ 14 11 2, 0.7, 6.5, 7.24, 6.59 33,St John's,_________________________ 11 13 2, 0.0, 7.2, 7.23, 7.30 34,Hamline,___________________________ 10 14 2, -0.2, 7.4, 7.19, 7.93 35,Skidmore,__________________________ 12 13 2, -0.0, 7.1, 7.09, 7.21 36,Massachusetts-Boston,______________ 13 10 3, 0.5, 6.6, 7.06, 7.73 37,Salem State,_______________________ 15 9 3, 0.8, 6.2, 7.03, 7.19 38,Tufts,_____________________________ 12 11 2, -0.2, 7.2, 7.00, 5.53 39,Southern Maine,____________________ 10 11 6, -0.2, 7.2, 6.98, 6.77 40,Trinity,___________________________ 9 13 2, -0.5, 7.4, 6.96, 6.68 41,Potsdam,___________________________ 8 16 2, -0.8, 7.7, 6.93, 5.86 42,New England College,_______________ 9 12 5, -0.0, 7.0, 6.93, 5.67 43,Marian,____________________________ 13 9 4, 0.5, 6.4, 6.91, 7.61 44,Hamilton,__________________________ 8 14 3, -0.8, 7.7, 6.90, 6.01 45,Massachusetts-Dartmouth,___________ 16 9 2, 1.0, 5.9, 6.86, 7.28 46,Augsburg,__________________________ 10 14 1, -0.6, 7.4, 6.85, 7.00 47,Concordia (Minn),__________________ 10 11 4, -0.5, 7.4, 6.83, 6.74 48,St Anselm,_________________________ 14 8 5, 0.5, 6.3, 6.80, 6.52 49,Plymouth State,____________________ 17 7 3, 0.7, 6.0, 6.74, 7.41 50,Colby,_____________________________ 7 15 1, -0.6, 7.3, 6.73, 7.46 51,St Mary's,_________________________ 5 18 2, -1.0, 7.6, 6.65, 6.60 52,Babson,____________________________ 9 13 4, -0.7, 7.3, 6.55, 6.90 53,Lawrence,__________________________ 13 11 4, 0.2, 6.4, 6.53, 5.89 54,Connecticut College,_______________ 6 15 3, -1.2, 7.7, 6.49, 6.92 55,Morrisville,_______________________ 5 19 1, -1.7, 8.2, 6.47, 6.60 56,Cortland,__________________________ 6 18 1, -1.7, 8.0, 6.34, 7.05 57,Bethel,____________________________ 8 15 2, -1.0, 7.3, 6.33, 6.68 58,Johnson and Wales,_________________ 13 10 3, 0.7, 5.6, 6.25, 5.87 59,Western New England,_______________ 14 12 1, -0.1, 5.9, 5.80, 5.71 60,Fitchburg State,___________________ 9 13 4, -0.5, 6.1, 5.57, 4.80 61,Nichols,___________________________ 12 13 2, -0.3, 5.8, 5.55, 6.30 62,Northland,_________________________ 6 16 3, -0.9, 6.4, 5.45, 5.11 63,Westfield State,___________________ 7 14 5, -0.9, 6.3, 5.37, 5.83 64,Worcester State,___________________ 9 15 3, -0.4, 5.8, 5.31, 4.36 65,Finlandia,_________________________ 7 18 1, -1.3, 6.6, 5.29, 5.02 66,University of New England,_________ 4 19 2, -1.8, 6.8, 5.08, 6.17 67,Lake Forest,_______________________ 5 22 0, -1.6, 6.6, 5.07, 6.44 68,St Michael's,______________________ 6 18 2, -1.6, 6.6, 4.99, 3.25 69,Becker,____________________________ 9 15 2, -0.7, 5.7, 4.97, 4.31 70,Stonehill,_________________________ 10 12 3, -0.2, 4.9, 4.77, 6.41 71,Assumption,________________________ 13 11 1, -0.2, 5.0, 4.74, 4.42 72,Framingham State,__________________ 6 15 4, -1.2, 5.9, 4.69, 4.98 73,Salve Regina,______________________ 6 19 0, -1.8, 6.2, 4.33, 4.62 74,Concordia (Wis),___________________ 2 20 3, -2.6, 6.8, 4.23, 3.60 75,Franklin Pierce,___________________ 5 13 4, -1.1, 4.9, 3.85, 3.37 76,Suffolk,___________________________ 3 21 0, -2.4, 5.5, 3.11, 4.19 77,So New Hampshire,__________________ 2 20 1, -2.2, 5.2, 2.98, 3.37 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Oswego,____________________________ 23 3 2, 0.7, 7.3, 8.00, 8.10 2,Amherst,___________________________ 24 3 1, 0.8, 7.2, 7.92, 8.42 3,Plattsburgh,_______________________ 19 5 4, 0.5, 7.3, 7.82, 7.81 4,Norwich,___________________________ 24 2 2, 0.8, 7.0, 7.81, 7.81 5,St Norbert,________________________ 19 5 5, 0.5, 7.2, 7.68, 8.30 6,Elmira,____________________________ 15 9 3, 0.2, 7.4, 7.66, 7.30 7,Neumann,___________________________ 15 8 3, 0.3, 7.4, 7.66, 7.83 8,Utica,_____________________________ 15 9 2, 0.2, 7.4, 7.61, 7.23 9,Hobart,____________________________ 16 10 1, 0.2, 7.4, 7.59, 8.57 10,Manhattanville,____________________ 13 9 3, 0.2, 7.4, 7.52, 6.85 11,Bowdoin,___________________________ 16 6 3, 0.4, 7.1, 7.51, 7.70 12,Castleton,_________________________ 19 7 2, 0.4, 7.0, 7.48, 7.36 13,St Thomas,_________________________ 18 6 2, 0.5, 7.0, 7.47, 6.88 14,Middlebury,________________________ 14 10 3, 0.1, 7.3, 7.46, 7.71 15,Wisconsin-River Falls,_____________ 16 9 2, 0.3, 7.2, 7.46, 7.05 16,St Scholastica,____________________ 15 8 5, 0.3, 7.2, 7.44, 7.60 17,Gustavus Adolphus,_________________ 17 7 5, 0.3, 7.1, 7.40, 7.63 18,Wisconsin-Stevens Point,___________ 14 11 4, 0.1, 7.3, 7.38, 7.50 19,Williams,__________________________ 12 9 5, 0.1, 7.2, 7.35, 7.29 20,Wisconsin-Eau Claire,______________ 13 12 3, 0.0, 7.3, 7.33, 7.45 21,Buffalo State,_____________________ 13 12 2, 0.0, 7.2, 7.29, 7.58 22,Fredonia,__________________________ 12 11 3, 0.0, 7.2, 7.28, 7.26 23,Wentworth,_________________________ 21 7 1, 0.5, 6.8, 7.26, 7.59 24,Wisconsin-Superior,________________ 10 10 7, 0.0, 7.2, 7.23, 7.19 25,Adrian,____________________________ 20 6 1, 0.5, 6.7, 7.21, 7.13 26,St Olaf,___________________________ 13 9 6, 0.1, 7.1, 7.19, 7.32 27,Wesleyan,__________________________ 12 11 2, 0.0, 7.1, 7.18, 6.76 28,Geneseo,___________________________ 13 12 1, 0.0, 7.1, 7.16, 7.20 29,Tufts,_____________________________ 12 11 2, 0.0, 7.1, 7.14, 6.72 30,Milwaukee School of Engineering,___ 22 7 1, 0.5, 6.6, 7.11, 6.97 31,Brockport,_________________________ 9 13 3, -0.2, 7.3, 7.10, 7.35 32,Plymouth State,____________________ 17 7 3, 0.4, 6.7, 7.10, 7.27 33,Salem State,_______________________ 15 9 3, 0.2, 6.8, 7.04, 6.89 34,Southern Maine,____________________ 10 11 6, -0.0, 7.1, 7.03, 6.94 35,Skidmore,__________________________ 12 13 2, -0.0, 7.1, 7.02, 7.37 36,Curry,_____________________________ 14 11 2, 0.1, 6.9, 7.02, 6.70 37,St Anselm,_________________________ 14 8 5, 0.2, 6.8, 7.01, 7.11 38,Massachusetts-Boston,______________ 13 10 3, 0.1, 6.9, 7.01, 7.13 39,Hamilton,__________________________ 8 14 3, -0.2, 7.2, 7.01, 6.75 40,Trinity,___________________________ 9 13 2, -0.2, 7.2, 7.00, 6.64 41,Concordia (Minn),__________________ 10 11 4, -0.0, 7.0, 6.99, 6.70 42,Massachusetts-Dartmouth,___________ 16 9 2, 0.3, 6.7, 6.97, 6.94 43,St John's,_________________________ 11 13 2, -0.1, 7.0, 6.95, 6.86 44,Babson,____________________________ 9 13 4, -0.2, 7.1, 6.94, 6.93 45,Potsdam,___________________________ 8 16 2, -0.3, 7.2, 6.94, 6.28 46,Hamline,___________________________ 10 14 2, -0.2, 7.1, 6.93, 7.00 47,Wisconsin-Stout,___________________ 8 17 2, -0.3, 7.3, 6.92, 6.68 48,New England College,_______________ 9 12 5, -0.1, 7.0, 6.90, 6.18 49,Augsburg,__________________________ 10 14 1, -0.2, 7.1, 6.90, 6.93 50,Connecticut College,_______________ 6 15 3, -0.4, 7.2, 6.87, 6.68 51,Cortland,__________________________ 6 18 1, -0.5, 7.3, 6.85, 6.63 52,Marian,____________________________ 13 9 4, 0.2, 6.7, 6.85, 6.99 53,Morrisville,_______________________ 5 19 1, -0.6, 7.4, 6.85, 7.13 54,Colby,_____________________________ 7 15 1, -0.3, 7.2, 6.81, 7.22 55,Western New England,_______________ 14 12 1, 0.1, 6.7, 6.78, 6.95 56,Lawrence,__________________________ 13 11 4, 0.1, 6.7, 6.77, 6.45 57,Bethel,____________________________ 8 15 2, -0.3, 7.0, 6.75, 6.84 58,Johnson and Wales,_________________ 13 10 3, 0.1, 6.6, 6.73, 6.33 59,Nichols,___________________________ 12 13 2, -0.0, 6.7, 6.64, 7.19 60,St Mary's,_________________________ 5 18 2, -0.5, 7.1, 6.63, 6.75 61,Fitchburg State,___________________ 9 13 4, -0.2, 6.8, 6.62, 6.32 62,Westfield State,___________________ 7 14 5, -0.3, 6.8, 6.57, 6.73 63,Assumption,________________________ 13 11 1, 0.1, 6.4, 6.48, 6.23 64,Worcester State,___________________ 9 15 3, -0.2, 6.7, 6.47, 6.27 65,St Michael's,______________________ 6 18 2, -0.5, 6.9, 6.42, 5.87 66,Becker,____________________________ 9 15 2, -0.2, 6.7, 6.42, 6.15 67,University of New England,_________ 4 19 2, -0.6, 7.0, 6.36, 6.54 68,Stonehill,_________________________ 10 12 3, -0.1, 6.4, 6.36, 7.08 69,Framingham State,__________________ 6 15 4, -0.4, 6.7, 6.36, 6.74 70,Finlandia,_________________________ 7 18 1, -0.4, 6.8, 6.34, 6.14 71,Northland,_________________________ 6 16 3, -0.4, 6.7, 6.32, 5.85 72,Salve Regina,______________________ 6 19 0, -0.5, 6.8, 6.25, 6.17 73,Lake Forest,_______________________ 5 22 0, -0.6, 6.8, 6.19, 6.77 74,Concordia (Wis),___________________ 2 20 3, -0.7, 6.8, 6.10, 6.05 75,Franklin Pierce,___________________ 5 13 4, -0.4, 6.4, 6.05, 5.71 76,Suffolk,___________________________ 3 21 0, -0.8, 6.6, 5.85, 6.07 77,So New Hampshire,__________________ 2 20 1, -0.8, 6.5, 5.71, 5.85 Link to the 2005-2006 Final D1 Rankings . The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Games that go to shootouts for decision are considered ties for ratings purposes. Actually, there are two different rankings listed. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 7. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). This was done because the NCAA has indicated that it does not want to consider goal differential in the selection process. Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States High School National Rankings New England Prep Midget Minor AAA Midget Major AAA Men's NCAA D1 USHL NAHL ACHA College Club USHSHO.com High School Ice Hockey Forums
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