Best Associations

Discussion of Minnesota Youth Hockey

Moderators: Mitch Hawker, east hockey, karl(east)

Air Force 1
Posts: 604
Joined: Tue Nov 27, 2007 6:22 pm
Location: East Grand Forks

Re: District 16

Post by Air Force 1 »

pioneer wrote:Okay AF1, here you go:

Code: Select all

Bemidji     

Team         Skaters     Expected   Actual   Difference
A            13          37.90      43.01    +5.11 
B2 Blue      11          22.59      23.07    +0.48  
B2 White     11          22.37      23.02    +0.65 
Overall      34                              +2.31 

Grade: A - 
-------------------------------------------------------
Crookston  

Team         Skaters     Expected   Actual   Difference
A            12          34.25      40.64    +6.39
B2           11          16.94      21.07    +4.12
Overall      23                              +5.66

Grade: A +
-------------------------------------------------------
East Grand Forks

Team         Skaters     Expected   Actual   Difference
A            14          39.35      47.05    +7.70
B1           15          29.20      31.47    +2.27
B2           13          18.51      27.48    +8.98
Overall      42                              +6.51

Grade: A + 
-------------------------------------------------------
Hallock                       

Team         Skaters     Expected   Actual   Difference
A            13          28.78      33.50    +4.72
Overall      13                              +4.72

Grade: A + 
-------------------------------------------------------
Lake of the Woods

Team         Skaters     Expected   Actual   Difference
A            13          28.78      32.41    +3.63
Overall      13                              +3.63

Grade: A +
-------------------------------------------------------
Red Lake Falls   

Team         Skaters     Expected   Actual   Difference
B2           10          23.28      26.82    +3.44
Overall      10                              +3.44

Grade: A +
-------------------------------------------------------
Roseau               

Team         Skaters     Expected   Actual   Difference
A            14          36.51      36.88    +0.49
B2           14          22.12      23.19    +1.07
Overall      28                              +0.74

Grade: B -
-------------------------------------------------------
Thief River Falls

Team         Skaters     Expected   Actual   Difference
A            13          35.81      40.23    +4.42
B2           13          21.76      21.74    -0.01
Overall      26                              +2.00

Grade: B +
-------------------------------------------------------
Warroad

Team         Skaters     Expected   Actual   Difference
A            13          28.78      33.81    +5.03
Overall      24                              +5.03

Grade: A +
-------------------------------------------------------
Thanks! I LOVE D16!
pioneer
Posts: 107
Joined: Tue May 16, 2006 8:20 am

District 12

Post by pioneer »

Code: Select all

Ely         

Team         Skaters     Expected   Actual   Difference
B2           12          28.39      15.74    -12.65
Overall      12                              -12.65

Grade: F   
-------------------------------------------------------
Eveleth   

Team         Skaters     Expected   Actual   Difference
A            14          36.51      32.34    -4.17
B2 White     14          22.12      18.53    -3.59
Overall      28                              -3.88

Grade: F  
-------------------------------------------------------
Grand Rapids

Team         Skaters     Expected   Actual   Difference
A            14          38.87      37.90    -0.96
B1           13          28.16      27.96    -0.20
B2           12          18.26      19.39    +1.13
Overall      39                              -0.02

Grade: C   
-------------------------------------------------------
Greenway                     

Team         Skaters     Expected   Actual   Difference
A            13          35.81      32.34    -3.46
B2           13          21.76      16.96    -4.80
Overall      26                              -3.99

Grade: F   
-------------------------------------------------------
Hibbing    

Team         Skaters     Expected   Actual   Difference
A            15          37.01      36.22    -0.80
B2           16          22.56      26.25    +3.69
Overall      31                              +1.07

Grade: B -
-------------------------------------------------------
International Falls

Team         Skaters     Expected   Actual   Difference
A            10          32.43      34.45    +2.01
B2           10          19.92      21.46    +1.54
Overall      20                              +1.85

Grade: A -
-------------------------------------------------------
Mesabi East  

Team         Skaters     Expected   Actual   Difference
B2           15          29.49      28.84    -0.65
Overall      15                              -0.65

Grade: C  
-------------------------------------------------------
Virginia   

Team         Skaters     Expected   Actual   Difference
A            14          36.23      30.18    -6.05
B2           13          21.47      20.51    -0.96
Overall      27                              -4.26

Grade: F  
-------------------------------------------------------
pioneer
Posts: 107
Joined: Tue May 16, 2006 8:20 am

District 15

Post by pioneer »

Code: Select all

Alexandria  

Team         Skaters     Expected   Actual   Difference
A            12          37.67      39.87    +2.20 
B1           12          27.69      29.03    +1.345
B2           10          16.69      20.17    +3.485
Overall      34                              +2.07 

Grade: A - 
-------------------------------------------------------
Brainerd   

Team         Skaters     Expected   Actual   Difference
A            12          37.67      37.63    -0.04
B2           11          27.32      29.33    +2.01
C            11          18.14      19.98    +1.85
Overall      34                              +1.18

Grade: B  
-------------------------------------------------------
Detroit Lakes

Team         Skaters     Expected   Actual   Difference
A            12          35.28      37.35    +2.07
B2           12          21.50      24.16    +2.66
Overall      24                              +2.28

Grade: A   
-------------------------------------------------------
Fergus Falls                 

Team         Skaters     Expected   Actual   Difference
A            11          34.64      35.23    +0.59
B2           12          21.82      21.13    -0.69
Overall      23                              -0.12

Grade: C + 
-------------------------------------------------------
Leech Lake 

Team         Skaters     Expected   Actual   Difference
B2           13          28.78      26.66    -2.12
Overall      13                              -2.12

Grade: D  
-------------------------------------------------------
Little Falls         

Team         Skaters     Expected   Actual   Difference
B2           13          28.78      27.27    -1.51
Overall      13                              -1.51

Grade: D +
-------------------------------------------------------
Moorhead  

Team         Skaters     Expected   Actual   Difference
A            15          39.01      41.87    +2.87
B1           13          28.19      33.87    +5.68
B2           13          18.66      26.60    +7.94
Overall      41                              +5.31

Grade: A +
-------------------------------------------------------
Morris Benson

Team         Skaters     Expected   Actual   Difference
B1           12          35.28      26.27    -9.01
B2           12          21.50      20.70    -0.80
Overall      24                              -5.28

Grade: F  
-------------------------------------------------------
Northern Lakes

Team         Skaters     Expected   Actual   Difference
A            13          35.81      32.80    -3.01
B2           13          21.76      21.95    +0.19
Overall      26                              -1.73

Grade: D 
-------------------------------------------------------
Prairie Center

Team         Skaters     Expected   Actual   Difference
A            13          28.78      29.58    +0.80
Overall      13                              +0.80

Grade: B 
-------------------------------------------------------
Wadena        

Team         Skaters     Expected   Actual   Difference
A             9          28.92      30.02    +1.10
B2            9          17.84      15.77    -2.08
Overall      18                              -0.41

Grade: C -
-------------------------------------------------------
pioneer
Posts: 107
Joined: Tue May 16, 2006 8:20 am

All Associations

Post by pioneer »

All districts have been crunched, now we can tally and rank them all. Remember, what this reflects is how far above or below the expected level each association is playing at for the PeeWee level. The number equates to goal differential per game, e.g., collectively the Edina teams are scoring ~1/3 of a goal per game more than should be expected. As you can see, the EGF teams are a collective 6 1/2 higher! Certainly, some of the successes (or failures) can be attributed to a certain "bubble" of talented kids that come through a given program. But for instance, the Moorheads and Duluth Easts of MN are well known to be at the top for development.

As one poster alluded to, recruitment of eligible players is core piece of a successful association. Associations like Moorhead, DE, etc. have an edge in recruitment becasue they have established, successful programs. These communities are geared to the hockey culture and inherently are able to attract the best athletes to the sport.

However, once the kids are there they need to be developed. I think another poster was spot on in the analysis that the successful associations tend to have dedicated "hockey guys" (i.e., dads) that are integrated into their associations.

The whole point of this exercise was, for me, to analyze the various associations, identify the stronger ones, and hopefully find out what makes these top associations tick. I am heavily involved in my association - have been for years - and sadly, I must say that it is NOT one of the "successful" ones. I would like to change that. I would hope that others that see their associations lagging behind the others would want to do the same. In the end, I would like to see Minnesota Hockey improve - so that we can remain the top youth hockey development model in the U.S.! Mind you, I do not think that our model is "broken", I just think that we could all learn from those that have succeeded and use it to improve all of us.

~ Pioneer ~

Code: Select all

1	East Grand Forks                   	6.55
2	Duluth East                        	5.58
3	Moorhead                           	5.57
4	Crookston                          	5.38
5	Warroad                            	5.21
6	Hallock                            	4.93
7	Luverne                            	3.76
8	Lake of the Woods                  	3.71
9	Red Lake Falls                     	3.61
10	Hutchinson                         	3.44
11	La Crescent                        	3.37
12	Crow River                         	3.26
13	Hermantown                         	3.17
14	Kennedy                            	3.12
15	Sauk Rapids                        	2.96
16	Litchfield Dassel Cokato           	2.82
17	Willmar                            	2.77
18	Jefferson                          	2.67
19	Thief River Falls                  	2.49
20	Lakeville North                    	2.41
21	Alexandria                         	2.37
22	Detroit Lakes                      	2.37
23	Hopkins                            	2.37
24	North Metro                        	2.13
25	Bemidji                            	2.07
26	Duluth Lakers                      	2.04
27	Cloquet                            	1.97
28	Anoka                              	1.90
29	Winona                             	1.84
30	International Falls                	1.83
31	Superior                           	1.81
32	Rosemount                          	1.57
33	New Prague                         	1.52
34	Proctor                            	1.49
35	Mason City                         	1.46
36	Hibbing                            	1.40
37	Red Wing                           	1.37
38	South St. Paul                     	1.3
39	Stillwater                         	1.27
40	Brainerd                           	1.25
41	Eden Prairie                       	1.21
42	Highland Central                   	1.1
43	St. Michael Albertville            	1.09
44	Mahtomedi                          	1.08
45	Eastview                           	1.06
46	Farmington                         	1.
47	Northfield                         	0.97
48	Burnsville                         	0.97
49	Osseo Maple Grove                  	0.97
50	Roseau                             	0.94
51	Lakeville South                    	0.91
52	Mankato                            	0.88
53	Elk River                          	0.84
54	Hudson                             	0.65
55	Prairie Center                     	0.62
56	Centennial                         	0.58
57	Woodbury                           	0.57
58	Wayzata                            	0.57
59	Orono                              	0.53
60	Hastings                           	0.5
61	Sartell                            	0.47
62	Moundsview                         	0.47
63	Cottage Grove                      	0.39
64	Forest Lake                        	0.35
65	Edina                              	0.29
66	Apple Valley                       	0.28
67	Inver Grove Heights                	0.21
68	Buffalo                            	0.2
69	St. Peter Le Sueur                 	0.18
70	Roseville                          	0.12
71	Sibley Area                        	0.11
72	Owatonna                           	0.08
73	Grand Rapids                       	-0.01
74	White Bear Lake                    	-0.03
75	Coon Rapids                        	-0.06
76	Fergus Falls                       	-0.06
77	Mora                               	-0.1
78	Spring Lake Park                   	-0.1
79	Minnetonka                         	-0.1
80	Chisago Lakes                      	-0.11
81	Marshall                           	-0.15
82	Sleepy Eye                         	-0.2
83	North St. Paul                     	-0.21
84	Prior Lake                         	-0.25
85	St. Francis                        	-0.28
86	Tartan                             	-0.28
87	Monticello Annandale Maple Lake    	-0.46
88	Mesabi East                        	-0.47
89	Princeton                          	-0.47
90	St. Cloud                          	-0.54
91	Andover                            	-0.63
92	Wadena                             	-0.66
93	Rogers                             	-0.73
94	Shakopee                           	-0.81
95	Faribault                          	-0.81
96	Blaine                             	-0.95
97	Somerset                           	-0.95
98	Mound Westonka                     	-0.96
99	River Lakes                        	-1.24
100	New Ulm                            	-1.27
101	Eagan                              	-1.39
102	Chaska                             	-1.44
103	Northern Lakes                     	-1.45
104	Rochester                          	-1.47
105	Little Falls                       	-1.48
106	Albert Lea                         	-1.53
107	Champlin Park                      	-1.54
108	St. Paul Saints                    	-1.67
109	River Falls                        	-1.76
110	Minneapolis Park                   	-1.84
111	Worthington                        	-2.
112	New Richmond                       	-2.
113	Leech Lake                         	-2.15
114	Cambridge Isanti North Branch      	-2.2
115	Armstrong                          	-2.34
116	Redwood Falls                      	-2.67
117	Austin                             	-2.94
118	Two Harbors                        	-2.98
119	Waconia                            	-3.02
120	Dodge County                       	-3.14
121	Virginia                           	-3.57
122	Irondale                           	-3.61
123	Eveleth                            	-3.94
124	Greenway                           	-4.18
125	Morris Benson                      	-4.86
126	Moose Lake                         	-5.08
127	Fairmont                           	-5.36
128	Windom                             	-5.49
129	St. Marys Point                    	-5.5
130	Ashland                            	-5.65
131	Silver Bay                         	-5.66
132	Dinomights                         	-5.89
133	Waseca                             	-6.37
134	Langford                           	-7.01
135	Pine City                          	-7.74
136	Edgecumbe                          	-11.66
137	Ely                                	-12.8
mvhockey12
Posts: 68
Joined: Mon Nov 12, 2007 11:29 pm

Re: Very Nice Comments

Post by mvhockey12 »

northwoods oldtimer wrote:
No Political Connections wrote:I think you also have to look at how many of your B level players are making it onto successful high school teams when those perennial A players from the squirt level on up are getting cut from that team.

Development is taking that relatively small herd of mites through the system and forming powerhouse high school teams with kids who might or might not go on. The northern teams do this. With those western suburbs teams it is a numbers game and being smart enough to skim off the top kids when they have risen to the top. That is not the sign of a good developmental hockey program, that is a sign of given a large enough number of anything and you can form what ever you want to form with it. You could even get a large enough group of monkeys, give them each a typewriter and given enough time and paper the law of averages says one of them will type a best selling novel. The trick is being good enough to teach a monkey to read, write and type so you don't need a whole bunch of monkeys to luck out and get a best selling author, you just need a few monkeys who want to learn and some good teachers.

You want to evaluate your program to make it a top developer? Do not listen to what that guy once said. Do not "Go West, Young Man". Go North, that is where the developers are. (Be sure to bring your coat though as it looks like winter has finally gotten here)
No P Connections thanks for the nice comments and a nod for the north kids. I tend to agree with you on this very much. Karl from the East is right but he best be very concerned about the District 11 policy of watered down B teams. This will hurt Duluth East a lot in the future if it continues. Roseau and Grand Rapids do a a very good job with getting a solid product out of small numbers, Roseau gets the edge with the community support that just transcends any other program in the state. Virginia and Hibbing do a very good job as well in development when it comes to small numbers.

The watered down B teams in District 11 is really not good for East. They are already slowly losing numbers every year and this new rule hurts them against almost every city team they face. In the district play itself they may still be able to compete but in tournaments it's difficult. Not to mention having kids on these teams where some should/could be on A and others who should definitely be on a B2 (or even C) team.

I know this doesn't apply to the discussion but do you, northwoods, or Karl know why this decision was made by the district?
sorno82
Posts: 267
Joined: Thu Oct 18, 2007 4:04 pm

Post by sorno82 »

Looks like the rankings for associations is akin to the computer formula that had Fargo as the best place to live in the country and Kevin McHale as the best GM in sports.
dumbpuck
Posts: 65
Joined: Mon Feb 09, 2009 11:24 pm

Post by dumbpuck »

Can the top 5 teams get a plaque or T shirts for this ranking?
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