PageStat 2025-26

[east hockey]

Predicting the Minnesota boys' section hockey tournament games, by method:

PageStat: 106-19
Seedings: 99-26
W/L record: 96-29

PageStat disagreed with the seedings 11 times this year, winning nine of those games.

PageStat, once again, beats the seedings. In the past eleven seasons, PageStat has won the overall disagreements in nine seasons and tied twice. The seedings haven't won the annual "competition" since 2014. Since 2015, there have been 125 games where PageStat has disagreed with the seedings. The PageStat picked team has won 84 of those, the higher seeded team 41 games.

Always looking to improve the system, I'll be doing a detailed analysis of the various PageStat methods available to me to see if a change in goal cap or momentum adjustment is necessitated next year.

Lee

[blueblood]

impressive history Lee

[east hockey]

impressive history Lee

I don't know if it points to how good PageStat is, how lucky it is, or how bad the section seeders are?

Lee

[east hockey]

Updated PageStat ratings through 2/27:

https://leepagen.com/ps2026.htm

Lee